Samstag, 21. März 2015

SC Freiburg - FC Augsburg

Statistic:

- FC Augsburg won all of the last 3 BL games against Freiburg.
- But in the first 4 BL matches could they not win one against SCF (0-2-2).
- In 6 of their 12 road games could Augsburg not score a single goal.
- Only Hamburg (6) scored less as Augsburg (8) in road games.
- They lost 3 of their last 4 road games anyway, only in Dortmund 1-0.
- Augsburg lost 11 times already although they are under the top teams, SCF also 11 and is on bottom.
- The 8 road defeats are the most, only HSV has the same number.
- With the 0-3 defeat in Wolfsburg it was the third lose in a row for SCF now.
- 4 defeats in a row happened never under Coach Stretch so far.
- After 25 Rounds, FCA has already 38 Points on their side, never more in history to this time.
- Since 14 Rounds is Augsburg under the top 6 but they lost a lot recently, the advantage is gone.


A very hard season for Freiburg right now above all their table situation is not the best anyway. If they want to jump over the line they have to start winning immediately. Normally they are very conform with the situation and they know how to handle it and producing no stress or pressure as they are almost every year involved in relegation battle. Therefore Coach Streich has to prepare his team for the next match very well and hope that the team is able to bring all the trained things like compactness and passing style on the pitch. This can be a very good basis for the encounter against Augsburg where they are not unable to get anything, also the next match after the national break against Cologne once again at home can be a good opportunity. With these two matches ahead in their small stadium what can be a slight advantage anyway it is more as possible that they collect Points. In defensive they have to change again as with Torrejon is a central back suspended but he has not the best level at recent matches, therefore not a big lose. The biggest news are coming from the injury list, most of the players are back and trained this week above all the offensive players Petersen and Dähli. Both can be a good option to come from bench and give the offensive play from Freiburg fresh power in the end.

After a very good season and the win against Wolfsburg Augsburg was talking the first time from an European spot but maybe it was the wrong sign for the team. The pressure with such statement is getting bigger and with this they have to live now. Above all if you take a look on their schedule they have. With almost all teams from the bottom half it is maybe an easy one on paper but if you take a look at their style of play it is a hard one. None of these teams are willing to control the game and all are more focused on defensive what is very important for bottom teams. Also they try to be as compact as they can and this is the key against Augsburg. It was easy for Augsburg to create chances against Wolfsburg because they had the space they need for their players like Werner, Caiuby or Bobadilla. No one of these are able to break through with dribbling against 3-4 opponent players and this was seen against Mainz very well. Mainz played extremely compact and allowed not much space for Augsburg and this hurt FCA. According to this play from Mainz, FCA was not able to create much as they are too harmless against deep defending teams. They have not the strength and for this reason Coach Weinzierl has to find Plan-B. If he is ahead of this situation with only one trainings week, we doubt.

Big fight above all Freiburg are working hard on this match and they are for sure not so far away against a team who has not the best time on the road. If Freiburg can control the game and give not too much space away they are absolutely in a position to win this encounter. All the weapons are back, if on bench or on the pitch as starter and should give the team an additional boost. I trust Freiburg here with a positive HC on our side. 

Recommend Bet: SC Freiburg AHC +0,25 @ 1,86 (3 Units)

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