Sonntag, 28. Oktober 2012

Bayern München - Bayer Leverkusen

Bayern Munich won all eight league matches so far and showed very good form at the moment. Maybe it is a bit different as to the other season where they had problems in the league but won all in CL. They strength their squad very well and coach Heynckes has much more options now. All positions are occupied twice and let much more to choose. For this it is not such important in my eyes that with Ribery, Martinez, van Buyten and Gomez they miss some players but if we take a look it is only Ribery who is a miss at the moment but his replacment should be huge motivated and showed also that he is able to replace him. Shakiri should be the man here. On the other wing plays Müller every week and he had good performances as well. Double six should be Schweinsteiger and Gustavo. Defensive row maybe can be changed according to Alaba's return. Upfront with Mandzukic anyway.

Bayer Leverkusen showed an average performance against Mainz but set an exclamation point under the week at their EL match with a clear 4-0 win away from home. Some bad news they got from this match because their back wing Kadlec got injured and is out for this match, also Renato Augusto ist not available. Bayer Leverkusen has always problems if they have to play in Munich and they are winless since 23 years there. They said that they do not count to much on stats and they looking forward to the match. But when they stand on the pitch in Allianz Arena or former Olympia Stadium they are harmless and nervous and moreover helpless. They missed often a lot against Bayern.

Both teams with international matches under the week and both had to travel, so no advantage for one side. I rate Bayern Munich as the much better side at the moment and above all at home they are very hard to beat and they push and press a lot. If Leverkusen plays like in the past here, they have no chance.

Recommend Bet: Bayern München AHC -1,75 @ 2,17 (3 Units)


VfB Stuttgart - Eintracht Frankfurt


Hope for goals, as many matches before !!

VfB Stuttgart with a lot of problems at the moment, they have a very small squad and exactly coach Labbadia miss some imp. players at the moment. And in addition a lot of matches are sheduled. They came from a win last weekend against Hamburg but were a lot weaker in EL against FC Kopenhagen and got only a 0-0. It means that Coach Labbadia has only 16 players left but things are getting worser at the moment. To the long injured list with Cacau, Hoogland, Boka, Audel, Didavi and Bah are not enough because with fresh injuries are sure out Torun while Gentner and Sakai are doubtful.
Not much left for changes, maybe Rüdiger and Kuzmanovic are some options in midfield fort he coach. For some special seasons coach Labbadia changed his system and play only with one player in central midfield, normally all teams play with two. This gives a little bit more opporunities in offense as he works with more offensive midfielder and the only striker upfront Ibisevic.

As I wrote last weekend about Frankfurt, maybe the same again. None of them have expected such a good start and 2nd place one league higher. They build up a very good team and they work very well all together. They are very offensive minded and the wings push a lot where they ingnore sometimes their defensive work. But coach Veh forgives mistakes and let they play as they did in the past. He has almost all players available and with Inui, Occean, Aigner, Meier they have a lot to offer. They are scoring for free at the moment and they are rolling, with huge self confidence and motivation they are for sure a very hard nut.

Stuttgart with some problems against a team with huge form and offensive minded, this speaks for Goals.

Recommend Bet: OVER 2,75 @ 1,78 (3 Units)


Union Berlin - SC Paderborn


Mattuschka's free kicks are very dangerous !!

As I wrote already last weekend, Union’s form showed a clear uptrend in recent weeks after a medicore start into the season. They have huge self confidence now with an 5 matches unbeaten run in their bags and they won the last 3 matches at „Alten Försterei“ with a goal difference from 6-2. Also they welcome back defender Schönheim after suspension and miss only long term injured Kopplin, Gallegos and Parensen.
Maybe this gives coach Neuhaus more option in defensive because he was not very pleased about his defensive in the last match against FSV Frankfurt. Almost 70 minutes they were one man more on the field but they play to slow and also made some mistakes in opening play. But this was not all, the offensive waste a lot with their opportunities and in this case they had to tremble until the end. If they had used only one of their big chances it would have been a lot easier for them. But all in all they were able to create some and this gives them a lot of hope for today’s match too.

SC Paderborn neigbour from Union on table with 12 points they are only separately because of goal difference. Paderborn is an average team but fights a lot and they are able to score and create some what helps a lot above all their offensive with Brückner, Kempe, Yilmaz and Hofmann are always good for some goals. The next weapon are the free kicks from Meha who are very dangerous. Away from home they can go for counter attacks where are they very good over their quick players. As I saw that Union gives a lot of space and with some dangerous actions in defensive Paderborn can hurt Union very well. With Lange, Pallonios, Poljanec are 3 players injured while Zeitz is suspended.

