Samstag, 29. November 2014

FC Augsburg - Hamburger SV

Excellent match ahead. Augsburg is high flying at the moment while Hamburg fighting for their live at the moment. A big different in the situation of both teams at the moment. Augsburg very solid at the moment, very hard to beat has all weapons in their hand to beat their lovely opponent Hamburg. For this they must replace first keeper Hitz who got injured against Stuttgart and is out longer now. He will be replaced by veteran Manninger who knows that situation very well and this should be not a big problem at all. He showed excellent performances in all his matches. All the other positions maybe remain unchanged because no injury worries for Coach Weinzierl, only the long term injured Moravek, Parker, Philp are out again.

On the other side Hamburg got some self confidence back after winning the north derby but Coach Zinnbauer has some problems for this encounter. He must replaced suspended wing Diekmeier who got his fifth yellow card and also first keeper Drobny is a big doubt. For Diekmeier comes youngster Götz into the starting lineup while Drobny is hard to replace as with Adler they have the second keeper already out too. This means that youngster and third keeper Burst must play here. It is a big step as we saw in some situations from other teams who must count on the third one. Maybe he got his nerves down and do a good job but we will see if Drobny is still ready.

Statistic:

- Augsburg won 4 of their 6 matches against Hamburg (4-1-1).
- They won the last 3 in a row, and against no other team they won so much in BL.
- HSV lost 14 of their last 17 road games, only Schalke is behind them in away table this season.
- After 6 road games Hamburg has only scored a single goal, never so less in their history.
- Augsburg won 3 of their last 4 BL games and playing the best season in their history.
- 18 Points, 15 goals scored and only 12 conceded, these are all time high numbers for them.
- Only Frankfurt 70/71 and Cottbus 02/03 had a weaker offensive line as Hamburg this season (6 goals).
- From the last 9 BL home games got FCA 22 from 27 possible Points.
- The only defeat in this period was against Dortmund with 2-3 at Round 2 (7-1-1).
- Hamburg won in Augsburg with 2-0 on 26. October 2012.
- The last goal against them at home is long time ago, it was on 20. September against Bremen.
- Hamburg won 2 of their last 3 matches and they conceded not a single goal in these.
- Augsburg (5) has one of the best defensive lines in BL beside Bayern (2 goals) and Wolfsburg (4 goals).
- FCA kept 5 times a clean sheet this season already, compared to last season incredible.
- Augsburg has one of the best defense and they allowed only 49 attempts, 4,1 in each match.
- Augsburg is hard to beat above all in normal situations.
- Weinzierl's team is the best team in man against man and they won 54% of their duels, Top.
- The attackers are a bit weak in front of the goal, they scored nothing till now.

I think the constance from Augsburg is great and they are hard to beat, so why not winning against a team who is very weak on the road and scored only a single goal so far. The offensive is harmless from Hamburg against a team who play compact. In this case I must try this team from Augsburg to go for the win.

Recommend PICK: FC Augsburg AHC -0,5 @ 1,84 (3 Units)

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