Erzgebirge Aue - Fortuna Düsseldorf

Both teams did well before the break, Düsseldorf got a narrow home win to Sandhausen while Aue had a lot of work if they got a Point in derby to Dresden. They came from behind with only 10 men but they managed to equalize in the end. Of course this was maybe a bit lucky but it was rather important for them anyway. The situation is very difficult at the moment with only 16 Points they have to get here something otherwise they should be longer at the bottom and in red zone. On the other side Düsseldorf's aim was more to get involved into promotion race before the season but the truth is that they are far away. Of course they did a bit better in the past matches but this was not all well. They had a lot of work to do and their play is very limited. For this season they should not calculate with an upper place.

Aue is still winless since three matches and they want to give their fans some back above all for the last home match where they got trashed from Fürth 2-6. Compared to the match in Dresden Coach Götz has to change two times. As with Diring the central midfield player is suspended here after his yellow red card against Dresden. For him will play Fink this position but he should think more defensive and overall his task is defensive minded today. Maybe Götz wants to get much more compact as in the last home game. The next change is in offensive as he mentioned under the week that striker Sylvestr returns into starting lineup today. Because Janjic was very average in Dresden and could not convince his Coach and he should be the one who much on bench for Sylvestr. After a lot of problems in defensive line it is very good for them that they have no problems because in the past with suspension and injuries they must change a lot but today they can bring on the same as in last game. This can be an additional Point for them.

Aue's opponent has a lot of problems with their squad and Coach Büskens can not count on a lot of players. New injured are Gianniotas and Bellinghausen who got injured this training week. The others are Bomheuer, Kenia, Schmidtgal and Bodzek, Reisinger (suspended from club side), none of these travelled to Aue. This gives Büskens less options but he should be able to bring 18 mens to Aue. This means also that youngster Weber is on bench and maybe also last winning goal scorer Bance who had a long trip with his national team in the past week. Therefore in attack Büskens counts on Benschop and Hoffer today what should be not so a good idea as Aue defending deep as both needs space for their play as they are very fast. Despite the injury problems some options are still there, Halloran can be one also Lambertz is one for the wing. Central can be Paurevic and in central back is Latka of course set to play but beside him is open, Soares or Malezas fight for the last place there.

I am not very convinced about Düsseldorf's play in the past and I  was very surprised that Bookmakers put Aue with such a HC up above all at home. Of course the odd is less as it went down but I think it is still worth. Aue is a team who fights big at home and it is always very hard for the opponents to play there. Düsseldorf is also known as weak traveller, so why should I miss this good HC. Home win for me.

Recommend Bet: Erzgebirge Aue AHC +0,25 @ 1,75 (3Units)