An important game above all for Borussia Dortmund who stands on the bottom of the table. The situation there is worse and they have to improve a lot if they want to get back to their normal level. They have and had a lot of problems in the past. After the Champions League Final 2013 and the lost game to Bayern Munich the downtrend has began. Since then and 72 matches now they never played with same defensive row, in every match they had to change because of injuries or suspension. They had a lot of long term injuries with Subotic, Schmelzer and Pisczek but all are back now, nevertheless they search for their form. Important news is that Hummels returns today and he has to start immediately because of less alternatives. With DEF Sokratis they have a long term injured player there, youngster Ginter has some mental problems after his big mistake in Frankfurt what makes it easy for Klopp to build up the central back with Hummels and Subotic. Also in Frankfurt injured Pisczek said that he can play and allow Klopp more alternatives. Two long term injured players returned as well with Kuba and Sahin but never know in what condition they are after so long time. According to the long injury they have no match praxis and therefore a problem to start anyway. In offensive they created a lot but they were not able to get the good opportunities finished. It is due to the wrong offensive players they signed maybe or they have not the form or they are not for the system Klopp wants to play. Immobile and Ramos are far away from their form from last season where they played in Turin or Berlin. Additional midfield player Micky tried a lot and he has some good actions but he is really harmless in front of the goal and this cost a lot for BvB in the past. Klopp said that this Friday it is “High Noon” in Dortmund but if they can make the turnaround it is more as questionable.
The start from 1899 Hoffenheim was very well, they made a lot better as last season and they had success. The last matches showed a different Hoffenheim and the return to the games from last season where it was a lot of spectacle. They are scoring for free but conceding also in recent matches. The defensive line was strength with DEF Bicagic from Braunschweig and Keeper Baumann from Freiburg, both made a good job so far. Nevertheless they have to find the right balance again to avoid so many goals against them (14 in the last 3 matches). In offensive they are always good for goals above all with such a great offensive. They have players like Volland, Firmino, Modeste, Szalai (suspended), Schipplock and Zuber. One of the big advantages is that they are playing for longer time together now and they know the running way from each other what makes it more easy for them. This gives Hoffenheim a lot of opportunities to hurt Dortmund in their own stadium and be a hard opponent.
Statistic:
- The BL record between both teams is even with 4-4-4 by 17-17 goals.
- In the last 5 games were 20 goals, an average from 4 !!!
- Only in Season 85/86 BvB had less Points (10) as at the moment.
- Dortmund has more defeats now as in both seasons where they won the title.
- Only one defeat more to their highest number since Klopp arrived in Dortmund.
- 1899 won only 1 of their last 10 BL road games (1-5-4).
- Hoffenheim and Dortmund made both a lot of individual faults who leads to goals.
I am very optimistic that Dortmund does not beat the high HC line. They are far away from their best level and a lot of problems anyway. They play again with a different defensive back and in offensive they are to harmless. Their most important player in offensive with Reus is out again, so a lot of pressure on Immobile, Ramos and Co. While Hoffenheim has almost all their players ready, they come to Dortmund with the best squad and they can hurt BvB with the offensive potential they have. I am sure, if Dortmund win, never with two goals margin above all in this situation at the moment.
Recommend Bet: 1899 Hoffenheim AHC +1,25 @ 1,83 (3 Units)
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