Sonntag, 11. Mai 2014

Sunday 2.BL update !!!

Greuther Fürth - SV Sandhausen

The situation is clear, Fürth must win an hope that Paderborn lose Points against Aalen. Is this is the case they are set to climb up to 2nd place and go directly to 1.BL. After last season's relegation this would be the immediately return for Fürth. But first they have to play the 90 minutes and look that they get the win. Overall they should be prepared for this match and Coach Kramer finds the right words and tactic anyway.

Sandhausen is safe and they play for nothing so far, the pressure is gone and they play more or less to easy in the past and they were not able to win match. The players are maybe all in holiday modus but they talk that they want to make it as hard as they can and maybe give Paderborn some help too. But I doubt that they can turn things around what they have lost in the past weeks.


SC Paderborn - VfR Aalen

Surprise team from Paderborn stands short before their first BL promotion. This is the best what this club has ever seen and they want to let dreams come true and play against the big teams next season. Some of the experts said already that this team from Paderborn has no chance in BL but we will see. Overall the team is working well and their nerv are all well, and they are strong enough mental wise what we have seen last sunday. They never let any doubt that they lose in Aue, no they win easy but it was also hard work in some periods and luck too.

Aalen is in good shape and should be a hard opponent today. They managed to win some matches in the past and this is maybe the key that they are in form and let not allow such a trend as Sandhausen did. Therefore it can be very close for Paderborn today. 


Fortuna Düsseldorf - 1.FC Kaiserslautern

Wow, Fortuna is coming big in the end and they started a great run under interim coach Reck now. If this run has begun a bit earlier it would have been close to the first places maybe. But at the moment they are far away, nevertheless the form is there and they want continue their way. A lot of players must leave the club and got their last match today. Despite this it should not affect them to much.

The big promotion candidate failed again this season, they are to harmless in some matches and maybe disappointed a lot. But they have still the chance for the 3rd place to go to the play off games with Hamburg. But for this reason, Fürth must dop Points and they should win with bigger margin. Maybe they push from beginning on and allow Düsseldorf some space, but they must try all in the end but the chance is less here.


Dynamo Dresden - Arminia Bielefeld

This two team play for the last and only last chance, Place 16. Dresden with some advantage here, they play at home, they have a big crowd in their back and they should only try not to lose and all is going their way. On the other side Bielefeld needs a win here, nothing else ..... so, if this match is close and goes into the finial decision, Bielefeld must open all and push. This is maybe a good opportunity for some in running bets at the end.

Samstag, 10. Mai 2014

Saturday 1.BL update III

FC Schalke 04 - 1.FC Nürnberg

Both teams in must need here, Schalke need one Point to safe 3rd place while Nürnberg must win to have a chance for the important 16. Place. If they reach this they go to Play off games with 2.BL team, which is at the moment Fürth. In this case it is a big "Franken" Derby with hot atmosphere and a really great one as well but before they must win.

Schalke did their job but has some weak periods in the past and this was the key that they need one Point at the last match now. Without Huntelaar they must look forward who should score here but with Farfan they have a good player back in training under the week. Also some others are back. They are needed as the young guns were all a bit tired at the end after so many matches for them.

Huge blow for Nürnberg, they must win but with what players, they miss 1st keeper Schäffer almost the whole defending line is suspended with Pinola, Chandler and Plattenhardt. This means a lot of changes and they were not the best in the past. Once again they must win how it is not necessary.



VfL Wolfsburg - Bor. M'Gladbach

Both are still in fight for the CL place. But only a win can hold the aim alive. This means a very open match if one side take the lead and maybe a good choice for some in running bets.



Bayer Leverkusen  - Werder Bremen

With a win Leverkusen can safe the 4th and last place for CL, maybe with a win and S04 lose they can overcome them and climb up one place what should be the better choice for them. But first they have to win and look after it. Bremen plays for nothing only for fun and maybe some money if they climb up some places.

Saturday 1.BL update II

FC Augsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt

One of the surprise teams can go to Europe next season but they have to win this one first and look to Mainz. If Mainz get only a draw or maybe lose at least they overcome them and climb up to the important 7th place. The team from Coach Weinzierl played a good season and they are hungry enough to go the last step and hold the pressure on Mainz high. Some of the players had some problems form wise in the past but they are back now. They looked much better above all last week they won at least 1-0 in Braunschweig but they controlled the whole game and maybe should have won higher.

After Frankfurt reached the target and stayed away from relegation battle they are more or less far away from good form. Although Coach Veh talked he wants to leave with some wins above all at home last weekend but it was different. They are far away from their best and they need to refill their batteries. The EL season has cost them a lot of power and the relegation battle too.



