Samstag, 27. April 2013

Erzgebirge Aue - MSV Duisburg

Through the win from Bochum yesterday, it is almost a must win situation for Aue. They are under huge pressure today, if they fail it is going not to be in their hands should Dresden get the 3 points in Frankfurt against FSV. A point is still enough to be ahead of Dresden also they win. But it makes it closer and closer anyway. On the other side they face an inform opponent who are not out of all and need points for their own here. They are 7 points ahead of Dresden but if they lose here and Dresden win, the gap is closing again and it can be a very hot atmosphere in the remaining games. So it is important for MSV as well not to lose here.

Sure Aue got two draws against top teams like Kaiserslautern and Braunschweig and this gives them a lot of self confidence and also if they got the points, it was not so easy above all against Lautern where they played only with 9 men but made the equalizer. But nevertheless this matches are gone they must look forward and have collect points. Very important is the returning of Paulus, Kingbeil and Pezzoni who were all suspended against Braunschweig while Nickenig is suspended now but they can replace him as they did with the other guys. According to the changes in Braunschweig due to the suspended players Coach Baumann must change again a lot as all are back and they play all. So a big rotation in team again and this can be a bit difficult as the others made a good performance. Now back to all style of starting lineup can be dangerous.

MSV is in good shape, made good matches but were lucky on monday evening against Cologne were they got a draw but they played bad and were lucky not to lose this. No, their attitude was excellent and they made the equalizer after a nice header from Bormheuer. This push them additional and they want to safe them as soon as possible therefore they should not lose today. Despite the weak performance Coach Runjaic does not change his team, he counts almost on the same eleven as against Cologne. Wolze is back after suspension and could be in starting lineup immediately while Perthel move back to his normal position and absolute weak Ibertsberger is again out of the team. Goran Sukalo is still out and is well replaced from Öztürk as he does already in the other matches.

Overall a difficult match but I think that MSV has the much better moment on their side although Aue made some good matches in the past but they change again a lot. Sure, a lot of experienced players are back but for a small team so often rotation I am not a fan from it and they look not well balanced then. I give MSV much more chances to win this one, above all their fast wings can do the job. The form is there and hopefully they continue their run.

Recommend Bet: MSV Duisburg AHC +0,25 @ 1,94 (3 Units)

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