Samstag, 2. Mai 2015

1899 Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund

Statistic:

- 25 days ago Dortmund won 3-2 after extra time in Cup against 1899.
- The last 3 matches against 1899 has won all Dortmund.
- But never won Dortmund both matches in a season, they won already the first game in Dortmund.
- The last 6 games against teams from the first half of the table has 1899 all lost.
- Dortmund conceded the most goals from all teams after corners (7).
- On the other side 1899 conceded not a single one after corner.
- Dortmund is the only team who has no player send off this season so far.


Of course, 1899 want revenge for the Cup knock out where they was an equal opponent and they were very close to advance to next round but it was only due to their bad scoring efficiency and the great shot form Kehl who let them not advance. The stats are all speaking for 1899 if you take a look in the last seasons and also if you take in mind that Dortmund had to go over 120 minutes + penalties to advance to the cup final. 1899 showed that they are able to hurt Dortmund and they are also able with their players to do this again and maybe get more of their opportunities finished this time. With Firmino and Volland they have two excellent players in their row who can hurt every opponent on a good day. Also the attackers with Modeste, Schipplock or Szalai up front are good enough here. The defensive line showed also that they can do a good job, although they had some problems lately. Nevertheless the race for European Spot is open for 1899 and with a win they can put the team above them under huge pressure. Therefore they need only to win ........

Very important game for Dortmund too. Ok, they are in Cup Final but they have to win the Cup to start for sure next season in Euro League. On the other side, if they lose the Cup final to Wolfsburg they have to be 7th in league and they are of course qualified for Euro League too. At the moment sit 1899 on the 7th place but only a few Points behind Augsburg and Schalke. Dortmund are not far away and with 4 Rounds to go, there are all chances of course. But can they get their tired legs ready for this encounter, and how fresh they are after a long and hard season with a lot of problems and injury worries. Maybe Coach Klopp can motivate his team here but what they showed in Munich was not much. They was far away from their best level and also from good and old times too. It was only due to the referee who let them back into the match and in the end it is more a coin toss if you have to go into the penalty shot out. They have the better end for them, good but if you take a look at the match, they never should have won this. I was not very pleased about the performance from some of the players from Dortmund. They looked not fresh and fit enough above all important Reus after his injury is not on the best level right now. In Midfield they had also some problems with Gündogan but he played beside Bender.

Overall this is a very close encounter to me, Dortmund is not such favorite here and they are far away from their best and their form from recent years. The season showed this and I believe that 1899 continue the way from recent years. They never lose two times in one season against Dortmund in league games. And at home they are always good and dangerous above all for spectacle maybe too. I am expecting at least a draw here.

Recommend Bet: 1899 Hoffenheim AHC +0,75 @ 1,87 (3 Units)

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