Donnerstag, 28. März 2013

Erzgebirge Aue - 1860 München


Different aims before this encounter. Erzgebirge Aue needs points against relegation trouble because they are only 4 points ahead while 1860 Munich needs the win to close the gap from 6 points to third place. If they get only a draw it is almost impossible for returning in promotion race. Therefore they have to risk a bit more here if they want to put some pressure on the other teams above.

After one win and one draw Coach Baumann made it and was able to turn things around otherwise he would not be Coach from Aue anymore. He has to fight big for his job some weeks ago. But nevertheless they are not safe and therefore they need points to stay away from drop zone. Their home advantage can be the key in this relegation battle because they are very hard to beat at home soil. Furthermore their pitch conditions are not the best anyway and some of their opponents had a lot of problems with it, it would be not much good this time as the winter returned. Coach Baumann can count on almost all players, also important Hochscheidt is back in training and ready for this match while with Munteanu and Paulus are two players out + Schlitte suspended. Additional not clear is if striker Sylvestr stands in starting lineup. Many outside person criticized him for his harmlessness in front of the goal but Baumann sees it much more different and mentioned that he works a lot for the team and sooner or later he will score again.

Some trouble in Munich, as always 1860 produces some negative headlines. A change at the top of the club, with President Schneider must go Investor Ismaiks enemy. It seems that the Iraqi has won the fight now. The management traveled to Dubai to win Ismaik for more Millions to reach promotion aim earlier. Sure, for this season it is only a bit hope left but if they want to hold the pressure high they must win against Aue. This would be a very hard task as they never won before in Aue, with 0-3-3 they are winless there and they scored not much too. Of course after a lot of changes, which were not always found great acceptance Coach Schmidt has probably found the right mix. They are hard to beat in defensive but they are also very limited in offensive and were not able to score much. It depends almost all on Benny Lauth up front, if he is not in the game or has a bad day it is very hard to see 1860 Munich in a good position.

If we compare both teams, it looks like we copy paste only. Both teams have problems to score goals, but are very solid in defensive. This means that the match is getting very close and if one team can take the lead it is very hard for a comeback for the other side. But in my eyes 1860 Munich has to risk much more if they want to stay in touch to third place. It would be very hard anyway and therefore I favor much more Aue on their bad pitch. They know this situation much more while 1860 Munich has very good conditions in Allianz Arena and can play much more their passing style there.  

Recommend Bet: Erzgebirge Aue AHC +0,25 @ 1,92 (3 Units)


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