When the 4th meet the 7th we can expect a big match and also two teams which have to play for something in the end of the Season. But the case is much more different, Union has 17 Points to the top 3 already while St. Pauli is 8 Points behind 3rd Nürnberg and 11 to the top 2 teams. Normally the 4th fight until the end for promotion but this time it is not the case as the distance is to much and only 7 Rounds remaining. The top 3 dominating this league to heavy that some of the teams can have some hope to close the gap. If, they must have a real big run with winning almost all last 7 matches. For both clubs it is more the main fact that they bring this Season to a successful end. For the team from Hamburg was this Season already a big success after have a lot of problems last Season where they saved them very late. They overcome all estimations this time and can look forward to have a great Season final. On the other side Union was expecting much more and the main goal was place 1-6 where they are 1 Point behind to place 6. If they want to arrive the goal they should take an eye on the next matches.
After the winter break started St. Pauli very well and was able to collect 12 from 15 possible Points what put them very close to the top 3. But failing twice against Heidenheim and Paderborn knocked them out of the promotion race already because the top is walking on and on. They could get back on track before the national break with a clear 2-0 win to Sandhausen and hold the last possible hopes maybe alive. Compared to the last game Coach Lienen must changes one time because Kalla booked a yellow card and is suspended after his comeback. This puts Sobota back into the starting lineup after he must pass due to illness against Sandhausen. The other positions remain unchanged.
Union showed two faces in recent weeks with winning all of their last 5 home games but could not manage much on the road in this period. They got only a single Point from all of the last road games (against Kaiserslautern to begin of the new year). The last 3 they lost to Leipzig 0-3, Fürth 0-2 and bottom side Duisburg 1-2. To begin of the Season they had a lot of problems at home and had more success on the road but it has changed now. Also they had to change their Coach due to illness. Lewandowski left the club and his Co-Coach Hofschneider was advanced as Head Coach for Union.
Compared to the last home win to Braunschweig 3-1 the situation is not much better in squad so far. They miss a lot of player again like Kroos, Korte, Thiel, Schönheim and Skryzbski. Nevertheless these players are out for weeks now and Union must life with it. An important player is suspended with captain Kessel today too. This makes it more difficult for Hofschneider to find the right mix and balance in his starting lineup but with Parensen he has one player back from suspension who starts immediately for Redondo who is on bench then. On the other wing they hope that Trimmel can play after his injury and replace captain Kessel there. In offense are no changes expected and they can count on the successful offensive players this time again.
As written on top, both teams plays almost for nothing therefore the concentration can be a bit less and mistakes can happen anytime in the game what can open a lot of opportunities to see some goals in this encounter. The chance is really there and we are very pleased with the line.
PICK: OVER 2,5 @ 1,90 (3 Units / Flat Stake)
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