Bayern München - Borussia Dortmund

We have an absolutely top match ahead this day. The first Cup semi final takes place in Munich, where Bayern hosts Dortmund. This will be a big fight between the two big rivals from recent years. The stadium is sold out and the advantage should be on the side from Munich but you never know what Coach Klopp plans for this game, also Guardiola is always good for some surprises if lineup or system. But overall this will be a very tactical match anyway.

The old and new BL champion welcomes back some important players like Robben, Benatia and Rafinha, also rested Bernat and Alonso is ready for this encounter. This means that Coach Guardiola has more to choose from and he can think what lineup is the best to field. The defensive lineup can be build with Boateng and Dante (Benatia replacement) while on the wings returns Rafinha after slight injury and on the other side Bernat who was rested against Hertha. The biggest problem for Guardiola is, how to involve Schweinsteiger again. He played against Hertha but only because of Alonso’s rest. If he count on the successful midfield trio from the Porto game Schweinsteiger sit on bench again. This is not the way he likes but after his injury he has problems to find back into the team. With Lahm, Alonso and Thiago are three players with huge potential and which one should Guardiola sit on bench from these? Maybe he changes between Alonso and Schweinsteiger but nothing more. In offensive he has Robben back but he returns shortly and should be on bench first as the upcoming weeks are very important too above all the game in one week against Barcelona. The other offensive positons remain the same with Götze, Müller and Lewandowski.

After a horror first half of the season Dortmund is rolling again. They are close to climb up to a international spot. They are only 3 Points behind the other teams with 4 matches to go. Also the Cup final or win is their only chance to get something in hand for this season therefore this game is very important for them. The team is doing better and better also without Reus but he is back after injury and is their hope here anyway. In midfield they have some problems because with Kehl (working for his comeback and try to be in the squad today) and Gündogan (illness) they missed two important guys in recent games. The duo Bender and Ginter did a good job but if this enough without a creative one central against Munich is doubtful. Defensive row is also bit short of options and Coach Klopp said that he hopes that Piczsek must not play from beginning on after his long injury time. They want to bring him back slowly. The preferred tactic from last games was 4-1-3-1 but he played also 4-3-3 against Munich. It is all possible above all in the match of the year for Dortmund.   

Bor. M'Gladbach - VfL Wolfsburg

Statistic:

- Wolfsburg is unbeaten since 4 games against Gladbach (3-1-0).
- Gladbach won only 2 of their last 14 games against Wolfsburg (2-3-9).
- They lost 59% of their BL games against Wolfsburg (17 from 29 matches, 8 wins 4 draws).
- Only Bayern Munich (28) collected more Points 2015 as Wolfsburg (27) and Gladbach (27).
- Gladbach is unbeaten since 9 BL games (6-3-0).
- The last defeat was in February to Schalke 0-1.
- Wolfsburg is unbeaten since 5 BL games (3-2-0) and lost only 1 of the last 17 (Augsburg 0-1).
- Gladbach won all their last 7 home games, 4 of them to nil.
- Last time with such a run they managed to win 8 in a row at home.
- Only 1 of the last 18 BL home games were lost from Gladbach (1-3 to Frankfurt in November 2014).

This is the absolute top match and both have to play for something. Gladbach is fighting with Leverkusen for third place while Wolfsburg want to safe second place. This match is also important for Bayern Munich because if Wolfsburg do not win here the team from Munich is Champion of the season 2014/15.

A very close encounter is expected and Gladbach plays for sure the same style as they did against Dortmund some weeks ago here or also in Munich. Wolfsburg on the other side try to control the game and be as active as they can. Hopefully the power is there after the match in Italy against Neapel where they got a excellent draw. Some of the players were rested, also De Bryne missed his first match of the season. It can be that he miss here again, Schürrle is sure out and also Vierinha will miss the game.

For Gladbach it is clear that Stranzl is not ready and he will be replaced again from Browers. All the other players are ready and Coach Favre can choose from a lot. Above all in offensive he can rotate or put up the guys he think that they can make some trouble against the defense form Wolfsburg. With a Point they go even with Leverkusen but this is not their main target, they want the win and overcome Leverkusen ..... but overall not such important because in two weeks they play Leverkusen here and can make things clear.

FSV Mainz 05 - FC Schalke 04

Statistic:

- S04 is unbeaten since 7 games against Mainz 05 (4-3-0).
- Since Mainz won 1-0 at home 2006 they were not able to beat Schalke.
- In this period they failed in 6 home games so far (0-2-4).
- Against no other team is Mainz waiting for a win so long.
- Schalke is winless on the road 2015, they are 0-4-2 there.
- Only in CL league match in Madrid they were able to win 4-3.
- With 16 Points collected is Mainz one Point above Schalke in this period 2015.
- Mainz were able to collect in 8 BL games 12 Points under their new Coach Schmidt.
- These are much more as under former Coach Hjulmand (6.)

Important game for both sides. Mainz is not safe yet and need some Points but has a good rooster to play above all next week against Hamburg, when they are looking ahead it is sure that they get the last Points they need. With 34 they are not far away but they are also not under pressure or in trouble. At home they have some problems at least and they were not able to win much in their Arena. Maybe Coach Schmidt changes a bit and work on the lineup again. In Freiburg they had a bit luck above all with their goals when Okazaki scored twice. But overall they are a team who can be dangerous above all midfield player Geis is a very good standard specialist and he can make the difference in games. Defensive line returns to normal style with Bungert and Bell and Schmidt hope to give the old stability back with these two guys.

