Sonntag, 4. November 2012

Bayer Leverkusen - Fortuna Düsseldorf

Very hard to beat, keeper Giefer from Düsseldorf

This is an encounter where both teams played in Cup under the week and both andvance after Extre time. Seems no advantage for one side fitness wise. They should be all a bit tired maybe or it need some time if their legs are fresh enough, as we saw yesterday at Hannover where they need some minutes but after that they managed their job.

Ok Bayer Leverkusen managed some nice wins in the past, they won in EL 4-0 away from home and also after 23 years without any win in Munich they won there 2-1. Sure a bit lucky in the end but win is win and this count. In Cup against 3rd league team Bielefeld they were the better team but it was very hard for there and advanced only in Extra time. The other side of them is that they are not able to keep this level for a long time and they very unstable from time to time. Above all at home it was not much from Bayer in the past matches. They dominated the beginning of the match against Mainz but in 2nd half they were far away from their normal level and was very lucky in the end to get a draw. I know, some of you think that this win in Munich said more about the strength of this team but I am a bit different opinion. Leverkusen has much problems if they must make the match and can not go for their counter style of play with open space for Schürle, Castro, Kießling. Exatly this, what they did in Munich, do Düsseldorf today. They are defending very deep and they have to show if they can break through the wall. I doubt, that it can be so easy for them. With Bellarabi, Leno, Kadlec they miss three players from starting lineup normally.

Fortuna Düsseldorf played a good season so far. They are very hard to beat above all away from home where they conceded only one single goal so far but scored 4. They play a very defensive style and they are hard working every match. Additional the win in Cup gave them self confidence and motivation back after 2 hard loses at home against Bayern 0-5 and Wolfsburg 1-4. After this matches Coach Meier takes more focuse on the defensive play again and they did it already very well again against Gladbach 0-0 after 90. mins in Cup. They allowed not many chances for their opponent and I think they do it so to Leverkusen. With Fink suspended, Bruno Soares and Malezas are 3 players out for Fortuna.

All in all I can not understand such a big move on the market. It is not a match like Bayern – Leverkusen where they have many space for their counters, this is a different one. They have to push and Fortuna defends and go for counter. Leverkusen was not able in the past against such playing teams to score much or get many. They are to unflexible against teams like this.

Recommend Bet: Fortuna Düsseldorf AHC +1,5 @ 2,02 (3 Units)

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