Samstag, 6. Dezember 2014

1.FC Köln - FC Augsburg

To the start of the season Cologne played very compact and they were hard to beat, this was key as they won the matches with 1-0. In recent matches they lost some of this and the success was not the same as to begin. If they want to return on the better side they have to improve again and it is also up to Coach Stöger to find the right balance in team between defensive and offensive. For today he must replace his central midfield player Lehmann who is out suspended. This means maybe some changes to compensate Lehmann. If we take a look back to the last game from Cologne in Leverkusen where they started great, took the lead and was close to the second goal but the referee did not give the penalty and the red card for Leno. This was key as with the first goal from Leverkusen Cologne disappeared and lost in the end 1-5. Maybe some bad luck for them there, also one game before where striker Ujah reflected a shot from Ndjeng in the own goal. Sooner or later the luck comes back to Cologne.

High flying Augsburg is coming to Cologne but expect a very hard game. It is not like the other weeks where they travelled to Schalke where they was underdog and played a great match but with bad luck they lost there 0-1, one week later they were in Stuttgart and has a big advantage because the referee sent off a player from Stuttgart early and also count a penalty for Augsburg who was doubtful. This time they had the luck on their side and they won 1-0. This is all so close at this high level and it is up to a few decisions where the match goes. The team from Augsburg is a hard working one and all of them invest all for the team nothing else. Anyway they are a bad traveller and after 3 wins in a row what is much for them. No changes expected compared to the last home game to Hamburg.

Statistic:

- 2011/12 they played each other already in BL, both won their home games.
- Cologne scored only 3 home goals so far, what is a negative record for them.
- Augsburg is playing their best season ever in BL history. They are 4. and this is amazing.
- Cologne lost 3 of their last 4 BL games and is looking for better times.
- On the other side Augsburg won 4 of their last 5 BL games and is high flying.
- Cologne is one of the best road teams beside Bayern Munich, but at home only 5 Points so far.
- Augsburg on the other side is very harmless on the road, most of their Points they got at home.
- Cologne lost the last two home games. The last home win was against BvB 2-1.
- FCA scored only 3 goals on the road but this was enough for 2 wins.
- Augsburg won 3 times in a row, what is record for them.

This encounter is of course a close one, Cologne at home not on their best level while Augsburg on the road has a lot of problems too. Both scored not much, what means that it can be a low scoring game where both teams try to avoid an danger situations and risk not much. If one team can take the lead it is not far away that this team win. I am going for Cologne here as Augsburg has won 3 in a row and they have a good team with good players and good moral now but it is a big different if you play Schalke or Stuttgart not the road where both teams try to play forward while Cologne comes into the game with safety fist and is more defensive minded. Augsburg as 4. has to make the game and this is not what they are expecting and want to do. They are not able to do this, they are more a team who comes over counter. In this case the line and the odd is well for me to put some up.

Recommend Bet: 1.FC Köln AHC 0 @ 2,08 (3 Units)

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