Samstag, 21. November 2015

Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayer Leverkusen

Both teams running a bit out of form lately. Ok, Frankfurt is unbeaten since 3 matches now but they were only able to win one of them. The better statistic they have in their stadium with losing only one of the last 16 BL games. On the other side Leverkusen is doing really hard at the moment and they lost all their last 3 matches. On the road they have even more problems with winning only 1 out of 5 (1-1-3). 

The team from Frankfurt could collect 14 Points so far and they are 4 Points ahead of the drop zone. After the good game against Cologne 6-2 where top striker Meier was returning from long injury time and scored immediately some goals, the hope for better weeks were all around there but they were not able to hold the good play and form from this game. The upcoming matches were almost all a big disappointment and Coach Veh was searching for some solutions to bring more compactness and stability in their game. It was not so easy for him to change his team from an offensive minded side to a more defensive thinking one. But he worked hard on the defensive line what was seen really well after the matches against Gladbach 1-6 at home. They are on a 3 matches unbeaten streak, with the win in Hannover 2-1 and two goalless draws 0-0 to Bayern Munich (really great success) and 0-0 in Hoffenheim where they was really close to win. The defense is working but they have to improve also the offensive play now. Coach Veh must find the right balance between all the parts to get his team prepared to win matches again. With Seferovic they miss an important offensive guy suspended, this can be the chance for Castagnios who was on bench lately, having some problems after his good start into the Season.

After losing the important derby against rival Cologne it is a lot of trouble in Leverkusen. In the middle of the problems stands Coach Schmitt who is not able to give his team a better style of play and have not real a Plan B. If Plan A is not working they can not change anything in the game and also his rotation in starting lineup is not the best lately. He has not found the right balance between defensive and offensive so far what the statistic shows. They conceded already 16 goals in 12 matches what is too much for a team which wants to play for an international spot. Up front they have also a lot of problems because most of the players running behind their form at the moment. If the top offensive players Bellarabi, Brandt, Mehmedi, Calhanoglu and Kampl have not their best day it is hard to win matches. Some of them are absolutely out of form and if Bellarabi and Kampl getting problems too it would be really hard in the future for them. With only 14 goals scored they have to improve also in this part. In all the last matches they were not able to get more stability in their game. Of course it was very fantastic to watch this matches with a lot of entertainment but the outcome was less for them and this is the exact Point which count. Coach Schmitt stands under some pressure in the upcoming matches, if he can not give his team the right solutions on hand and the most important thing to get results it looks like that he will be face very hard times in Leverkusen.

We are very pleased with this encounter, Frankfurt very strong home side face a really unstable team from Leverkusen right now. We see a lot of potential for Eintracht here to get at least a Point. Very important for them can be if they can control the fast offensive players from Bayer, if they can be ahead of these guys they are really able to win. The home statistic speaks for Eintracht additional because Leverkusen could only win 10 from 30 matches there. This encounter includes goals as well, in all their 60 meetings between these two sides it was never a goalless draw.

PICK: Eintracht Frankfurt AHC +0,75 @ 1,83 (Flat Stake / 3 Units)

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