Werder Bremen - Borussia Dortmund

Before Christmas Bremen has to invest all that they can leave the bottom of the table and the chance is their opponent are only 1 Point above them, therefore with a win they can overcome Dortmund and bring them in a very difficult situation over the winter break. At home they are much stronger as on the road and they were only beaten from Cologne 1-0 and Schalke 3-0, all the other matches they draw or won. The most important Point here is that they are able to come back after the fall behind as they showed in some games already. What is also very clear, if they do not score, they lose as we saw in both results above. With Di Santo, Prödl are two important players are not available, Caldirola is suspended after the red card against Gladbach but it not such important here. New Coach Skripnik counts more on youngsters as on experienced players and they did a good job so far. They are still fresh and unstressed and have the motivation to show their strength. Also playmaker Junuzovic is in good form above all his free kicks are great and he is always able to score at the moment. If they can play as compact as they can and go for some good counter attacks they can hurt Dortmund here anyway.

Wow, what a downfall from Dortmund, they are only 1 Point above the bottom and Christmas seems to be a bad one for them this year. All talk that they are to strong and their squad is to good that they get relegated but only talking help not much and bring no Points. They have to improve a lot if defensive or offensive. Once again Klopp has to change his defensive line as with Subotic is the next defender out suspended. For him is Ginter the last man they have available for defensive after Socrates is out too. In offensive hurts that Reus and Micky is out while Immobile and Ramos are searching for their form and maybe do not know the system from Klopp anyway. Both need time but the time is not there above all in such a critical situation. Away from home they scored only 8 goals in 8 matches but conceded already 15 !!! Too many mistakes allow not more, it was also against Hertha or Wolfsburg where they missed a lot of their potential.

Statistic:

- Dortmund has not problems in the last 6 matches, they won all and have scored 16 goals.
- Before this 6 wins, Dortmund had a hard time against Bremen and they won only 2 in a row.
- Dortmund is playing their weakest season ever since 87/88.
- Also Bremen was only one time weaker 74/75 at as the moment.
- Bremen conceded in both last home games against Dortmund 5 goals.
- This happened never, if Bremen or Dortmund played, or any other club.
- Dortmund collected in the last 7 road games only 1 of the possible 21 Points.
- BvB is with only 4 Points the weakest team on the road.
- Aubameyang is top scorer in BL with 18 Points beside De Bryne from Wolfsburg.

I said it already, talking is one thing but the key is on the pitch. The heads from Dortmund's players are not free for this battle in my eyes and the HC from +1 is huge for an relegation battle. The bookmakers are all meaning that this is the same Dortmund from last season or last years, never. They have huge problems at the moment and although Bremen is not good too I can not see them losing here with 2 goals or more. Bremen at home is able to score and this is what they must reach then Dortmund collapse as in the most matches recently.

Recommend PICK: Werder Bremen AHC +1 @ 1,92 (3 Units)