I like the matchup here and I like the goals in this encounter. Both teams are able to score as  described above. And I do not think that Union waste so much as last sunday, not every week, sorry.

Recommend Bet: OVER 2,75 @ 2,09 (3 Units)


Samstag, 27. Oktober 2012

FSV Mainz 05 - 1899 Hoffenheim


FSV Mainz 05 started not so well but are on a good way now. They managed some wins and they are only one point behind 4th place. At home they are strong enough to beat every opponent in this league. Coach Tuchel changes always a lot on tactic, system and players but players know him very well and they know also what he wants to tell. So in this case I think not to much problems for them overall. In their defense row maybe Svensson move to the bench and Kirchhoff gets a chance but it is not comfirmed yet. The other positions maybe are the same according to their very good match against Leverkusen.

1899 Hoffenheim with many problems at the beginning, then they are a bit better but in the past matches they showed the same as to beginning. Above all their defensive is very unstable and conceded in 3 from 4 matches and always 2 goals or more. If their 1st keeper Wiese was injured they won matches and with him they never won so far this season. Wiese is back and they got only a draw against Fürth and also against Mainz he stands in goal. Moreover their imp. midfielder Salihovic is suspended and Vukcevic after his accident in hospital. While Weis, Jaissle and Gregoritsch are all at U23.
As I wrote already Hoffenheim has some problems after the accident from Vukicevic, it was not easy for them mental wise and also with the other problems in their team, maybe scoring, defensive and so on they have a lot of problems and they can only solve one after the other.

I think Mainz has some advantage here mentally wise and also the better self confidence to win this, Hoffenheim with problems and also with the rabbit punch in injury time against Fürth last week. For me home win.

Recommend Bet: FSV Mainz 05 AHC -0,25 @ 1,98 (3 Units)




SC Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund


The team from coach Streich is in good shape at the moment and without any worries. They played very well in the past weeks and managed some wins. But what confuse me is more that they scored already 10 goals at home. Freiburg is more known as a low scoring team but maybe they have find some way this season now. Overall they are always a tuff opponent to play and if Dortmund lost to much of their power against Real Madrid sure, Freiburg take advantage. Some players are not at 100% because of slight injuries and if Ginter is not available Höhn can replace him, also Sorg can be replaced by Hedenstad or Schmid takes Sorg’s position and Flum plays on the right wing and so on. All are possible but I think they bring a very good and motivated eleven on the pitch.

What is going on in Dortmund, last season they knocked out from CL very easy and played really great in Bundesliga but this season it is more different. It means that they want to show some of the experts that they are able to play on international level. Those which has criticized them last season have now some other point of attack. The only good thing should be that they take huge motivation and self confidence out of the win against giant Real Madrid. This can push a lot for Bundesliga matches and they want the first win this season away from home, after 3 draws and 1 lose they are focused to get the important one. Their defensive looked a bit unstable so far this season but on the other side they are always able to score with such players like Reus, Götze (doubtful), Lewandowski. Although they miss imp. midfielder Kuba they should be able to get back on track and also score some goals.

I expect some goals in this encounter because both defensive are not the best at the moment and the offensive are always able for some finish from both sides.

Recommend Bet: OVER 3 @ 2,06 (3 Units)

Eintracht Braunschweig - Hertha BSC Berlin


High flying Eintracht Braunschweig are unbeaten this season in 10 matches and they had an incredible run so far. From this 10 matches they won eight and draw two times and with 18-3 goals they are top at the moment. At home they keep a clean sheet so far with 5-0-0 and 10-1 goals but it was not so easy and they had some luck in the past matches as well. Against Bochum there was a little confused, especially after the first goal from Braunschweig that Bochum saw as irregular. But the referee count this goal and Braunschweig took the lead and if they are up it is always hard to overcome them and they can play more relaxed on go for their fast counter attacks. Also last match against Dresden it was some advantage for them .... because refree send off 2 players with red card from Dynamo and in the end Braunschweig won easy. Sure they worked hard for their success but sooner or later this or their luck ends. Also their long run without losing a point at home come sooner or later to an end. For this match they miss midfielder Kratz who was in good shape and imp. for them.

