Merry Christmas & Happy New Year !!!

I wish all of my visitors, followers, friends and partners

a merry, peaceful and blessed Christmas and a happy,

healthy and successful New Year 2016 !!!

Merry Christmas

and

a happy New Year 2016 !!!

SC Paderborn - Fortuna Düsseldorf

This is the last match for 2015 when SC Paderborn hosts Fortuna Düsseldorf this Monday evening. According to both teams situations it is a very important and tricky game the west duel. Paderborn sits on 16 Place while Düsseldorf has 3 Points more on their side and is 15. With a win they can go even with Düsseldorf and get a better position after winter break to avoid relegation. Of course this wants Düsseldorf to avoid and they look forward to get at least a Point here. Otherwise they are getting in danger and under more pressure to begin next year.

With only 2 Points out of the last 5 games and the extreme disaster last weekend Coach Effenberg suspended 3 players with Brückner, Saglik and Lakic. According to this step they want to give some note on the team that they have to invest more and also to improve a lot. This means the squad is guilty for their situation at the moment and not the actual Coach. Despite this statement has Effenberg be honest and study his work as well. To begin he brought some fresh motivation with his kind of positive thinking and absolutely winning mentality but this is gone now. Nevertheless he could not bring the team on the next level above all his tactic and style of play remained static.

Of course he has a special view of these things but he said also that his team must deliver now. He wants to see a clear answer from his team today after last weeks 0-4 to Bochum. For this he tries to changes his team at 6 positons. With Hartherz, Quali, Stöger, Kirch, Narey and Proschwitz are all named who starts from beginning on today.

So many changes plans interim Coach Hermann not although he miss some players and has to replace them anyway. With midfield player Koch they have one player out suspended while Bolly has some muscle problems and is not available for today. The next absent player is Sararer who got injured in last trainings session. The good news is the return from central back Haggui after suspension. Additional finds Manager Azzouzi the behavior from some media not correct because they criticized both strikers Ya Konan and Pohjanpalo for their performances this Season so far. They said that they are not good enough for Düsseldorf and have to improve if they want to stay here. But Coach and Manager count and believe in them what is trust enough. 

Despite the harsh 0-3 defeat to Union at home the trend under interim Coach Hermann is very positive and allow them to take courage. The 2-1 in Frankfurt to FSV was the first away win this Season but also one of the best away matches in the past. The team improved more and more if tactical or in style of play, they harmonized more and more together. The hopes are there to get a positive end of 2015. Last time they lost in Paderborn was 5 years ago, 2010 0-3 but almost none actual player stand on the pitch at that time.  

Both teams have to lose a lot here therefore we expect a very careful play from both and it can be a very close one until the end too. Düsseldorf of course will be satisfied with a draw while Paderborn need the win to go even with Fortuna. But they must be ahead of their actions and allow not to much otherwise takes Düsseldorf advantage from the space they get and overcome Paderborn and it would be hard for SCP to come from behind. Paderborn looked totally out of form and we think that Effenberg can not turn things around in one week, we believe in Düsseldorf today.

PICK: Fortuna Düsseldorf AHC +0,25 @ 1,83 (3 Units / Flat Stake)

MSV Duisburg - VfL Bochum

This is an important match above all for the home team, they are at the bottom with only 11 Points and they have to look for a win today if they want to have any chance to avoid relegation after winter break. With a lose and a win from the teams above them the gap open to 8 Points and this is almost impossible to turn this in their favor in 15 games. On the other side Bochum need to win as well to stay in tough with the top because with a lose they will be 6 Points behind 3rd Place and this after such a good start to begin of the Season.

After they fired Lettieri they gave Gruev their trust, he is an unknown Coach for most of the experts but he has showed some good work. The first three matches they were unbeaten under him (1-2-0) but failed in both last games in Leipzig where they looked long as the logical winner but Leipzig had an incredible finish with 3 goals. Last weekend in Kaiserslautern they hold long time a goalless draw but must capitulate in second half. Nevertheless the team is doing a much better job now and they are much more compact, also their offensive actions are also more efficient.
Therefore Coach Gruev plans to start with the same lineup as in the recent matches where they was not without any chance. The only change can be in central back where veteran Bajic returns. Also he mentioned in an interview that he wants to see the fighting spirit from the game against Sandhausen and the creative play from Leipzig. If they are able to find the mix here they are having a real good chance to get the win.

After some bad weeks Bochum shot Paderborn out of their stadium with 4-0 and got some hope back that the team have not lost their strength. Also in Cup they were able to win in Munich 2-0 but against such a harmless opponent every team had won. But win is a win but they need some help from the referee because the second goal was clear hand but it was counted. The salary for the win against 1860 was a big game in the next Cup Round where they face Bayern Munich at home. But before they have to talk and thing about the big game 2016 they have to do the work in league and this is in Duisburg. Coach Verbeek is very pleased that his team manage this match very well.
But he said also that it is not so easy because this is the third match in one week and they had to travel two times as well. Of course it is not far to Duisburg and this can be called a derby but some of the players are really tired after a long Season. Additional they have some doubts in their squad with Perthel and Fabian and also Terodde. Third one is sure out and it is also unsafe if he plays next year for Bochum as he has some offers from 1.Bundesliga.

The bottom team have to be as cool as they can and try to win this one. At home they are much better and they have shown some good games there already. In 9 home matches they were beaten only from Kaiserslautern, FSV Frankfurt and Braunschweig. All the other 6 matches they got Points and it is not far that this happen against weak traveller Bochum again. Above all after this big negative run away from home without a win since 3 matches. Also the tiredness from some player can be there because we have mentioned above that this is their 3 match in one week and at the end the batteries are empty. Therefore MSV can maybe take advantage from it too.

PICK: MSV Duisburg AHC +0,25 @ 2,02 (3 Units / Flat Stake)

SC Freiburg - 1860 München

An important match for both sides, Freiburg has to win if they do not want to have the pressure immediately after the break because with Nürnberg they have one team in back who is only 2 Points behind now and also they want to close the gap to 3 Points to leader Leipzig again. On the other side 1860 is fighting against relegation and with 14 Points they are 2 Points behind SC Paderborn. With a win they can get some hope back for the new year and also put some pressure on Paderborn for the monday game. Nevertheless more important is that they do not open to lose to much space on other teams above.

