Merry Christmas & happy New Year !!!

I wish all of my visitors, followers, friends and partners

a merry, peaceful and blessed Christmas and a happy,

healthy and successful New Year 2015 !!!

Merry Christmas

and

a happy New Year 2015 !!!

RB Leipzig - 1860 München

This is the last match 2014 in Germany what takes place in Leipzig. The last match of the year is important for both. The situation is as follows. The newcomer has the chance to close the gap from 5 Points to the promotion places to 2 Points with a win while 1860 can leave the red zone with a draw and overcome Aalen there.

In Leipzig are a lot of problems in the past games above all in offensive they had trouble but Coach Zorninger has his most important player back this evening. Yussuf Poulsen is absolutely key player for Leipzig and after his absent the offensive do not exist, they produce nothing and were not dangerous as well. Beside him is expected captain Frahn who is not in his best shape because he searches for his form the whole season already. Behind both plays Kaiser and all three should build up the magic triangle which was key in their promotion season.  Also midfield player Kimmich is ready again after his injury and it speaks a lot that almost the same starting lineup stands on the pitch as to promotion season. Only Jung is suspended after his yellow red card against Aalen in the last game. Probable they change a bit on the back wings, Heidinger move from the right to the left while Teigl comes in for the last open position in the starting lineup.

The situation is worse in Munich and they have to improve a lot but their play is awful and they can not create much or put any pressure on the opponent. Maybe it can be better if they play away as they must not be so active and make the match. Coach von Ahlen is still on bench after 3 wins and 8 defeats in the past, maybe his first draw under the week 1-1 to Kaiserslautern helped him. But it is very uncertain if he is on the sideline in new year again. Nevertheless they have to make the best today and for this he can count on his captain Schindler in central back again. This means that Kagelmacher must on bench but he is even unstable and not a big lose here. More a problem are the absent from injured Rama and suspended Stark. Both can be replaced by Claasen who had a good performance against Kaiserlsautern after he came in, the other player is Weigl who is back from suspension and can help the team again. Overall there are not many alternatives left on bench what makes it not much easy for von Ahlen as the pressure on starting eleven are not high from bench players. 

1.FC Kaiserslautern - SV Sandhausen

Despite the wins form all their opponents above the take Kaiserslautern stands under pressure today because they must win this one that they can close the gap to one Point. This is very important according to the start next year, otherwise they have to run behind and they have invest a lot of power then what is not a available in the end and they have also to hope that the opponents fail. But they can count on their home castle where they got 21 from 27 Points and they are unbeaten there. The opponent Sandhausen was not so successful on the road, they were only able to get 7 Points in 8 matches. Also they conceded a late lose against Darmstadt under the week 1-2. Therefore they have to look back a bit as the team behind coming closer and this means that they are sooner or later involved again in relegation battle if they do not collect some Points.

Coach Runjaic must changes his team because Jenssen got injured and he must be replaced. Compared to the last match in Munich 1-1 to 1860 he must change in central midfield. Jenssen played beside Karl but this time Karl got a new partner. This means that Demirbay moves back but it is a doubt as he has some illness in the last days. If he can not play Runjaic is thinking to move Orban form central back forward as partner from Karl there and bring Heubach in for the open position in central back. But if Demirbay can play we have an open position in offensive what makes more sense to bring there Younes or Matmour who can make some dribbling and bring a lot of danger with their agile play. Nevertheless he can play also with two strikers but this is not in his mind. He counts more on one attacker and a compact midfield behind.

The situation was getting better in Sandhausen but their injury list is still long with Achenbach, Hübner, Jim Patrick Müller, Zillner and Max Müller. It is also a big doubt that the injured players return who was not in the squad against Darmstadt under the week. These were with former Kaiserslautern player Wooten, Thiede and Striefler also some important guys. The best chance for a place in the squad has Wooten who was ill but he is only on bench first. Striefler has some shoulder problems but is maybe also ready while Thiede must be replaced from Bieler again. Bieler was the man in first match against Kaiserslautern with his late equalizer 1-1. For sure in the squad and in the starting lineup is Paqarada who was suspended against Darmstadt. This is a big plus for the defensive line form Sandhausen as he made the job very well and they have only him available on this position.

I am very pleased with the home performance and strength from Kaiserslautern, therefore I am taking them. It is because Sandhausen is a weak traveller and they were not in good shape against Darmstadt. He backed them there but they were not able to get as dangerous as they can although they hold long a draw. The biggest problem for them is to score what should be a must if they want to get here anything. With only 8 goals scored in 8 games on the road it is hard to get much. The supporters from Kaiserslautern are also great and they push the team very well.

Recommend PICK: 1.FC Kaiserslautern AHC -1,25 @ 1,81 (3 Units)

Sunday Matches 1.BL

Hertha BSC Berlin - 1899 Hoffenheim

Statistic:

- Hertha was with two goals up in Frankfurt but conceded in 68 seconds 2 goals to end up 4-4.
- This is a new record in BL and they are the only team who failed in such a situation at minute 89.
- Hoffenheim conceded in their last 7 matches incredible 18 goals.
- In the first 7 matches it was only 9 !!!!
- 1899 lost all their last 3 road trips, this happened last 2012/13.
- On the road Hoffenheim scored only 5 !!! goals while at home they had 19 times the feeling.
- Hertha BSC is very effective as they are using 70% of their big chances, league high !!!
- But they have the weakest percentage man against man with only 47,1% won.

SC Freiburg - Hannover 96

Statistic:

- Hannover kept a clean sheet under the week, this was their 7th and they have already 1 more as last S.
- H96 striker Joselu scored in his 4th match in a row now. He never had such a run before.
- He is the best scorer from Hannover with 6 goals so far.
- Keeper Bürki from Freiburg has the second most contacts on Ball with 951 from his team, amazing.
- Freiburg lost only 1 of the last 6 against Hannover (3-2-1).
- But H96 has a very good average on Points against Freiburg, despite the awful run at the moment.
- Defender Sane was the man for H96 in last game, he scored the leading goal and was very present.
- Freiburg played with 5 defenders in Munich, this time he move back to 4-4-2 for sure.

Week Performance !!!

Dear Sports Fan, Tipster, Investor,

I want to give away a special offer for the People around here.

1 month = 35 Euro

All Season = 150 Euro

I think this is a fair price, you can expect around 100+ Picks and this means that you pay only 2 Euro for each. 

For support and Pick delivery I stay in touch with all members via E-Mail or Skype.

Be on the right side, be a Winner. Follow German Soccer Insider.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Week 50 !!!

I wanted to dedicate my Picks / Tips in an extra post. I update it always if I add something, it is only for a better view. All Picks can be seen under Betting History, Plan Picks or Tip of the Day additional. Of course, all Picks are verified !!!


German Soccer Picks:

16.12.2014  20:00  1.BL  Hannover 96 - FC Augsburg AHC 0 @ 1,80 (H) 2-0
17.12.2014  17:30  2.BL  Erzgebirge Aue - 1.FC Nürnberg OVER 2,25 @ 1,83 0-1
17.12.2014  17:30  2.BL  SV Sandhausen - SV Darmstadt 98 AHC +0,25 @ 1,88 (H) 1-2
17.12.2014  20:00  1.BL  Bor. M'Gladbach - Werder Bremen OVER 3 @ 1,83 4-1
17.12.2014  20:00  1.BL  Eintracht Frankfurt - Hertha BSC Berlin OVER 2,75 @ 1,82 4-4
20.12.2014  15:30  1.BL  Bayer Leverkusen - Eintracht Frankfurt OVER 3 @ 1,65 1-1
20.12.2014  15:30  1.BL  Werder Bremen - Borussia Dortmund AHC +1 @ 1,93 (H) 2-1
21.12.2014  13:30  2.BL  1.FC Kaiserslautern - SV Sandhausen AHC -1,25 @ 1,81 (H) 1-0


PS: All bets are monitored from BA-Surveillance !!!