The team from Gelsenkirchen Schalke is fighting for an international spot but they should try to start winning 2015 otherwise the other teams are coming closer and closer and the pressure is getting bigger and bigger. Maybe the match in Wolfsburg was a good sign for the team that they made a step forward and can play a good level with a good organized defensive. This can be the case again as with Höger and Nastasic returning two guys and also Choupo Mouting is back and can help in offensive to be much more dangerous. The Hunter has to improve because he is waiting since 1076 minutes for a goal now. The best news are coming from the last game against Mainz because he scored the last goal there. They won with 4-1 and Huntelaar scored in November. Maybe this can be a new start for him against Mainz again. Almost all players are ready and this help Di Matteo anyway. He has only to find the right balance and players for this game.

Close game but I see Schalke as the better side here. They should be able to get at least a draw above all against a team who is not so strong at home this season. They showed that they are able to get something on the road last time against Wolfsburg and why not here again. This can be a big step for them and the important international spot too.

Recommend Bet: FC Schalke 04 AHC +0,25 @ 1,84 (3 Units)

Week Performance !!!

Dear Sports Fan, Tipster, Investor,

I want to give away a special offer for the People around here.

1 month = 35 Euro

Last 6 Rounds = 50 Euro

I think this is a fair price, you can expect around 100+ Picks and this means that you pay only 2 Euro for each. 

For support and Pick delivery I stay in touch with all members via E-Mail or Skype.

Be on the right side, be a Winner. Follow German Soccer Insider.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Week 17 !!!

I wanted to dedicate my Picks / Tips in an extra post. I update it always if I add something, it is only for a better view. All Picks can be seen under Betting History, Plan Picks or Tip of the Day additional. Of course, all Picks are verified !!!


German Soccer Picks:

24.04.2015  20:30  1.BL  FSV Mainz 05 - FC Schalke 04 AHC +0,25 @ 1,84 (A) 2-0


PS: All bets are monitored from BA-Surveillance !!!




S T A T I S T I C:

Season 2014/15:
Picks: 62 --- 38 WON --- 3 VOID --- 21 LOST --- Hitrate 64,41% --- Profit 30,53 --- Yield 17,249%

April 2015:
Picks: 7 --- 5 WON --- 1 VOID --- 1 LOST --- Hitrate 83,33% --- Profit 9,90 --- Yield 55,00%

Week Performance !!!

Dear Sports Fan, Tipster, Investor,

I want to give away a special offer for the People around here.

1 month = 35 Euro

Last 6 Rounds = 50 Euro

I think this is a fair price, you can expect around 100+ Picks and this means that you pay only 2 Euro for each. 

For support and Pick delivery I stay in touch with all members via E-Mail or Skype.

Be on the right side, be a Winner. Follow German Soccer Insider.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Week 15 !!!

I wanted to dedicate my Picks / Tips in an extra post. I update it always if I add something, it is only for a better view. All Picks can be seen under Betting History, Plan Picks or Tip of the Day additional. Of course, all Picks are verified !!!


German Soccer Picks:

17.04.2015  20:30  1.BL  Eintracht Frankfurt - Bor. M'Gladbach AHC +0,75 @ 1,86 (H) 0-0
19.04.2015  17:30  1.BL  VfL Wolfsburg - FC Schalke 04 OVER 3 @ 1,95 1-1


PS: All bets are monitored from BA-Surveillance !!!




S T A T I S T I C:

Season 2014/15:
Picks: 62 --- 38 WON --- 3 VOID --- 21 LOST --- Hitrate 64,41% --- Profit 30,53 --- Yield 17,249%

April 2015:
Picks: 7 --- 5 WON --- 1 VOID --- 1 LOST --- Hitrate 83,33% --- Profit 9,90 --- Yield 55,00%

VfL Wolfsburg - FC Schalke 04

Statistic:

- Schalke won 5 of the last 6 matches with Wolfsburg since 2012.
- They lost only 1 time since then and this was 0-4 in Wolfsburg (August 2013).
- But in Wolfsburg's stadium won Schalke only 2 of 19 matches (2-10-7).
- The last time in March 2013 with 4-1.
- Wolfsburg plays the best BL season in their history with 60 Points after 28 Rounds.
- Also in the Season 2008/09 when they became Champion it was 3 Points less to this time.
- Wolfsburg is the best Team of 2015 so far, they collected 26 Points, +16 goals.
- Schalke is one of the weakest teams 2015 with only 14 Points after 11 Rounds.

If we all know, Wolfsburg is doing really well this season and they are close to save the second place. They are 6 Points ahead of Leverkusen and Gladbach and have this game in Hand. If they win here they can take the advantage to 9 Points and also the better goal difference speaks for them what means an additional Point advantage. I am sure if they can not hold the level and they win only 2 of their last 6 games they are sure second. In Europe their run ended on Thursday with a huge defeat against Neapel at home. They never had any chance in this game and it was seen if some of the players are not on their best level or have not their best day what happened. They allow easy goals to a team from Italian who was very aggressiv and press huge and the pressure was to much to avoid mistakes and therefore goals are coming against them. After a lot of matches they can be tired as well above all De Bryne played all matches from beginning on. It is up to Coach Hecking to find the right balance for this encounter and give the players a rest who need but on the other side he must look forward to win this game and hold their excellent advantage alive.

