Samstag, 6. Dezember 2014

Hannover 96 - VfL Wolfsburg

A big derby stands on the plan today with Hannover 96 and VfL Wolfsburg. Of course it is a big difference in budget but on the pitch we will see which team can take the Points here. Hannover was a big in a downtrend after the national break but this time they can get some back from their fans, the only thing they must do is to win. Very easy or? Although they lost 3-4 in Hoffenheim it was not so bad overall, they conceded a few bad goals but if they can defend this situations better it is an advantage and they can go into the game with a lot of expectations. A big plus was additional that Joselu scored after a long period without any goal from him and this gives him a lot of self confidence back, also the return from Stindl into the starting lineup was a boost for the team last weekend. Overall not many changes expected, as there are no reasons for Coach Korkut.

The team who is close to Bayern Munich this season is Wolfsburg and they did a good job but can they hold this over so a long period of the season. I am not sure, if they get some injured players or if Bryne has not his best day, or veteran Olic work not like he did and run like a youngster it is hard to win. Also a big thing is that their defenders scored a lot of important goals like last sunday. The matches from Wolfsburg are close and on this high level it is not always to their side, matches will come where the opponent has some percent more and this decides. Coach Hecking is not a friend from big rotations or changes and he put up almost all the same lineup above all his key players as mentioned above play always. Sooner of later they can be tired and this can be a disadvantage.


Statistic:

- Hannover won the last 5 Derbys against VfL.
- Against no other team has H96 so a good run or streak.
- Before the break H96 has 3 wins without conceding a single goal, after the break .....
- ..... they lost 2 of 2 and conceded 7 goals.
- Wolfsburg has collected 26 Points already, they had only more 04/05 at this time.
- Hannover lost 2 of the last 3 home games what is not typical for them as solid home team.
- Before this run, they could celebrate 3 wins in a row.
- Wolfsburg defender are very dangerous because they scored already 8 goals this season.
- VfL lost the last 4 games in Hannover and they scored only a single goal.
- Hannover conceded only in 3 from the 13 games a goal in first half.
- Wolfsburg won 7 of the last 8 matches and is high flying at the moment.
- If Wolfsburg take the lead they are hard to beat but if they conceding the first goal it is the opposite.
- VfL is very dangerous through the opening 15 minutes where they scored a lot so far.

In this derby all can happen but I think Wolfsburg has a lot of luck in the last games too. This is more a bet against Wolfsburg as they can not walk through the league like Bayern Munich. Hannover is a hard opponent who invest a lot I am sure today. At home Hannover is one of the best teams from recent years, only Bayern Munich has a better record and this said all. I go for the underdog this time.

Recommend Bet: Hannover 96 AHC +0,5 @ 1,98 (3 Units)

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