Werder Bremen - Borussia Dortmund

Before Christmas Bremen has to invest all that they can leave the bottom of the table and the chance is their opponent are only 1 Point above them, therefore with a win they can overcome Dortmund and bring them in a very difficult situation over the winter break. At home they are much stronger as on the road and they were only beaten from Cologne 1-0 and Schalke 3-0, all the other matches they draw or won. The most important Point here is that they are able to come back after the fall behind as they showed in some games already. What is also very clear, if they do not score, they lose as we saw in both results above. With Di Santo, Prödl are two important players are not available, Caldirola is suspended after the red card against Gladbach but it not such important here. New Coach Skripnik counts more on youngsters as on experienced players and they did a good job so far. They are still fresh and unstressed and have the motivation to show their strength. Also playmaker Junuzovic is in good form above all his free kicks are great and he is always able to score at the moment. If they can play as compact as they can and go for some good counter attacks they can hurt Dortmund here anyway.

Wow, what a downfall from Dortmund, they are only 1 Point above the bottom and Christmas seems to be a bad one for them this year. All talk that they are to strong and their squad is to good that they get relegated but only talking help not much and bring no Points. They have to improve a lot if defensive or offensive. Once again Klopp has to change his defensive line as with Subotic is the next defender out suspended. For him is Ginter the last man they have available for defensive after Socrates is out too. In offensive hurts that Reus and Micky is out while Immobile and Ramos are searching for their form and maybe do not know the system from Klopp anyway. Both need time but the time is not there above all in such a critical situation. Away from home they scored only 8 goals in 8 matches but conceded already 15 !!! Too many mistakes allow not more, it was also against Hertha or Wolfsburg where they missed a lot of their potential.

Statistic:

- Dortmund has not problems in the last 6 matches, they won all and have scored 16 goals.
- Before this 6 wins, Dortmund had a hard time against Bremen and they won only 2 in a row.
- Dortmund is playing their weakest season ever since 87/88.
- Also Bremen was only one time weaker 74/75 at as the moment.
- Bremen conceded in both last home games against Dortmund 5 goals.
- This happened never, if Bremen or Dortmund played, or any other club.
- Dortmund collected in the last 7 road games only 1 of the possible 21 Points.
- BvB is with only 4 Points the weakest team on the road.
- Aubameyang is top scorer in BL with 18 Points beside De Bryne from Wolfsburg.

I said it already, talking is one thing but the key is on the pitch. The heads from Dortmund's players are not free for this battle in my eyes and the HC from +1 is huge for an relegation battle. The bookmakers are all meaning that this is the same Dortmund from last season or last years, never. They have huge problems at the moment and although Bremen is not good too I can not see them losing here with 2 goals or more. Bremen at home is able to score and this is what they must reach then Dortmund collapse as in the most matches recently.

Recommend PICK: Werder Bremen AHC +1 @ 1,92 (3 Units)

Bayer Leverkusen - Eintracht Frankfurt

The "Werkself" from Leverkusen playing a good season, they go through the group phase in CL while aiming to get the next CL spot this season. The position is good and they are very close behind 2nd placed team from Wolfsburg, in this case all is possible for them. Some key players from Leverkusen are in great form. Above all the offensive is great with free kick hero Calhanoglu,  quick Son and Bellarabi and striker Kießling up front. They have a lot of potential for goals and at home they have already scored 17 in 8 games what is a good number. The defensive play is well but also a big shaky and in some times are hard above all Spahic is a robust player who is always near a yellow or red card. They had also some luck in recent matches but this is the business anyway.

The team with the most spectacle at the moment is Frankfurt, they score and concede like hell. The team from Coach Schaaf is always very offensive minded and as I wrote already under the week with Meier and Seferovic they have two good attackers who are always dangerous. You never know but if they get the chance they use it. Also the wings are working hard and creating a lot. The only big miss is Aigner who got the 5th yellow card against Hertha and is out here. He must be replaced, Piazon maybe is the next one who comes in and get a chance here. The defensive line is very unstable and they produce mistakes after mistakes. Above all after free kicks they are very easy to beat, what Hertha BSC showed who scored 3 goals after free kicks or corners. The defensive is getting not much better as they have to change here too, because Russ was injured and replaced by Madlung against Hertha already but he has an awful day.


Statistic:

- Goals are there for sure in this encounter !!!
- This encounter take place the 59th in BL and it ends never 0-0, we have an average from 3,1 goals.
- Leverkusen has scored 96 goals against Frankfurt, they need 4 more for 100 and the next brand.
- Bayer is unbeaten since 12 home games (6-6-0), only Wolfsburg is longer unbeaten (13 games).
- If Frankfurt stand on the pitch the average on goals is 4,13 and clear the highest number in BL.
- On the other side Leverkusen is doing well, they conceded never more as 1 goal in the last 10.
- Frankfurt has the best goalgetter in their rows with Meier who scored already 12, 2 under the week.
- With Kießling, Son, Bellarabi has Leverkusen some very good options in offensive in their rows.

Both team are more as able to score, I am very confident that this happen above all with the free kicks from Calhanoglu what should be a key fact in this game after Frankfurt is very weak after such situations at the moment. On the other side the counter attacks from Frankfurt are always hard to defend and if they come in rolling they are unstoppable with Meier and Sefereovic. Also Stendera can play good free kicks or corners what is also a good weapon for Frankfurt. This match has the most potential for goals !!!!

Recommend PICK: OVER 3 @ 1,65 (3 Units)

Fortuna Düsseldorf - Union Berlin

The last weeks were only average for Düsseldorf where they could only collect 4 Points from the last 5 matches. Compared to the weaker weeks they have to improve and bring home the last match to have a good position for the start next year. But it would be not an easy game as with Union comes a team to Düsseldorf who is inform and has collected some Points and showed a really uptrend. Union has won 5 of their last 9 games and they are aiming to climb up more after an awful season start.

Düsseldorf’s Coach Reck has to change some compared to the last game in Braunschweig where they lost 0-1. Above all in central midfield he has two players not available with Pinto who saw his fifth yellow card and is suspended here and it was only a short comeback after a long injury but they have to life with it now. The next one is Avevor who got injured and is out, of course. For this reason the places must be field new and the candidates are Gartner and Bodzek, both are solid players and they know the position well, have they played several times there. The other move is that Bellinghausen plays on left back wing while weak Liendl take the open position as offensive wing. Otherwise after the last awful performances Liendl must on bench maybe. A big surprise was additional that Benschop sit only on bench against Braunschweig but this time he comes back into the starting lineup, also the again fit striker Pohjanpalo is ready. In this case Hoffer and Erat are both out of the starting lineup. 

Union is doing well and the self confidence is back what they need in Düsseldorf today. Coach Düwel has made some good decisions in the past and he let play all his excellent defenders. For this reason he let the third play on the back wing with Schönheim. This time it can be some rotation because with Trimmel is the left back wing out suspended and this means a new defensive line. We have some ideas how Düwel can field his line. Puncec can move from central back to the right wing while Schöheim move into the middle and play beside Leistner while Parensen takes the position on the left wing. In offensive there are no changes expected but if the injured Thiel can give his ok it is not sure if Düwel counts on Skrzybski or Thiel. Whatever he decides both have the class for fast counter attacks and this is what Union tries today.  