In Freiburg all are working very professional and they want the most possible success and this is the return into 1.Bundesliga immediately. They have build a very young and hungry team with a lot of young players. Before they Season they did not know that all is going so well and they have found each other immediately and pay this with great performances back. Nevertheless they want more and this is a big sign for all the other teams because they have done great work on transfer market and signed Havard Nielsen form RB Salzburg for 2016. This is a real great investment and said all about the club. A big surprise and great work from the management. Some of the experts were very surprised because why such an excellent offensive player because the problems are in defensive with 22 goals conceded already.
Against 1860 two defensive specialists returns into starting lineup and should help to avoid more goal against them. With Günter on the wing who replace Föhrenbach and Abrashi in central midfield what give the team more creative options. The other parts maybe remain unchanged because the performance in Nürnberg was very good but they lost really unlucky there.

The start from Möhlmann was good but after some matches 1860 is falling back to old style of play and this is really harmless in front of the goal and in defensive very prone. Also they have no real idea to overcome an opponent or some creative actions and options. The last 3 matches at home were all lost and the players are maybe very happy to play on the road today. Away from home they could convince a bit more recently with losing only 1 of the last 5. But it can be hard work to play against one of the top teams of the league and if they do hard to score again it is almost impossible to get something in Freiburg above all they can not hold the pressure of this great offensive away for 90. minutes.
The tactic should be clear and it is a defensive minded 4-5-1 where Claaßen moves into the starting lineup on the wing. It is not an easy task for them against Freiburg, the first match was lost 0-1 and they are waiting since 13 years for a win against SCF.

The team from "Breisgau" is really strong at home and they love to play in their close and small stadium. The offensive power is incredible and what some of their opponents felt already. If they bring all their power on the pitch they can not be stopped and against a bottom side who has really idea to score it can be only one winner with SCF. Of course against such teams they need some patience but they know what they get today and Coach Streich should warn them and bring them on track with the right tactical advice.

PICK: SC Freiburg AHC -0,75 @ 1,86 (3 Units / Flat Stake)

VfB Stuttgart - VfL Wolfsburg

Statistic:

- Stuttgart lost all their last 6 BL games to Wolfsburg.
- Both teams collected only 2 Points from the last 3 BL games (0-2-1).
- Stuttgart has the weakest numbers ever in club history with only 12 Points and -17 goals.
- Wolfsburg won only 1 road game this Season so far.
- They were not able to collect more as 6 Points on the road what is less for a top team.
- Also away from home they are very harmless and scoring only 3 goals in 7 matches.

It was very important for Stuttgart to advance in Cup above all against a lower division team from Braunschweig. Despite the big problems and missed penalty they managed in a very hard fight to win 3-2 after extra time. This cost additional energy and some of their players looked very tired at the end of this game. In this case they have to rest a bit more and hope that they are fresh enough for the last game this year because they need all their power against a very good opponent. 

It is seen that the team is much more compact now and plays a much better defensive style as under former Coach Zorniger. Of course there are always some mistakes in their game but they are far away from such bad play. Interim Coach Kramny has found the right balance after the 1-4 in Dortmund. Against Mainz it was seen that they work better and much better together now. Up front they are very less on options as most of the offensive players are injured. The hopes are on youngster Werner but he is not real attacker but he must play there. If they want to have a chance in this encounter they have to minimize their mistakes and play very compact and allow not much on the other side they must be very clinical in front of the goal. Maybe they get more space against a playing team from Wolfsburg what are their hopes.

The team from VW town wants to be a big rival for Bayern Munich but the situation is getting different after the “VW-Gate“. The sponsoring is more less now and they have to look what they are able to invest and get from Champions League. Therefore no big transfers expected in the future. Additional they are on some downtrend lately. They were not able to win one of the last two and lost some space to the top 2 Bayern and BvB. This is also due to their weak away performances. They were not able to win much, only 1 time against newcomer Darmstadt with a lucky goal from Caligiuri after some help from Darmstadt’s keeper. In all the other road games they had big problems although they have a great squad to choose. Only at home they showed the real strength so far. If they do not want to fall down more they have to find some solutions for the games away.

Hamburger SV - FC Augsburg

It was very close last Season but this one they are doing much better and Coach Labbadia is very pleased with the performances so far. They only what should be improved is their home performance above all they had some problems to play against deep defending teams at home in the past. With their fast wings they need much more space to get them rolling and this is not always the case in home games above all if they have to come from behind or the match is very even. This is the last match before the break but most of the players have slight injuries or plays with injuries like Lasogga did in Wolfsburg last time. It is not the best and he risk a lot but he wants to help the team and bring this Year to a positive end. Despite the upcoming opponent they can get some problems again as Augsburg is a team who defends very well in recent games and showed an uptrend in their form what makes it to a very difficult for HSV. Nevertheless they have a good mood in their squad although the average outcome at home.
Some changes can be made from Labbadia as well as with Hunt is the central midfield player back from injury and he can replace Gregoritsch now, in defensive Djourou has not trained the whole week due to illness but he returns also in central back for Cleber.

To begin of the Season we have mentioned already that this can be a very difficult one for Augsburg as almost all small clubs who managed an international spot had a lot of problems in the upcoming Season. No they were all involved in relegation battle and had a negative finish with relegation. There were teams like Aachen, Mainz, Frankfurt and Freiburg, all can tell their own story. The next team is Augsburg in this category but after having a lot of problems in the first 12 Rounds with only 6 Points they started to turn things around and managed an unbeaten run from 4 games now what allowed them to collect 10 Points out of these matches and put them out of red zone. With 16 Points they can look forward a bit more positive and Coach Weinzierl is very pleased with his team for past matches. Above all the key match in European League against Partizan Belgrad which they had to win with the exactly result 3-1 to advance to next stage gave them an additional boost now.

Of course, one of the key facts is their new strength in defense and also the excellent work against the ball. They are absolutely aggressive and really nasty what makes it very difficult to play against them. Also they conceded only 1 in the last matches and keeper Hitz was 361 minutes without conceding a goal until Kolasinac from Schalke put the ball behind him on Sunday. With all this positive results and issues they had recently they are a much better team now, they have much more self confidence, a better mood and do not so many mistakes as to begin. They have much more trust in their actions and believe on their strength and what this produce is seen on their results lately.

We expect a close match between these two sides what was the case in all their matches against each other. It can be a hard fight till the end to end up this year and go on holidays. Despite the lose in Cup Augsburg is in good shape and should make some trouble for HSV. 

FC Schalke 04 - 1899 Hoffenheim

Statistic:

- Schalke won all the last 4 BL games against 1899 at home.

- In these matches they scored at least 3 goals (13-2 goals).

- Schalke won only 1 of the last 7 BL games (3-1 vs. Hannover last home game).

