Sonntag, 31. Januar 2016

Bayern München - 1899 Hoffenheim

The last match of Round 19 is a special one above all the big class difference between both sides makes this encounter very interesting. Leader Bayern Munich is looking for their 10. home win while 1899 Hoffenheim is getting more and more in trouble. They are already 4 Points behind the safe zone and losing more and more to the teams above. In this case they are almost in a situation where they must win otherwise they are close to get relegated this Season.

League Leader Bayern Munich is not only one step ahead of the other teams in the league, no they are already two or three. They have a really great squad and if they miss one or two it is not necessary for them as they have a lot in back who has almost the same class. The squad is very well balanced and all positions are double manned. Therefore Coach Guardiola can choose from a lot and he has the skills to find the right system and tactical instruction for his team to overcome every opponent so far. Against bottom side Hoffenheim he must expect a very deep defending opponent again. If they can score an early one it would be very helpful for their game but if not they are always able to score 3-4 goals as they can not be controlled or defend all the game.
The injury from Boateng in central back is a big blow for the team from Bayern but with Martinez they should have the right replacement for the upcoming matches. Also Robben has not reached his top level and should be on bench again while Coman takes his place. He showed a really great performance in Hamburg and therefore should start. Costa is back after a long absent in December and can help to bring the offensive play forward today too. They have still some unavailable players with Ribery, Götze, Benatia and Rafinha but the starting lineup and the bench should be strong enough anyway.

The situation is getting very bad in Hoffenheim as they have already 5 Points to place 16. and 7 to the safe zone. This is almost a must to get Points but a draw is to less if they want not to lose more ground to the teams above. They are at the bottom with Hannover 96 and both teams look like relegation candidates this Season. After they have sold their best offensive player Firmino to Liverpool in the summer they have not the offensive power and class in their play so far. This player was the fix point of their play and with his actions and idea he was a guarantee for Points for 1899 Hoffenheim. But he is not available anymore and they must try to find the right balance and players for the offensive play. It is very hard as most of the players are very young and have a lot ups and downs at this age. To begin under Gisdol they tried with Zuber a guy behind the attackers but he disappointed. Under new Coach Stevens Amiri was the man behind but he got injured and in the first match against Leverkusen Stevens gave Hamad his trust who scored immediately but showed also that he has a lot of improvements. For this reason they are searching for an experienced player for this position but if they buy one they stopped the process from the youngsters in their career. All of them has to learn a lot but at the moment it is not the time, they need players which can walk on and give the team stability and hope that they can avoid relegation as some years ago. 
Some problems arrived additional in central midfield because with Schwegler and Polanski are two experienced players out for today. Also Stobl was ill and returned into training on thursday but it is not sure if he is at 100%. In offensive they miss with Elyounoussi also a very quick guy. Of course Stevens has some options with Bicakcic for Schär in central back, Amiri for Hamad in central midfield also Zuber and Kuranyi are back in the squad. 

The leader Bayern Munich against bottom team Hoffenheim should be a clear thing above all in Munich in their arena where they always showed great matches and scored a lot. I can not see any other outcome as the win from Bayern and of course with at least a margin of 3 goals of more. The pressure will be very high all the match and Hoffenheim can not hold all away above all they are getting more and more tired and this produce a lot of mistakes too. The defensive play is not the best anyway from 1899 and they conceded always and their offensive play is harmless as mentioned above. Bayern has all the weapons they need to win this match comfortable. Let's roll .....

PICK: Bayern Munich AHC -2,5 @ 1,84 (3 Units / Flat Stake)

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