FC Augsburg - Hamburger SV

Excellent match ahead. Augsburg is high flying at the moment while Hamburg fighting for their live at the moment. A big different in the situation of both teams at the moment. Augsburg very solid at the moment, very hard to beat has all weapons in their hand to beat their lovely opponent Hamburg. For this they must replace first keeper Hitz who got injured against Stuttgart and is out longer now. He will be replaced by veteran Manninger who knows that situation very well and this should be not a big problem at all. He showed excellent performances in all his matches. All the other positions maybe remain unchanged because no injury worries for Coach Weinzierl, only the long term injured Moravek, Parker, Philp are out again.

On the other side Hamburg got some self confidence back after winning the north derby but Coach Zinnbauer has some problems for this encounter. He must replaced suspended wing Diekmeier who got his fifth yellow card and also first keeper Drobny is a big doubt. For Diekmeier comes youngster Götz into the starting lineup while Drobny is hard to replace as with Adler they have the second keeper already out too. This means that youngster and third keeper Burst must play here. It is a big step as we saw in some situations from other teams who must count on the third one. Maybe he got his nerves down and do a good job but we will see if Drobny is still ready.

Statistic:

- Augsburg won 4 of their 6 matches against Hamburg (4-1-1).
- They won the last 3 in a row, and against no other team they won so much in BL.
- HSV lost 14 of their last 17 road games, only Schalke is behind them in away table this season.
- After 6 road games Hamburg has only scored a single goal, never so less in their history.
- Augsburg won 3 of their last 4 BL games and playing the best season in their history.
- 18 Points, 15 goals scored and only 12 conceded, these are all time high numbers for them.
- Only Frankfurt 70/71 and Cottbus 02/03 had a weaker offensive line as Hamburg this season (6 goals).
- From the last 9 BL home games got FCA 22 from 27 possible Points.
- The only defeat in this period was against Dortmund with 2-3 at Round 2 (7-1-1).
- Hamburg won in Augsburg with 2-0 on 26. October 2012.
- The last goal against them at home is long time ago, it was on 20. September against Bremen.
- Hamburg won 2 of their last 3 matches and they conceded not a single goal in these.
- Augsburg (5) has one of the best defensive lines in BL beside Bayern (2 goals) and Wolfsburg (4 goals).
- FCA kept 5 times a clean sheet this season already, compared to last season incredible.
- Augsburg has one of the best defense and they allowed only 49 attempts, 4,1 in each match.
- Augsburg is hard to beat above all in normal situations.
- Weinzierl's team is the best team in man against man and they won 54% of their duels, Top.
- The attackers are a bit weak in front of the goal, they scored nothing till now.

I think the constance from Augsburg is great and they are hard to beat, so why not winning against a team who is very weak on the road and scored only a single goal so far. The offensive is harmless from Hamburg against a team who play compact. In this case I must try this team from Augsburg to go for the win.

Recommend PICK: FC Augsburg AHC -0,5 @ 1,84 (3 Units)

FC Ingolstadt 04 - VfL Bochum

It is a big surprise that Ingolstadt stands on the top but the potential and the budget is there and why not go the next step. But not all are pleased with the situation, above all from the last 3 games where they got not much and this is that they lost their advantage to other teams who has close the gap already now. And after the first defeat this season and their long run from 19 unbeaten road games end last weekend, they has to focus on the next match and the start a new streak. Their opponent was long time winless, since 8 games they are aiming for a win and they did it last weekend and therefore their form are going up, what makes it more difficult for Ingolstadt today.

Coach Hasenhüttl is working on a more compact team as in recent games where they conceded 5 of their 11 goals. He said that the team must return to the play from the beginning of the season and this was to give all for the team. May it was the reason, that Lex and Da Costa got injured and he has to changes his starting lineup after playing several times with the same starting lineup. They are not available now and they have to make the best without them. Hübner was also out against Nürnberg but he should return for this match today. But they have the next player out with midfielder Morales who got his fifth yellow card and is suspended here. For him can play youngster Bauer or Wannenwetsch what is the better choice. Also weak Engel can be replaced by new signing Levels who maybe get a chance here.

Coach Neururer was very happy after the win last weekend but he does not want to sit back, he wants to bring the focus forward to the next game and he is thinking that he can make a surprise here. The same tactic and system should help him to bring Ingolstadt under pressure, with pressing. The performance from the starting lineup was well, so all can hope that they are starters today. They won 4-0 to Aalen of course, but the play was not so good and the match anyway. It was hard work and a lot of luck too. Luthe saved his time twice, and he was almost out for this encounter due to back injury but he said that he can play. A other player Gregoritsch travelled not with the team, he is injured. For him joker Terrazzino plays, who comes in last weekend already. He should have some self confidence after his goal anyway.