- In these period they got only 5 Points.

- With only 24 Points after 16 Rounds they playing the weakest Season since 5 years now.

- Schalke could win 11 of their 12 home games on friday evening, 1 draw.

- 1899 could win only 1 of the last 10 BL road games (1-3-6).

- Former Schalke Coach Stevens sits on bench from 1899 Hoffenheim now.

- 1899 need every Point to get out of danger zone.

Normally S04 has a lot of potential but they were not able to bring this on the pitch in the last games. Only against Hannover they were able to show a bit of their strength. It depends all on the youngsters, if they are in game and can bring all their power on the pitch Schalke is doing well but if these guys are not involved in their play it is hard to win matches. Above all both wings Mayer and Sane has a lot of potential and quickness to overcome every defense in this league. To get a bit more power in offensive Coach Breitenreiter is thinking to changes his system to 4-4-2 with Huntelaar and Di Santo up front. Behind them can play Choupo Mouting while the youngsters comes over the wings. In midfield they can count on Geis and Goretzka. First one is key for free kicks and corners and should bring some danger in their play with it anyway. The defensive line with Matip and Höwedes had some problems recently and they can get some with the quick offensive players from Hoffenheim like Volland, Schmid and Amiri are. On the back wing is Caicara ready while Aogo face some problems and must be replaced form Kolasinac again. Overall a strong lineup with a lot of power and potential.

1899 coming to Schalke with the first home win in bag. Ok, it was a narrow 1-0 win with some luck but only the result count and this was in their favor what was important. Of course they want to walk on because they need every Point to get out of the bottom. For this Coach Stevens has of course some tactical surprises but he does not talk about. Therefore we can only think that he allows the same lineup to start again. This means that Polanski is on bench again but he has a change to move into the starting lineup because Schwegler has some problems and is a doubt at the moment. He should face a late test maybe. But also Rudy is an option there and he is the more prepared player for opening the game in midfield. This is not the strength from Polanski as he is more a fighter. Despite the last win it was not all well above all the defensive work was not so good and they showed some weakness there and with a bit of luck from Hannover they should have scored one or two. If they allow again or make some mistakes Schalke are more clinical and use this. Up front they have a lot of good players which can be the difference on a good day. With Schmid, Amiri, Volland, Elyounoussi and also on bench with Vargas, Uth and Szalai.

We see a lot of potential in both offensive lines and goals will come here for sure. We had in all meeting between these two sides goals above all Schalke scored a lot at home against 1899. In 6 of their last 7 they scored at least 2 goals or more and could only kept a clean sheet in 3 of them. Overall it is hard to see both not to score here. If Schalke can take the lead the matches is going in their favor and with Sane they have an excellent counter player who can overcome them and create or score some. Additional could Hoffenheim only keep a clean sheet in 2 of their 8 away games. 

PICK: OVER 2,75 @ 1,96 (3 Units / Flat Stake)

Union Berlin - SV Sandhausen

The situation was much different before the Season starts at both clubs. After the Season starts it was again different and all saw that Sandhausen can be one of the surprise teams this Season although they got 3 Points deducted due to license problems. The results were all their way and they was immediately under the top 6 what gave them additional motivation and boost for the upcoming matches. The team from Berlin Union had expected to be under the top 6 this Season but failed so far and according to their bad results they are looking only to avoid relegation or stay away. They want to collect 40 Points as far as they can. The first match between these two sides were an entertaining one with 4-3 where Union looked long time as the logical winner but Sandhausen turned this game around.

Some positive sign was send from the team in the last 6 matches where they lost only one of these. But at home where normally they had their strength in recent Season they do not so well. This is very bad for their great fans which make always great support and atmosphere there. With winning only 1 of the last 9 it is far away from a fortress former years (1-6-2). After winning three month ago to bottom side Duisburg they want to celebrate with their fans a win and a special Christmas atmosphere today.

But for this they have to replace midfield player Kreilach suspended and have with Fürstner and Kessel two players doubtful. Despite this bad news they want to be as positive as they can and try to win this, nevertheless they want to invest all. Fürstner was already out last game in Düsseldorf, Kreilach can be replaced from much more offensive minded Brandy and captain Kessel from Trimmel on the wing while Puncec move into the middle.

Sandhausen played a great Season so far despite their bad results lately. Nevertheless also with a lose in Berlin they can look back very satisfied on their good performances what let them celebrate Christmas and new Year without any problems. But with 3 games without a win and only 1 Point they want to get into the break with a good feeling and therefore with a win.

The squad should be the same as against Braunschweig 0-2 although Kosecki is back from injury but it is to early for him to be in the squad. In this case Thiede and Bieler are the first options on left offensive wing. Some players have slight injuries like Hübner and Paqarada but both should start and forget for the last 90 minutes the pain. Not available is joker Jovanovic who had an op.

This is a match between two sides who have not the best moment lately. Union at home and Sandhausen on the road and they made a lot of mistakes too. The defensive line from Union is always good for goals but up front they have some good and fast players who are inform above all Wood. On the other side Sandhausen loves to play on counter attack and they will get a lot of space today. This matches had goal in all the last games. It was always fun to watch these two sides and we believe that they continue like this.

PICK: OVER 2,25 @ 1,76 (3 Units / Flat Stake)

Cup: SpVgg Unterhaching - Bayer Leverkusen

This is the duel between regional league bavaria team SpVgg Unterhaching and 1.Bundesliga team Bayer Leverkusen. On paper it should be a clear thing for the team from Bayer. Maybe some remember the game between Haching and Leverkusen when Leverkusen had the chance to win the title in Bundesliga but they lost there due to an own goal from Ballack and also the title. It was one of the biggest disaster for the club Leverkusen and of course they do not want to talk and remember on this day. Time has changed huge and with Unterhaching falling down to Regional League to hit rock bottom.

The team from Unterhaching is a very young team and they must sell always their top players due to financial problems. Therefore they can only count on young and unknown players. The situation is worse there after they were relegated in summer form 3.Bundesliga where they played for several years now. They have to build up a new team for the Regional League and to begin it was not very easy for them to find into the Season. They run behind huge but at the end they were close to the top but the form in the last 2-3 games were average and they lost some space again. In Cup they had two excellent days in beating Ingolstadt who plays 1.Bundesliga and RB Leipzig who plays 2.Bundesliga. But the last game against Leipzig was more a mistake form Rangnick who rested a lot of players and play with a B-Team there because he underestimates this team what was a big disaster for them. Of course the young team is always very hot against this big teams to show that they are able for more and maybe some players hopes to get a contact at a better club who has more budget. Nevertheless their last games was on 2.12.2015 against Bayern Munich Ama. 1-1 and since this game they have no real match praxis because their league is in winter break. Since 2 weeks they train only and maybe played some friendlies and they do not know where they stand at the moment what makes it much more difficult against a team who is in form and have a weekly rhythm.