FSV Mainz 05 - Bayern München

The starts was average as they was not able to came into the EL Group phase. After this the season started better and they was on a good way but in the last games they showed nothing special and they had a lot of problems in defensive and also in offensive. They are not so strong as to begin and this is maybe only one man who was the key for them. With Hofmann who came on loan from Dortmund was Mainz much better and he was their key player. After he got injured the problems arrived in Mainz. Against Bayern it is clear that they want to play more defensive minded and also bring one more defensive player in the starting lineup. This can be a defensive line with 5 defenders and a compact midfield with only one striker up front.

Bayern is rolling through the league and they are overcoming all their opponents easy. Of course the potential is huge and the players in their squad are great. In the last weeks Rode did a great job and he is fresh and have the power to walk on while the others have some problems above all in last game against a very defensive playing Freiburg. The batteries are empty but they have to go one time for the win and invest all they have available then they can go into a well deserved break to fresh up and come back stronger again. With Lewandoswki, Alonso and Benatia have they some players doubtful. For them Boating, Shakiri and Schweinsteiger can come into the starting lineup. As mentioned this is the last time Ribery, Robben, Götze and Müller have to push in offensive while the defensive should have not problems against a very limited Mainz offense.

Statistic:

- Against no other team lost Mainz so often as to Bayern Munich (11 times).
- And they conceded a lot of goals too with 43.
- Bayern conceded only 3 goals in the first 16 league matches this season.
- This is a new record for Bayern, former hero was VfB Stuttgart with 4 goals in Season 03/04.
- Mainz did not win since 8 league games and they scored less (6) as to begin of the season (12).
- They conceded also more (14) as to begin of the season (7).
- Both teams are the only one in BL who conceded not a single goal after counter attacks.

Eintracht Frankfurt - Hertha BSC Berlin

Eintracht Frankfurt won 2 matches in a row and they are doing very well, they are always able to score some goals above all the duo Meier and Seferovic is working very good together. Also the offensive wings with Aigner and Stander has the pace to create some dangerous situations. Coach Schaaf has found his lineup now and this is a good sign for Frankfurt. Although they lost in Hoffenheim they are on a good way. Hildebrand is in goal again after Wiedwals and Trapp got injured but nevertheless it is not such a weak points anyway. The only thing is that the defensive line allow some and this is a good sign for goals.

The team from Berlin Hertha won against Dortmund and come to Frankfurt with some self confidence in their bag what should help them to continue the way and get some points against the relegation battle. After Luhukay move back to Schieber in attack the team is doing better again. This means that Kalou is again on bench while the fast Ben Hatira and Beerens should assist him. In defensive they looked better in the past but against the power from Frankfurt's offensive they can get some problems here.

Statistic:

- Hertha won 25 of 52 BL games against Frankfurt.
- After winning against Dortmund 2-0 and Bremen 5-2 Frankfurt is able to win third time.
- 3 wins in a row is long time ago, about 7 years now.
- Only Schalke has with 21% a better number to score as Frankfurt with 19% and Hertha 18%.
- Alexander Meier scored already 10 goals and he is on fire at the moment.
- Schaaf like to play against Hertha, he won 15 times as Coach already against them.
- If Frankfurt take the lead against Hertha, they won ....
- The last two games were won by 7-2 goals from Eintracht.
- Frankfurt conceded already 10 goals in the last 15 minutes of the game.
- Hertha lost 4 of their last 5 road trips.

I am sure that both score here and the third goal is not far away above all Frankfurt has a lot of potential at the moment what make me very confident here.

Recommend Bet: OVER 2,75 @ 1,82 (3 Units)

Bor. M'Gladbach - Werder Bremen

This encounter produce goals and this time the situation is clear that there are goals again. The offensive is working very well for Gladbach and they have the weapons all ready for this encounter. With the strong and fast lineup up front like Hahn, Kruse, Herrmann and Rafael they can create a lot and I am sure that they can beat this weak defensive line from Bremen who allow a lot in recent games. After conceding 3 against Hannover and in the last 2 road games 7 the situation is not solved for Bremen in some days, so they must continue the way they can and this is to be as good as they can. With Prödl they have an important defender out what makes the things not much easy for them anyway. Also keeper Wolf was injured and he is maybe fit again and is back in goal, otherwise the young Strebinger must play again what is also a key fact. In attack Coach Skripnik put up some youngsters in the past and they play fresh without any pressure and helped them in last games to get a points, this can maybe be a good sign that they can overcome Gladbach in some situations as well as they are very quick.

Statistic:

- Bremen has won only 1 of the last 9 BL games with Gladbach (1-2-6).
- This happened 2010 in October when they won 4-1.
- Bremen has collected 2 Points in their last 15 road games if they face a top 4 team.
- The last win was again 2010 when they could win in Schalke 2-0.
- Gladbach allowed 243 shots on their goal already, this is league high.
- But they conceded only 13 goals what is the second best number after Bayern Munich.
- With 1,67 Points / game is Skripnik best Werder Coach since Rehagel 1,79.
- From the last 12 BL home games lost Gladbach only 1 - 1-3 to Frankfurt some weeks ago.
- Their record at home is 7-4-1 at the moment.
- Gladbach won already 26 times against Bremen at home.
- There were only 1 goalless draw in the last 38 matches, goals expected here !!!
- Bremen lost the last two on the road and conceded a high from 7 goals in these games.

I like the match up here, Gladbach with great offensive can score while Bremen has problems in defensive and their defensive play. This speaks for goals and therefore I put the pick up here.


Recommend Bet: OVER 3 @ 1,83 (3 Units)

Erzgebirge Aue - 1.FC Nürnberg

The second half of the season begins now and for Aue it is important to get most Points as they can before the winter break. They have to improve a lot and try to come out of the danger zone and the bad situation they are now. The gap should be not to big to have a chance to avoid relegation what looks hard at the moment. On the other side Nürnberg coming to Aue with a lot of self confidence and motivation. After two wins in a row they have hope to get back in promotion fight but for this they have to win here again. Nevertheless under new Coach Weiler they won 3 of the 4 matches and showed a really uptrend.

Aue’s Coach Stipic has still the trust although he got only 3 Points from the last 7 winless matches. For today he maybe count on the same lineup as against Heidenheim where the team did a great job but was not able to reward them as they waste with their good opportunities they had. In the last match Stipic tried to put up a very offensive minded team with only one central midfield player and an offensive row with 4 players. In this formation they played well and he wants to try this again today. They get more attempts on goal and if they are more consistent they score more. If their opponent allows again so many opportunities must be seen but they try it at least.

With the second win on the road last weekend the hope comes back to Nürnberg to get back into promotion race if they continue like the last games. The trust in their strength is back anyway but they should win both of the last games to start the attack in February to the top. Coach Weiler did a great job and he brought the team forward but it must be seen for a longer period now, not only for 3-4 matches. He has to change the starting lineup as with Bulthuis the back wing is out suspended and for him is Pinola the first option to start here. All the other positions remain unchanged after the last successful game. Although midfield player Koch has some weak games in the past, he remains in starting lineup. All eyes look on former Aue player Sylvestr who scored already the winning goal in first game when Nürnberg won 1-0. He wants to hurt his old team mates again and help his new team.

According to the offensive style from Aue now and the good form from Nürnberg it is not so obvious that this encounter see goals. The line is set a little bit lower here what makes it interesting for me. For this reason I put up a bet on OVER here.