The team from Gelsenkirchen Schalke is doing hard this time and they have a hard season so far. With only a few Points ahead of the other teams who failed huge in recent weeks they had the luck that they are in the position to get an European spot with no help from other teams. But the situation is getting more and more worse if they do not win in the upcoming weeks. With Dortmund coming a team from behind who has the aim to finish 6 or 7. They should be aware of the situation and the time who has come now. This are the most important weeks of the season and they can not allow to lose more Points. Coach Di Matteo has to find the right balance between defensive and offensive but he has to put the focus more on the offensive because they are absolutely harmless there. It he want to get a result here he has to risk some because Wolfsburg score for sure above all at home. With Höger they have a central midfield players suspended, for him can play Hochstädter. Also in offensive he has some options with Sam, Sane, Meyer and Farfan.

I do not say that Wolfsburg is in a must win situation here but if they want to hold the comfortable lead to third place they have to win here and on the other side Schalke is almost in a must win situation after the results from yesterday. Therefore it can be that this match can go wide open if the first goal arrive. The offensive lines from both are good enough to score, although Schalke had some problems there in the past. But after the European match from Wolfsburg it can be that the players are a bit tired if Hecking changes not much and it the legs and head are tired it is not easy to avoid all dangerous situations. I believe in goals in this encounter where both teams have to play forward.

Recommend Bet: OVER 3 @ 1,95 (3 Units)

Saturday BL Infos

1899 Hoffenheim - Bayern München

The lineup from 1899 looks very good but on the other side has Bayern a lot of problems. The newest injured player is Lahm who has the flu and is not ready today. They want to start with Neuer, Rafinha, Badstuber, Dante, Bernat, Rode, Gaudino, Weiser, Müller, Götze and Lewandowski


Bayer Leverkusen - Hannover 96

Leverkusen with all players ready, for Jedvaj plays Papadopoulos in central back after he returns from suspension. Hannover made one change, he let Schmiedebach on bench and allow Gülselam to play in central midfield beside Andreasen. Also out it Sane with suspension.


Borussia Dortmund - SC Paderborn

For Dortmund Reus is not ready what is a big blow for them because without him it is not the same team and they are not so dangerous anyway. Surprise is that Ginter plays in central midfield beside Gündogan. For Paderborn the same starting lineup from last win get the next chance to show they skills and go for important Points against relegation.


SC Freiburg - FSV Mainz 05

The lineup for Freiburg is ok, for the suspended Klaus plays Guede on the wing. Mainz are almost the same lineup only Bungert is out, for him starts Noveski.


Hertha BSC Berlin - 1.FC Köln

Hertha is unbeaten since a few games and they want to continue the run and stay away from relegation trouble while Cologne comes to Berlin with a lot of self confidence after the last win at home. They have to replace suspended Olkowski, his replacement can be Brecko on the back wing. Also hope they that Osako and Nagasawa has the same good day as against 1899.

Eintracht Frankfurt - Bor. M'Gladbach

This one is a very interesting match because both are in a position where they need some Points. The home side is still fighting for European Spot despite they are winless since 3 matches. But nevertheless the race for Europe is very slow and almost all teams failed lately. On the other side Gladbach is in a very good position to secure a place for Champions league. At the moment they are third but fight with Leverkusen to be third or fourth.

The most entertaining team of BL comes from Frankfurt, they are doing very well this season despite conceding like hell. With 57 goals conceded they have one of the weakest defensive lines in BL but the offensive is one of the best with 51 goals scored. Only the offensive held Frankfurt alive this season and put them in a very good position right now. But the last weeks were not so positive for them if you take a look on the huge injury from Meier (best scorer with 19 goals) who is out for the rest of the season after his knee op. Because of him and also of the absent from Stendera who is suspended and central defender Zambrano Coach Schaaf is thinking of a new tactic. Normally they are very offensive minded with 4-4-2 and have not the compactness in midfield or central back to hold the opponents away from their goal. This time against Gladbach they can not allow so much space above all against such good counter attacks and so fast players from Gladbach. Therefore Schaaf is trying to come back to the old preferred tactic from former Coach Veh 4-2-3-1. This means that they have one more defensive midfield player on the pitch as normal. With Flum and Medojevic they have to in back but they have not real match praxis because Schaaf does not count on them. It is more expected that Ignovski plays beside Hasebe there. The three offensive players can be Kittel, Seferovic and Aigner but last one had some problems this training week and is doubtful. The first replacement can be Inui but he can play also for Kittel. This is up to Coach Schaaf what he puts up.

The team of the moment Gladbach coming from 4 wins in a row and they are aiming for the next one here. The style of play was different because against Bayern and Dortmund they played really defensive minded and go only for counter attacks but this works not against all teams. Also that they can take the lead and take advantage of this for their play what was seen against Bayern and also Dortmund. This style was very passive and they do not want to take part in the game, only if they have the opportunity for counter attacks. Against teams like Frankfurt they are more in the position to take part. This can be that Coach Favre has to think a bit about a new tactic. The players are there for sure as only central defender Stranzl is not available. With Kramer back from suspension they have more options in midfield as well. In offensive they have a lot of players to choose from like Raffael, Kruse, Herrmann, Hazard, Johnson, Hahn and Hrgota. Last one got no real chance since they knocked out form Euro League. What offensive lineup Favre put up it open but none of them is a bad decision.

