Hamburger SV - Borussia Dortmund

Statistic:

- Hamburg won 4 of the last 5 BL games against Dortmund (4-0-1).
- In the last 8 home games against BvB, they won 6, draw 1 and lost 1.
- Only against BvB scored Hamburg 174 goals, against no other BL team more.
- But Dortmund scored the most goals 167 also against HSV.
- Dortmund got 13 Points out of the last 6 matches 2015, only 2 less as in 17 matches 2014.
- Only Wolfsburg (16) collected more Points as Dortmund (13) 2015 so far.
- In the last 4 BL games scored Dortmund 13 goals, these are more as in the last 16 games (12).
- Zoltan Stieber is in good form and he scored 3 of the last 5 HSV goals.

Hard match ahead and the pressure is big after only 1 Point out of the last three matches. Above all Coach Zinnbauer needs results to safe his job according to media news. But the Points are needed anyway if they do not want to fall down more and get more and more in danger. The upcoming weeks are very important. The only good thing is that they play at home this time where they are much better as on the road. Also some good news is the return of four important players. Coach Zinnbauer hopes that he can count of some of them and strength his starting lineup with them. The luck was not on their side in some games recently and also the injury list was big. This time it can be better because with Behrami, Olic, Jansen and Cleber are 4 injured players back in team training. Despite less match praxis Coach Zinnbauer wants to count on leader Behrami in midfield if he gives a positive sign, on the wing he must count on Jansen because Ostzorlek is suspended for this game. In attack maybe hard worker Olic is a good option too to be present and be more dangerous up front. The veterans Westermann and Van der Vaart are both on bench again. The time is gone from both in Hamburg.  

After the disaster to the end of last year Dortmund is doing much better these days now. They are on a good way and winning streak from 4 matches in a row showed the turnaround very well. Coach Klopp is counting on the same defensive line as to successful times. This means that Pisczek, Hummels, Subotic and Schmelzer are playing together again there. If one of these guys is not ready they have Sokratis or Ginter for central back or maybe Kirch on the wing in Hand to solve the problems. According to Pisczek’s injurey Kirch is playing again on the wing like he did against Schalke. In midfield they are not so short as to the end of last year because with Gündogan is one important key player back and he played very well with Kehl or Sahin. The last one is out and not ready for the game in Hamburg after he got injured against Schalke. In offense it is all up to Aubameyang and Reus because the other players are far away from their best level and searching for their form. Although Micky and Kagawa showed some uptrend above all in derby against Schalke. The offensive duo Auba and Reus was missed big in Cup against Dresden and it was only due to the big mistake from Dresden’s Defender who allowed Dortmund an easy goal for the lead and advance to next round. Of course Reus stands on the pitch but after he got injured he was a big blow for Dortmund and is a big question mark for this game too. Auba should be ready after his back problems and play. Nevertheless without their top duo it is hard for them to make the right decisions and the other players are not in such a position to replace them equal.

I know that this can be a tricky one but I am trying it because HSV is doing well against Dortmund in recent matches although Klopp said that they want revenge from the last defeats. If Hamburg can be as compact as they were against Gladbach I am sure that they are able to get at least a result here. Additional reason can be that HSV could prepare the whole week for this encounter and Dortmund had the next english week and overall it is their fifth match in 15 days and some of the alternatives are injured therefore Klopp could not rotate much and also some slight injured players make it not much easier today.

Recommend Bet: Hamburger SV AHC +1 @ 2,07 (3 Units)