Recommend Bet: OVER 2,25 @ 1,83 (3 Units)

SV Sandhausen - SV Darmstadt 98

Sandhausen has 20 Points on their side and they are looking forward to remain in 2.BL and go into their 4th year there. For this they have to collect some more Points above all before the break that the pressure is getting not to big if the season starts again in February. According to table situation they are only 5 Points ahead of the red zone and this is not much at the moment, a bad run can turn things around immediately. Their opponent is one of the surprise teams this season beside Ingolstadt. After Darmstadt got promoted in two incredible games against Bielefeld they are doing a great job there. The team is close to the top with 29 Points and can with a win climb up to second place what is amazing. After a long run without a win away from home they got the first one last weekend against bottom team St. Pauli. Of course they want to continue and go for the next one after 6 draws and only 1 defeat on the road.

After 3 successful games with 5 Points Sandhausen’s Coach Schwartz plans not many changes if system or personal. Only on the left back wing he has to change as with Paqaranda is a player unavailable suspended. This means that he has to search for the right replacement as with Achenbach is the next player injured not ready. The candidates are Kister, Knoll and Pfertzel for this position but the experience speaks clear for Pfertzel here. Some more options are in the squad as with Jovanovic returns a striker after long injury time but he is on bench first also Adler is on bench but a great option for the game in running.

It would be not a big surprise if Coach Schuster trusts his successful eleven from Hamburg who managed the first away win. For the injured Kempe who is out for the rest of the year played Ivana there on the wing and he made his job well. For him can play also youngster Biada and Sirigu but it is not need and in this case Schuster wants to change as less as he can and allow his well balanced team a good feeling as all know what to do.

I expect a close match here, both teams are hard to play. Sandhausen lost only 1 of the last 7 and at home they are much stronger as on the road. Of course Darmstadt is high flying but on the road they won only 1 from 8, this was last weekend when they beat St. Pauli 1-0 but they showed nothing special in this game and it was only due to a big fault from Pauli’s defender Sobiech who allowed them the winning goal. On the other side they are hard to beat with only 1 defeat on the road but they never were favorite on the road and against a hard fighting Sandhausen I doubt that they should be favorite here. For this reason I have to take the home side …… 

Recommend Bet: SV Sandhausen AHC +0,25 @ 1,88 (3 Units)

Hannover 96 - FC Augsburg

We can expect a big match here. Hannover had some problems with their defensive where they had a lot to do and they conceded a lot of goals as written below. They have to improve in this part of the team and Coach Korkut has to work on it anyway. In offensive they are not so bad and they are scoring like hell, Hoffenheim 3, Wolfsburg 1, Bremen 3 .... these are all not bad numbers. The offensive is still working. The only think they have to work is that they must be more compact as in some of these matches. They are known for their home strength above all in recent years where they were very hard to beat in their home stadium, this season they have already three defeats but it was against Wolfsburg, Leverkusen and Gladbach who are all above Hannover and they have much more class as they at the moment. This match is a different one and they can get back on track at home after two defeats in a row. No fresh injuries, therefore they can count on the same like last weekend.

Wow wow wow, what a run from Augsburg, they were unbeaten in 5 home games which they won all in a row and they won also the last two road games with a bit of luck. Nevertheless they have the Points on their side and they can look forward to get as most as they can because they talk only to avoid relegation, if they have reached this goal, they can look for new aims this season but at the moment they want only reach the 40 Points as far as they can. The fighting spirit is big and they team is working well but can they continue in the last days of the year. They had a good first half against Bayern but in second half after the first goal Bayern was one or two step to high for them. Coach Weinzierl is an excellent coach and he put up some good systems and the players follow him blind. This is all very good but after the luck in Stuttgart where a man was send off and also a penalty for them to win the match who was doubtful, also in Cologne they had a really bad first half but won in the end after a reflected shot. Of course you have to work hard to bring luck on your side but it was there huge .......

Statistic:

- Augsburg is on the way to a new record but they need 4 Points from the last 2 games.
- The best number was 28 Points where they avoid relegation and overcome Düsseldorf 13/14.
- Augsburg won never against Hannover so far, they are 0-3-3.
- Hannover conceded in the last 4 league games 3 goals or more.
- This happened last time 1988 when they had such a run, also 4 matches in a row.
- If Augsburg take the lead they do not give away any point so far.
- If Hannover take the lead they give away only two Points, the same number as giant Bayern.
- Both Coaches are very young or they are the youngest in BL (Korkut 40 and Weinzierl 39).
- Both made their license at same time 2010/11.


Although Augsburg is a taff opponent I am sure that Hannover 96 lose again at home. They are losing 2 in a row and Augsburg won two i a row .... Augsburg invest a lot and the power should be not there again for a big fight. If H96 can control Baier in midfield who is important for Augsburg's play and also the wing Werner they have good chances to win this one. I like Hannover DNB here and I am sure that they do not lose this one again at home.

Recommend Bet: Hannover 96 AHC 0 @ 1,80 (3 Units)

Bayern München - SC Freiburg

After the weekend is clear that Bayern Munich is the half time Champion in "Bundesliga". They are walking through the league and no one can stop them. Before the season many have talked that they are not so strong because after the World Cup most of their players are tired and need some time if they are back to normal level. They expect a lot of problems until the winter break, but where are the problems? They are not there, they win and win and win and also the defensive line is absolutely unbeatable. They conceded only 3 in 15 matches now. Hard to believe but this strength from Bayern is incredible this season. They are maybe stronger as last year and all what Guardiola do or did is going into success. It is not out if he wants to play again with he strongest available lineup or rotate a bit for this encounter but they are not weaker anyway. In the last games Rode made a really good performance and is an absolutely alternative for Guardiola now. Also Schweinsteiger is back after long injury. Of course, they have a few out with Lahm, Thiago, Alaba, Martinez, Pizarro ..... but if they are back .......

In Freiburg they are always fighting against relegation, of course some seasons they are doing very well but for this all must be build up well and all the signed players must play a good role in their system. This time Coach Streich said that after they lose some players in summer that they play against relegation and he was right. They have a lot of problems above all the offensive is harmless and they need to many attempts for a goal or in defensive they make to many easy mistakes what lead to goals. The structure is good there but they are only a hard working small club who has to fight more as other clubs and the budget is low anyway. In Munich they did not get much in recent years and it looks like that they come here and play the 90. minutes and drive home then. Ok, Coach Streich said that he wants to hurt Bayern but at the moment it is impossible ........

Statistic:

- Robben has 117 BL matches for Bayern and he scored 64 goals and made 34 assists, 2 left for 100.
- Since 1996 3-1 is Freiburg winless in 24 games against Bayern München (0-5-19).
- But the record has Gladbach, when they need 26 matches to beat Leverkusen.
- Bayern Munich has the best defense from all top leagues in Europa.
- Freiburg could only score 15 goals in 15 matches and this is one of the weakest number in BL.
- Guardiola makes his 50. match as Coach against Freiburg today, he has an average from 2,63 Points.
- This is the best number from all Coach in BL ever and he lost only 2 of these matches (41-6-2) !!!

Eintracht Braunschweig - Fortuna Düsseldorf

The second half of the season starts today with the top match in 2.BL between two promotion candidates Braunschweig and Düsseldorf. After 17 Rounds are played both teams has not disappointed the experts and they are close to the top and with a good second half of the season they can still climb up and dream to get promoted. To begin it was hard for Braunschweig and they lost a lot of ground to the top but with a winning streak from 5 matches with 5 wins they were on 2nd place but fall down after they got only 1 Point from the last two. They are now 2 Points behind 3rd place and this is nothing in this close league and should not be a problem at all but they have to come back on track now. On the other side was Düsseldorf very close to the leader Ingolstadt but they has a three match run where they collected only 1 Point and this put them out of the top 3. After this they start winning again at the weekend in Frankfurt with a 2-0. They have one Point more on their side as Braunschweig but they are close to the top 3 anyway.

