Merry Christmas !!!

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a merry, peaceful and blessed Christmas and a happy,

healthy and successful New Year 2014 !!!

Merry Christmas

and

a happy New Year 2014 !!!

FC Ingolstadt - 1.FC Kaiserslautern

In the last game of the year, one day before Christmas meet Ingolstadt and Kaiserslautern each other. After three defeats in a row and slipped down to seventh place according to the good results of the opponents but could jump with a win to third place and at the same time close the gap on second placed Greuther Fürth back to four Points. Ingolstadt is only above the red zone due to their good goal difference but would fall down with a defeat by two or more goals to place 17. For both teams, therefore, the game has an enormous importance also in view of a quiet winter break.

Ingolstadt wants to brush up their weak home record before the winter break, because with only six points from eight home games they are the worst team on home soil in the league. Once again Coach Hasenhüttl counts on the same eleven as last week in Aue 0-0 where they remained undefeated for the fifth time in a row. Nevertheless one time he has to change as with suspended defender Matip who booked the red card in Aue must be replaced here. This puts veteran Mijatovic in a good position to play from beginning on the central back alongside with Gunesch. All other positions remain unchanged as mentioned and they would continue their unbeaten run as well.

Kaiserslautern’s coach Runjaic must replace two regulars with the suspended right back Florian Dick and the ill central midfield player Markus Karl what speaks not for a good balanced defensive line. This means that a lot of changes in defensive must be made and some of the players are not on its normal position. First one should be Simunek who is back after his injury and play not in central back as normal, no he is set to play on the right back. Next is Orban who move from central back into the midfield where he must replace ill Karl and the open position in central back play Heintz then. He celebrates his starting debut under Coach Runjaic today. In offensive are also changes possible as they had not the right balance in recent matches and created less and maybe were also too harmless. Above all Marcel Gaus had not his best matches and is a candidate to be replaced according to his bad performances. This is the time from Fortounis who can take advantage from Gaus bad form and move into the starting lineup. But overall after three wins in a row many players are in doubt and must improve a lot, hard task for the Coach to bring his team back on track. 

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Bor. M'Gladbach - VfL Wolfsburg

Wow what a season from Bor. M’Gladbach, they did really well and of course deserved the outcome so far. They are very close to third place Borussia Dortmund but they are only 3 Points ahead of Wolfsburg who put a lot of pressure on them now. Nevertheless they played really great at home and won all 8 matches so far while away from home they are with 2-2-4 a lot weaker. Despite the good run at home they played not so well in the past matches above all their offensive is a bit harmless at the moment and they created not so much as to beginning of the season. It is more they play their style, if they get a chance it is good, if not also good. This was seen to Freiburg and in Mainz already. Of course they can not fire from all guns every week and outplay all opponents but the players are not so fresh what I have seen. Coach Favre counts on all recent matches on the same lineup, of course, sometimes it is good but at the moment they do much to less and maybe changes can help to bring in some freshness in their play. The offensive line with Herrmann, Arrango, Raffael and Kruse is not so dangerous and create less as I mentioned already on the other side the defense stands well and did their job.

Also Wolfsburg did very well this season and they are one of the contenders of a international spot. This season they managed it to get better results above all at home where they lost a lot of Points last season, away it can be a bit better maybe. Overall with 29 Points they are close to a Champions League spot but should continue the winning way. First time after they won the title it looks like that they are able to play a good season and get in the end what they deserve according to their investments they made in the team. Coach Hecking has find a good and well balance starting lineup which do the job very well. The defensive looked very strong compared to last season and they do not have so many mistakes that they lose points here, the offensive do also very well and they are always abel to create some and get dangerous. They have the players in their row the crack every defensive in this league and also some in back if we consider that players like Perisic or Dost comes only from bench.

According to table situation it is a big match for both sides and I think that no team wants to lose here. Of course Gladbach has the better position and they can sit back maybe and take a look what is Wolfsburg able to bring on the pitch today. But they should not forget that they did this also in their last away match in Mainz and they never find a way back into the match, and got only a 0-0 draw there. I wrote it already that the offensive power is a bit lost and maybe the players are tired of Galdbach, this can be the case again today. I see Wolfsburg as a bit better and they have more freshness and should be much more motivated to get even with Gladbach in table. On the other side Gladbach can use the defeats from Dortmund and Leverkusen to climb up. I expect a close and even match where both are satisfied with a draw in the end maybe. The line changed already to +0,25 for Wolfsburg but I see a good chance for them here, Gladbach has a clean record 8-0-0 at home and this can be the first time they lose points. Wolfsburg my choice here. GL

Recommend Bet: VfL Wolfsburg AHC +0,25 @ 2,04 (3 Units)

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2.BL Sunday matches !!!