Bayer Leverkusen has a lot to play for above after knock out form CL stage after playing only 1-1 against a Barcelona B-Team. This was the chance for them and you never get a better opportunity against such a team to win, but they failed. Some days later it was a real fireworks from them against high flying Gladbach who had not change and they overcome them with 5-0. Key player of this game was Kießling who scored twice and gave one assist. Normally Kies is only on bench as Coach Schmidt counts not on him and he maybe should be sold in winter break but after this performance they thing about it. He moved only into the starting lineup because Brandt was not ready for this game and this was exactly what Bayer Leverkusen has need after having a hard time. They are looking forward to this Cup game and coming to Haching with much better mood and self confidence. The team knows that they have to win this and they should not take this game to serious what the two games before from Unterhaching showed.

Overall this is a class to high for Unterhaching and they should lose this above all with the bad preparation without any matches and also the weak shape they had in the last league games. Leverkusen coming to them as absolute favorite and they should overcome them as they did in last Round also against an Regional League Team Viktoria Köln 6-0. We expect the same here, it may need some time but after Leverkusen open the scoring it is up to them how much. Above all in the end of the game we expect that Haching has some conditional problems what is another advantage for Leverkusen.

PICK: Bayer Leverkusen AHC -2 @ 2,08 (3 Units / Flat Stake)

Arminia Bielefeld - FC St. Pauli

Both teams were already active in 1.Bundesliga and of course it is a dream to return sometimes. The team from Hamburg is very close to half time of the Season because they were third, with a win they can get back on this place. On the other side has Bielefeld managed the first home win for long time, since April exactly and they want more to climb up at the table and open the gap more to the last 3.

On of the key parts in Bielefeld's team is the defense, this part did a great job and conceded only 15 goals in 17 matches what is a good number above all as newcomer. In this category only Braunschweig has with 14 a better defensive. Normally this good stats is like a promotion candidate but they have one big negative thing and this is scoring goals. This is exactly what you need to get Points and this is to harmless from Bielefeld in all the 17 games so far. Maybe some changes in the future but at the moment they are running behind big. With only 15 goals scored they have one of the weakest offensive lines in the league, only bottom side 1860 had 14 before this Round.

Compared to the last game and the first home win Coach Meier does not change much. He counts on the same starting lineup which managed the win against KSC after coming from behind. Maybe Mast is out of the starting lineup due to weak performance in last game and Hemlein should replace him. He showed some good actions after he came in at half time against KSC.

Coach Lienen returns on his former working place, he was two times player from Arminia and also as Coach he worked there already. But he had not success as Coach and 2011 they were relegated. But for all the respect to his old club, he wants to win with St. Pauli and hold the pressure on the other teams above high. After playing long time against relegation last Season they have the change this Season to play for promotion. For this they need wins and this was not always the case lately.

It is no reason to changes anything on his starting lineup above all after winning 2-1 on "Betzenberg" which is a difficult place for every team. Normally you get hardly the Points there but the home strength form FCK is gone these days. He has almost all players available and therefore he can choose from a lot. 

Borussia Dortmund - Eintracht Frankfurt

Statistic:

- Dortmund won 40 of their 84 matches with Eintracht Frankfurt (40-16-28).
- Against no other BL team they have such a good record and so much wins.
- Dortmund won 4 of the last 5 duels, only 2014/15 0-2 away.
- At home is BvB very strong and lost only 1 of their last 19 BL games with Frankfurt (14-4-1).
- Frankfurt could not get a Point in the last 3 matches.
- Also they could win only 1 of the last 12 matches, 2-1 in Hannover (1-4-7).

The second Dortmund is playing a great Season so far and at home they are very hard to beat and with all their offensive power almost impossible to stop. In all their 6 home games they scored at least 3 goals or more and conceded only 1, only against Darmstadt 2-2 they lost Points. The only match they scored 3 and conceded 2 was against Schalke but the others are all high scoring victories. At home they are pushed from their excellent fans and if they can take the lead the match is in their way with all their fast players. The space is there and Reus and Aubameyang likes it to overcome the defensive, they are too fast for the most of them. In midfield they can have a small problem today with the injury absent Gündogan who was key in central midfield for them. Coach Tuchel must find an even replacement or changes a bit but with Castro or Micky they have players who can play beside youngster Weigl.

A lot of trouble in Frankfurt because Veh's Eintracht is totally out of form and he was very angry about the last defeat in derby to Darmstadt 0-1. They showed no real spirit in this game and waste with their less opportunities as well. He wants to see a different team today but if this is possible it is more as questionable. The problems are to huge to solve it in one week although the team has a special meeting and they spoke a lot. Also Veh was talking with his team and want to see a reaction. With what players he can bring Eintracht back on track is open. With Russ, Stendera and Zambrano they miss 3 players suspended today. Also Seferovic has problems after last trainings session and is a doubt here. They are very short of options in central back, with Abraham they have only one defender left with experience but he had problems as well in the past but can play. Beside him they field maybe an youngster with Kinsombi. Against such excellent players a problem but what should they do. The next problem is Reinartz who has some hamstring problems and it is not sure if he can start. Additional to all this problems is the harmless play from their offensive. Some of the players are not in the form they need and additional makes the wrong decisions in game. With scoring only 2 in the last 5 matches it shows that with such numbers you can not win matches. They conceded in all their road games, only to Hamburg 0-0 and Hoffenheim 0-0 not but against the power from Dortmund it is really impossible to keep a clean sheet.

1.FC Nürnberg - SC Freiburg

The second half of the Season began with Round 18 this Friday. If we take a look back to begin of the Season we saw an interesting an excellent macht between Freiburg and Nürnberg which Freiburg could win 6-3. It was a great match above all from Freiburg with all their offensive power they showed in this game but also Nürnberg had a lot of problems in defense to this time. Some month later they are almost even because Freiburg was always on top 3 while Nürnberg fight hard to close the gap and they are now really close to the top 3. With a win today they have 30 Points and Freiburg with 35 is only 5 Points ahead. Also the promotion race for Nürnberg can be open very bigly. The home factor can play a big role here too and Nürnberg is unbeaten in all their home starts but against Freiburg they had always some problems if 1.BL or 2.BL.