FSV Mainz 05 - Hamburger SV

Big match for both, FSV need a win for European spot while Hamburg has to win if they do not want to hope that Nürnberg or Braunschweig does not win. According to the situation it can be a very interesting match where both teams have a lot to play for. Mainz was good and in good shape at least above all at home they were hard to beat anyway. Also they kept a lot of clean sheets there in recent matches. Coach Tuchel maybe knows what is to do to get this important last win.

On the other side HSV is close before to die. They have the bad situation in table and also with over 100 Mio. Minus a lot to lose here. If they lose and one of the other teams Braunschweig or Nürnberg win they go down directly. If none of the other wins, they have the chance in two matches to stay in 1.BL. It would be so important for this club city fans and so on. If they must go down it is hard to come back and with a lot of minus on the bank it is hard too. Maybe the license is not safe too. With Coach Slomka they lost 4 road matches in a row and if we include the Hannover road disaster too he has a lot more road loses. But this do not count now, the only thing what counts is this match today. Some good news is that maybe top striker Lasogga can play here.



1899 Hoffenheim - Eintracht Braunschweig

1899 want to bring this season to a good end and celebrate with their fans. Maybe some of the players are in good mood as they got the important news that they are one of the players for the WC like Salihovic, Volland. This should bring them in good position to show their national Coach that they are in good form and that he can count on them.

Match of the year for Braunschweig, only a win can let them hope that they have a chance for remaining for next season but with a win they must look the the other stadiums and look what the others have done. But more important should be that they look on itself and give all what they have available. This is more as run for their live now. They have to invest all, but not from beginning on if the match comes to the final minutes and maybe they are behind or even they must fire from all guns and open all their defensive rows. This can bring a lot of late goals maybe.



Week Performance 05.05.2014 - 11.05.2014

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Week 19 !!!

I wanted to dedicate my Picks / Tips in an extra post. I update it always if I add something, it is only for a better view. All Picks can be seen under Betting History, Plan Picks or Tip of the Day additional. Of course, all Picks are verified !!!


German Soccer Picks:

10.05.2014  15:30  1.BL  Bayern München - VfB Stuttgart AHC -2 @ 1,81 (H) 1-0

Saturday 1.BL update I

Hannover 96 - SC Freiburg

Both team play for nothing, only for a better position what means more money on their side at the end. Hannover after having a lot of trouble after the derby lose to Braunschweig are on a good way at least and they are coming out of all the dangerous situations. They got the results and played better in the past matches. Nevertheless Coach Korkut want more and this is the next win at home now.

Freiburg on the other side after winter break with great play and they did their job. The team is working very well and this was the result from all. They are far away from relegation trouble and this was the key from them. With a relaxed play they can be able to get here something above all they have not lose the last 5 against Hannover. Overall they are unbeaten in 10 matches to North Clubs.



Hertha BSC Berlin - Borussia Dortmund

Again, both play for nothing, Hertha maybe can get a better position with a win but they can also lose some places if they lose here. It would be the last match for striker Ramos who left to Dortmund to next season. Nevertheless they want to celebrate with their home fans and bring a bit more on the pitch as they did in the past as they won not much at home in recent matches.

The 2nd giant in Germany Dortmund is already safe on position 2 play only to hold the rhythm high and give all a good feeling for next weekend when the big Cup Final takes place in Berlin again. They can take some atmosphere one week earlier as Bayern maybe and they want to bring the job to an end for striker Lewandowski who left to Bayern. But he wants to get the Scorer Trophy and therefore he need some goals because he is even with Bayern Munich's Mandzukic at the moment, both have 16 goals scored.



Bayern München - VfB Stuttgart

Both play for fun and entertainment now. Bayern already Champion but they should hold the pressure high one week before the big Cup Final. All players should be ready and they want to bring this season to a good end with a win maybe with high margin for the supporters. After the match it is big party and celebration with the fans also in the city. They try to get striker Mandzukic in good position but it is not sure if they can because if Coach Guardiola counts not on him as one week ago in Hamburg it would be hard for him to get the Goalgetter Trophy.

Suttgart after a long season sure are tired and I do not think that they have much in their legs after a long fight against relegation. This is a hard way and also a mental big step always and from week to week the batteries are empty. This can be a hard way today for them, and I think that this can be a big lose too. But who cares, their target is reached.

Recommend Bet: Bayern München AHC -2 @ 1,81 (3 Units)

Sonntag, 4. Mai 2014

Sunday 2.BL update !!!

