Samstag, 24. Oktober 2015

FSV Mainz 05 - Werder Bremen

Statistic:

- Mainz could  win only one of the last 8 BL games against Bremen (3-0 in April 2014).
- Bremen is waiting since 341 minutes for a goal and they were goalless in their last 3 games.
- Skripnik started his career as Coach one year ago here in Mainz with a 2-1 win.
- 6 of the last 8 penalties were saved from Mainz keeper Karius.
- Bremen lost all the last 5 BL games, this is club negative record for them now.
- With the next lose in Mainz they are facing relegation fight for the next weeks.


It is not obvious that Schmitt send out the same starting lineup as one week ago. They made a good game against Dortmund but with two individual mistakes they gave both goals easy away. If they could play without both faults they should have get something out of this game but of course the win was deserved for Dortmund but Mainz was able to be an even opponent. If they bring all their power on the pitch it can be hard for Bremen to stop them. One of the most important player for Mainz is Malli who is in great form and if he does some strange things as in recent games he can be the different here again.

After 5 defeats Coach Skrinik lost a bit his nerves and gave a strange interview. After some days he calm down and see this a bit different now. All in and around the club stand behind him and if he loses this game again he sit on bench against Dortmund next week again. Manager Eichin gave him a job guarantee and this let him work a bit more relaxed. With what lineup he wants to start is a bit open because he was testing some players on different positions under the week. Vestergaard who normally plays in central back played in central midfield while Lukimya and Galvez played in central back. If he counts on this it may can be that he try to get some more compactness in defensive but he said also that he wants to have some power in offensive. They can not win if they defend all the 90 minutes. But of course they go for some counter attacks where Bartels and Ujah are key in this system with all her quickness. Also some of the free kicks from Junuzovic can be a good choice to score some goals.

It can be a very open game if the first gaol arrive and give us an opener. Mainz was able to beat all the teams behind team in their arena. They were also able to score 2-3 goals against these teams. On the other side Bremen was always able to score away from home, only in Hannover they missed some of their offensive power and maybe counter strength. In Mainz they showed always good games and were able to score in 8 from 9 matches at least 1 goal. Mainz scored also in 8 from 9 against Werder at home. Bremen have a lot to play for after they huge negative streak while Mainz is an offensive minded team .....

PICK: OVER 2,75 @ 1,86 (3 Units / Flat Stake)

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