FC Augsburg - VfB Stuttgart

Only 4 matches to play and we go into the deciding period now. Augsburg was almost relegated at winter break with only 9 points on their side but they managed it to do much better in second half of the season and they collected 18 points from 13 matches. They looked much better and their play was much more aggressive and powerful as some month ago. Coach Weinzierl, Sportmanger Reuter and all the players did a good job so far, they are in a good position with 3 points ahead of Hoffenheim with goal difference on their side and also only 3 points behind Fortuna Düsseldorf. All is possible for them, from direct relegation until remaining directly. Some good matches followed some weaker once but they are not machines and ups and downs are always there above all in this situation where huge pressure do not always force a good performance. But nevertheless their last home match was very good above all after Hoffenheim's win they must almost win and they played really good and overcome Eintracht Frankfurt were easy, the win was never in doubt and Ji scored twice for a very good atmosphere in the stadium. Sure it was also the weak performance from Frankfurt who were not able to put some pressure on the defensive form Augsburg and overall they are to harmless these days anyway. One week later they were a bit unlucky and they lost only 0-1 at Gladbach due to a penalty and the red card for Voigt put them in a bad situation in this match. They tried a lot but they were to harmless before the goal as almost always this season. They hardly score but on the other side Gladbach had a lot of that scoring opportunities but waste badly, never seen such a stupid offensive play. Therefore situation is clear, they have to get points and should not lose at least this match but they face a very difficult opponent this time.

High flying Stuttgart is very hard to beat at the moment and the wins against Freiburg gave them all their self confidence and power back. The pressure is gone because with their win against Freiburg in Cup 2-1 where they advanced to the final against Bayern Munich they are already qualified for Euro League next season. This means they play only for themselves and they only want to have fun. Of course this can be that they take it to easy but what I saw in the past matches they are focused enough and want to bring all on the pitch they can. The team worked well and they did a great job. Also they play for a better position in league as it is very important for the TV budget. Maybe this knows no one but the better the rank, the more money they get. They are unbeaten in 3 now and they conceded only 1 goal in these. It looks like that the team is in good shape now and they play very good together above all their midfield can create very easy with players like Traore, Harnik, Maxim, Gentner and in defenisve they are very stable now. Also some plus can be their wings Molinaro and Sakai as both try to put additional pressure with their approaches. This can be a key factor also their Top Striker can be one as he is a much better scorer and with all the players to assist him it is not obvious.

Sorry I can not let this match alone. Of course some of you say Stuttgart plays for nothing and Augsburg is in a must win situation. Yes all correct but overall I see that Augsburg has to open here and they have to go for the three points while Stuttgart can sit back and relax and overcome Augsburg with their well known counter attacks. Why should I not believe in the third best away team who is in good form and get a good HC. I am very confident that they can hurt Augsburg and if Augsburg continue their way with missing goals it is not very easy to win. So my three Units are on Stuttgart today.

Recommend Bet: VfB Stuttgart AHC +0,25 @ 2,06 (3 Units)