This encounter between the 1. and the 4. are no real top match according to the table has St. Pauli already 13 Points to leader Freiburg. This is too much 6 Rounds before the Season ends. The team from Hamburg could not hold the pressure high in the last weeks where they could win only 1 from 4 games and let them move away. The top 3 are to strong and they were winning too much in the last weeks to hold the gap as close as they can.
The team from Coach Streich running from win to win and they having almost the same great run as Nürnberg with 7 wins in a row. Despite the good run they can not take advantage as the rivals are winning and winning too. Maybe this can be a very close promotion fight until the Season ends. The last win to Fürth 3-2 on monday was a bit of luck as too many mistakes of Fürth allow them to score 3 easy goals and their defensive work was not the best anyway.
He was not very pleased with the performance and let the players feel this in training. He has to try something because with Höfler he has to replace the central midfield player suspended today. Some options are there with Stanko what means not more changes. If he count on Stenzel or Frantz there he has to bring a new central back into the team what let Torrejon or Mudzja moves in. Also in offensive he has to think about Niederlechner, Petersen and Philipp. Only 2 of the 3 guys are on the pitch, one of them sit on bench.
St. Pauli had the aim to hold the promotion race as open as they can but the last 0-0 to Union Berlin was a big disappointment for them and they are out for the race now. Nevertheless they played a great Season and they had not the trouble as last Season what is a big success anyway. Coach Lienen can be very pleased with his team and go into the last matches very relaxed. Maybe if the pressure is gone the team can show a better side as in the last games. But of course they play for important money because they get much more if their are coming in as 4. as some places down. The TV budget is also important for them above all for a club with less money.
The last lineup was what Lienen prefer last weekend but this time he has to replace some again. With Rzatkowski he has an guy with flue out and he travelled not with the team to Freiburg. Maier can be the first choice from Lienen here. In an interview mentioned Lienen also that they do not want to play a defensive minded system, no they want to be active and go for fast counter attacks to hurt SCF.
Again, the top team is walking on and showing great form while St. Pauli is on a downtrend and count not hold the gap close. Also they are not a team who can score much what can be a big problem against a team who has so much offensive power. Therefore the home side should win this one.
PICK: SC Freiburg AHC -1 @ 1,95 (3 Units / Flat Stake)
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