Greuther Fürth - VfR Aalen

- With a win Fürth can take a good position according to stats now.
- No team has more wins as Fürth and they won 10 from 18 games this season.
- Fürth is a team who plays hop or top, they do not often play draw only 2 times.
- Aalen could win only one of their recent 5 matches and they are on bad form now.
- Also they could not score often, they are without a single goal in 9 games !!!
- On the other side they kept often a clean sheet with 8 times.
- Fürth lost only one from 11 when they took the lead.
- Greuther Fürth is a team who can turn games around if they are down (5 times).
- Aalen won all games if they took the lead (6 times).
- Away from home the record from Aalen is average 3-3-3.
- Fürth has the youngest team in the league with an average from 24,6 years.

Fürth miss only long term injured players like Kraus, Djurdic, Sukalo and Tyrala. No worries on Aalen's side as they have only Mössmer out.

Both do not meet each other in Fürth, it was the first match in Aalen and this was won by Fürth with 2-0. Fürth has collected 16 points at home so far while Aalen got 12 away from home.



SC Paderborn - Energie Cottbus

- No team has lost more as Cottbus (11) and they are on a 7 matches losing run.
- Since Schmidt took over in Cottbus nothing has changed, he lost all matches as Head Coach so far.
- Clear uptrend for Paderborn, they are unbeaten in three and won the recent two.
- In matches where Paderborn is involved were always entertainment with 63 goals so far.
- SCP is not able to keep a clean sheet in many of the matches, only three times !!!
- Paderborn took the lead in 13 of the 18 matches this season.
- But they did not win all, 2 times they lost, and 6 times they got only a draw.
- They are very hard to beat at home and they lost only 2 !!! In their last 7 one time to Union.
- Cottbus is winless away from home and they waiting for the first win.

Paderborn no worries, only old midfielder Krösche miss here and Cottbus has Fomitschow not available.

All recent three matches won Cottbus. Before this run from Cottbus was Paderborn the team who could win 5 by one draw and two defeats. At the moment all speaks for Paderborn because Cottbus looked really worse in last match.

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Fortuna Düsseldorf - 1.FC Köln

At the end of a very tumultuous year stands for Fortuna Düsseldorf with the „Rhein-Derby“ against 1.FC Köln once again a highlight of the program. As both teams faced each other on Matchday two all are expecting Fortuna Düsseldorf as one of the promotion contenders above all they domintated this match very well and it was only due to their waste of chances that they lead not higher as 1-0. In second half Cologne was much better and improved a lot and got a 1-1 draw in the end. But after a few month later things have been much different, Düsseldorf fights to get out of the bottom zone while Cologne stands on top of the table and can with a win open the gap more and more to the other teams. Nevertheless it is a big match and after Düsseldorf fired Coach Büskens and announced Reck as interim coach they are on a clear uptrend now. Both last matches where Reck stands on the sideline were won. Both matches were very important otherwise they would have been involved huge in relegation battle. Overall a hard and big match is expected as both are not very familiar.

In Düsseldorf has interim Coach Reck not many reasons to chance his successful starting eleven from recent matches. May, in the case of a derby success it is expected that he gets promoted to the head Coach of Fortuna. With three wins in a row should all arguments on his side and this is was count. Therefore he works with huge dedication. Compared to the 3-1 win in Cottbus where Oliver Fink was suspended but played really good in Kaiserslautern by the win of them two weeks ago should be back in the starting lineup again. This means that the youngster Gartner is out of the starting lineup after his debut in Cottbus. In attack all hopes are on Benschop and Hoffer, both did the job in recent matches and they are always able to get dangerous.

Cologne Coach Stöger is probably also rebuilt his starting lineup against the 3-1 win against Dresden on one position. So it is likely that top player Risse moves into the team who was only substitute against Dresden due to illness. Peszko is the first who is out for him. Alternative to the last practiced 4-4-2 but would also be 4-2-3-1 with Peszko and Risse in offenisve and Daniel Halfar in the center behind Helmes are possible too. In this case Ujah would be only on bench then. The only problems they have at the moment is with defender Wimmer who has light muscle problems and is a doubt but the austrian should be ready to the match. So no worries on Cologne side for a big derby.