As mentioned above Nürnberg is in a region they want to be in table and they want more, of course. Coach Weiler has found the right mix and balance in team and his starting lineup. They lost only 1 time since September and this was a big unlucky 2-3 against Leipzig on the road. Also their good run of 3 wins in a row put them back in promotion race but they have to walk on otherwise they lose the contact immediately as the rival Braunschweig has won, the other rival St. Pauli plays on monday.
They want to build on their home fortress with 5-4-0 so far and for this reason Coach Weiler plans no changes and trust the team who could beat Paderborn 2-1 last weekend. And compared to the 3-6 defeat in Freiburg Nürnberg has only 4 players in starting lineup who played at that time there. So it is a different team with much more strength now.

Freiburg got the title "Herbstmeister" and they are on its way back to 1.Bundesliga immediately. Coach Streich and his crew has formed a really great team and they are working very well till now. The only team who could follow them was Freiburg, both are even on top with 35 Points but this match can be a really hard nut today. And just now they miss two important key players with former Nürnberger player Frantz injured and Abrashi suspended. This means they must find the right replacements. Their bench is not so deep that they can choose from a lot but in the past they always find the right solutions.
For Abrashi's place they have with Stanko and Hufnagel two players which can play this part. It may be a decision of Coach Streich who starts. But also some other setting are possible if defender Torrejon plays in central midfield while Hufnagel on the offensive wing for Frantz and in back move Mudjza into the starting lineup. All is possible.

Werder Bremen - 1.FC Köln

This encounter is a very important one for both sides. Above all for Bremen who is only one Point above the red zone what put them almost in a must win situation. Of course with a win they can bring Cologne in danger too because with 20 Points they are not far away from the drop zone. Despite the bad games and awful outcome both had recently they are looking forward for a better future. Both teams are not known as a scoring one and also that they can keep a clean sheet. There are always ways to break through what the last matches really shown.

It is a mess for Bremen above all in their own Stadium, they are not able to get much in front of their crowd. It was a big fortress after Skripnik took over last Season but this is gone this Season. They could not win one of the last 5 home games, no they lost all of these games what is a new negative record for them additional. With winning only 1 of the last 8 home games (last Season included) they have a lot to improve at home. Coach Skripnik has to find the right solution and system for his team to get them back on track and celebrate a win after a long time now. The situation in squad is not the best additional after key midfield player Junuzovic is out for the rest of the year with shoulder injury too. Also some others miss what brings Skripnik in danger to put up a strong starting lineup.

The downtrend from Cologne continues and they should try to stop the negative trend immediately. Coach Stöger is working on it and he looks for some solutions but with a bit of luck they should have won against Augsburg. The play was not such bad but they were not able to use one of their big opportunities. This would be very important to give the match a different way. Nevertheless if they find a way to score it should be possible to get a better outcome. Although they were not able to score much in the last games they are always exerted in their play. Above all they are able to create good opportunites and sooner or later they get rewarded again.

Although both teams are not known as high scoring teams it is a very interesting one and according to the stats it is not impossible to see some goals here. After Bremen has to suffer 5 defeats in a row at home we are really sure that they do not lose again. For a win they have to score some goals what should be possible against Cologne and as Augsburg showed they are vulnerable in defensive. On the other side they could not keep a clean sheet since 18 BL games against Cologne what means for a win they need 2 or more. Of course Cologne has not scored in 7 of their last 8 games but against a shaky defensive like Werder has it is possible to end this run. With Modeste and Zoller, also Osako and Hosiner they have some good offensive guys who can do the job this time.

PICK: Werder Bremen AHC 0 @ 1,86 and OVER 2,25 @ 1,79 (both 3 Units / Flat Stake)

1899 Hoffenheim - Hannover 96

Statistic:

- 1899 won the last 4 matches with Hannover. Against no other team they have such a run.
- In 7 home matches against Hannover they never lost (5-2-0).
- Only against Schalke they played so often at home and lost none.
- With Hoffenheim (28) and Hannover (27) meet the two weakest BL-Teams 2015 each other.
- 1899 waits since 8 BL games for a win (0-5-3), no other team waits longer.
- Only 14 Points after 15 Rounds - this is the weakest Season since 2002 for Hannover 96.
- They were only one time weaker, 88/89 when they were relegated in the end.

The team form 1899 is on the bottom of the table and they can with a win overcome rival Stuttgart. This can be and should be motivation enough to get the first home win this Season. Above all against an opponent they love to play in recent years. If we take a look on the games at home from Hoffenheim they are not such bad at all in their own Stadium. They lost only to 3 opponents like Bayern, Bremen and Hamburg. But they had also good results like against Dortmund 1-1 or last game where they were very close to get the first home win against Gladbach but they could not hold a 3-1 lead and played only 3-3 in the end. Of course this match suffer a lot on them but the last match against Ingolstadt where they equalized in 96. minute to 1-1 should be boost them for the game against Hannover today. Coach Stevens should find the right balance between offensive and defensive and additional he can count on all his players. Therefore he can choose and find the best possible lineup for today.

Hannover is coming to Hoffenheim with some problems in bag according to their squad. They are also in trouble and not far away from drop zone what makes this match very important for them too. But with a lot of important players not available it is hard for Coach Frontzeck to find the right replacements and also the right tactic against bottom side 1899. With most important midfield player Kiyotake (9 matches / 3 goals) they miss their head in midfield, also with him they got 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats while without him they are 1-1-4. The only win without him they got two weeks ago against newcomer Ingolstadt 4-0 at home. Their last match in Schalke was nothing, only in the end they got some pressure in their actions. Next important one is striker Sobiech (3 goals), Bech (1 goal) and Klaus (1 goal). This means that from their 18 scored goals are 10 already out. Above all Kiyotake and Sobiech are a big miss for them today as mentioned above. It is not the best situation for Coach Frontzeck in front of this important match.

Overall we expect that 1899 can take advantage of the problems form Hannover 96 and celebrate the first home win this time. We mentioned it above that they play not so bad at home but the result was not in their favor. This is the game where they are in a good position and they must use it.

PICK: 1899 Hoffenheim AHC -0,25 @ 1,68 (3 Units / Flat Stake)

FSV Mainz 05 - VfB Stuttgart

The team from Mainz had a very bad period before they start an unbeaten run since 5 matches where they collect 11 Points out of these matches. This put them in a much better situation as before and Coach Schmitt is very pleased with the play and form of his team. The defensive line is doing much better work as some weeks ago and in central midfield he has a lot to choose as all partners from key player Baumgartlinger did the job. If Frei (injured now), Latza (was suspended last game) or Jairo (played there last game against HSV and scored twice) all has his own style but all were very good and it is very open if he field Latza or Jairo on this position now. The offensive showed also some uptrend above all Malli is back after a long time without any good game, also Muto up front is doing better and better lately.