Fortuna Düsseldorf - Greuther Fürth

It is a big chance for both teams as almost all their opponents failed this weekend. Düsseldorf has the chance to overcome Ingolstadt after their defeat in Nürnberg but they have to win with two or more goals margin to get on top. Also Fürth has the chance after some weak weeks to close the gap to third place to 3 Points and get some hope back maybe for promotion race. According to both teams situation it is an interesting match.

Fortuna did really well in the past but at home they had some problems. Nevertheless they are trying to jump on first place today. For this reason they need again a compact defensive work as in both last matches where they conceded not a single goal. The central back is working very well with Tah and Soares but this time it is very interesting to see what Coach Reck plans after captain Bodzek is back. If he plans with his captain again he must sit one of the two players on bench. After the last training sessions it looks like that Soares is the one who are out of the starting lineup. He can not sit Tah on bench as he talked only positive from him and he said that this young player is too good for second league and he does not understand that Hamburg gives him away on loan. Düsseldorf’s veteran Lambertz is also back after some talked already he must leave the club. He made an excellent game in Munich before the break and is an alternative again. It is more as impossible that midfield and attack will be changes from Reck today.

After the bad run Fürth is looking forward for better times at the moment. Some good news arrived after the national break as with first keeper Hesl and veteran Sukalo returns two important players. Also youngster Pledl is back after injured while Schröck is suspended today. This means that Pledl is immediately in the starting lineup for Schröck. One of the attackers Zulj or Wurtz must on bench while Stiepermann move forward a make the position free for Sukalo. Therefore they play only with one attacker and Stiepermann behind in a central role.

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Week 46 !!!

I wanted to dedicate my Picks / Tips in an extra post. I update it always if I add something, it is only for a better view. All Picks can be seen under Betting History, Plan Picks or Tip of the Day additional. Of course, all Picks are verified !!!


German Soccer Picks:

21.11.2014  2.BL  18:30  VfL Bochum - VfR Aalen AHC -0,5 @ 1,90 (H) 4-0
21.11.2014  2.BL  18:30  FC Heidenheim - SV Sandhausen AHC -0,5 @ 1,80 (H) 3-0
22.11.2014  1.BL  15:30  SC Paderborn - Borussia Dortmund AHC -1 @ 1,72 (A) 2-2


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VfB Stuttgart - FC Augsburg

Both teams has a lot of problems at the moment, Stuttgart overall while Augsburg has only a away problem where they are to harmless. If you take a look at the stats it is no entertainment expected. I think both try to play with a lot of control and try to hold as long as they can the clean sheet. If the match gets more open in second half maybe they can invest more. The situation should be clear, VfB need the win urgently to get out of the bottom zone, a draw is much to less. On the other side Augsburg want to bring their negative run to an end and therefore they should not lose. With a draw they can climb to place 8 and with a win they make a huge step to place 6. Additional it is a big step for them and their only goal, avoid relegation.

For Stuttgart keeper Ulreich returns into the goal today because Kirschbaum got injured and with a head injury it is to dangerous that he play today. Schwaab is also doubtful but if he can start the problems for Coach Veh are not so heavy, otherwise a youngster comes into the starting lineup.

Augsburg has some more options and Coach Weinzierl is a very good coach and he knows what tactic he must use and on what players he must count today.

Statistic:

- None of the 6 BL games ended draw.
- The first 3 games won Stuttgart, the following 3 Augsburg.
- In all 6 games were at least 3 goals.
- Stuttgart could only win 2 of the last 14 matches (2-4-8).
- With 15 Points after 11 games Augsburg playing their best season so far.
- They scored already 14 times and conceded only 12, this is also their best number.
- Stuttgart has the weakest defensive line with 25 goals conceded.
- This happen never before that they were so weak and allow so many goals.
- Augsburg lost all their last 4 road games, this happened last year between September and November.
- FCA never lost 5 BL games in a row in their history.
- Additional Augsburg played really great at Schalke but lost mega unlucky 0-1.
- Armin Veh won only 1 of his 4 games against his home club Augsburg (Coach and Player there).
- Stuttgart lost the last 2 games and were not able to score a single goal (0-5 goals).
- Stuttgart scored only 3 goals in first half but conceded already 12 before the break.
- The negative run from Augsburg away from home is clear, they are to harmless, only 2 goals scored.

1.FC Nürnberg - FC Ingolstadt 04

FCN's new Coach Weiler

Since 10 worked new Coach Weiler with his team now and he must give his idea as fast as he can to the team because they have not much time as the next hard match is ahead with Ingolstadt. The "Schanzer" comes to Nürnberg as leader and also with a huge run from 19 unbeaten road games so far. This is a new record in 2.BL history and of course they want continue this way and also defend their leading position. On the other side Nürnberg needs Points urgently as the table situation is not the best and therefore Coach Weiler has not much time anyway now.

