Freitag, 9. August 2013

Bayern München - Bor. M'Gladbach

The 1.Bundesliga Season 2013/14 opens their gates on Friday 09.08.2013 with Champion Bayern Munich against their biggest rival in 70 years Bor. M'Gladbach. This can be a very interesting and entertaining match above all because no one knows what new Bayern Coach Guardiola plans for a system or what players he wants to field for his first important Bundesliga match. Nevertheless a lot of supporters (sold out) want to see the new style of play from Bayern, but he said it already in an interview today. The pressure is to high and the hype with him and around the club is too high. He is a normal Coach with some ideas to play football. Sure his team has to understand this but at all their friendlies it looks like that they are not on the end of their way. A lot of work to do above all to beginning Bayern played well and scored a lot but in the past it looks more they getting weaker and weaker and creating less and want only control the match and ball. Sure this is Guardiola style of play but when you forget to score it is hard to win matches. All know that it can be a very tuff start into the season. To many rotations he made in pre matches and many players played positions he never played before. This means it needs a lot of time more as the few weeks they had now. Sooner or later it works I am very sure but I predict not a very well start for them. They have a lot of potential with their best squad ever but hopefully no problems with unhappy players and so on. All can play in this team, but only 11 or 14 can play. So Guardiola needs a perfect handling about his players. Interesting which players are on the pitch tomorrow, sure not available is Gustavo ill, Götze only 3 trainings so far and Thiago is a big doubt because he has fever. Neuer in goal is sure, defending row can be Lahm, Dante, Martinez (Boateng) Alaba, midfield Kroos, Schweinsteiger (but not at 100% - Thiago), Ribery, Robben, Müller (Thiago, Shakiri), striker Mandzukic (Müller). 
One big problem they had in the past, they gave to many situations away in defensive, so their opponents created or got to many chances to score also in Cup match had Rehden two !!! On this level it can be that they can not keep a clean sheet as Gladbach is dangerous in counter attacks.

Difficult opponent Gladbach roll Bayern sometimes in the past above all in their Arena. They won 1-0 there and last season 1-1 (this was the Bayern Munich's last point they gave away in their Arena. - They are on a huge 8-0-0 winning streak). Nevertheless this shows that Favre knows how to hurt Bayern because this man is always good for some excellent tactics. All in all they have to do a lot better as they did in Cup against 3rd League team Darmstadt where they knocked out in Round 1 after Penalties. Many players were to arrogant and to cool in this match. So it can be that Favre changes some. Players who can be out of the starting lineup are Rupp, Hrgota, Korb and Kramer while Arrango who missed the Cup matches is ready to play again, also Younes after injury can be an option. I am expecting a deep standing Gladbach side to make the field as small as they can and go for their fast counter over Herrmann and Kruse. This can be a very good option as I mentioned above Bayern's problems in defensive in the past matches and they allowed to many, so Gladbach can hope here. But if we take in mind that they played already against each other in Telekom Cup some weeks ago where Bayern won the Final very easy and high with great combinations some think that this happen again but I doubt. This was preparation and now it counts.

The HC is set very high and I think this is almost so heavy above all Bayern is not on their highest level already. HC -2,5 or -2,75 are absolutely big in an opener. Sure, all possible but I think it can be a close one although Gladbach got not much in Munich but the past matches showed that they are able to hurt Bayern. A win for Bayern is possible but not with a huge margin, all Champions from last Season almost never lost in their openers (only Bayern 0-1 12 years ago / in Gladbach). GL  

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