Very bad start for Hertha BSC Berlin into the season but the things were clear. They changed their coach, also some players and their system as well. But match after match coach Luhukay has found the right tactic and also words to motivated his players and could make his system all players clearly. They are on a good way and run now and they know that they are able to beat everyone in this league because they are strong enough anyway. Although they had and have some problems in defensive with injured players they won their last two matches without conceding a single goal. They keep both times a clean sheet and the young players in defensive fell the confident from the coach. This give them a lot of self confidence and motivation that they work very hard and well. Again they miss Ben Hatira, Bastians, Beichler, Franz, Lasogga, Janker, Kobiashvili and Radjabali-Fardi.

This is more a bet against Braunschweig’s run at home as against them. Sooner or later they lose some points and I think this is the right opponent and it would be not so easy for them. Luck is also over and Hertha gets at least a draw, I am confident. 

Recommend Bet: Hertha BSC Berlin AHC +0,25 @ 2,07 (3 Units)
Recommend Bet: OVER 2,25 @ 1,85 (3 Units)

Donnerstag, 25. Oktober 2012

2.BL Update

1.FC Köln - 1.FC Kaiserslautern

Home missings: none
Away missings: Alushi, Azaouagh, Derstroff, de Wit, Micanski, Yahia, Zuck

Stats: Both teams meet each other 4 times in 2.BL, each won one home match and two times ended this encounter draw


FC Ingolstadt 04 - VfR Aalen

Home missings: Metzelder, Buchner, Ikeng
Away missings: Schulz, Mössmer

Stats: This is the first match in 2.BL for both against each other. Earlier in Regional League they meet 4 times while Ingolstadt won two, won Aalen one and one draw.


Energie Cottbus - 1860 München

Home missings: Fenin, Farina, Stiepermann, Brenzska, Brinkmann
Away missings: none

Stats: 1860 has won the last 3 matches against Energie Cottbus with 11-0 goals.


Sonntag, 21. Oktober 2012

1.FC Nürnberg - FC Augsburg


Amsif gets the place in goal against Nürnberg !!

Nürnberg started very well into the season and got 7 points from the first three matches but after some big mistakes in their defensive row where many players are involved like Nilsson and Antonio they are in a huge downtrend or maybe in a bad period at the moment. They lost 4 in a row now and played not to good, also their moral is not the best and self confidence anyway. Coach Hecking had a lot to do at national break to bring his team back on track. He said that they should not bring often such performances as against Hannover, Stuttgart or Freiburg because in this case it would be very hard to get points. He wants that all players work together and not as the only one on the pitch. He mentioned that his team needs a successful match to get their self confidence back and maybe can play more relaxed at at the moment where the pressure is overall. Also the offensive worked not well and they score not much moreover they waste.
Against Augsburg they want to play compact and take some pressure on their opponent, they are unbeaten against them and maybe it ist the right team to face at the right time. With four loses in a row I think that they are able to get here something above all they never lose five in a row with Hecking as coach.

After a great last season Augsburg level is set a bit to high from some and the team can’t hold the pressure and started very bad. But after the first win against Bremen before the break many  breathe deeply and looking forward to the next matches. Coach Weinzierl has a lot to do because it is not all fine in the team and around the club. But anyway with the first win in the bag they can work a bit more relaxed as before. Their focuse should be on defense and offense because they scored only 5 and conceded still 11 and away with 1-5 very weak so far.

All in all both teams are not known as the scoring maschines of the Bundesliga and both with less goals. Nürnberg overall 7-14 (2-5 at home) and Augsburg with 5-11 (1-5 away) and additional this encounter produce not a lot of goals as the last four meetings showed. (1-0 / 0-0 and 1-0 / 2-0) was Augsburg never able to score a single goal against Nürnberg. All in all I expect a very close game with less goals and in this case UNDER should be the best option here. 

Union Berlin - FSV Frankfurt


With huge self confidence and optimism starts Union Berlin today’s prepairing against FSV Frankfurt. After a medicore start into the season their form in recent weeks showed a clear uptrend. In four matches are the „Eisernen“ unbeaten at their „Alten Försterei“ stadium and managed two home wins in a row. But this is not enough because they face their lovely opponent FSV Frankfurt who is always very welcome and lost all hree previous encounter there with scoring only a single goal.