Braunschweig's Coach searched long time for the right lineup and balance, he has found it in recent matches but he changed in last game against Union in central midfield where Pfitzner played instead of Theuerkauf. It is more as possible that he change back to normal lineup and let all the same as to the winning times. Also in offensive no changes expected but Nielsen had a few weak matches recently and the alternatives are there with Kruppke, Bakenga or Hochscheidt who is back after a long injury time. If they can bring their home strength on the pitch today it is hard to beat them but Düsseldorf is one of the best away team and this makes it so dangerous.

After the win against FSV Coach Reck plans no important changes before this encounter today. This means that he trusts the starting lineup from weekend again. Before the game against FSV he made some changes and move Liendl from the wing into the middle where he played much better as in the past and it was maybe a key fact. Also a good sign was that Pohjanpalo was out for the match in Frankfurt what let Benschop move forward in central attack where he had a good performance. But the most important fact was the return from central midfield player Pinto who gave Fortuna more structure and he was the man in midfield for the speed and passing in their game.

Week Performance !!!

Dear Sports Fan, Tipster, Investor,

I want to give away a special offer for the People around here.

1 month = 35 Euro

All Season = 150 Euro

I think this is a fair price, you can expect around 100+ Picks and this means that you pay only 2 Euro for each. 

For support and Pick delivery I stay in touch with all members via E-Mail or Skype.

Be on the right side, be a Winner. Follow German Soccer Insider.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Week 49 !!!

I wanted to dedicate my Picks / Tips in an extra post. I update it always if I add something, it is only for a better view. All Picks can be seen under Betting History, Plan Picks or Tip of the Day additional. Of course, all Picks are verified !!!


German Soccer Picks:

None this week !!!


PS: All bets are monitored from BA-Surveillance !!!

Bayer Leverkusen - Bor. M'Gladbach

Both teams had matches under the week and for this they can maybe rotate a bit as they have the next match ahead in two or three days. Both coaches are trying to find the best way to go through the last 3 matches in one week. They have to safe power as it is hard in the last week before the winter break. A lot can be decided in these days therefore they have to go for the win both anyway. The offensive rows from both let us expect a big entertaining game and hopefully with a lot of goals too.



Statistic:

- Bost teams have made the most games in 2014/15 Season ... 25.
- Against no other opponent scored Bayer so many goals in BL (120).
- Leverkusen won 18 times at home against BMG, only to Lautern and Schalke also so much.
- In all the first 9 games on the road were Gladbach unbeaten this season (6-3-0).
- But in the last 3 games on the road they are winless (0-1-2).
- Bayer is one of the 4 teams in BL who is unbeaten (4-3-0).
- The last home defeat from Bayer was to Hoffenheim 2-3 at 23.March.
- If the run continues Gladbach lose without scoring a single goal.
- Gladbach lost the last two road games with 0-1 in Dortmund and Wolfsburg.
- They scored only in 2 of the 6 road games what is a big disaster according to their offense.
- But BMG conceded only 3 goals in these matches, what is also a good and positive number.
- Both teams did not get a penalty rewarded.
- Leverkusen lead at half time only on 24.September to Augsburg when they won 1-0.

FC Augsburg - Bayern München

Augsburg is high flying at the moment and they are doing a really great job. They talk only to get as much Points as they can to avoid relegation. They are on a good way nevertheless but sooner or later their run stop I am sure. In recent two games they have come from behind and they were lucky to win in Cologne after a reflected shot from Esswein. This time the opponent is bigger as the last two like Hamburg and Cologne which both have problems. Despite the big class difference Coach Weinzierl is offensive and talked that this was not lucky to win against Bayern last year, they want to do it again and hurt Bayern. Of course it is possible but last time Bayern played in Augsburg with a mixed team and a lot of youngsters.

Bayern is rolling if League or Champions League, they are doing their job and they are going from record to record. For this encounter Coach Guardiola has a lot more option because Schweinsteiger is back and after Rode made two good games he is an option for the starting lineup anyway. It can be that some players get a rest and so Höjberg plays. Also Schweinsteiger for Alonso can be but I doubt that Schweinsteiger go two games so short after his long injury over the full distance. More speaks for the same lineup as against Leverkusen. If they take this game serious they win this one. They are coming more focused to Augsburg as last time and this is a key fact here anyway.

Statistic:

- Bayern lost only 1 of the last 42 road games (34-7-1). This was last season to Augsburg 0-1.
- Augsburg plays the best BL season in their history (24 Points).
- They are for the first time on Place 3 in their BL-history as well.
- Augsburg won the last 4 games in BL and also the last 5 BL home games.
- Both are new records for the "Schwaben".
- The second half table leads Bayern and Augsburg with 31 Points.
- In the last 30 Minutes Augsburg and Bayern is hard to beat, both conceded only a single goal so far.
- Augsburg 53,0% and Bayern 52,8% are the best teams man against man.
- Bayern conceded only single goal in the last 12 BL matches. None in the last 5 road games.
- Two games in a row with only 1 goal is seldom, therefore Bayer score at least 2 !!!

Hertha BSC Berlin - Borussia Dortmund

Interesting game ahead above all if you take a look at the results from both teams in the past. Hertha did not well at home and Dortmund is a big disaster away from home so far. Ok, Hertha has not the class from Dortmund but before the season they talked that they have a lot of potential above all with the new signings they want to play in midfield of the table or maybe come closer to the top but nothing like this happen. They are far away from a good season and therefore they have to look forward for better times. Coach Luhukay has to find the right mix now otherwise they come more and more in trouble and this is not what they want.

On the other side Coach Klopp said that they have to fight to get out of the bad situation but if players like Micky can not improve it is hard. Also some missing players like Reus hurt Dortmund in their offensive play. They play good but in the end if they conceded a goal it is all gone from them and they fall back to old times. The team has not the balance and the self confidence right now to overcome their opponents. It is a long way and maybe the right time for their first away win here as with Hertha they have the right opponent with a lot of problems too.


Statistic:

- In the last 4 duels between these two teams won always the away team.
- In May won Dortmund 4-0 here.
- In September 2007 Hertha won a home game against BvB (3-2).
- Since then, Dortmund won 3 times and 1 draw, nothing for Hertha and only 1 goal in 4 games.
- Hertha lost 4 of their last 5 BL games and looked very weak recently.
- They are even with Dortmund and both are only 1 Point ahead of the relegation zone.
- Both last BL games were lost to nil for Hertha (0-1 to Bayern and 0-2 to Hannover).
- They are waiting since 185 minutes for a home goal.
- Dortmund got from their last 6 BL road games only 1 Point, they are one of the worse team away.
- Never they have to wait so long for a win under Coach Klopp as now.
- Hertha has already 8 defeats after 14 Rounds, they were only weaker 90/91, in the end relegated.
- Dortmund is not able to score much, only in Paderborn they scored twice, the other 8 one or nothing.
- In second half conceded Hertha already 17 goals and Dortmund has only 6-15 goals. Both weak.