I know it is a risky one but I am trying it because both are fighting still for their goals and I am sure that Frankfurt gives this away without any battle. Additional Frankfurt is unbeaten since 8 matches at home and was only without any chance against Bayern 0-4, all the other matches they were close. And that they are able to hurt teams was seen very well against Wolfsburg 1-1. If they can allow Gladbach less space and are ahead of the counter attacks they are able to get here something. It is all up to their style of play as they are always able to score in their own arena. On the other side Gladbach won only 5 of their 14 road games and had some problems there anyway. Sorry but I see Gladbach not as such a favorite although they are full and Frankfurt with some absent players.   

Recommend Bet: Eintracht Frankfurt AHC +0,75 @ 1,86 (3 Units)

Week Performance !!!

Dear Sports Fan, Tipster, Investor,

I want to give away a special offer for the People around here.

1 month = 35 Euro

Last 6 Rounds = 50 Euro

I think this is a fair price, you can expect around 100+ Picks and this means that you pay only 2 Euro for each. 

For support and Pick delivery I stay in touch with all members via E-Mail or Skype.

Be on the right side, be a Winner. Follow German Soccer Insider.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Week 15 !!!

I wanted to dedicate my Picks / Tips in an extra post. I update it always if I add something, it is only for a better view. All Picks can be seen under Betting History, Plan Picks or Tip of the Day additional. Of course, all Picks are verified !!!


German Soccer Picks:

11.04.2015  15:30  1.BL  Bor. M'Gladbach - Borussia Dortmund AHC +0,25 @ 1,79 (H) 3-1
11.04.2015  15:30  1.BL  FSV Mainz 05 - Bayer Leverkusen AHC +0,25 @ 2,04 (H) 2-3
11.04.2015  15:30  1.BL  SC Paderborn - FC Augsburg AHC +0,25 @ 1,74 (H) 2-1
11.04.2015  15:30  1.BL  Bayern München - Eintracht Frankfurt AHC -2 @ 1,86 (H) 3-0
13.04.2015  20:15  2.BL  Fortuna Düsseldorf - 1.FC Kaiserslautern AHC +0,5 @ 2,05 (H) 1-1


PS: All bets are monitored from BA-Surveillance !!!




S T A T I S T I C:

Season 2014/15:
Picks: 61 --- 37 WON --- 3 VOID --- 21 LOST --- Hitrate 63,79% --- Profit 27,95 --- Yield 16,063%

April 2015:
Picks: 6 --- 4 WON --- 1 VOID --- 1 LOST --- Hitrate 80% --- Profit 7,32 --- Yield 48,80%

Fortuna Düsseldorf - 1.FC Kaiserslautern

This can be a real promotion encounter if the forecast of the experts would be right. The home team was struggling lately and shot them out of the promotion race with bad results while Kaiserslautern is still involved and has a very good position right now. With a Point here they return back to second place because Darmstadt played only draw on Friday and give Kaiserslautern the chance to take advantage here.

Hard times in Düsseldorf above all after the harmless performance against bottom team St. Pauli last Monday. They lost there with 0-4 and showed one of their weakest performances this season. Despite this awful game it is not impossible that Coach Aksoy change on some positions. To begin of the week he said that he wants to give the same guys to recover but the trainings week showed some different. In central defensive played Soares and Tah, both had not the best day and maybe he brings with Bodzek who is back after injury some stability back to this part of the team. Also in midfield and attack are some changes possible. After the Ultras visiting their training session, all know what the time has brought to Fortuna.

The best home team of the league Kaiserslautern is on the road again where they were not able to get much because in 13 road games they collected only 13 Points. This is their biggest problem in race of promotion that they are not able to bring the performance of home games on the pitch away too. This is their biggest problem right now but they are in the battle for promotion and the situation is very good for them anyway. Coach Runjaic expecting a very close and hard match because he said that Düsseldorf improve for sure compared to the last match and they have to be warned. Not available are Demirbay, Jenssen and Gaus all injured while Ring is suspended today.

After the last performance from Düsseldorf all expect that they fail again today but if you take a look on their last games and on some situation they had it is almost all the same. If they lose big or made a weak game they come out and bring a good performance on the pitch. I am expecting a reaction from them today, for their fans. On the other side Kaiserslautern is not the best traveler and maybe this can be good opponent for them to recover. Big game, close one, and I believe that Düsseldorf does not lose today.  

Recommend Bet: Fortuna Düsseldorf AHC +0,5 @ 2,05 (3 Units)

Hamburger SV - VfL Wolfsburg

Statistic:

- The last 7 home games is Hamburg winless against Wolfsburg (0-4-3).
- The last home win celebrated they 8 years ago. 2007 with 1-0.
- Wolfsburg is playing their best BL season in club history with 57 Points after 27 Rounds.
- Hamburg could win only 1 of their last 17 BL top matches on Saturday evening (1-6-10).
- This was to begin of February against Hannover 96 with 2-1.
- Wolfsburg won 9 of the last 10 top matches on Saturday evening.
- The best team after the winter break is Wolfsburg with 23 Points collected and +14 goals.
- Only Tasmania Berlin (1965/66) scored less goals after 27 games as Hamburg (16).
- HSV was scoreless in 16 games already, the record is 18 from Tasmania Berlin !!!

It is not the best what Hamburg showed in the past, but they are a bit better at home as on the road, therefore the huge defeat in Leverkusen is not the biggest problem in my eyes. Of course they have a lot of problems in team and also around the club but this must be take away above all they fight for their future at the moment. If this is not in their heads already it is hard to help this Hamburg side. This trainings week Coach Knäbel tried a lot and he wants to play much more offensive but compact. It looks like that they want to hurt Wolfsburg with some good counter attacks but they have to field a bit more offensive minded lineup as in the past. Above all in attack they are more as harmless but with 57.000 fans in their back it can be that they can bring a good home game on the pitch. They showed this sometimes like against Dortmund, Leverkusen and some others.