In addition to the suspended player Schönheim (with red card) only lacks the long term injured Kopplin, Gallegos and Parensen. For Schönheim will again defend Kohlmann on the left back position but if coach Neuhaus makes more personal changes, all is still open then. Despite the positive results Union conceded in all nine league matches so far and have as well deficits in offensive. But all in all they are a very solid and hard fighting team above all at home where their enthusiastic supporters push them a lot.

FSV coach Möhlmann will have  Gledson and Yelen not available. While Geldson is out until the end of this year, Heubach iss et firmly in the center of defensive. For the midfield and attack has Möhlmann several alternatives. On the left wing forces Leckie his comeback who gave his comeback as substitute against Paderborn. The Australian however has some deficit of fitness, so that Roshi who scored his first international goal on Tuesday for Albania take this place, or Yun could also play there. Probably FSV coach Möhlmann will again bring a very defensive minded eleven on the pitch in 4-1-4-1 system with only Kapllani as the lone striker upfront. Moveover after a very good start FSV was a bit in a downtrend in the past matches and also their injury problems are better now but they was much more successful if they had only a few players left.  

Probably starting lineup:
Union Berlin: Haas – Pfertzel, Stuff, Puncec, Kohlmann – Karl – Quiring, Mattuschka, Jopek – Terodde, Nemec

FSV Frankfurt: Klandt – Huber, Schlicke, Heubach, Teixeira – Konrad – Görlitz, Bambara, Stark, Roshi - Kapllani

Recommend Bet: Union Berlin AHC -0,75 @ 1,92 (3 Units)


Samstag, 20. Oktober 2012

Eintracht Frankfurt - Hannover 96


Newcomer Eintracht Frankfurt plays a very good season so far. No one expect them so strong but it looks that they have a very good team building and they work very well together. Coach Veh mentioned that he can play only offensive with this players and according to this they score a lot but conceded also some. Above all at home it is always spectacle for their supporters with many goals. Coach Veh can choose from almost all and he has his weapons available with Inui, Occean, Aigner, Meier and so on. These guys have huge potential above all in offensive while on the other side they work not so well against the ball. For this reason they conceded in all matches at home so far. I expect the same against Hannover because this team is always offensive minded and as Coach Veh announced he won’t change this.

Hannover 96 is one of the top teams according to their results in the past years and they are established under the top 6. Coach Slomka, Manager Schmadtke and Boss Kind build up a very solid team with some great players too. Coach Slomka created a very good and effective tactic, is more a counter attack style but they have success with it. It is also a fast switch from defensive to offensive and the players must react very fast. This can put a lot of pressure on their opponent and they are able to create a lot. They lost their last match against Hamburg with 0-1 but in this derby they were very unlucky. They had absolutely great opportunities to score and it was only thanks to keeper from HSV Adler who saved all. I do not think that they are again without scoring goals as they have to much potential there.

Recommend Bet: OVER 2,75 @ 1,87 (3 Units)

SpVgg Unterhaching - RW Erfurt

Let's cheer goals and a win in the end !!!
SpVgg Unterhaching is one of the big surprise teams this season. No one has expected such a good performance from them. According to some Experts Unterhaching was one of the relegation candidates but showed that they are able to be successful. Less money and only young players and many many other problems were there. They still looking for a Trikot Sponsor, but so far without success. Nevertheless Schromm / Bromm had a good hand and formed a well balanced team where every players is very motivated and fight a lot and also their excellent fitness is an additional advantage. They compensated the sale of playmaker Bigalke to Köln and also some other difficult situations. What should stop them? With one of the best offensive they are always able to score and put a lot of pressure on their opponent. They never give up and try a lot the whole time. With this new mentality of the young players they can reach a lot in Unterhaching this season.     

RW Erfurt started with huge ambitions into the new season. But  the reality was more different because after 6 Rounds they managed only a single point under Coach Emmerling. What happened was clear, Coach was fired and new one Schwartz took over. He came from 1.FC Kaiserslautern Amas where he worked with many young talented players. This should be the future for Erfurt as well but he has to work with the squad which Erfurt has already at the moment. Maybe a few changes follow at winter break but still long time to it. The new coach was successful in his first two matches where he could get 4 points but after the downtrend was the same as under former coach Emmerling. They lost 3 matches in a row without scoring a single goal but conceded nine. After their last lose many of their supporters were very angry and want some changes immediately. Out of fear, the team left the city and went to a trainings camp in Bavaria. He worked very hard there and Coach Schwartz was very pleased about it. Although he mentioned that the fitness from his squad is not the best and also some players have mental problems. This was a slight criticism of the trainings work of former Coach Emmerling. Additonal said some players that they are no team at the moment and many miss their form as well. Moreover some of their imp. Players are out or were out in the past weeks and in this case they are weaker. If their top striker Morabit is available or not is a big questionmark but I think he was out for some weeks now and should not on his best level as well. Also some other maybe returns but if they are fit enough is also questionable. Many many problems at Erfurt anyway whether intern, offensive, defensive and so on.