After Ismael was fired two days later Weiler was here and he made a good job so far. The training was very well and all have some fun too. It looks like that the team got some new motivation and power back. But nevertheless training and game are two different shoes therefore they have to bring it on the pitch today and it is all about results at the moment, the rest maybe comes from game to game. Compared to the last match from Ismael in Sandhausen 1-2 it speaks not much for changes as Weiler wants to count on the same eleven. Defender Petrak is suspended after his red card, for him Pinola can come into the team here. Second defender Stark has also some problems with injuries and if he must pass it is not obvious that Hovland plays here or maybe Builthuis who was not in the squad for long time under Coach Ismael. Midfield can keep the same, Mössmer is not ready yet and therefore no changes possible. In offensive they have no alternatives today, Mlapa got injured and is out, so only Sylvestr left. Good news for keeper Schäfer who returns on bench at least but Rakovsky remains in goal as first keeper.

Ingolstadt has a great run and they are unbeaten this season overall. This means that they have to defend this series. Comapred to the last matches they have to make some changes because after 9 games with the same starting lineup they have to replace two important players here with Lex and Da Costa who were active players in Hasenhüttl's system. It is not an easy way now as the squad is not such big as they can choose from a lot. Maybe this is their biggest problem this season and at the moment all the other things are going well for them. Last time played Engels on Da Costa's position but Ingolstadt signed former Gladbach and Düsseldorf player Levels who can play this position very well. Also the experiment with two attackers was not the best against Union what is hard for Pekhardt who is out of the team but just against his former club. With Harmann comes a player in who is very quick and can bring a lot of fast action in their play today.

SC Paderborn - Borussia Dortmund

Very interesting game ahead, if Dortmund can not win against newcomer Paderborn today it is of course a big disaster for them anyway. This can be that they are longer down in the table as this is one of the easy opponent they face now. Ok, Paderborn did very well so far and is a team with big fighting spirit but against the big teams in the league they are far away and they got nothing till now. I can not say them getting here again a win or a draw, it is nonsense after the great run now. Dortmund has all weapons ready, also Reus who got injured in last game but he plays. The only big misses are Hummels and Sokratis in defensive but this time I think they can be replaced.

SCP surprised so far, it was hard hard work for them and they are riding the wave of success but if some important players are out they have big problems. This was the case in Augsburg before the break where important captain and defender Hünemeier was not available. He is doubtful here again. Also Meha who is always dangerous with his free kicks and corners is also doubtful. The other players should be hot as most of them played in 2nd team from Dortmund but do not get any chance there. In Paderborn they are important.


Statistic:

- After 5 BL defeats in a row, BvB celebrated a 1-0 home win to Gladbach (Deserved).
- BvB lost the last 4 road games, 2006/07 it was 6 in a row.
- A CL spot is far away, they have a big gap to H96, Gladbach, Wolfsburg and Bayern.
- In the last 7 BL games, Paderborn conceded always at least 1 goal.
- BvB kept the first time a clean sheet and this was before the national break against Gladbach.
- SCP is very hot in second half they are one of the best teams there with 12 goals scored.
- 6 from the last 7 goals scored Paderborn in second half.
- Dortmund conceded the last 5 goals in second half.
- This is the fist game between these two clubs against each other.
- SCP lost only 1 home game so far and won the last two with 3-1.
- The last 9 goals from Paderborn are scored from 9 different players !!!
- In the opening 15 minutes Paderborn conceded a league high from 5 goals.
- Dortmund lost 4 of their last 5 BL road games and scored only a single goal in these.

I like the matchup and I am sure that Dortmund are able to win there. SCP can only get anything if they bring all their power on the pitch but sooner or later the batteries are empty. They can not go from week to week and invest so much more as other teams that they win. This is not the next surprise what happen, BvB is to big for them this time !!!

Recommend PICK: Borussia Dortmund AHC -1 @ 1,72 (Flat Stake)

FC Heidenheim - SV Sandhausen

Both team won their last match before the national break and they have a good feeling in the break. Newcomer Heidenheim did really well and with 20 Points after 14 matches they are in the top while Sandhausen has 5 Points less and is only 3 Points ahead of the red zone. Both aims are to avoid relegation what is possible. This can be an important match for both above all after the break.

The situation and mood is very well in Heidenheim but Coach Schmidt let train very hard and gave the players the feeling that they reached nothing so far. So they must be focused from beginning on again. He does not want that they are to relaxed and mean they can work with less effort. The Coaches goal is to get as much Points as they can get and go into the winter break with a good feeling and prepare for second half of the season without any pressure. Compared to the amazing win against St. Pauli where his team played great soccer he has not reason to change anything from his starting lineup. Only the injured Griesbeck is out for 2-3 weeks, what means that Reinhardt plays for him today.