The current best team comes from Wolfsburg and they are doing very well but it is not all well. Above all the attackers are far away again. Dost had a good run but failed several times lately. Also his replacement Bendtner is not at his best moment otherwise he would be starter. It is all about de Byrne and if this guy has a weak day it can be that Wolfsburg comes in trouble. Schürrle is also far from his best. This means that they have to improve a lot in attack. The Cup game in their legs where they need a penalty to advance but they did the job. The upcoming weeks are not as easy as the last. With EL ahead it is about Coach Hecking how important he takes this game. Maybe some rotation is possible. Big miss will be central midfield player Gustavo who is one of the fighter and help all the creative players.

After Paderborn's win Hamburg is under huge pressure now. They must look to take Points here if they do not want to get more and more in trouble. Nevertheless this can be a very close game with hard fight from both sides and if Hamburg plays really aggressiv I am not sure if the creative players from Wolfsburg like this. Maybe they must to pocket some hard fouls in my eyes. I am not surprised if this one is a rough one.

FSV Mainz 05 - Bayer Leverkusen

Statistic:

- Only against Nürnberg (8) collected FSV more wins as against Leverkusen (7) and SCF (7).
- The record against Leverkusen is positive with 7-4-6.
- Leverkusen has a very weak average with 1,29 Points against FSV.
- Since 3 games is Mainz unbeaten, they are 1-3-0 in this period.
- This match against Leverkusen is their 300. BL match (100 wins, 85 draw and 114 defeats).
- Leverkusen won all their last 5 BL games and all to nil. This is a new club record in their history.
- 6 matches without conceding a single goal happened never till now for Bayer.
- Mainz is the team with the most draws in the league (13).

After Mainz fired their Coach they gave with Schmidt a man a chance who comes from the second team. He knew the situation very well and he has the experience from Tuchel and how Mainz was playing in this period. He gave the team all the trust back and they are doing well since then. They are a team who is hard to beat because only 3 defeats 2015 show this. The team is more balanced now and they are playing much better and the compactness leads in success. Also the more trust in their new style of play. With Geis they have a real great free kick shooter in their rows what give them always the opportunity to score after his free kicks, corners and so on. In this actions they are very dangerous. Maybe they have to change the tactic a bit compared to matches before but this should not be such a problem. They had already Wolfsburg and some other big teams short before a lost in their stadium, so why not high flying Leverkusen now.

The current best team comes from Leverkusen, they are high flying at the moment with five wins in a row and 13-0 goals in this period. Overall they are a very good and solid team but international they missed the biggest opportunity to advance against ATM after penalties. The focus lies now on Bundesliga and the race for third and important place, therefore they have to continue winning and hope that Gladbach their biggest rival fail. But first they have to recover from a hard Cup game against Bayern Munich. If they had the luck on their side they could have won this but once again they failed after penalties. The next big thing is that Spahic was involved in some kind of brawl after the game. All are not very pleased about him and it looks like that he is not in the squad today. Because of Papadopoulos suspension they can get some problems in central back today. The next thing can be if the head is free and the legs are fresh.

This is the next close encounter, Leverkusen has 120 minutes in their legs and Mainz could prepare the whole week. Both are in good form and both are on an unbeaten run already. This can be a hard match what hurt Leverkusen if they can not took the lead as to the end of the game I am expecting Mainz as the fresher side and they are able to overcome Leverkusen then. It was seen already against Wolfsburg when Mainz was close to win in the end. I believe in them today.

Recommend Bet: FSV Mainz 05 AHC +0,25 @ 2,04 (3 Units)

SC Paderborn - FC Augsburg

Statistic:

- The first match in BL won Augsburg with 3-0.
- Also 3 from the last 4 games between these sides won Augsburg, 1 draw.
- SCP lost 5 of their last 6 BL games and is on a huge downtrend. The only win was in Hannover 2015.
- Also they are goalless since 551 minutes. This is the longest run from all BL clubs.
- Paderborn scored only 2 goals in their last 11 BL games. 10 times without scoring a single one.
- These numbers are a negative club record for SCP as well.
- Also Augsburg has a lot of problems in offensive play, they are with a goal since 3 games.
- If they fail again and got their 4 game without scoring it is a negative club record as well.
- Both Coach Weinzierl (2019) and Sport Manager Reuter (2020) signed new contracts.
- Since Weinzierl is head Coach in Augsburg, only 6 teams has more wins as FCA (35) in this period.

After one of the best years / seasons 2014 in club history for SC Paderborn the situation is getting much more worse 2015. They were not able to win a single match and they are on a huge downtrend. Also in attack they are not able to score and create dangerous situations. Although they are all positive they are not able to turn things around and they are at the position most of the experts has expect before the season. The surprise effect is gone and they can not overcome the teams with their play, only if all is going their way and they are dangerous and score with the less attempts they create. This match can be a key game for them above all in their small stadium what can be a slight advantage for them this time. But if they want to get here anything out of the match they should stop to produce mistakes and also play with much more courage as lately.

