Samstag, 5. März 2016

Werder Bremen - Hannover 96

After the good performance against Leverkusen 4-1 under the week, Bremen is looking for a win at home after a 9 games winless streak in the own stadium. The chance was never better at against bottom side Hannover 96. After losing 5 matches in a row at home they drew 4 times where they scored always at least 1 goal. In the last games they were able to score 2 and 3 but could not win. Maybe this win in Leverkusen gave them the needed self confidence and additional motivation to celebrate with their fans a win at home after a long time. Of course this match is much more different as against Leverkusen where they have to be the active team. This is not what Bremen like or prefer but they are able to get the job done. Some of their young players can get a boost and with inform Pizzaro it is not so impossible to beat this weak side from Hannover.

After winning in Stuttgart after a long time without a success Hannover got some hope back to get the bad situation cleared but after showing a really weak match against Wolfsburg in derby it is absolutely hopeless to give this team a real chance in relegation battle. Of course they are only 6 Points behind 16. placed Frankfurt but the other teams do not sleep as well. For the upcoming matches they need wins urgently otherwise it is impossible for them to avoid the worst case. Almost all stats speaks against them and this is what makes it so difficult for them. The new winter signings were not what they expect and they are all behind the expectations in them. The last hope was the return from midfield player Kiyotake who was involved in both goals against Stuttgart but he alone can not win matches. The form is average after long injury time but with free kicks he can make the difference.

Although Bremen has big problems at home to win matches I think this is the right opponent to the right time now. After 9 winless matches it is time for them to give their great fans some back. Against no other actual BL club has Hannover more defeats as against Bremen (28), only Gladbach (29) and Bayern (36) more. From 55 matches against Bremen could Hannover only win 12 and conceded in these matches 122 goals. Of course in the last 3 games were Hannover unbeaten (1-2-0) to Bremen but they managed never more in a row. Moreover they won only 1 of 27 BL matches in Bremen, this was 13 years ago. Last but not least, from the last 12 matches in Bremen they lost 8 and were 7 times without scoring a single goal. In this period they could score 8 goals but conceded 33!!! Time for a home win today.  

PICK: Werder Bremen AHC -0,75 @ 1,80 (3 Units / Flat Stake)

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