After Sandhausen’s win against Nürnberg where they have to come from behind they are looking forward with a better feeling now. Under the national break the personnel situations is getting better and better because some of the injured players returned to team training. This gives a lot of hope for Coach, Team and Management now. Alder and Kratz are alternatives in the coming weeks, for today the fitness is not like that they can start. In goal he can choose from both Riemann and Knaller. Knaller made a great game against Nürnberg and was best man of his team and replaced injured Riemann very well. The first keeper is back, early as expected but he trained already and can be an option to start but it is up to Coach Schwartz if he trusts him and tries to risk some. Also suspended captain Kulovits is back and can replace Tüting in central midfield. The other places remain unchanged as the team did well against Nürnberg.

The home team impressed above all at home they play a good and fresh offensive soccer, this can be the advantage against Sandhausen who are a very bad traveler and has a lot of problems on the road recently. Also they were not able in many attempts to get much in Heidenheim. This make me very confident for the home team here.

Recommend PICK: FC Heidenheim AHC -0,5 @ 1,80 (Flat Stake)

VfL Bochum - VfR Aalen

Here we have two teams who are both on a huge downtrend. Bochum started well but missed a lot in the past and they are trying to get the first win since 7 home games now. It is almost the same situation as last season where they were only able to get 10 wins overall. Therefore if they do not want to fall down more it is very important to celebrate the first home win with their fans today. According to their opponent it is the right time because Aalen is on bottom now and comes to Bochum winless since a long time too. Also away from home they are winless since last season. But, of course they have nothing to give away here as they need every point especially in their situation.

For this game Coach Neururer plans a huge pressing with his team and let train it the whole week. He wants to put some pressure on Aalen’s defensive and hope that they produce some faults and let his team come to easy opportunities to score. For this he has almost the whole squad available, only long term injured defender Simunek is out and Holthaus is suspended from him for discipline reasons. In this case he counts on the same successful starting eleven as to begin of the season. Compared to the last game in Kaiserslautern starts Sestak for Weis and the system move from 4-3-2-1 to 4-4-2. Under the week they signed a new player with Bastians who is former Bochum player and he knows all here. This can be an option too now.

After 3 defeats in a row and the big fall to bottom it is very important to Aalen to get back otherwise the gap is getting bigger to the safe zone. They are under huge pressure today because they need results. Coach Ruthenbeck is safe and he trusts his team anyway. Against the last match to FSV Frankfurt where they lost a bit unlucky he prepared his team more defensive minded and put a well known system 4-3-3 up. They try to play their known style with good defensive and go then over counter. Some changes can be done anyway as the squad is getting better where some players returns from injury. Only long term injured Lechleitner is out. Also some other players have to improve a lot if they want to start today.

For me it is the perfect time for Bochum to get the first win against a team who has the same big problems. Nevertheless it can be a close one but in the end I expect a win for the home team. Aalen is to harmless anyway and scored hardly. Bochum’s time !!!

Recommend PICK: VfL Bochum AHC -0,5 @ 1,90 (Flat Stake)

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Week 45 !!!

I wanted to dedicate my Picks / Tips in an extra post. I update it always if I add something, it is only for a better view. All Picks can be seen under Betting History, Plan Picks or Tip of the Day additional. Of course, all Picks are verified !!!


German Soccer Picks:

08.11.2014  15:30  1.BL  Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayern München AHC +2,25 @ 1,87 (H) 0-4


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1860 München - Fortuna Düsseldorf

The last match before the national break in 2.Bundesliga this evening between 1860 Munich and Fortuna Düsseldorf. Both teams have a very good chance to take advantage of the results from the weekend. 1860 can climb up until place 11 with a win while Düsseldorf can jump back on second place and get closer to leader Ingolstadt who played only 3-3 yesterday. But first they have to win in Munich and they can close the gap to 3 Points what let them hope to overcome Ingolstadt till winter break.

After a long time and negative run 1860 Munich celebrated a 3-0 win in Bochum last weekend what was very important for them and their situation but nevertheless they want continue this way and go for the next win at home today. For this reason Coach van Ahlen counts on the same eleven who win in Bochum, this means that the youngsters Wittek and Wolf remain in the starting lineup. Also the two doubtful players Rama and Okotie are able to start although they had some problems with slight injuries last week. The other players Bedia and Rodri are still out longer, they are not able to return this year, therefore two more players on which Coach von Ahlen can not count.

