Sonntag, 22. Dezember 2013

Bor. M'Gladbach - VfL Wolfsburg

Wow what a season from Bor. M’Gladbach, they did really well and of course deserved the outcome so far. They are very close to third place Borussia Dortmund but they are only 3 Points ahead of Wolfsburg who put a lot of pressure on them now. Nevertheless they played really great at home and won all 8 matches so far while away from home they are with 2-2-4 a lot weaker. Despite the good run at home they played not so well in the past matches above all their offensive is a bit harmless at the moment and they created not so much as to beginning of the season. It is more they play their style, if they get a chance it is good, if not also good. This was seen to Freiburg and in Mainz already. Of course they can not fire from all guns every week and outplay all opponents but the players are not so fresh what I have seen. Coach Favre counts on all recent matches on the same lineup, of course, sometimes it is good but at the moment they do much to less and maybe changes can help to bring in some freshness in their play. The offensive line with Herrmann, Arrango, Raffael and Kruse is not so dangerous and create less as I mentioned already on the other side the defense stands well and did their job.

Also Wolfsburg did very well this season and they are one of the contenders of a international spot. This season they managed it to get better results above all at home where they lost a lot of Points last season, away it can be a bit better maybe. Overall with 29 Points they are close to a Champions League spot but should continue the winning way. First time after they won the title it looks like that they are able to play a good season and get in the end what they deserve according to their investments they made in the team. Coach Hecking has find a good and well balance starting lineup which do the job very well. The defensive looked very strong compared to last season and they do not have so many mistakes that they lose points here, the offensive do also very well and they are always abel to create some and get dangerous. They have the players in their row the crack every defensive in this league and also some in back if we consider that players like Perisic or Dost comes only from bench.

According to table situation it is a big match for both sides and I think that no team wants to lose here. Of course Gladbach has the better position and they can sit back maybe and take a look what is Wolfsburg able to bring on the pitch today. But they should not forget that they did this also in their last away match in Mainz and they never find a way back into the match, and got only a 0-0 draw there. I wrote it already that the offensive power is a bit lost and maybe the players are tired of Galdbach, this can be the case again today. I see Wolfsburg as a bit better and they have more freshness and should be much more motivated to get even with Gladbach in table. On the other side Gladbach can use the defeats from Dortmund and Leverkusen to climb up. I expect a close and even match where both are satisfied with a draw in the end maybe. The line changed already to +0,25 for Wolfsburg but I see a good chance for them here, Gladbach has a clean record 8-0-0 at home and this can be the first time they lose points. Wolfsburg my choice here. GL

Recommend Bet: VfL Wolfsburg AHC +0,25 @ 2,04 (3 Units)

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