Samstag, 11. April 2015

Bor. M'Gladbach - Borussia Dortmund

Statistic:

- This encounter is very even as Dortmund won 29 times, Gladbach 28 times, and 28 draws.
- The first game this season won Dortmund 1-0 due to a crazy own goal from Kramer !!!
- This was Gladbach's first defeat after 19 games without a lose.
- Dortmund was not able to win a single game from the last 4 games in Gladbach (0-2-2).
- BvB won only 1 of the last 8 games in Gladbach. This was 2009 in October.
- Gladbach is unbeaten since 7 league games (5-2-0).
- This is the longest run from a team in BL so far. The last defeat was at Round 20.
- On the other side is Dortmund unbeaten since 5 road games (3-2-0).


The actual best playing team comes from Gladbach. Coach Favre has formed a well balanced team which woks very well. They play some good tactic styles and the defensive is hard to beat while the offensive is always in the situation to overcome the opponents. If they continue the way they are for sure a candidate for a CL spot. They are already some Points ahead of their rivals, the only open thing is if they come in third or fourth as they fight with Leverkusen for the positons. The team is able to play a lot of systems now, we saw in Munich that they can play compact and allow almost nothing but we saw also that they can play a more offensive style like at Hoffenheim at the weekend. This allows Coach Favre to change and take the focus on the opponent. Also he has a lot of players which allow them to rotate without any problems and they are not losing any quality with this too. 

One of the best teams 2015 arrive in Gladbach today. If they did not have such hard times in first half of the season they are for sure a candidate for a CL spot but at least for a European spot. But they started playing better and get results at last 2015 and this put them out of any trouble but they are also 6 Points behind place six. The only competition they are alive is in Cup but the next opponent is very hard with Bayern Munich and it is a road game additional. They must look that they can overcome Bayern and win the Cup or they must try to finish 6 or 7 and they can play international next season again. The biggest problem from Klopp already is that he has not Plan B and he let them play always the same style. If a team plays more defensive minded or have a good and hart to beat defensive line it is hard for them. Above all the fast offensive players need a lot of space to bring all their power on the pitch. Many rivals know this already and play very deep what allow Reus and Aubameyang not the space.  Therefore Klopp has to think about his style of play but with less alternatives he is not able to changes the system.  

It is a hard match here, both have to go over 120 minutes in Cup under the week but with different success. Gladbach knocked out against 3. league team Bielefeld while Dortmund advanced with a late goal form Kehl. Gladbach was not ahead of their play and they want to do better this time and also want revenge for the lost in first game this season to Dortmund. Coach Favre are working hard to find the right system and tactic for Dortmund. I am sure this match is very close and it can be that one action is enough to decide this one. I am more keen on Gladbach who has much more self confidence and they are in much better mood despite their cup knock out. Why is a team on 3rd place underdog against a team who has a lot of problems this season, therefore I have to take it.

Recommend Bet: Bor. M'Gladbach AHC +0,25 @ 1,79 (3 Units)

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