Düsseldorf’s coach Reck has a lot more problems compared to the last game against Ingolstadt. He has to change a lot for today’s game because with midfield player Pinto, Schmitz and Bodzek are sure 3 starters not available. Bodzek was already not in the squad against Ingolstadt but he could not train and traveled not with the team to Munich anyway. In this case the central back will be field with Tah and Soares while Bellinghausen plays on the left back wing and replace there Schmitz. For the open place in midfield fight Halloran and Golley. For Pinto’s position in central midfield fighting Gartner and veteran Lambertz who both have some hope to play. In attack it is the same situation as in the past where Pohjanpalo and Hoffer are candidates for the last place in team. It is more as open and maybe a last minute decision from Reck.   

Greuther Fürth - Karlsruher SC

This match is very important for both, according to the table situation they can with a win close the gap a bit to the top and maybe be in the race of promotion if they continue this way. Nevertheless both have missed a lot this season and they are to average to stand in the top so far. Both failed many times and this is the outcome they have to life with it anyway.

 

One of the newspaper talked that Greuther Fürth is back after the 1-0 win in Berlin last weekend but it is a long way and they have to improve a lot. The winning goal was scored after a free kick and the fast action from Fürth's Przybylko. He was one step ahead of his opponent and finish this opportunity very well. Maybe it was also due to the change from Coach Kramer from 4-2-3-1 to 4-4-2 according to the not available player Sukalo. In attack played Zulj and Wurtz who made their things well and should have a good chance to start today again. This means that winning goal scorer Przybylko plays over the wing and Stieperman in central midfield. But Sukalo is back from suspension and this is also an option for Kramer but he has to change some again and it looks like that he let all the same from last match. The defensive line remain unchanged, the other positions are open, see above.

KSC Coach Kauczinski plans a lot of changes today after the last performances but he let all open and he does not say anything about the lineup he wants to field up today. The first option can be Kempe who returns on the back wing while youngster Max is out of the starting lineup. The next one can be Peitz and Meffert in central midfield while Yabo move forward to a offensive position. This means that Hennings who had a great game against his former club St. Pauli but against Sandhausen he was very weak last weekend and this maybe costs him the place in the starting lineup. Also Torres can be an option, for him Park is the first who is out then but he maybe gets a chance here again as they play against his former club and therefore he can be very motivated anyway. 

Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayern München

Normally this is a clear thing for Bayern Munich, if they want they win with a high margin here and know one expecting anything else but if you take a look in the stats it is not so easy for them there. They played over 40 matches there and they was not able to win more as 11 till now, ok some Cup successes not included but from the 11 they won there it was only 1 where they could beat the HC from -2 !!! One or two times it would have been void but most of the time of their 11 victories they won with a one goal margin. Of course, Bayern is a class over all in BL but sometimes they take the lead and stop playing and try to safe energy.

Ok Frankfurt has a lot of problems in recent games and they had also a lot of injured players. This makes the situation not as easy as Coach Schaaf wants. Again a lot of missing players with Djakpa, Valdez, Flum, Lanig, Trapp, Zambrano and Rosenthal. But they have to bring all their power on the pitch today for a big fight against a team who is normally not to beat. Nevertheless Coach Schaaf trying to put up a huge defensive minded team with a lot of defensive potential und up front they hope and trust Sefereovic and Meier.

It is more as open what starting lineup Coach Guardiola send on the pitch after the CL match under the week today. It looks like that Robben and Müller are back in team and maybe Ribery, Bernat or Götze gets a break. In defensive it is also possible for some changes like Dante for Benatia or for Boateng. Sure not available is Alaba who is a big miss now after his great performances in the past games. He can be replaced by former Frankfurt player Rode who is absolutely hot for this match. If Coach Guardiola counts not on him he must bring Höjberg who is the last alternative here. It is expected that Bayern plays as always with high ball possession and control the game very well. The missing on Munich side are Alaba, Starke, Reina, Schweinsteiger, Martinez, Badstuber, Thiago and Pizzaro.

Statistic:

- Since 2007 Eintracht Frankfurt could win only 1 of the 13 matches against Bayern (1-2-10).
- The only win was 2010 with 2-1 in a league match.
- From the last 4 matches on the road, Bayern won only 1 (2-0 in Cologne / 3 draws).
- But Bayern lost only 1 of the last 40 league away matches (32-7-0).
- This was last season 0-1 in Augsburg where they played with a mix team but failed there.
- Frankfurt lost the last 4 games, this happen almost one year ago too.
- Eintracht conceded already 19 goal in 10 matches, only 95/96 there were more with 23 !!!
- Both teams have a top scorer in their rows with Alexander Meier and Götze, both has 6 goals scored.
- Bayern could not score much in Frankfurt in the past, the last 4 games there they scored only 1 in each.
- The last two times they won there 1-0, and the goal was enough for them.
- In the other 4 games before they must come from behind as Frankfurt always took the lead.
- Frankfurt's Coach Schaaf has a bad record against the giant from Munich in home games.
- The last time Bayern Munich fall behind was against Augsburg last season where they lost.