Eintracht Braunschweig - Union Berlin

After a six match winning streak Eintracht Braunschweig lost last weekend to Karlsruhe 0-1 but they want to hold the pressure on the other teams high and therefore they have to return on winning way today. The task is not as easy as they mean because with Union they face a team who has an uptrend in the last matches and they came to Braunschweig with two wins in a row in their bag. For Union it is important to walk on and get as much Points as they can to hold the distance big to the red zone.

Compared to the last match in Karlsruhe, Coach Lieberknecht plans no changes although some of his offensive players did not convince much. There is a lot to improve above all the attacker duo Nielsen and Ryu missed all in the last game and therefore they were not able to score in this encounter. Nevertheless Nielsen is set to play anyway while Ryu has good performances in the past and he got the trust from Coach now. This means both Kruppke and Bakenga sit on bench again but they hope for some minutes and maybe for some good actions if they are on the pitch to help the team and make some noise. Good news for Lieberknecht as well is that Hochscheidt returns first time after his injury on Round 1 into the squad and gives him some options more. Of course he is not really ready but he is there again.

Union is doing well in the past matches but they have to change here because with Leistner they have one player suspended and his position in central back plays Schönheim today. He know this very well, was he the guy who played there for long time after Leistner overcomes him. The other things are all speaking for the same lineup as last weekend although the coach talk in an interview about 3 attackers what is a bit to much maybe. This means that Brandy comes into the starting lineup after his illness and suspension and let Quiring move on the wing. But it speaks more that he is on bench first as with Polter and Skryzbski they have two inform strikers at the moment and they are hard to replace if you take last performances.

1899 Hoffenheim - Hannover 96

1899 Hoffenheim is on a huge downtrend, in the last games they got not much and they fall back to old times from last season. They did really well to begin of the season and the defensive line was on a good level and allowed not much, in recent matches they are far away from this form. They conceded like hell and this was not what Coach Gisdol expect. They have to improve a lot now and also bring their offensive rolling after a big disaster in Dortmund where they has not a single change. It is up to Gisdol now to find the right mix and system against an opponent who comes to Hoffenheim with 3 wins in the bag.

Eintracht Frankfurt comes form 3 wins in a row and also with a lot of self confidence to Hoffenheim. The offensive line has a lot like Seferovic and Meier who did a good job but also Aigner and Inui and Stendera. Maybe Coach Schaaf has find his eleven and he counts again on them. Defensive is a big shaky but offensive is rolling and this was the key in recent games. If they can hold this level alive it is not obvious that they get here some.

Statistic:

- These teams meet each other 10 times and Hoffenheim won 5 - 3 - 2.
- Eintracht won all the last 3 games and has +7 goals, they are the second best team in this period.
- 1899 lost 4 of the last 5 BL games and conceded in these incredible 15 goals (average from 3).
- With 27 goals scored has Frankfurt the third best offensive in BL.
- But they conceded already 26 and this is also one of the weakest number in BL at the moment.
- 1899 lost only 1 of the last 11 BL home matches (7-3-1).
- The only defeat was at Round 11 against Cologne with 3-4.


The home side can count on all their players, none of them is out and this gives Coach Gisdol a lot of options. Possible is to play with two attackers here but also some other options are possible as I said already. Sure is maybe that Szalai move into the starting lineup again.
The situation is not so good for Frankfurt as they have to replace already the first keeper Trapp but this time his replacement Wiedwald is out too what brings Hildebrand back into the goal of a BL team. Of course he has a lot of experience but he has no praxis in the past and this can be a big disadvantage maybe. The rest will be unchanged but they have not much alternatives left as they have a lot of players injured out already.

Greuther Fürth - RB Leipzig

Both teams were named from the experts for promotion candidates but they had hard weeks recently. They did not well and the results were against both so they have to find back on track now if they do not want to be out of the race for promotion. Fürth on Place 9 has 3 Points less than Leipzig and stand under huge pressure today. They must win if they do not want to fall behind more and the gap gets open more. The much better situation has Leipzig although they did not win much in the past too, but with a win today they can climb up to third place and they are back in the race.

The chance is there for Fürth but their Coach Kramer does not mentioned in what tactic and system he wants to begin today. He maybe prefer a more defensive minded style as he did already in both last games where they played 0-0 to Heidenheim and Darmstadt. It was much better as in the matches before where he put up a offensive style but they failed huge. They played 4-4-2 in Darmstadt but it is also possible to move to 4-2-3-1. If he think to take the last mentioned system one of the attackers Zulj or Przybylko must on bench while Stiepermann comes in as central offensive player behind the alone striker. Also the more agile Weilandt gets a chance and replace Wurtz on the offensive wing again.

The problems in Leipzig are there above all in the offensive where Coach Zorninger has to improve as with Frahn suspended after his 5th yellow card against Ingolstadt and Boyd got injured are not available. Also the best offensive player Poulsen is doubtful with some muscle problems. This means that they are very short in attack today. It speaks a lot that Rebic gives his starting debut today and plays beside Moyrs in attack while Kaiser can play the offensive part in midfield. He was needed in defensive midfield in the past but move forward today maybe. The defensive part can be played from Fandrich or Hierländer while Kimmich is no option at the moment as he is not ready yet. Also the last ill Teigl is back in squad and he can play the back wing position but is also an option as attacker.

Week Performance !!!

Dear Sports Fan, Tipster, Investor,

I want to give away a special offer for the People around here.

1 month = 35 Euro

All Season = 150 Euro

I think this is a fair price, you can expect around 100+ Picks and this means that you pay only 2 Euro for each. 

For support and Pick delivery I stay in touch with all members via E-Mail or Skype.

Be on the right side, be a Winner. Follow German Soccer Insider.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Week 48 !!!

I wanted to dedicate my Picks / Tips in an extra post. I update it always if I add something, it is only for a better view. All Picks can be seen under Betting History, Plan Picks or Tip of the Day additional. Of course, all Picks are verified !!!


German Soccer Picks:

05.12.2014  20:30  1.BL  Borussia Dortmund - 1899 Hoffenheim AHC +1,25 @ 1,83 (A) 1-0
06.12.2014  13:30  2.BL  1.FC Kaiserslautern - Erzgebirge Aue AHC -1,25 @ 1,79 (H) 3-0
06.12.2014  15:30  1.BL  1.FC Köln - FC Augsburg AHC 0 @ 2,08 (H) 1-2
06.12.2014  15:30  1.BL  Hannover 96 - VfL Wolfsburg AHC +0,5 @ 1,98 (H) 1-3


PS: All bets are monitored from BA-Surveillance !!!

1.FC Nürnberg - 1860 München

Two traditional clubs meet each other this Monday evening. The situation is for both worse and they are aiming for better times. The expected goal was to play for promotion this season but they are far away from that and it is almost that they are involved in relegation battle if they continue like recent matches. The winning can climb up a bit and leave the danger zone a bit while the loser has a lot of trouble in the last weeks of the year.

New Coach from Nürnberg Weiler had a good start with the 2-1 win over leader Ingolstadt but last Monday his team lost to Braunschweig 0-1 and it was almost the same situation as under former Coach Ismael. They are far to harmless in front of the goal but the defensive line is more compact and solid under new Coach Weiler now. The central back should be build again from duo Hovland and Mössmer while Bulthuis plays on the wing and replace suspended veteran Pinola the last time maybe. In midfield he was thinking to change a bit after the last match where the power was missed by Koch and the form speaks also against him, so he maybe will replaced by Petrak who can come into the starting lineup and plays in central midfield alone to have one more player for the offensive. This means that captain Polak moves forward to the wing with the hope that the offensive getting more power in a new 4-1-4-1 system. It is needed if you have seen the last match from Nürnberg as already mentioned above.