One of the biggest disappointing team of the Season coming from Stuttgart, VfB seems to be on a good way before the Season and the concept they had with new Coach Zorniger but he was not able to give this team more stability and compactness. Therefore he was sucked and interim Coach Kramny should bring VfB back on track but after two games on the sideline he got not much, only a draw to bottom side Bremen which was an important one. They said that this was the first step now in a better future but with only talking no team has avoid relegation so far. Despite the situation they are absolutely calm and try to do their job. It is an important game for VfB, almost a must win game and a special match for Kramny who plays against his former club. A Point should be to less if they do not want to fall down on the bottom, but it is up to 1899 if. The biggest problem is the shaky defensive with very young players who made a lot of mistakes, in midfield they are not compact enough and up front they are not as clinical as they should be to win matches. They miss an striker, a box player, who can help them. With Ginczek they have their best striker injured and youngster Werner did what he can but he is no real attacker. Also playmaker Didavi must be replaced too. No alternatives are there, so what should they do?

Very important match for both sides, Mainz can climb up until fifth place and overcome Wolfsburg until Saturday at least while Stuttgart has also a lot to play for, with a win they can overcome at least Bremen for one night. Inform Mainz has the much better situation with positive pressure while Stuttgart is in a must win situation and should stand under huge pressure. It is not sure if the young team can handle this. Additional has Mainz all their players ready while Stuttgart has some missing in squad. Nevertheless we expect a very exciting game and in all of their last matches were goals, they produce an average from 3,30 in 10 matches and an average from 4,50 in all the 6 OVER games. We believe that both have a lot to play for and the first goal open the game for more. 

PICK: OVER 2,75 @ 1,83 (3 Units / Flat Stake)

VfL Bochum - SC Paderborn

In today’s West-Derby meet two teams each other which are the weakest in the last 5 Rounds. With VfL Bochum winless since 7 matches and Paderborn since 6 could only Heidenheim collect less Points in this period. For this reason it is not expected that this will be a festival of good football, it should be hard work and fight too. Both want to end their run and in this case a close match should be ahead.

At the moment Coach Verbeek can work without any fear that he lose his job but according to the long winless streak he should try to win this match otherwise the situation can turn against him immediately. Nevertheless all in club are very pleased with the work from him so far and want continue to work with him but only results count in this business. The last win was on Round 10 with 5-0 against Fürth and since then it was only a huge downtrend from Bochum.

One of the biggest problems additional in club is the intern suspension from keeper Luthe who has a very good relationship with the fans. Also for this reason Coach Verbeek needs results otherwise the arguments for him are less also from fan side. For him Riemann who came from Sandhausen stands in goal for the last three matches this year. In central back they have to change too because captain Fabian is suspended today, his replacement can be Cacutalua. He has not start since 7 games but he gets the trust today. Back in the starting lineup should be top striker Terodde who was on bench last game for special reasons from Coach.

After having a good start under follower Coach Effenberg they are running behind their expectations. In all their last 6 games they have not much success and looking for a win but failed always. After first half of the Season they got only 16 Points and stands on 16. Place. They had a lot of expectations on Effenberg but he could not deliver so far. Only one Season they had less Points (12 in Season 07/08) as now and at the end they were relegated.

The situation in very serious and Coach Effenberg has to find some solutions now to bring his team on the right track and lead them into a better future. Some changes are possible but as always Effenberg made a real secret for the lineup. In defensive Heinloth can get a break and Narey replace him there. Also up front had Proschwitz not the best game against Nürnberg what put maybe Lakic back into the starting lineup.

Fortuna Düsseldorf - Eintracht Braunschweig

This is the second match for interims Coach Hermann, he hosts with his Fortuna Eintracht Braunschweig this evening. With a win they can expand the distance to the red zone up to 3 Points what gives them more advantage for the upcoming matches. But their opponent can with a win close the gap to third place to 1 Point and this is their aim right now.

Fortuna's Coach Hermann does not like the job as head Coach, he is more a man behind the head Coach where he had great success above all with Bayern Munich as Co from Heynckes. Until the winter break he stands on the sideline and he wants to continue his started winning run last weekend. First problem is that his key player in midfield Demirbay is suspended after some bad words against Miss referee Bibi Steinhaus. The role from him should play Schmitz this evening but he is not real creative guy and can not replace him even. Second problem is Ya Konan who is out for this match, for him can play Pohjanpalo up front but he has not scored in 13 matches this Season therefore not the most dangerous player at the moment and Düsseldorf needs goals otherwise they have the same problems as in the past.
But we have also a positive sign for Düsseldorf because in their last 5 home games they were able to collect 10 Points what speaks for them. If they want to be successful in searching for a new Head Coach it would be very helpful if they win some matches before the winter break because not all wants to be a Coach form a team who is in huge danger and have additional stress.

The last away matches were not much successful for Braunschweig. They lost to Paderborn 0-2, to Freiburg they got a 2-2 draw what should be good but the last game to Nürnberg 1-2 was a big disappointment for them additional. If they want to get back in promotion race they need more constance on the road and also some more wins as lately. To begin of every match they had a lot of problems recently above all in first half, in second half they are much more ahead of the actions and they are much better. Maybe the conditional performance is very good if they can bring more in second half but it is sometimes to late to win a match. Therefore they should be ready from beginning on and allow not to much.
It looks like that Coach Lieberknecht does not much changes and he counts on almost the same from last match against Bochum. Only Sauer must pass what brings Correira back into the staring lineup. Also Boland is at 100% now after 5 weeks injury he needs still some rest and maybe can be an option in second half again.

Weekend Performance (49)!!!

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Week 49 !!!

All Advices can be checked additionally under Tab "Archive GER-Picks" + "Archive EUR-Picks" + "Archive POD". Of course, all Advices are verified !!!


German Soccer Advices:

05.12.2015	13:00	2.BL	SC Freiburg	vs.	Union Berlin	OVER	>2,75	1,95	3-0
05.12.2015	13:00	2.BL	Arminia Bielefeld	vs.	Karlsruher SC	1	0	1,84	2-1
05-12-2015	13:00	2.BL	Arminia Bielefeld	vs.	Karlsruher SC	OVER	>2	1,84	2-1
05.12.2015	15:30	1.BL	Hertha BSC Berlin	vs.	Bayer Leverkusen	OVER	>2,25	1,82	2-1
05.12.2015	18:30	1.BL	VfL Wolfsburg	vs.	Borussia Dortmund	OVER	>3	1,88	1-2

We are VERIFIED with Bettingadvice Surveillance Team and Blogabet !!!