Recommend PICK: Eintracht Frankfurt AHC +2,25 @ 1,87 (3 Units)

SV Darmstadt 98 - RB Leipzig

Both teams were promoted last season and they play a very good and solid season in 2.BL. Both have already 20 Points on their side and they are close to the top. Darmstadt is back in 2.BL after several years absent but they managed the battle against Bielefeld for their return into 2.BL while Leipzig was promoted directly. This is their first year in 2.BL every and they are doing a great job. The situation was clear last season because both matches won Leipzig with 1-0. Therefore the "Lilian" want revenge here and today. Also they want to continue their good home run and celebrate win number six with the fans today.

The team maybe remain unchanged compared to the last away game in Heidenheim where they got a Point. The only change maybe can be on the wing where Balogun has some muscle problems what means that Sirigu is back in the team. All the other players are hot and ready and therefore Coach Schuster can choose from a lot and well balanced squad. Important midfield player Gondorf was ill last match and he has not trained till Thursday, so it is more as open if he is in the starting lineup. He take place on bench also because the both Jungwirth and Behrens made their job very well against Heidenheim in central midfield. Also in attack made Sailer a good performance what makes a change impossible anyway.

After the harmless first half and the average second half from Leipzig against Kaiserslautern thinks Coach Zorninger over some changes. He was not very pleased with the performances and the style of play of some players. The first can be Teigl starts while Heidinger who played against Lautern there must on bench after his horrible performance. The next one is Kimmich who has a lot of problems at the moment with some injuries what makes the places free for Demme today. Also in attack it is more as open that Frahn starts, he has good years in Leipzig but he is far away from his best level at the moment and new signing Boyd is doing better and better in the past what makes sense to bring him beside best Leipzig player Poulsen.

Interesting encounter between two promoted teams who playing a great season so far.

1.FC Kaiserslautern - VfL Bochum

Floodlight time at „Betzenberg“ where Kaiserslautern hosts VfL Bochum. The home team can continue their run at home with 6 wins out of 7 matches (Cup match included) and with the next one they jump up to second place and put some pressure on the other teams around them what is very important at this period now. Only Düsseldorf was able to get a Point in Lautern where they lead long time but conceded in the end the equalizer. Bochum comes now to “Betzenberg” without a win in 7 games but they must try to be the first team who win there. According to table situation they must know that soon it can be the same as last season therefore they must invest all they have available now not to lose at least otherwise the situation is getting worse again.

All is prepared for the next win, Coach Runjaic has all the players from the last game in Leipzig ready again, only behind Löwe is a small questionmark after his light injury in this last game. If he must pass, his replacement is young Jean Zimmer who played already some matches on this position. Nevertheless it is planned to start with the same lineup and with the same system as recently practiced. Maybe a bit more offensive minded as in Leipzig but they basis is the same. If Coach Runjaic thinks about his starting lineup maybe he can decide to change the attackers. This means that Hofmann is replaced by Lakic and he must come from bench again. Hofmann has a great night in Cup against Fürth where he scored twice but was more as unlucky against Leipzig. And while Lakic is back after his slight back problems he can start here. Behind the only attacker playing three offensive minded players which were Stöger, Younes and Matmour in the last game and they were not so bad at all what means that they get a new chance today. Of course the alternatives are huge on these positions because with Gaus and Fomitschow they have two in the back who can replace one of the three mentioned above. The Coach can be very pleased with the options anyway.

A lot of troubles after the huge negative run from Bochum. Additional after the Cup knock out in Dresden and the heavy lose against 1860 last weekend. The supporters were not very pleased about the performance and they are very angry now. Against 1860 they want that they fire Coach Neururer and also the first keeper Luthe after his big mistake was one of the guys they are do not like anymore. They need some stabilizer in team but no one is there at the moment, they all have to do with themselves and the bad situation. Maybe the former Lautern player Simunek is one of these players who can lead the team but he is injured. Timo Perthel is back from injury and he can play for Holthaus here. No more other changes expected due to less alternatives now. The only change can be that Weis returns on bench again and Sestak plays in attack beside Terrode or behind him and Gregoritsch plays beside. Both options are possible. It is a change to a more fast style of play and go for counter attacks. 

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Week 44 !!!

I wanted to dedicate my Picks / Tips in an extra post. I update it always if I add something, it is only for a better view. All Picks can be seen under Betting History, Plan Picks or Tip of the Day additional. Of course, all Picks are verified !!!