1.FC Kaiserslautern - Dynamo Dresden

This is maybe the most interesting match from all, because both play for something. FCK must win to get maybe a last chance to next week for climbing up to 3rd place at the end and maybe a happy end after a disappointing season. They had not the success they want and therefore it is hard to believe that this team get not promoted. On the other side Dresden is on the same position as last season, they must look forward to get as much points as they can because Bielefeld close behind and if they overcome them it is clear they are close to get relegated. But they have a good chance to turn things around if they lose today if they win last match at home to Cottbus but it depends all on Bielefeld if they lose and Bielefeld win, then Bielefeld has it in their own hands. Let's see what Dresden is able to bring today.


Arminia Bielefeld - FSV Frankfurt

I wrote already the situation above and this is also a must win for Bielefeld if they want to hold the pressure high on Dresden. But on the other side FSV is not safe yet because they are only 5 Points ahead of Dresden and if they lost both and the other wins it is getting dangerous. Therefore a Point is maybe a must from the last 2 matches. Both teams must try some here.


Energie Cottbus - Greuther Fürth

Cottbus is relegated and can play very easy here while Fürth lost the 2nd place last weekend with the defeat at home to 1860 and while Paderborn has won at home they overcome Fürth. If they want to hold the pressure and the target of the 2nd place high they must win this anyway. If they lose it can be that it comes to a close final last weekend if FCK win its home game.


Erzgebirge Aue - SC Paderborn

Aue play for nothing and but they are a very hard number at home and they are not so easy to bet in their own stadium. They got the most Points against relegation at home and this can be a key fact here for Aue. But Paderborn must win to hold the 2nd place and come their aim from 1.BL closer. No one expected them there but they have the chance now and maybe they can use it but you always know what happen if you can reach a goal or get closer. Are the nervous from all players ok or maybe they make some trouble and produce mistakes .......


SV Sandhausen - FC Ingolstadt 04

Home side played a really great season and they finish on a great position nevertheless how the last 2 games end. At home they are hard to beat and they played good and well there. But Ingolstadt is a very good traveller and they are also hard to beat away from home and this can be that they get here something. Above all they are not safe yet and this is the key for more motivation on the away side.


1.FC Köln - FC St. Pauli

Both play for nothing, only fun and goals maybe ........


1860 München - VfL Bochum

1860 season is over and they can maybe make some advertising for them for the next season. Again a disappointing one as they want to get closer to the promotion places but they failed hugh. Bochum must try to get the last Point to be safe, they have the same situation as FSV, only 5 Points ahead of Dresden.


VfR Aalen - Union Berlin

Both play for nothing, maybe goals are there but Aalen is more a team for less goals but all can happen.


Karlsruher SC - Fortuna Düsseldorf

Statistic:

- Fortuna won the last 4 matches, if they started the run earlier it could have been more.
- KSC lost only 1 of the last 7 games, also in good form maybe.
- But they are one of the draw kings of the league with already 13, only Dresden 17 has more.
- On the other side they are very hard to beat, only 7 times, Cologne was beaten 3 times !!!
- Fortuna lost also only 1 of the last 7 games.
- KSC could take the lead in 22 matches, best number has Paderborn with 24.
- If KSC took the lead 1-0 they are hard to beat and they lost none of the last 14 games.
- Karlsruher is unbeaten since 11 home matches now, this is the longest run since 26 years.
- The last home defeat was 2013 against Cologne with 1-2.
- KSC used the fewest players with 23 while Düsseldorf used the most with 33.

KSC miss with first keeper Orlishausen an important man, Varnhagen and Micanski are also injured.

On Düsseldorf's side it looks like a big list but this is already the case for longer time now. With Fink, Bellinghausen, Bolly, Erat, Bomheuer, Balogun, Schmidtgal and Lampertz they miss a lot injured.


Both teams are in great form and we can expect a very open and entertaining game here. Both play for nothing but both want to continue their runs, therefore I am sure that this can be a very high scoring game. If the pressure is gone they can be maybe a bit more relaxed and play more easy and do not think so much what can happen if they make a mistake or so on. Also both are always good for goals, KSC at home can score 2,3 while Düsseldorf with its form are good enough to do this as well with 1,2. The offensive lines from both are good for goals anyway. And maybe both Coaches try some what makes it more easier for goals as the players who come in are not so involved this season and maybe they need some time to find the right balance. The supporters should get for what they have paid, I am sure.

Recommend Bet: OVER 2,75 @ 2,00 (Units)

Samstag, 3. Mai 2014

Saturday 1.BL Update !!!