Recommend Bet: SpVgg Unterhaching AHC -0,5 @ 2,11 (3 Units)

Jahn Regensburg - 1.FC Köln

Can Regensburg's best Striker Sembolo score again?

While Jahn Regensburg with nine points from their first nine matches at least not completely statisfied, expecially they are above the red zone was at Cologne much more expected. Although they changed a lot before the season. Almost full house today and it will be an important match for both teams for the rest of the season because it is already indicative for both.

Regensburg sure, would be very happy with 3 extra points against relegation and would be certain not to slip at least in the next few weeks the relegation zone. In this case Coach Corrochano want his third home win of the season and compared to 1-3 at Aue two weeks ago probably can let the starting eleven unchanged. Defender Kamavuaka was injured and is not 100% ready maybe, they face a test if he can play with special rail for his hand. If he is out, Neunaber takes his place in central defending row. The other are all ready for the big clash here, only long term injured Kurz is not.

1.FC Köln with very bad start but with a win they can leave the bottom regions of the table and look forward to the upper midfield. Coach Stanislawski will rebuild his starting eleven after three match unbeaten run with seven points. He want to use the successfully practiced 4-3-2-1 with three defensive midfielders where they won 2-1 in Paderborn. Before the international break they played only 1-1 at home against Dresden and midfielder Bigalke was one of the weakest there, maybe he moves to the bench and Matuschyk probably will put in the team. No alternative however is Hector, who stayed in Cologne and Clemens who is ill also ignored McKenna and Tesse.


Donnerstag, 18. Oktober 2012

VfL Bochum - Hertha BSC Berlin

Things are going to be a bit frustrating in Bochum above all they expected much more from their team but they were not able to use their excellent situations infront of the goal. They played very well and created a lot of good opportunities but what happened is well known. The young team maybe need some time but time is not there if we take a look at the table. This is exactly the situation who no one want from the management, manager, coach and so on. After an average until bad start they are one point above the red zone and the pressure is there now. They have to bring the performance on the pitch and they should immediately use their opportunities to score. With only 5 goals they are at the bottom of this stats. At home with 1-2-2 and 4-5 goals not so bad at all but overall to less. Coach Bergmann has some hope because he gets some players back. With Aydin a long term injured players returns but maybe only on bench, also Delura, Acquistapace and Toski returns into training. This gives Bergmann more options and also maybe more punch infront of the goal. Defender Sinkiewicz is doubtful and face a last test but they hope that he can play while Rzatkowski sit on bench.

Giant Hertha with a very bad start into the season maybe this was because of some changes and new players also new coach who have to know each other a bit better and also the new tactic and system from Coach Luhukay. Overall they get their way and they managed their bad period and showed some uptrend in the past although many problems in their defensive with injured players. This is not solved for the match against Bochum because with Janker, Franz, Bastians, Radjabali-Fardi and Kobiashvili are many players still out. Hubnik is back but it is not confirmed if he stands in starting eleven or first on bench. Absolutely sure is that young defender Brooks gets another match as starter according to his good performance against 1860 Munich and training. Also the other positions should be not changed much as Luhukay mentioned. In this case Sahar, Allagui and Ronny must sit on bench, 3rd one is a doubt according to news as he was ill as I read. 
Overall Hertha is back on track but had some problems away from home this season and they won only a single match from four. Additional their scoring rate is also not the best. It is not an easy match for them and I expect that they get problems. Bochum showed against Kaiserslautern that they are able to be an equal opponent and are hard nut.

Mittwoch, 17. Oktober 2012

Deutschland - Schweden 4:4

Germany dominated the match until 60. minutes and had some great actions in their play but after Sweden scored their first goal, they got shaky legs. Defensive line was more a disaster. But watch self. 





