VfB Stuttgart - VfL Wolfsburg

It looks like we have two different teams on the pitch, Stuttgart very weak and Wolfsburg are aiming for a CL spot this season. But if you take a look a bit deeper it is clear, Stuttgart is average at home but showed an clear uptrend in the past two matches while Wolfsburg collected most of their Points at home but on the road they are average as well. Both have the same record and goals. This can be an interesting match anyway.

Stuttgart had a lot of troubles but after the Leverkusen game they showed a lot of moral and invested a lot. This can be such kind of match what bring the team in better position and they know they can turn matches around. The next big step was the match in Frankfurt where they played much much better but were down with one goal then the comeback but after they took the lead they conceded and conceded but in the end they are the lucky winner and they deserved the win there.
Coach Veh changes only one position in defensive where Rüdiger returns into startling lineup after he was rested in last match.

Of course Wolfsburg is a big number in BL this season but they showed it only at home and on the road they had some problems. Once again is Rodriguez out but he is replaced by Schäfer well above all in the last match he made a good one. In defensive line can be that Hecking change to a more defensive style with Jung instead of Vieirinha. The other thing can be the power as they played under the week Cup.

Statistic:

- Wolfsburg won the last 4 games against Stuttgart and scored in the last 14 against.
- Stuttgart has with 19 goals conceded the weakest defensive line beside Bremen (23).
- In the last 3 games they conceded alone 10.
- Never has VfB  so many goals conceded in this time, only 69/70.
- VfL Wolfsburg won the recent 4 BL games, 5 or more in a season only 2009 (10).
- Stuttgart has the best offensive line after the break with 11 goals scored beside Wolfsburg (10).
- 7 from the last 9 goals scored Stuttgart in second half.
- Stuttgart won only 1 of their last 5 home games in September 1-0 to Hannover.
- Stuttgart lost only 1 of the last 4 games and showed a really uptrend after the Leverkusen match.

Normally this is a clear one if you take a look on the teams but I am not sure about, VfB has a good uptrend while VfL played under the week had only weeks with two match in the past what means that they are more and more tired. The HC on VfB side can be a good choice in my eyes.

Recommend PICK: VfB Stuttgart AHC +0,25 @ 1,85 (3 Units)