German Soccer Picks:

31.10.2014  20:30  1.BL  FC Schalke 04 - FC Augsburg AHC -0,5 @ 1,95 (H) 1-0
01.11.2014  13:30  2.BL  1.FC Nürnberg - FC St. Pauli AHC -0,5 @ 1,88 (H) 2-2
01.11.2014  15:30  1.BL  Hamburger SV - Bayer Leverkusen AHC +0,5 @ 1,99 (H) 1-0
01.11.2014  15:30  1.BL  VfB Stuttgart - VfL Wolfsburg AHC +0,25 @ 1,85 (H) 0-4
01.11.2014  18:30  1.BL  Bayern München - Borussia Dortmund OVER 3 @ 2,03 2-1


PS: All bets are monitored from BA-Surveillance !!!

Bor. M'Gladbach - 1899 Hoffenheim

Both teams are riding the wave of success this season where both are unbeaten so far. Gladbach has shown last weekend that they are able to hold the pressure on Munich high and they were almost close to win this encounter if they had used one of their big counter attacks. Hoffenheim on the other side has their best season start ever in BL so far and they are looking forward to stay in the top of the table. Both teams have a lot of potential and they are able to replace some players as well. An interesting match up for today, if both want to be as close as they can to the leader Bayern, they must win this encounter.

At home Gladbach is hard to beat anyway as we know from last season. They play great from a compact defensive line but over their fast attackers like Hahn, Herrmann, Traore, Raffael and Kruse they are always able to create and get dangerous. Above all the fast actions from defensive to offensive is their biggest plus at the moment. The next key fact is that they have not only Raffael, Kruse, Herrmann or last year Arrango in offensive they have a much better and deeper squad this season with excellent players.

On the other side is Hoffenheim a team who has the offensive style in their blood already last season but they forgot the defensive work and conceded incredible 70 goals. This time they looked to strength the defensive line and signed very good players for this positions like keeper Baumann, defender Bigacic or midfield player Schwegler. All these guys are very important and they gave the team more stability in defensive and also put them on the next level. Up front they have and had a lot of potential with their young guns like Firmino, Volland, Elyannoussi, Schipplock or Modeste. The newest is there Szalai who is a great striker too. Coach Gisdol formed a really great team and they work very well together now what means that they are not so easy to beat but they are always dangerous to put some goals behind their opponents.


Statistic:

- Gladbach won only 2 of the 15 games against 1899 (2-5-8).
- They are winless since 3 games against 1899 now (0-2-1).
- Both teams have not lose a single game this season so far.
- This is the third time that BMG is unbeaten after 9 Rounds.
- The two times before they won the Title 70/71 and 76/77.
- BMG played 5 times on sunday and the result was always a draw.
- With Kruse they have the best scorer in their rows with 5 goals and 2 assist.
- 1899 missed the last three penalties all.
- They are very hard to beat on the road where they conceded only 2 goals this season.
- Additional to the good defensive line, they never fall behind on the road this season as well.
- Last season they conceded 70 !!! goals, but this season they are more compact.
- Both teams did not concede in the first 30 minutes of the game.
- 1899 played one time on sunday and this was also a draw at the end.


This is a top match between two teams who are on the same level at the moment. An interesting one and if I have to choose maybe here I think I want to put my cents on 1899 with the positiv HC on our side.

Bayern München - Borussia Dortmund

Here we have the big teams in a top match this evening. Bayern is already ahead of all the other although they talked a lot that they should have problems in the first half of the season. Dortmund is incredible weak and is nothing special at the moment. Above all in league they have a lot of problems but this time they can be much more focused and they are very hot. The big match against Bayern is always a kind of hot atmosphere and they want to continue their run in Munich, of course. They can hope for more space as they had in the past in some league games where all played very defensive minded. This can speak for their fast wings and players. And open up a lot of opportunities for their play anyway. On the other side Bayern want to be as dominant as they can and come over ball posession. We will see what system is the best.

Nevertheless it was not always a game with a lot of goals but this time it can be, above all Bayern is hot to score against Dortmund and on the other side they give a lot of space to Dortmund. Key is that Robben is back and this is the biggest option for Bayern in their play and also he loved to play against Dortmund in the past where he scored some important goals. Dortmund's defensive line is always good for goals as we have seen in the past. Bayern had a lot of luck and Neuer in Gladbach where Borussia showed how to crack Bayern with fast counter attacks but they did not find the net.


Statistic:

- The last time Dortmund stands on bottom half when playing Bayern was 1987 also november.
- But this match was won from Dortmund with 3-1.
- Since 4 games against Dortmund is Bayern winless, they are 0-1-3 against their biggest rival.
- The last big negative run was from 2003 till 2010 against Cologne (0-4-1).
- Bayern Munich did not concede a single goal before the break.
- Since last season they are 11 times without conceding in first half.
- Bayern won the last 7 home games with 24-3 goals.
- The last defeat was in April against Dortmund with 0-3.
- In the upcoming games in their Arena they won 10 draw 3 and lost none.
- They are 660 minutes without conceding a single goal in league now.
- Dortmund lost 4 times in a row now, this is the weakest run since 2000/01.