High flying Augsburg is far away from any relegation trouble, they are one of the teams who fight for a European spot. They are current on 6 Place and this is exactly the position they want to finish. With the new contracts for Sport Manager Reuter and Coach Weinzierl they want to give a new positive sign for the team, fans and around the club. The biggest task is to bring Augsburg on a solid basis and try to establish them in Bundesliga for long time. The best season ever in their history can be this one if they continue the way they have started. The only key fact is their weakness on the road where they had a lot of problems in the past, above all against teams who stand more deep and allow them not so much space. Against Schalke they had the space and they had some good opportunities to win this one but they were to imprecise and nervous in their actions in front of the goal. Additional they controlled some road games in the past but forgot to get some actions finished and lost in the end.

Both team are not ahead of their best play and they have huge problems to score. Of course Paderborn showed nothing 2015 so far and it is far away from the play of 2014 but Augsburg has the same problems and on the road they are harmless. Against Schalke it was seen that they are not able to play their attacks to end and against Paderborn it can be not as easy as expected because I am sure that they bring a big fight on the pitch today. Do ir die !!!

Recommend Bet: SC Paderborn AHC +0,25 @ 1,74 (3 Units)

Bor. M'Gladbach - Borussia Dortmund

Statistic:

- This encounter is very even as Dortmund won 29 times, Gladbach 28 times, and 28 draws.
- The first game this season won Dortmund 1-0 due to a crazy own goal from Kramer !!!
- This was Gladbach's first defeat after 19 games without a lose.
- Dortmund was not able to win a single game from the last 4 games in Gladbach (0-2-2).
- BvB won only 1 of the last 8 games in Gladbach. This was 2009 in October.
- Gladbach is unbeaten since 7 league games (5-2-0).
- This is the longest run from a team in BL so far. The last defeat was at Round 20.
- On the other side is Dortmund unbeaten since 5 road games (3-2-0).

The actual best playing team comes from Gladbach. Coach Favre has formed a well balanced team which woks very well. They play some good tactic styles and the defensive is hard to beat while the offensive is always in the situation to overcome the opponents. If they continue the way they are for sure a candidate for a CL spot. They are already some Points ahead of their rivals, the only open thing is if they come in third or fourth as they fight with Leverkusen for the positons. The team is able to play a lot of systems now, we saw in Munich that they can play compact and allow almost nothing but we saw also that they can play a more offensive style like at Hoffenheim at the weekend. This allows Coach Favre to change and take the focus on the opponent. Also he has a lot of players which allow them to rotate without any problems and they are not losing any quality with this too. 

One of the best teams 2015 arrive in Gladbach today. If they did not have such hard times in first half of the season they are for sure a candidate for a CL spot but at least for a European spot. But they started playing better and get results at last 2015 and this put them out of any trouble but they are also 6 Points behind place six. The only competition they are alive is in Cup but the next opponent is very hard with Bayern Munich and it is a road game additional. They must look that they can overcome Bayern and win the Cup or they must try to finish 6 or 7 and they can play international next season again. The biggest problem from Klopp already is that he has not Plan B and he let them play always the same style. If a team plays more defensive minded or have a good and hart to beat defensive line it is hard for them. Above all the fast offensive players need a lot of space to bring all their power on the pitch. Many rivals know this already and play very deep what allow Reus and Aubameyang not the space.  Therefore Klopp has to think about his style of play but with less alternatives he is not able to changes the system.  

It is a hard match here, both have to go over 120 minutes in Cup under the week but with different success. Gladbach knocked out against 3. league team Bielefeld while Dortmund advanced with a late goal form Kehl. Gladbach was not ahead of their play and they want to do better this time and also want revenge for the lost in first game this season to Dortmund. Coach Favre are working hard to find the right system and tactic for Dortmund. I am sure this match is very close and it can be that one action is enough to decide this one. I am more keen on Gladbach who has much more self confidence and they are in much better mood despite their cup knock out. Why is a team on 3rd place underdog against a team who has a lot of problems this season, therefore I have to take it.

Recommend Bet: Bor. M'Gladbach AHC +0,25 @ 1,79 (3 Units)

Bayern München - Eintracht Frankfurt

Statistic:

- Bayern lost not one of the last 7 BL games against Frankfurt (6 wins).
- The last 5 games were won and they scored 13 goals and conceded not a single one.
- Additional lost Bayern only 1 of the last 32 BL games vs. Eintracht in their own Arena (27-4-0).
- The last home defeat is years ago. It was in November 2000 with 1-2.
- The last home game was lost 0-2 to Gladbach and this was their first defeat in 18 games (16-1-1).
- Bayern scored 71 goals and Frankfurt scored 51 goals, both have huge offensive potential.
- But Frankfurt conceded already 54 goals what is one of the worst numbers form all clubs.
- Lewandowski 14 goals and Meier 19 goals are fighting for the best Scorer. (Robben 17 injured).

It looks like Bayern Munich has some problems if they have to play without of their two best offensive wings. The defeat against Gladbach hurts big and after Robben got injured in this game Bayern was almost helpless in their offensive play. Also against Dortmund they showed nothing in offensive and they created nothing. They took the lead due to one action from Lewandowski and Müller but all in all in 90 minutes nothing. Ok, the absent of Robben, Ribery, Schweinsteiger, Benatia and Alaba is a big blow also for a team like team although they talk that they have the quality in their squad but none of the available players were or is able to surprise in one against one and open the space for some other offensive players. Nevertheless against Dortmund Coach Guardiola changed his tactic from ball possession to a more defensive controlled game. They looked only to give Dortmund not the space they need for their counter attacks and their fast players like Reus and Aubameyang. This was one of the key facts and not the normal play from Bayern Munich but the situation forced this anyway. The Cup game showed some other sign and they played compact but had some good attempts on target. This means that they are able above all at home to hurt a weak Frankfurt's defensive side although they miss their important wings. And Guardiola said without both it is a different style of play from Bayern right now.

