Samstag, 24. Oktober 2015

Bayer Leverkusen - VfB Stuttgart

Statistic:

- Leverkusen is unbeaten since 10 matches with Stuttgart (7-3-0).
- They scored in all recent 15 games at least 1 goal, average 2,5 goals in this period.
- Against no other team was Leverkusen so successful, 31 wins and 122 goals scored.
- Leverkusen won 8 of their last 10 home games and lost only 1 time (to Darmstadt 0-1).
- Bayer allowed in the last 4 BL games only 22 shots on goal, absolutely top !!!
- In this period they conceded only 1 goal and this was the own goal from Leno against Augsburg.
- Stuttgart's road games had always something like spectacle, 16 goals in 4 games!!!


Of course it was not all well in recent matches and we had not a lot of luck when Leverkusen played against Augsburg some weeks ago. They conceded a really funny goal due to mistake form keeper Leno and also up front they were not able to score from penalty what brought us a loser. This time they have the next chance to do better and give us some back what they have lost in this game. Of course they had a really tough game under the week against Roma in Champions League but after they were 2-0 up they were not able to expand the lead or try to hold the lead, no they conceded 4 goals in a row and almost all goals comes from dangerous free kicks from Pjanic. But nevertheless the moral is really good in this team and they bounced back and equalized this important game in the end what was very important for them anyway. With this excellent end they can come into this game with a lot of self confidence and passion what should help them to overcome a Stuttgart side with some problems today. The system Coach Schmidt choose should be 4-4-2.

Stuttgart did us a great favor last sunday with a 1-0 win against Ingolstadt. It was not all well in this game and they may had some luck because the goal was small offside and should not count for them. Nevertheless a win is a win and they are coming to Leverkusen with much more problems. Because important central midfield player Serey Die was sent off with yellow red and is a big miss on this position because Gentner is already doubtful again. This means they have to build up this part absolutely new. If Gentner must really pass Guezo can play this part. All the other positions remain maybe the same as against Ingolstadt according to less alternatives right now. With Kostic, Ginczek and Kruse they miss important guys. The defensive play was very shaky against Ingolstadt and can be a big problem against the guns from Leverkusen. The offense from VfB looks good but they are to harmless in front of the goal.

We consider a lot of problems for Stuttgart above all their defensive looks not so good, they are very shaky with all the young players like Sunjic, Baumgartl and Gruezo. Some parts of the match against Ingolstadt they had a lot of luck not to concede some goals. The offensive play was also not so good as in former weeks. Overall I am not very pleased about them. If we compared the team from Leverkusen we have the much better players, potential and and and. If Leverkusen is able to take the lead here I am absolutely sure that Stuttgart is not able for a comeback here. This time Leverkusen overcome Stuttgart.

PICK: Bayer Leverkusen AHC -1 @ 1,98 (3 Units / Flat Stake)

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