The biggest hope for 1860 was that they get their best striker Okotie ready for this encounter but he must pass now. This is a big blow for the team from Munich and they have to build up a new offensive additional to their normal problems now. He scored 10 of the 19 goals and his number said all how important this player is for 1860. Nevertheless he is not available and they have to do their best to get here some. Coach van Ahlen has a hard task as to the last game youngster Wolf could not convince as replacement for Okotie. He was more as harmless and is maybe not the right man at this time. Maybe the right system is 4-3-3 with 3 midfield players up front where all can move in the middle to give the lone striker today. This means that Rama, Adlung and Wolf are required. Other changes compared to the match against FSV are not possible as the alternatives are less. 

Hannover 96 - VfL Wolfsburg

A big derby stands on the plan today with Hannover 96 and VfL Wolfsburg. Of course it is a big difference in budget but on the pitch we will see which team can take the Points here. Hannover was a big in a downtrend after the national break but this time they can get some back from their fans, the only thing they must do is to win. Very easy or? Although they lost 3-4 in Hoffenheim it was not so bad overall, they conceded a few bad goals but if they can defend this situations better it is an advantage and they can go into the game with a lot of expectations. A big plus was additional that Joselu scored after a long period without any goal from him and this gives him a lot of self confidence back, also the return from Stindl into the starting lineup was a boost for the team last weekend. Overall not many changes expected, as there are no reasons for Coach Korkut.

The team who is close to Bayern Munich this season is Wolfsburg and they did a good job but can they hold this over so a long period of the season. I am not sure, if they get some injured players or if Bryne has not his best day, or veteran Olic work not like he did and run like a youngster it is hard to win. Also a big thing is that their defenders scored a lot of important goals like last sunday. The matches from Wolfsburg are close and on this high level it is not always to their side, matches will come where the opponent has some percent more and this decides. Coach Hecking is not a friend from big rotations or changes and he put up almost all the same lineup above all his key players as mentioned above play always. Sooner of later they can be tired and this can be a disadvantage.


Statistic:

- Hannover won the last 5 Derbys against VfL.
- Against no other team has H96 so a good run or streak.
- Before the break H96 has 3 wins without conceding a single goal, after the break .....
- ..... they lost 2 of 2 and conceded 7 goals.
- Wolfsburg has collected 26 Points already, they had only more 04/05 at this time.
- Hannover lost 2 of the last 3 home games what is not typical for them as solid home team.
- Before this run, they could celebrate 3 wins in a row.
- Wolfsburg defender are very dangerous because they scored already 8 goals this season.
- VfL lost the last 4 games in Hannover and they scored only a single goal.
- Hannover conceded only in 3 from the 13 games a goal in first half.
- Wolfsburg won 7 of the last 8 matches and is high flying at the moment.
- If Wolfsburg take the lead they are hard to beat but if they conceding the first goal it is the opposite.
- VfL is very dangerous through the opening 15 minutes where they scored a lot so far.

In this derby all can happen but I think Wolfsburg has a lot of luck in the last games too. This is more a bet against Wolfsburg as they can not walk through the league like Bayern Munich. Hannover is a hard opponent who invest a lot I am sure today. At home Hannover is one of the best teams from recent years, only Bayern Munich has a better record and this said all. I go for the underdog this time.

Recommend Bet: Hannover 96 AHC +0,5 @ 1,98 (3 Units)

1.FC Köln - FC Augsburg

To the start of the season Cologne played very compact and they were hard to beat, this was key as they won the matches with 1-0. In recent matches they lost some of this and the success was not the same as to begin. If they want to return on the better side they have to improve again and it is also up to Coach Stöger to find the right balance in team between defensive and offensive. For today he must replace his central midfield player Lehmann who is out suspended. This means maybe some changes to compensate Lehmann. If we take a look back to the last game from Cologne in Leverkusen where they started great, took the lead and was close to the second goal but the referee did not give the penalty and the red card for Leno. This was key as with the first goal from Leverkusen Cologne disappeared and lost in the end 1-5. Maybe some bad luck for them there, also one game before where striker Ujah reflected a shot from Ndjeng in the own goal. Sooner or later the luck comes back to Cologne.

High flying Augsburg is coming to Cologne but expect a very hard game. It is not like the other weeks where they travelled to Schalke where they was underdog and played a great match but with bad luck they lost there 0-1, one week later they were in Stuttgart and has a big advantage because the referee sent off a player from Stuttgart early and also count a penalty for Augsburg who was doubtful. This time they had the luck on their side and they won 1-0. This is all so close at this high level and it is up to a few decisions where the match goes. The team from Augsburg is a hard working one and all of them invest all for the team nothing else. Anyway they are a bad traveller and after 3 wins in a row what is much for them. No changes expected compared to the last home game to Hamburg.

Statistic:

- 2011/12 they played each other already in BL, both won their home games.
- Cologne scored only 3 home goals so far, what is a negative record for them.
- Augsburg is playing their best season ever in BL history. They are 4. and this is amazing.
- Cologne lost 3 of their last 4 BL games and is looking for better times.
- On the other side Augsburg won 4 of their last 5 BL games and is high flying.
- Cologne is one of the best road teams beside Bayern Munich, but at home only 5 Points so far.
- Augsburg on the other side is very harmless on the road, most of their Points they got at home.
- Cologne lost the last two home games. The last home win was against BvB 2-1.
- FCA scored only 3 goals on the road but this was enough for 2 wins.
- Augsburg won 3 times in a row, what is record for them.

This encounter is of course a close one, Cologne at home not on their best level while Augsburg on the road has a lot of problems too. Both scored not much, what means that it can be a low scoring game where both teams try to avoid an danger situations and risk not much. If one team can take the lead it is not far away that this team win. I am going for Cologne here as Augsburg has won 3 in a row and they have a good team with good players and good moral now but it is a big different if you play Schalke or Stuttgart not the road where both teams try to play forward while Cologne comes into the game with safety fist and is more defensive minded. Augsburg as 4. has to make the game and this is not what they are expecting and want to do. They are not able to do this, they are more a team who comes over counter. In this case the line and the odd is well for me to put some up.

Recommend Bet: 1.FC Köln AHC 0 @ 2,08 (3 Units)

1.FC Kaiserslautern - Erzgebirge Aue

After 5 draws in a row Kaiserslautern could celebrate a win last weekend and it was also their first win on the road this season. Of course they want continue the way at home to hold the pressure to the teams above them high. At home they are always a hard team to play and they are unbeaten in their stadium, this is also due to their great support there and hot atmosphere. The opponent comes from Aue and they have a lot problems anyway. They are coming to Kaiserslautern with 3 defeats in a row and they were not able to get anything in 4 attempts here.

After the first win on the road there are no reason why Coach Runjaic should change his successful starting lineup from last weekend. Against St. Pauli he made some curious decisions in his lineup and put some player on positions they normally not playing. It was Zimmer who played on the right wing in midfield while offensive minded Demirbay played beside Karl in central midfield. This can happen today again. The players who normal plays there are Stöger and Matmour and they are not very pleased about that but they have to help the team and so it is nothing to say against. Also youngster Sebastian Jacob overcomes Hofmann as second striker behind Lakic and he is on bench today again. But it is always up to the match on what attacker the Coach count then.