Overall Frankfurt is doing well and they are far away from any trouble, also they have the top scorer of the league in their rows. Nevertheless they had a lot of problems on the road recently. Several times they took the lead and played a really good first half but were not able to take advantage of it and in second half they disappeared and conceded a lot. If this was in Freiburg, Stuttgart or last weekend at home to Hannover, they have problems in second half. Of course they have one of the best offensive lines of the league and they are always able to create and score anytime but their defensive play is also one of the weakest in the league and they conceded a lot. This is due to their offensive minded players and the bad work against the ball. All know this but Coach Schaaf said that he does not change anything because if he does, he stop their strength in offensive, he is more for spectacle as only playing for a result. This means that they are playing the same style in Munich and it can be a hard match because Munich loves such opponents like opposite teams like Gladbach played or some others against them. The biggest miss for Frankfurt is their top scorer Meier who could not travel with the team to Munich due to injury worries. This means that they have one big weapon out, also imp. defender Zambrano will miss what makes it not better in defensive for them too.

Overall I think have Bayern the better players despite their missing here and they should take the Points above all after the last home lose they never lose twice. Therefore I have to go with them, although the HC is big and although they have 120 minutes in their legs under the week. 

Recommend Bet: Bayern München AHC -2 @ 1,86 (3 Units)

Karlsruher SC - FC St. Pauli

Here we have an encounter with different situations. The home side is still in the race for promotion while St. Pauli has a lot to do that they avoid relegation. This means that we have a lot of pressure in this game.

The situation in Karlsruhe was much better but with a lot of bad results and also the weakness at home 2015 they have lost some to other teams but they are still close to the top 3. According to the last results at home they have to improve a lot, they were not able to score in the last 3 although they had a lot of opportunities but they got not finished what they have created. Therefore Coach Kauczinski changed the system to a 4-4-2 and they played much more wild in offensive but the defensive work was average and they conceded two goals against bottom team Aalen. Despite they scored 2 it was not the expected result for the Coach and he thinks to change back to the normal 4-1-4-1 today. Ok, this is a more defensive minded but they need the compactness and up front they must try to use some of their chances. Not available are Kempe, Krebs, Barry, Traut and Mauersberger. The last one was in team training already but is not ready yet.

The team from Hamburg St. Pauli was in big trouble but after the win and high win they climbed up to place 16 what is not out of the red zone but they are close to the teams above now. With only one Point behind 1860 they are able to overcome them and get a much better position in relegation battle as weeks ago. This incredible win and play from Pauli was only due to some great changes form Coach Lienen. Of course they were unlucky in some matches in the past but this time he counts on young and unexperienced players and not on the normal once who failed several times. One of the biggest surprises was Choi who scored twice and gave one assist against Düsseldorf. Therefore he was the man of this match. But also Bubala and Sobota gave the play from St. Pauli more power. They played really well with Verhoek up front and were always dangerous in every attack. With such a win in the back I am sure that Coach Lienen does not change much and he send the same starting eleven on the pitch. The hope for the next surprise is with them anyway.  

Week Performance !!!

Dear Sports Fan, Tipster, Investor,

I want to give away a special offer for the People around here.

1 month = 35 Euro

Last 8 Rounds = 60 Euro

I think this is a fair price, you can expect around 100+ Picks and this means that you pay only 2 Euro for each. 

For support and Pick delivery I stay in touch with all members via E-Mail or Skype.

Be on the right side, be a Winner. Follow German Soccer Insider.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Week 14 !!!

I wanted to dedicate my Picks / Tips in an extra post. I update it always if I add something, it is only for a better view. All Picks can be seen under Betting History, Plan Picks or Tip of the Day additional. Of course, all Picks are verified !!!


German Soccer Picks:

05.04.2015  13:30  2.BL  SV Sandhausen - Union Berlin AHC 0 @ 1,69 (H) 1-1


PS: All bets are monitored from BA-Surveillance !!!




S T A T I S T I C:

Season 2014/15:
Picks: 55 --- 33 WON --- 2 VOID --- 20 LOST --- Hitrate 62,26% --- Profit 20,63 --- Yield 12,975%

March 2015:
Picks: 11 --- 7 WON --- 1 VOID --- 3 LOST --- Hitrate 70% --- Profit 7,785 --- Yield 25,95%

SV Sandhausen - Union Berlin

This encounter is a match between neighbors if you take a look at the table. It is also a match where the home team has some advantage if you take a look at the last results. Almost all matches are won by the home team.

Wow, many of the experts did not expect such a good run from Sandhausen 2015. They are hard to play, of course but they are hard to beat too. The compactness and their team spirit makes it not so easy for their opponents to overcome them. They are playing really well 2015 and lost only 1 time and this was the last home game against Braunschweig where they were close to a draw but the only free kick gave the advantage for Braunschweig, nothing more, nothing less. The next big blow for them was the match in Frankfurt at FSV where they should have won but the referee gave a penalty for FSV who was nothing and deny them one. All were very angry about this but this is gone and they have to take the focus on this match today. Coach Schwartz is very pleased with his team at the moment and therefore are not much changes in the starting lineup expected.

