VfL Wolfsburg - FSV Mainz 05

An important match for both teams. Both with 14 Points are neighbors in table and both have the chance with a win to climb up. For Mainz it is possible that they get up to second place with a win while Wolfsburg must win with a high margin to get the second place. Of course it depend also what Bor. M'Gladbach do in the sunday evening match against Bayern. Nevertheless both teams can put them in a very good position and look forward what they are able to get this season.

Wolfsburg has the EL game in their legs with the trip to Krasnodar what cost a lot of power too. This maybe can be some disadvantage here but if they can bring a normal performance in their stadium they are sure able to put some goals behind Mainz. Some players are not available but they are still out longer and should not be such a problem right now. The only big lose can be important wing Rodriguez who has some problems. For him the first alternative is Schäfer, of course not a bad replacement but he has not the power forward and is not so dangerous in front of the goal.

Mainz comes to Wolfsburg relaxed and they are fresh enough to go all in from the first minute on. They are doing well and the offensive line is able to score some goals too. They have some very good players in their rows what help them to walk on. But they have also a big lose with the huge injury from Hofmann who is on loan from Dortmund. He is sure out and must be replaced. Some players who can replace him are creative Koo, robust Moritz or Malli. It is up to Coach Hjulmand what player he put up in the starting lineup.


Statistic:

- Against no other team has Mainz scored so many goals as against VfL (28 in 16 games).
- Only Bayern Munich is longer unbeaten (12) as Mainz (9) at the moment.
- The second best home team hosts the second best away team.
- No team is longer unbeaten at home as Wolfsburg (9 matches).
- The last 5 BL goals scored Mainz in first half, in second half they are goalless in 4 !!!
- De Bryne is the man for Wolfsburg in offensive, he was involved in 5 and in the last two.
- In Wolfsburg Mainz has a positive goal difference although VfL scored 5 times 3 in the last 8.
- Wolfsburg won the last 3 league matches always with one goal difference.
- VfL allowed in these matches not more as one goal per match.
- Mainz coming with a new start record, they are unbeaten in all their 8 matches this season.
- Wolfsburg won both sunday games so far while Mainz played two times draw.


Overall we have a very exciting game ahead and I am sure that this match produce goals. It is the perfect match up. Wolfsburg is dangerous in offensive but have some tired legs while Mainz comes fresh and can maybe take advantage in the end when Wolfsburg are tired. Additional the stats are very positive here with 7 from 8 games producing Overs.

Recommend PICK: OVER 2,75 @ 1,91 (3 Units)