After the hard 1-2 defeat against Union last friday the situation is getting worse in Aue. Nevertheless Coach Stipic talked only positive from the game and his team. He put out the good things and give them maybe some self confidence for the hard game today. As I wrote above the situation is worse, if you take a look at the table or if you take a look on the squad where a lot of players are not available. Next one was Schröder who was very important for Coach Stipic but he has a muscle injury and can not play. For Schröder can play Diring in midfield while Löning and Hauck are out additional and travelled not with the team. With the miss from Löning they have big problems in attack because they have no alternatives left. Ok, Okoronkwo but he was very weak against Union and is far away from his best level. Aue's Coach Stipic plans a more compact and defensive minded system for this game to hold as long as they can the draw and maybe with some luck they try to get a Point.

In my eyes a big class difference here. Kaiserslautern do a good job this season and they are more involved in promotion race as in recent years what is the reason that they go only from game to game and do not talk from promotion anymore as they did last years. The team is working well and they have some good players with good moves and actions in their team who can help them to come through the preferred wall from Aue. The team from Erzgebirge is nothing special at the moment and they have a lot of problems now. On a normal day, Kaiserslautern win this encounter with 2 or more goals.

Recommend Bet: 1.FC Kaiserslautern AHC -1,25 @ 1,79 (3 Units)

Borussia Dortmund - 1899 Hoffenheim

An important game above all for Borussia Dortmund who stands on the bottom of the table. The situation there is worse and they have to improve a lot if they want to get back to their normal level. They have and had a lot of problems in the past. After the Champions League Final 2013 and the lost game to Bayern Munich the downtrend has began. Since then and 72 matches now they never played with same defensive row, in every match they had to change because of injuries or suspension. They had a lot of long term injuries with Subotic, Schmelzer and Pisczek but all are back now, nevertheless they search for their form. Important news is that Hummels returns today and he has to start immediately because of less alternatives. With DEF Sokratis they have a long term injured player there, youngster Ginter has some mental problems after his big mistake in Frankfurt what makes it easy for Klopp to build up the central back with Hummels and Subotic. Also in Frankfurt injured Pisczek said that he can play and allow Klopp more alternatives. Two long term injured players returned as well with Kuba and Sahin but never know in what condition they are after so long time. According to the long injury they have no match praxis and therefore a problem to start anyway. In offensive they created a lot but they were not able to get the good opportunities finished. It is due to the wrong offensive players they signed maybe or they have not the form or they are not for the system Klopp wants to play. Immobile and Ramos are far away from their form from last season where they played in Turin or Berlin. Additional midfield player Micky tried a lot and he has some good actions but he is really harmless in front of the goal and this cost a lot for BvB in the past. Klopp said that this Friday it is “High Noon” in Dortmund but if they can make the turnaround it is more as questionable.

The start from 1899 Hoffenheim was very well, they made a lot better as last season and they had success. The last matches showed a different Hoffenheim and the return to the games from last season where it was a lot of spectacle. They are scoring for free but conceding also in recent matches. The defensive line was strength with DEF Bicagic from Braunschweig and Keeper Baumann from Freiburg, both made a good job so far. Nevertheless they have to find the right balance again to avoid so many goals against them (14 in the last 3 matches). In offensive they are always good for goals above all with such a great offensive. They have players like Volland, Firmino, Modeste, Szalai (suspended), Schipplock and Zuber. One of the big advantages is that they are playing for longer time together now and they know the running way from each other what makes it more easy for them. This gives Hoffenheim a lot of opportunities to hurt Dortmund in their own stadium and be a hard opponent.

Statistic:

-              The BL record between both teams is even with 4-4-4 by 17-17 goals.

-              In the last 5 games were 20 goals, an average from 4 !!!

-              Only in Season 85/86 BvB had less Points (10) as at the moment.

-              Dortmund has more defeats now as in both seasons where they won the title.

-              Only one defeat more to their highest number since Klopp arrived in Dortmund.

-              1899 won only 1 of their last 10 BL road games (1-5-4).

-              Hoffenheim and Dortmund made both a lot of individual faults who leads to goals.

I am very optimistic that Dortmund does not beat the high HC line. They are far away from their best level and a lot of problems anyway. They play again with a different defensive back and in offensive they are to harmless. Their most important player in offensive with Reus is out again, so a lot of pressure on Immobile, Ramos and Co. While Hoffenheim has almost all their players ready, they come to Dortmund with the best squad and they can hurt BvB with the offensive potential they have. I am sure, if Dortmund win, never with two goals margin above all in this situation at the moment.   

Recommend Bet: 1899 Hoffenheim AHC +1,25 @ 1,83 (3 Units)

Week Performance !!!

Dear Sports Fan, Tipster, Investor,

I want to give away a special offer for the People around here.

1 month = 35 Euro

All Season = 200 Euro

I think this is a fair price, you can expect around 100+ Picks and this means that you pay only 2 Euro for each. 

For support and Pick delivery I stay in touch with all members via E-Mail or Skype.

Be on the right side, be a Winner. Follow German Soccer Insider.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Week 47 !!!

I wanted to dedicate my Picks / Tips in an extra post. I update it always if I add something, it is only for a better view. All Picks can be seen under Betting History, Plan Picks or Tip of the Day additional. Of course, all Picks are verified !!!


German Soccer Picks:

29.11.2014  1.BL  15:30  FC Augsburg - Hamburger SV AHC -0,5 @ 1,84 (H) 3-1
01.12.2014  2.BL  20:15  Eintracht Braunschweig - 1.FC Nürnberg AHC -0,5 @ 2,04 (H) 1-0


PS: All bets are monitored from BA-Surveillance !!!

Eintracht Braunschweig - 1.FC Nürnberg

The last match of Round 15 will be played as always on Monday evening. Both relegated Teams hosts each other in Braunschweig where Eintracht and Nürnberg can be the winner of the Round after a very bad start into the season. Braunschweig is still on track with 4 victories in a row and they can climb up to second place with a win after almost all from the top 7 failed. Only leader Ingolstadt and Kaiserslautern won what gives Eintracht a very good opportunity for a real comeback in promotion race. On the other side Nürnberg under new Coach Weiler can continue the way they have began against leader Ingolstadt and go for the second win in a row under him. This can be a big step and they can close the gap to third place to 5 Points with a win today.

After recent success Braunschweig’s Coach has no reason to change his team compared to the last match but he must change at least one time due to suspended back wing Kessel. Therefore he must change his defensive line. This can be a huge change where some moves insight the team can replace Kessel. For this reason it can be possible that Hedenstad moves from the left to the right wing while Reichel who played in central defensive move to the left and his normal position while Decarli comes into the starting lineup as central back beside Correia. The more easy alternative should be to let Decarli play on the right wing on the open position. This means not so many moves. On all other positions are no changes expected as they did a good job and it is not needed at the moment.

The new Coach from Nürnberg Weiler had a good first game and the result was very well against the leader. But for this encounter he can not count on the same eleven as with Pinola is the left wing out after his red card against Ingolstadt. He can be replaced by Bihr or Ramirez who both are ready. Also his experiment in central back with Mössmer (normally midfield player) and Hovland was a good one that he counts on both again today. The midfield row and attack remain the same as against Ingolstadt. In offensive above all in attack they are very short with only Sylvestr available. It was a moment of shock under the week as he has to stop with training but it was nothing that he can not play.

I am not sure about Nürnberg here, the new Coach Weiler wants to play an offensive style and this is maybe a good opportunity for home strong Braunschweig who are in excellent form at the moment. They are hard to beat and in their stadium with their supporters in back it should be possible to win above all against a team who have a lot of problems to score and is short of alternatives in attack.

Recommend PICK: Eintracht Braunschweig AHC -0,5 @ 2,04 (3 Units)