S T A T I S T I C:

Total (GER):

PICKS	WON	VOID	LOST	HITRATE	STAKE	PROFIT	YIELD
283	153	26	104	59,53%	849	+70,465	9,14%

All Seasons (GER):

SEASON	PICKS	WON	VOID	LOST	HITRATE	STAKE	PROFIT	YIELD
2015/16	32	17	2	13	56,67%	96	+4,26	4,733%
2014/15	73	42	4	27	60,87%	219	+22,40	10,821%
2013/14	87	47	9	31	60,26%	261	+23,30	9,957%
2012/13	119	61	13	45	57,55%	357	+20,94	6,585%

December 2015 (GER):

PICKS	WON	VOID	LOST	HITRATE	STAKE	PROFIT	YIELD
5	4	1	0	100,00%	15	8,925	74,375%

1.Bundesliga on Sunday !!

VfB Stuttgart - Werder Bremen

Statistic:

- Against no other team scored Bremen so many goals in Bundesliga 168.
- In the last 9 home games scored Stuttgart 29 goals against Bremen.
- 14 games, 10 defeats and only 10 Points, never has Stuttgart so a weak performance in BL.
- Stuttgart has a real defensive problem, in the last 3 games they conceded always 4 goals.
- Bremen lost 8 of their last 10 matches (2-0-8) and they got only 6 Points in this period.
- In this encounter we have the two weak defensive lines ... Stuttgart 35 goals conceded and WB 28.

It is very open on which players Coach Kramny counts as they are all not in good shape. Serey Die is back from suspension and could strength the midfield while in defensive Sunjic is an alternative to Niedermeier.

Captain Firtz returns into the starting lineup and also the system can be changed maybe. Coach Skripnik can count on 4-1-4-1 where they had success in Mainz and Augsburg



Eintracht Frankfurt - SV Darmstadt 98

Statistic:

- This is the first time when this derby happen that Darmstadt stands above Frankfurt in table.
- Frankfurt could win only 1 from the last 10 matches (1-4-5).
- This was on Round 10 2-1 in Hannover where they could come from behind and turn around it.
- In the last matches Darmstadt could not win (0-2-3).
- The last win was at Round 9 2-0 in Augsburg.
- Eintracht Frankfurt is winless since 4 home games (0-2-2).
- After 4 matches on the road without a defeat Darmstadt lost both last away games.

It is sure that their top striker Meier is out due to red card in derby against Mainz. The other doubtful players Stendera and Medojevic can play while Reinartz can move into the starting lineup to bring more compactness in.

Coach Schuster plans not a lot of changes and counts on almost the same. Only Garics must be replaced due to suspension. For him can Jungwirth takes the position on the wing. Offensive is Kempe and Rausch an option.

VfL Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund

Statistic:

- This is the first time when this two teams meet each other that both are placed under the top 3.
- Wolfsburg is unbeaten in their last 29 home games so far (22-7-0).
- Hecking's team could win 11 of their 12 top matches on saturday evening lately.
- The last defeat in such a top game received they against Dortmund on April 2014 with 1-2.
- In the last 3 matches could Wolfsburg keep a clean sheet, what is very difficult against BvB now.
- Bas Dost scored 7 goals this Season and is best Scorer of Wolfsburg, all in front of the home crowd.
- Aubameyang has an absolutely great run, he scored already 17 times for Dortmund this Season.
- If Wolfsburg at home 20 goals or Dortmund away 16 goals in 7 matches, both offensive lines are top.

We have a lot of top matches this weekend and this is one of them. The team from Wolfsburg hosts Borussia Dortmund to the top match on Saturday evening. Both teams are behind giant and leader Bayern Munich and they are only playing for second place as the gap to first place is to big already. For this reason Wolfsburg should win this encounter at home if they want to get closer. On the other side Dortmund wants to safe the second place.

The team from VW-town is very strong at home and they are unbeaten since ??? BL-matches. What showed that they are very hard to beat in their own Stadium. The team is well balanced and Coach Hecking has formed a great working team with Manager Allofs. He can choose from a lot and all positions are manned double. In this case he can rotate a bit and it should be not a big problem if one or two players are not available. According to the situation in squad this time they have to replace Dante who was sent off against Augsburg with yellow red. But in defense they have with Klose a real good replacement and he should be able to hold the level high. In midfield and offensive they have good players who can make the difference. At home they are always trying to put some pressure on the opponent and are much more offensive minded as on road games. Coach Hecking has more options as with Draxler returns a player from suspension. If he stands in starting lineup immediately is open so far. 

After having a difficult last Season Coach Tuchel has turn things around in Dortmund and they are doing really well this Season again. Their play is excellent and the offense is really great and normally not to stop. With players like Reus, Castro, Micky and Aubameyang they have an absolutely in form quartet and with creative Gündogan behind they are very hard to defend. The most problems are in defensive where some of the players running behind their form or having problems to be ahead of their actions. Therefore Coach Tuchel changes much more in this part, what brings not much stability right now. Hummels was rested and should return in central back again while Ginter maybe sit on bench after some weak games and Pisczek has the advantage now. Also Weigl should return and build up the central part in midfield but of course with defensive mission. But after latest news miss Dortmund a lot of defensive players with Hummels, Sokratis and Weigl who all have the flu. 

Overall both teams have a really great offensive and this encounter speaks for goals. Almost all matches in the past had goals and why not this again. The offensive lines are very hard to defend, both with a lot of individual class and quickness can bring a lot of trouble for both defensive lines.

PICK: OVER 3 @ 1,88 (3 Units / Flat Stake)

Hertha BSC Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen

Statistic:

- Bayer Leverkusen is unbeaten since 8 matches against Hertha BSC (4-4-0).
- Hertha BSC could win 4 of their last 5 home games, and lost only 1 of the last 7 at home.
- All 5 defeats this Season comes against teams who plays in international competitions.
- In these 5 defeats they have a goal difference from 3-13.
- Hertha could score in all their last 6 home games so far.

