Fortuna Düsseldorf - Werder Bremen

After newcomer Düsseldorf came very good into the season and they managed it to collect some points to stay away from relegation battle. They had some advantage after the winter break but their good play is gone and they are on a huge downtrend in second half and are much worse now. They did not find the way to win matches and therefore they get more and more in trouble and the gap to place 16 are only 5 points now, sure some puffer there but it is getting closer and closer. Their advantage was much bigger but winless since 7 let the others come closer. This means that they are under huge pressure now while the other matches they did not have the pressure as much as they had now. One of the key facts are their defensive, they worked well in first half but in second half of the season they are almost without keeping a clean sheet and therefore they are not able to win maybe. But overall they are a very good home side and they are hard to beat, I was very pleased what they played against Leverkusen although they lost 1-4. This match had maybe go on their side as well but they missed to use their chances. But overall they play very fast and good counter if they get the possibility. With Bodzek and Bolly they miss two important players but they must look forward to collect points with the players who are available.

Their opponent is almost in the same situation right now and they are neighbors in table from second half of the season. They did not win a match since 6 and they are in a very weak situation as well. With such good players in their rows they are not able to win matches, maybe too many mistakes, to much self display, no self confidence, no motivation, not interested to work as team, many out of form and so on. It can be many reasons why this is one of the weakest season in BL for Bremen ever  this time. They played a good first half against Schalke but as always they were not able to take the lead and in second half Schalke awaked and changed some in their lineup, moreover Bremen gave them the opportunity to score two easy goals. Both mistakes where made by defender Lukimya who had some awful matches in the past and always some risk in defensive row.  

Both teams under huge pressure because both are almost in a must win situation, home side (29 points) to hold the other teams behind and on distance while Bremen (31 points) not to get in relegation trouble or let Düsseldorf overcome them  at the end of the season. Very interesting match, where both teams have to push and try to get the win, but while both showed not much stability it can be a very open one. The one who can minimize the mistakes and hold the pressure away should be more able to win this encounter. I expect a very open match with a lot of space and with many opportunities to score. I fancy the over and additional the home advantage.

Recommend Bet: Fortuna Düsseldorf AHC 0 @ 2,11 + OVER 2,5 @ 1,87 (each 3 Units)