Recommend PICK: OVER 3 @ 2,03 (3 Units)

Hamburger SV - Bayer Leverkusen

The BL Dino had an awful last season and they had a lot of luck in relegation battle against Fürth. This was important to play again in highest league BL but they started again weak, changed the Coach and hope that they can turn things around and mistakes they made in the past they do not make again or in the future now. New strong man Beiersdorfer is working very hard and he gave Zinnbauer a new contract, he should be the man who brings HSV out of the danger zone. The players are there but he must form a team and they must work together. In the upcoming matches they must show that they can fight and bring their best available performance on the pitch to collect as much Points as they can.

The team from Leverkusen played great to beginning of the season but they have lost all their good play and also the style what Coach Schmitt likes. They are searching for the form at the moment and it was mega luck not to knock out of the Cup against a 4th league team from Magdeburg. If Bellarabi, Calhanoglu or Son do not have their best day it is hard for Leverkusen to be successful. They have a lot of work to do and must improve to the last games huge. In central midfield they have a lot of problems anyway because with Rolfes, Reinartz and Castro are almost all out. This can be that Bender must build up with Papadopoulos the double six. Also Jedvaj is suspended.

Statistic

- Hamburg won the last match 2-1 to Leverkusen but before 9 games winless against (0-4-5).
- HSV has the weakest offensive line with only 3 goals scored so far. (BL-Rekord)
- Calhanoglu plays the first time against his former club and it is not an easy and friendly welcome.
- Hakan was one of the important players for HSV last season to avoid relegation.
- Hamburg has only 6 Points collected, the weakest number they ever had.
- Since Leverkusen won 2-0 in Dortmund with fantastic football, they are winless on the road.
- But Bayer is unbeaten since 5 games in BL.
- The only defeat was in Wolfsburg 1-4 where Leverkusen was not on their best level.

The next match between two different teams, ok both played Cup under the week but Leverkusen has much more matches in their legs in the past weeks. Also they changed not much and give important players a rest. With the missing players in central midfield they have a problem too. HSV not the most inspire team but worth a shot.

Recommend PICK: Hamburger SV AHC +0,5 @ 1,99 (3 Units)

VfB Stuttgart - VfL Wolfsburg

It looks like we have two different teams on the pitch, Stuttgart very weak and Wolfsburg are aiming for a CL spot this season. But if you take a look a bit deeper it is clear, Stuttgart is average at home but showed an clear uptrend in the past two matches while Wolfsburg collected most of their Points at home but on the road they are average as well. Both have the same record and goals. This can be an interesting match anyway.

Stuttgart had a lot of troubles but after the Leverkusen game they showed a lot of moral and invested a lot. This can be such kind of match what bring the team in better position and they know they can turn matches around. The next big step was the match in Frankfurt where they played much much better but were down with one goal then the comeback but after they took the lead they conceded and conceded but in the end they are the lucky winner and they deserved the win there.
Coach Veh changes only one position in defensive where Rüdiger returns into startling lineup after he was rested in last match.

Of course Wolfsburg is a big number in BL this season but they showed it only at home and on the road they had some problems. Once again is Rodriguez out but he is replaced by Schäfer well above all in the last match he made a good one. In defensive line can be that Hecking change to a more defensive style with Jung instead of Vieirinha. The other thing can be the power as they played under the week Cup.

Statistic:

- Wolfsburg won the last 4 games against Stuttgart and scored in the last 14 against.
- Stuttgart has with 19 goals conceded the weakest defensive line beside Bremen (23).
- In the last 3 games they conceded alone 10.
- Never has VfB  so many goals conceded in this time, only 69/70.
- VfL Wolfsburg won the recent 4 BL games, 5 or more in a season only 2009 (10).
- Stuttgart has the best offensive line after the break with 11 goals scored beside Wolfsburg (10).
- 7 from the last 9 goals scored Stuttgart in second half.
- Stuttgart won only 1 of their last 5 home games in September 1-0 to Hannover.
- Stuttgart lost only 1 of the last 4 games and showed a really uptrend after the Leverkusen match.

Normally this is a clear one if you take a look on the teams but I am not sure about, VfB has a good uptrend while VfL played under the week had only weeks with two match in the past what means that they are more and more tired. The HC on VfB side can be a good choice in my eyes.

Recommend PICK: VfB Stuttgart AHC +0,25 @ 1,85 (3 Units)

1.FC Nürnberg - FC St. Pauli

In a hurry, no preview possible for this match !!!


Recommend PICK: 1.FC Nürnberg AHC -0,5 @ 1,88 (3 Units)