Union celebrated a narrow 1-0 win at home against St. Pauli and it was a lucky one as the goal was a gift from St. Pauli keeper. This game was very important for them above all after the big defeat and they want to show some uptrend and gave the fans some back after at least weak performances. Union is known for their home strength but they are also known for their weakness on the road and they are far from the power they have in their own stadium. Maybe it is because their fans are very euphoric and create a great atmosphere in ever home game and on the road they are there too but they create not the feeling like in home games what maybe some player miss. The only important fact was that Kreilach is back and they had more stability in their play as without him. It can be that the starting lineup would be changed a bit but nevertheless they are a weak traveller.

This match can be a close one and the team who take the lead is close to win this encounter. I am sure that brings again a very good performances on the pitch, they have the right feeling in their play 2015 and this is an important fact for me. On the other side Union is to harmless and limited on the road and are seldom dangerous. I am putting my money on Sandhausen today although the odd is a bit down now but still worth.

Recommend Bet: SV Sandhausen AHC 0 @ 1,69 (3 Units)

Borussia Dortmund - Bayern München

Statistic:

- In the last 7 games between these two sides it was always a change who wins.
- If we walk on, therefore Dortmund has the better sign for them and they win here.
- BvB  has more Points collected already as in the whole first half of the season.
- And they are only 1 behind Bayern Munich 2015.
- Bayern had some problems at least against Top 5 teams, they were only able to get 12 from 25 Points.
- Both teams allow not much shots on target, therefore it can be a very tactical game.

This it the top match although Dortmund is far away from a top place at the moment. This is only due to their bad first half they played. 2015 they do much better and they are under the top teams if you take a look at the table form second half. Nevertheless the play from Dortmund is not so good and they have to improve a lot, in front of the gaol they need to many attempts for a goal and in defensive work they are a bit unstable. Once again Klopp has to improve in his defensive line above all both wings are more as open. According to the injury list it is not the best, Kirch who replaced Picszek is out additional now and all the other guys like Großkreutz are not ready yet. On the other side both Durm and Schmelzer have injury problems, it is more as open who play today there. Both are working on their comebacks but if one of them can play it is hard because without any match praxis and coming fresh from injury it is always a bit dangerous in such a top game. In midfield and attack has Klopp a lot to choose because almost all are available there.

It is not the best atmosphere at Bayern Munich at the moment. First they lost two weeks ago at home against Gladbach but this was not enough. Robben got injured in this game and is out longer, Ribery his partner on the other wing is not ready yet, Badstuber is also out again and the next big blow comes form Alaba who got injured against Bosnien under the week. This means that the problems are getting bigger and bigger for Bayern and Coach Guardiola now. The defensive line is the last available one he can choose. In midfield it is very open who plays there, Lahm is back after long injury time and can start here for the first time 2015. He can play beside Alonso in central midfield while Schweinsteiger move forward on the wing but this is not the best place for him anyway. On the other wing it is Müller expected due to less alternatives. Both biggest weapons are out with Ribery and Robben and this hurt Bayern huge. Above all they are not so dangerous without this duo or if one of them play. Of course they have a lot potential in their squad anyway but some players are hard to replace and this can be this time.

Overall a close match expected and both former players Lewandowski and Götze getting a big chorus of whistles from the BvB fans. This can bring a lot of hot atmosphere to the pitch and it can be a hard fight.

Bundesliga Update for Saturday

Bayer Leverkusen - Hamburger SV

Statistic:

- Leverkusen won all their last 4 games and they are the best team lately.
- Only in Season 2013 they had more wins with 8 between April till August.
- All the last 4 matches kept Leverkusen a clean sheet.
- 5 games without conceding a single goal happened last time 31 years ago.
- The first match between these two sides were the most unfair game this season with 54 fouls.
- With only 9 Points on the road and 18 goals scored is Hamburg the weakest side on.
- The last 3 road games were all lost and they scored only a single goal but conceded 13 !!!
- Sport Manager Knäbel is the man on the sideline now, he has no experience as Coach.



VfL Wolfsburg - VfB Stuttgart

Statistic:

- With 20 Points in second half of the season is Wolfsburg clear the number 1.
- Behind them are Gladbach 20 and Bayern 19, at the bottom Pader 5, Hannover 3 and Stuttgart 6.
- VfB won the last home game 3-1 after 9 winless games, was this a sign or only a hope.
- 2 wins in a row happened at least 2013 for Stuttgart.
- VfB captain celebrated title with Wolfsburg and Stuttgart.
- Wolfsburg is the best home team in BL with 35 Points and is since 18 BL games unbeaten at home.
- Their record is 20 unbeaten games, therefore they have to bring two more matches behind them.
- Wolfsburg lost only 1 of the last 20 games, this was 0-1 in Augsburg some weeks ago.
- They are alive in all competitions, BL, EL and Cup.



Werder Bremen - FSV Mainz 05

Statistic:

- With 54 goals conceded has Bremen the weakest defensive line in BL.
- In all the best European leagues, no team conceded more so far.
- Since Bremen played in Mainz is Skripnik Coach in Bremen now. He won this imp. game 2-1.
- Bremen is the best team after free kicks, corners and so on, 19 goals already scored.
- 8 from the last 12 goals from Bremen was scored after free kick or corner.
- Since Schmidt took over he has an average from 1,6 Points and is the best Coach at the moment.
- Midfield player Geis is very important for Mainz, he is always involved if Mainz create some.