Dienstag, 16. Oktober 2012

Review H96 - BvB 1-1




Both teams played very well but missed a lot. Also one goal was disallowed for Hannover. But if I compare the whole match it was very close for the OVER. But watch for yourself and I think Diouf missed an incredible empty net. If you see this action maybe some of you would be laughing but after losing this one it is not very laughable.

Review ING - FCK 1-1



All in all I think I was very unlucky here because one goal from Kaiserslautern was disallowed and also Bunjaku and Idrissou missed big opportunities. Normally they should have won this match with 2-0 or maybe 2-1. But as always, if you waste with your chances you concede on the other side. Very disappointing in the end for me.

Sonntag, 7. Oktober 2012

Hannover 96 - Borussia Dortmund


Hannover is unbeaten since 21 matches at home in their AWD Arena and they want to continue their excellent run today. Champion Borussia Dortmund had also and excellent run but were beaten from Hamburg some weeks ago. Both teams have huge offensive potential and both are able to score, above all Hannover at home are always good for goals according to their excellent counter attackts. On the other side Dortmund’s defensive was not so excellent in the past and showed some weakness. For this encounter goals are expected and I call this more „Match with goal guarantee“. Most of their matches finished with more than 2 goals if these two meet each other at Hannover.

Hannover got some self confidence under the week as they won against Levante 2-1 although they were down to 10 men because Haggui was sent off and also 0-1 behind. They showed huge moral and won in the end deserved. Man of the match or maybe man of the past weeks is new signing Husti who is in incredible form, he scores and assists his team mates very well. Maybe some changes are expected because coach Slomka changes to a more defensive system as against spain opponent Levante. In this case Schmiedebach plays on double six while Schlaudraff move from midfield to striker position. All in all not a big problems because it would bet he same style as in the past matches against Dortmund and they love to play against. Last season they won 2-1.

Average start from Dortmund into the season but they had to integrate some new players in their system and also some imp. left. They did better in the past and what they are able showed they midweeks against Manchester City where they were almost the whole match the much better side and should have won this very easy but wasted with their excellent chances to much. Above all their offensive is one of the best in BL if we compare these excellent players like Götze, Reus, Kuba and Lewandowski. Offense is rolling but defensive with some mistakes this season and coach Klopp said that they are a bit away from their opponent players and they do not the last step they did last season. They want to work on it but time is less with this rythmn. On double six they have to replace Gündogan today who is out. Also DEF Hummels got injured against City and is a doubt but he should be replaced equal with Santana but not decided yet.

I like the matchup and I am sure, this match has goals in them. 

Recommend Bet: OVER 2,75 @ 1,76 (3 Units)

FC Ingolstadt - 1.FC Kaiserslautern

Promotion


Only four points between both teams in the table but after 1.FC Kaiserslautern is set as a promotion candidate is Ingolstadt not really a serious one, only called from some experts. Despite this glory from some experts they do not really want to play such a role they would be more happy to have an easy season without any relegation trouble. However it is more different in Kaiserslautern they maybe have the pressure to return and all in all if they fail it would be more a big disappointment.

At Ingolstadt coach Oral has not much to change because he has found his starting eleven for this season and they did a good job so far. Against Bochum Uludag played on the wing but could not really impress there and maybe Korkmaz returns for him today but it is not possible because the austrian guy showed in his 7 starts also not much and could not convince too. Additional is possible that Görlitz move in for Danny DaCosta as wing but the youngster from Leverkusen on loan made a very positive performance in the past. The only two sure things are that Biliskov returns for Guensch as central defender while 1st keeper Özcan is out injured and he will be replaced by Sascha Kirchstein.

At least away from home Kaiserslautern is on the way back to 1.Bundesliga as the perfect record of three wins in three away matches shows while only one  match was won from five at home. Coach Foda hopes for another strong away performance from his team and climb up in the table although Baumjohann and Azaouagh they have 2 imp. midfielder out for today. Both were not available against Braunschweig too and additional long term are Alushi and de Wit not available. This means that the young Borysiuk and Linsmayer play again on the double six. But they have also some good news with the returning of captain and imp. striker Bunjaku who are able to play and should be build with Idrissou an dangerous striker duo as done before the injury from him. But Coach Foda also thinking of 4-2-3-1 where Bunjaku plays on the wing but maybe for this system he has less options as available players. No other changes expected, only maybe long term injured DEF Simunek return into the squad and should be on bench the first time this season.