Eintracht Braunschweig - FC Augsburg

The home team comes to this encounter with a lot of self confidence, they need the win here to have a chance to avoid relegation. But a win is a must otherwise the chance is gone but it depends also on the other teams. Augsburg should also win to have a chance on the 7th place and for the EL next season. With a win they can put a lot of pressure on Mainz, even more if Mainz lose today in Gladbach.


1.FC Nürnberg - Hannover 96

This is a must win for Nürnberg to have the chance for the 16th place. With a win they have it but after 8 matches without any success it is hard to believe in this team. They changed the Coach before the last match but they lost 0-2 again. All hopes now on this hope game against Hannover who plays for nothing. Hannover was in trouble but they managed it and they are out and safe now. Club has a lot to play for and also some players returns today to help.


Hamburger SV - Bayern München

If Hamburg lose, Nürnberg or Braunschweig win, it is almost the relegation for HSV. The team who never must go down and they are the team who have played always in BL since start on. This can be the first time and it will be a hard one too as they have a lot of financial problems right now. Some talk about over 100 Mio. minus. If they must go down it is not sure that they get the license for the 2.BL maybe. The worst case would be that they must go down to Regional League North and start from new. The situation is getting worse there and exactly to this time they face the giant Bayern Munich. Ok Bayern has problems too but HSV with a lot of important players out it is almost helpless here.


Bor. M'Gladbach - FSV Mainz 05

Both teams fight for EL spot and both have to play for a lot here. It is not sure where can take advantage here. Both teams are in good shape and both are doing well in the past matches what makes it very hard to predict here anything.


Werder Bremen - Hertha BSC Berlin

Both teams play for nothing, all is done. Only for a better place and maybe more money from DFL.


Borussia Dortmund - 1899 Hoffenheim

This is the next match without any interest. Fun shot out maybe ....... Goals Goals Goals !!!


Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayer Leverkusen

Frankfurt safe, Leverkusen is fighting for the CL spot and have to look that they get Points. With a win they can put some pressure on Schalke if S04 fail in Freiburg.


VfB Stuttgart - VfL Wolfsburg

Stuttgart with 5 Points ahead of the red zone can be a bit more relaxed as in the past. On the other side Wolfsburg is almost in a must win situation if they want to jump on one of the last CL places 3 or 4.

SC Freiburg - FC Schalke 04

Statistic:

- Schalke won 5 of the last 7 matches (Freiburg two), and both recent matches.
- Last season Schalke won there 2-1 and saved 4th place, today they can save 3rd place.
- Freiburg won only 1 of the last 5 home matches against Schalke (1-1-3).
- But Freiburg collected the most Points form all teams in the past matches (17).
- And they scored the most goals from all teams (19) in this period.
- Freiburg won the last 4 home games, this happen at least 2001, long time ago.
- Schalke lost both of their last two matches, and more defeats in a row were only 2011 with 5.
- Freiburg has with 23 goals scored against Schalke a very good number at home (Overall 40).
- SCF lost only one of their last 8 matches in BL and they are in very good shape.
- S04 could not win one of their last 3 road trips and looked very tired in the past.

Freiburg must replace Mujdza and Pilar while Schalke has a very long list of injured players.

The following are not available: Höger, Kirchhoff, Farfan, Papadopoulos, Höwedes, Uchida, Fuchs, Clemens, Aogo and Kolasinac suspended.


After the EL matches are over for Freiburg they are much more focused on the league and they play really great in the past matches. Ok sometimes they had luck but this was missed in the first half of the season. Now luck is back and they go on and try to get as much Points as they can. Coach Steich motivates his team very well and all follow him now. It is not important if they are ahead of down, they play fresh and with a lot of self confidence and they have nothing to lose now. They are already safe and this is an important fact more. Also they know that they can turn matches around what they have done in the last two. The scoring machine is working also well and the offense is always dangerous in these days.

After a huge run Schalke looked very tired as I wrote many times now. The huge injury list is to much and Coach Keller could not change much and all the young guys have to play the whole 90 minutes in the past. This is what I am talking already several times. The batteries are empty but they should try to get the target done as they have not much left. They need Points immediately otherwise the other teams behind overcome them short before the finish line. With two matches to go they are under pressure today. A win is almost a must to safe the 3rd position.

Overall I expect a very open match, Freiburg has nothing to lose and they try to put a lot of pressure on S04 today above all after winning 4 matches in a row at home they have a lot of self confidence. They can come out and have fun and playing without any pressure while Schalke have to look that they get Points here, but if the first goal comes here, I am sure that more come ..... both can not defend the lead, they walk on. In my eyes the OVER is a very good investment here.

Recommend Bet: OVER 3 @ 2,05 (3 Units)