Sonntag, 9. Dezember 2012

FC St. Pauli - Erzgebirge Aue

They started into the season with a 0-0 draw and while St. Pauli had an extreme bad run they were in huge trouble but after changing their coach to Frontzeck success come back and they are on a better way now and also with a win they let relegation trouble behind and can look forward for higher ambitions. On the other side Aue collected 17 points from 17 matches and therefore they would be in relegation battle till the end of the season if nothing change here.

Home team should be huge motivated and also with huge self confidence after they win against Kaiserslautern last weekend. They were the first team who can beat Lautern this season and they had a good performance but nevertheless they need it again today. It is not an easy task for them as Aue is a hard nut but they should be able and the class in their rows are there too. Not many changes expected as many of the starters against Lautern made a good match as Avevor and Thorandt but on the other side coach Frontzeck gets some options back with Mohr and Bruns but maybe after injury first on bench while Boll is no option after his back problems. The only questionmark is behind Thy as he can not use his chance last weekend but the replacement with Schindler can't train the whole week. In this case Frontzeck has to think a bit of these two.

Important match for Aue last weekend but they was not able to win there and played only 2-2 against SV Sandhausen. It was very disappointing above all because they were one man more on the pitch but could not use it. So, for this encounter many changes are expected as with keeper Männel and Fabian Müller returning two starters who were not available last weekend. Their replacement Flauder and Könnicke must back to bench today. Also some problems in midfield as with Hensel is one important player suspended but they signed under the week Michael Fink and he is set to play from beginning. But after so long time without any match it is more a doubt that he is in good form and help Aue. In offensive maybe Kocer gets a chance and they change a bit in offensive as with König and Sylvestr must one striker on bench then.

In this encounter I see some advantage for St. Pauli but it is always a bit difficult to play against Aue, as you never know. Pauli at home was almost always able to create some and score while they are also open in defensive to concede. On the other side Aue changed their play a lot as to beginning of the season where they were not dangerous enough and scored less, in the past 5 matches they were always able to score. Therefore I like the goals here and if one side take the lead it would be more open as both want the win. 

Recommend Bet: OVER 2,5 @ 1,87 (3 Units)


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