Recommend Bet: 1.FC Kaiserslautern AHC -0,25 @ 1,96 (3 Units)

SV Sandhausen - VfR Aalen

Hopefully Dausch can cheer a win !!!

The sign in this encounter between the two newcomers could hardly be more different. While SV Sandhausen started very well into the season but failed almost in the last 5 matches and got only one point there they are at the bottom of the table now, came VfR Aalen with huge self confidence after three consecutive wins in a row. The only 2nd Bundesliga team who took 9 points with 6-0 goals in the past 3 matches. The same stability is missed the last few weeks for Sandhausen but be lacking of huge injury problems and in this case they miss also a lot of potential.


SVS coach Dais must continue to do without six injured players, the three wings Klotz, Adler and Riemann can join until next week to training. Long term injured Schauerte, Danneberg and Dorn will turn out anyway for some time. Despite the thin squad for Dais a conversion of the starting lineup, expecially since the high number of goals conceded in recent matches is maybe possible. He did not name names but probably will have to give up his place Busch on the right back in favor of Falkenberg again now.  But Dais said also that not everything that was good before, can be bad now. He can only work with his available players and he wants to make the best out of it.

Also VfR coach Hasenhüttl has not all players available. Kister, Aydemir missing through injury while left back and center back Hübner is still questionable. Hofmann, however who had to take a break ill beginning of the week is ready for today again. So far he could also rely on his alternatives as the past games have shown. In offensive he has the choice between Reichwein and Cidimar who was already quite good at his second match as starter against FSV Frankfurt. Aalen plays very effective and they use their chances they get very well. According to this it is not far away to trust them a lot today.

Recommend Bet: VfR Aalen AHC 0 @ 1,91 (3 Units)


Samstag, 6. Oktober 2012

SC Freiburg - 1.FC Nürnberg


Must he help as CDEF (Simons) ?

This can be a match where both teams are almost on the same level also from their form and results in the past. Both lost the last two matches and both want to return on track now. Freiburg with 5 points on their side while Nürnberg with 7 points are not that bad but the last matches were not very good for them.






At home Freiburg showed some ups and downs so far. They were the weaker team against Mainz but got a lucky point. Against Hoffenheim they took advantage from their opponent weak form in defense and scored 5 times and won 5-3. Last match against Bremen was maybe even at the beginning but after they took the lead with a nice free kick they gave Bremen more and more space and they turned it around to an 2-1 win. Freiburg is not a top team, this is only a team who fights against relegation but they do and did it in the past very well. They miss Rosenthal, Flum and suspended Guede today. Coach Streich motivating his team very well and has also some surprise effects sometimes because he change the side from both wings with Mujdza and Sorg, maybe he move back to their normal side today. Otherwise no major changes.

What a drama for FCN against Hannover where they got trashed huge and it was only due to their bad working defensive or maybe to some players who acted very weak like Nillson did. Also against Stuttgart where Nillson got a break from coach Hecking but after some minutes replacement Antonio made a huge mistake and Stuttgart took the lead and the match was lost. Coach Hecking changed again and brought Nillson for Antonio. All in all not a very trustable situation for Nürnberg. The problems are getting worse and worser because Nillson got injured, Antonio is not trustable anymore and at this time only Klose as the last defender left. Coach Hecking want to decide between MID Simons and a young talented player. We have to wait and look a bit where is playing then. If Simons plays in central DEF, he must change the double six as well and Simons replacement can be Cohen beside Balitsch. Not bad for sure because both are excellent fighters. In the offensive it was also not their best time and maybe Hecking change here too. Some alternatives are Frentz, Gebhardt and Polter while Esswein, Mak and Pekhardt have to fear for their place in the starting eleven.

Sure some things are bad at the moment for Nürnberg but they played much better away from home as at home and I think it is worth to take them here. Although they got a huge defeat against Hannover but the other two matches they won at Hamburg 1-0 and Gladbach 3-2 and if we compare these teams they are almost on the same level as Freiburg. I try this. 