One of the surprise team this Season is of course Hertha BSC, they manage to get a better atmosphere into their squad and success is a real good medical. They are working very well with Coach Dardai and last Seasons relegation trouble is far away, not they are on 4. Place and very close to third. Last Season they had a lot of problems in front of the goal and they need a lot of opportunities to score, this Season it is much different and they are very clinical right now. With Kalou and Ibisevic they have good attackers who can make the difference, what they showed already sometimes. As Ibisevic was suspended Kalou was able to hold Hertha on track with his goals. The preferred style of play from Coach Dardai is more a fast break one. They try to play very compact and changes immediately if they get the ball into an attacking one. The space is needed to bring all their positive quality from their offensive players on the pitch.

A lot of problems for Leverkusen right now. They are still running behind their standard and this is what brings Coach Schmitt more and more under pressure. They had not the needed results lately and with some Points difference to the top four they should start winning immediately. Otherwise they fall behind more and more and the goal is not reachable for them this Season. Against a direct rival they have to win, nothing more nothing less. But what players should manage this? The defensive line produce a lot of mistakes recently, if all defenders or keeper Leno, it is no stability there. Up front it is only due to some individual actions of players like Bellarabi, Mehmedi, Hernandez or Kampl that they get dangerous. The team play does not exist what is important to be successful. This can be a key match for them according to table situation.

This encounter is an absolutely important one for Bayer Leverkusen, they can not sit back and wait until Hertha is active and look how the match is going. They must come out and be active from first minute on to win this encounter to close the gap to the top 4. This is very important for Coach Schmitt and his team. Hertha can be much more relaxed as no one expect something from them and this is their advantage here. The whole Season they surprise so far but of course they want more. If one of the team take the lead the match should be wide open and we can expect more goals as one of them must open more and more and try to bounce back.

PICK: OVER 2,25 @ 1,82 (3 Units / Flat Stake)

SC Freiburg - Union Berlin

Before the Season it was a lot of doubts in Freiburg if this young and unexperienced squad is good enough to play for promotion immediately. But after 16 Rounds they can be very proud what good squad they have build. All are working very well with Coach Streich together and they are the team which must be beaten. They are on the top even with Leipzig and with a win they can climb half time title. This should be additional motivation for them anyway and all are very hot to celebrate with the fans a bit after the game. The offensive is one of the best in league and they are scoring very well above all at home. The atmosphere is special in this close stadium and the players like it. With Grifo, Philipp, Petersen and Frantz they are always able to create some dangerous situation and put some pressure on the opponent. These guys can not be stopped over 90 minutes. On the other side the defensive line has some weakness what allow some goals too. It may can be that they have to change there too often because of missing players above all on the wing.

In Berlin were all talking from top 6 and maybe more but the good last Season could not be repeated so far. After they sucked Düwel Lewandowski had a good start but the team fall back to old bad play. Coach Lewandowski wants to play an offensive style with a lot of pressure over the wings but the team has still problems to bring this on the pitch, a lot of ups and downs. Better matches followed weak matches and so on. This makes it very difficult to get out of the trouble they are at the moment. Also they play a new system with a 3 men defending line where the players must be ahead of all actions. With this Lewandowski wants to have one man more in midfield to get more pressure in offensive. Over the wings they are very prone and allow always easy goals. Against the top offense of the league can this be a big problem. Up front they are always able to score above all with corners and standards where they have good players and also tall one.

The offensive power from Freiburg is enormous and they scored already 26 goals in 8 home matches. In 7 of 8 they scored at least 2 or more goals, only against Bochum 1-3 they were not able to score more. But in these 8 matches they conceded already 14 goals what speaks not much for their defensive work. Ok, with all the big guns up front they can allow to take the focus not to much on defensive. They are a offensive playing team and they love to get out and fire from all guns. They are dangerous from all situations, if fast breaks, standards, corners and so on. Also a lot of players can score too. On the other side has Union not the best defensive line and should get a lot of problems with such an excellent playing side from Freiburg. Of course they should get some opportunities to score what they did in 6 of their 7 away games. Therefore we are very pleased with the over here.

PICK: OVER 2,75 @ 1,95 (3 Units / Flat Stake)

Arminia Bielefeld - Karlsruher SC

Newcomer Bielefeld started well and had an excellent advantage to the teams at the bottom but due to the long winless run at home they are getting more and more in danger. Of course they are still a bit above the red zone but the teams behind are collecting all Points and coming closer. Therefore they should try to find a way to win their first home game since April. It looks like that they have a real curse on home games. They are playing not such bad but they are not able to get their good offensive actions finished. With only 2 goals in 7 games, they are far away from good and with this number they can not win matches. For this reason they have to improve their offensive play a lot. The defensive work is very well, they are hardly to beat and conceded only 5 goals at home so far. They conceded 3 of them in both defeats to Braunschweig 0-2 and RB Leipzig 0-1. Nevertheless the team is in good shape and all believe that they are able to win against KSC and celebrate with their fans after long time at home. Coach Meier was ill under the week but should be on the sideline and he changes maybe two times because with Hemlein and Börner are two players back compared to the game in Berlin. In this case Hornig is on bench after his first start from beginning on this Season last weekend. Not available is Behrendt who is suspended for this game and in offense is Nöthe a big doubt, he suffers muscle problems. But with Müller and Ulm they should have good replacements there too. 

The team from Karlsruhe was not very pleased with the performance and defeat in derby against Sandhausen two weeks ago. They showed a much better performance to Leipzig at home but lost due to a reflected shot 0-1. They should have deserved much more because they dominate this game and were the much better side. Also they had the chance to take the lead but greek attacker Diamantakos missed a penalty. This should have them put in an excellent situation and Leipzig never has won on this evening then. But it was much different and they must try to get the Points back that they have lost. They are only a few Points ahead of the red zone too, because with 19 Points they have only 2 more as their opponent today. Therefore this can be a very close and hard fight for the win maybe. As the performance was good from the starting lineup it is not sure if Coach Kauczinski changes anything then. Of course he has some in back but it is not a must according to last good performance. But it is a big difference if KSC plays at home or away from home. Away from home they are doing not so well and they collected only 8 Points so far, scored only 5 goals in 8 matches and conceded already 14. 

This is the next chance for Arminia to get the job done at home after a long time. Maybe this can be the right opponent to the right time because KSC has a lot of problems on the road. If they can not take the lead and play from a compact defensive it is very hard for them to get something. The team from Bielefeld had a fan meeting under the week and all are very hot for the first win. They talked a lot and key striker Klos said that they made an agreement with the fans ..... they invest all what they have available to win this one. 

PICK: Arminia Bielefeld AHC 0 @ 1,84 + OVER 2 @ 1,84 (both 3 Units / Flat Stake)