Recommend Bet: 1.FC Nürnberg AHC +0,25 @ 2,21 (3 Units)

Bayern München - 1899 Hoffenheim

This was the result of last season (7-1)

Bayern Munich started very well into the new season and with 6 wins out of 6 matches they are on the top of the table. If they win again it waves a new start-record for them. Also they are creating and scoring for free at the moment, with 19 goals scored and only 2 conceded says all. They have dominated all their opponents so far and keep 4 times a clean sheet. With their excellent squad Coach Heynckes can rotate a lot and he did already. So far, no weakening be established whether Martinez instead of Gustavo, Shakiri instead of Ribery, Müller instead of Robben, Pizzaro instead of Mandzukic  or Shakiri instead of Kroos and so on played. Overall they were on a 9 matches win streak this season after losing their Champions League match against Bate Borrisov 1-3. They put a lot of pressure on Bate but had not the luck to take the lead above all Kroos hit the post while Bate scored some minutes later. Bayern tried a lot but failed at that day and Bate showed their strength over counter attacks. After this match I must laugh a bit about the reporting. Almost all Reporters, Media or Experts praised the good play from Bayern Munich and the rotation from Coach Heynckes and after the first lose it is all wrong. Sorry, but this is typical for our world and like media reporting. I see this a bit different as many of them and I like the way they act or react. In October, Bayern is always very strong, especially at “Octoberfest time” where they win most of their matches and in their excellent condition it is very acceptable. They miss Gomez and Alaba.

1899 Hoffenheim has huge aim’s this season above all their Coach Babbel put it enormously high. They talk from an international place but the reality is more different. They started very bad and their defensive looked very weak and conceded a lot. Also they continue like last season where they won not much the whole season. After 6 matches they won twice and one draw among 3 defeats. Their positive run comes in their past matches but they played not really good teams at the moment. Against Hannover they won 3-1 but H96 looks a bad traveler this season, also derby against Stuttgart 3-0 won but Stuttgart made many mistakes and was totally out of form at this day. Against Augsburg last weekend they got a 0-0 but they were the weaker side of two weak teams. But we have to mentioned to their favor that after a huge car-accident from Boris Vukcivic, all are down and mentally not in their best condition. Some who were in the stadium or watched it on TV saw that the players did not react as usual. I saw some interviews from Coach and Manager and all said the same. It is not possible to get back to normal live or normal work/training. Very sensitive situation at the moment for 1899 Hoffenheim and this continue because the condition from Vukcivic is stable but still critical. It means a very difficult match ahead and additional many problems they face at the moment. It is very hard to getting focused on soccer which is a big disadvantage against leader Bayern Munich. They always had a hard time at Allianz Arena and got trashed in the past matches and lost also all they last 4 meetings there. Overall they are to harmless at the moment to be an equal opponent, mentally, defensive and offensive wise. They miss Vukcevic, Salihovic, Wiese, Chris, Jaissle and Gregoritsch (U23)

Recommend Bet: Bayern Munich AHC -2 @ 1,80 (3 Units)

   

Donnerstag, 4. Oktober 2012

Hertha BSC Berlin - 1860 München

With all the defensive problems, can Hertha celebrate a win?
Hertha BSC with big trouble above all in their defense they are without almost all players. No real defender left because with Hubnik, Franz, Bastians, Janker, Kobiashvili are all out. Coach Luhukay has to change a lot and think who can play at central defending position. Both defensive wings should be taken by Pekarik and Holland but the central positions are open. Maybe midfielder Lustenberger must move back but beside him is a big questionmark. 
They played not but against Duisburg but after Duisburg took the lead they showed some weakness in defensive and now injured Hubnik got more and more nervous and made some mistakes. Manager Preetz hopes that the defensive get more stable but how?

1860 Munich without any problems at the moment they are also one of the better placed teams and play for promotion. They won easy 4-0 and showed their strength. The only miss for them is long term injured MID Makos. Coach Maurer can choose from almost all.

FSV Frankfurt - SC Paderborn

Who get the win?


FSV Frankfurt is one of the surprise teams so far this season. They started very well although they had huge personal problems. But in their past matches they lost a bit their strength or power, maybe according to their small squad where Coach Möhlmann has not much left to choose. Again some players are out here with long term injured players like Gledson, Gaus, Tosonoglu beside fresh injured Yelen, Jung and Leckie. They are unbeaten at home so far this season where they collected 3 wins but I think that this can be their first match where they lose points according to their problems at the moment.

SC Paderborn sure not so strong as last season but they had a lot important players to replace who left the club. All in all they did their work but overall it is not more as an average team. Although they are very dangerous if they can play on their counter style or get some free kicks which Meha makes it very dangerous. Also they miss some players here with Gulde, Krösche, Lange, Palonios, Wissing and Zeitz.

I expect an even match here, the team with the better tactic or better fitness should make it.