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1.FC Nürnberg - FC Schalke 04

Since beginning of December all were so positive to get the first win but they made some bad experience again. First they played Mainz in their home arena where they took the lead early but could not hold till the end and conceded the equalizer in second half, and the end only 1-1 draw. One week later they played a really great match in Hannover. All was well and they controlled the game very well and were able to score at least more as one goal, no they scored 3 in first half. All were very happy about the good play and result as well and no one was thinking that his match still ends in a drama. In second half they controlled the game as well, had a lot of counter attacks to expand the lead but they failed so often and after Hannover scored the first goal, Nürnberg panicked. In the following minutes they conceded the second goal but it was more as one meter offside but the referee gave the goal and at the end they conceded the equalizer in minute 92. All were very pissed off and very angry about the referee. If you mean that the heads are down in Nürnberg after the 3-3 draw despite a 3-0 lead to half time is wrong. They are all very positive minded and they want to first win as defender Nilsson announced already. They are so close and their play improved a lot after Coach Verbeek arrived. With this positive attitude they go into the next match against Schalke, of course it would be not as easy but they are trying to invest all again. Sooner or later they will win, maybe with luck or with a extremely bad performance but they win, this is their only aim at the moment.

Schalke had a lot of trouble this week, even with Coach, if he should be sucked not or not and so on and also with some injured and ill players. The statement was that Keller sit on the bench and he sit also on the bench after the winter break but I am not so sure because if he lose today, that it for him. The next problems are the squad, according to news is Höwedes and Draxler huge injured and both are out longer. Also Boateng trained not the whole week with the team according to his knee problems. Next important player Farfan was ill during the week but trained on Thursday already with the team. You never know if he is at 100% or not, Schalke was all about Farfan in the past matches and if he has not the best condition it is a harmless team of Schalke. The injury troubles they face at the moment are huge and it is very hard for them to replace this players equal. Nevertheless Coach Keller must find the right mix and also the right words and tactic if they want to get here something because Nürnberg should be hot this is sure after the undeserved draw in Hannover. Last season Schalke came to Nürnberg as favorite, same as today and they were the much better team to beginning but wasted a lot and lost in the end 0-3.

Of course, Nürnberg winless and they are so hot to get the first win against a side from Schalke who has not the best preparing week maybe. Also a lot of players are unavailable what makes it very difficult anyway. This is a do or die game for Nürnberg and they know about the situation, but they are all very positive and this is for me a key fact for this match. Despite all, I count and believe in Nürnberg here.

Recommend Bet: 1.FC Nürnberg AHC +0,25 @ 1,90 (3 Units)

SC Freiburg - Hannover 96

A lot was written from SC Freiburg this season already but I do not want to mentioned all the things again. After the Euro League knock out and also from national Cup Freiburg can concentrate them only on the league. This is an important key fact because the small squad could not handle so many competitions and additional lost a lot of power. The power is needed to get out of the danger zone but if they play like in the past matches it is very hard for them to avoid relegation battle till the end of the season. They made a lot of unneeded mistakes, above all in Cup against Leverkusen, also against Wolfsburg and Schalke, where the mistakes decided their defeat. Therefore they have to improve a lot in the upcoming matches to get a better outcome. First of all they have to bring 2013 to an end with the last match against very weak away side from Hannover. All are very tired if physical or mental and the winter break is coming to the right time now. They can reload their batteries and start new 2014. Nevertheless the last game must be played and they have hard 90 minutes ahead because a lot of players must be replaced again. This is almost the last squad which has Coach Streich available.

One of the weakest away team 2013 arrived to Freiburg to look for the first Point in Season 2013/14. They are on an incredible run of 0-0-7 at the moment although they made it not so bad in recent matches but they made to many mistakes in the end and lost the games all. In Bremen they were up 2-1 but lost 2-3, In Hamburg they were up 1-0 but lost 1-3, in Stuttgart they were up 2-1 but lost 2-4. These three matches said all, they are able to push from beginning on but they are not able to hold the lead till the end. This is only because they are too unstable in their defensive play and also make a lot of mistakes. If they do not change this it will be hard in every game to win. Despite the 3-3 draw at home to Nürnberg after they had to come from behind it is not all well in Hannover. The Coach Slomka is in doubt and he needs results immediately. Above all this match is very important for him if he wants to sit on the bench 2014 again. The situation getting worse at the moment and a lot of trouble makes it not such easy for a relaxed and good preparing for this important match. Nevertheless after such a long winless run or run without getting any point it can be that sooner or later they get something.

Both teams are on a bad run lately, Freiburg losing 5 in a row while Hannover came to Freiburg with 7 defeats in a row away from home. Both looking more or less totally out of form and both make a lot of mistakes in the past matches. Therefore it can be that not all problems are solved and we can expect an open match with problems on each side.

Recommend Bet: OVER 2,5 @ 2,03 (3 Units) + Hannover 96 AHC +0,25 @ 1,75 (3 Units)

Union Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld

With Union Berlin and Arminia Bielefeld facing two teams today who have already some difficult weeks behind this season. But both showed an uptrend in recent matches therefore this can be an interesting one. Union camce back on track last weekend as they won to Bochum easy4-0 after six matches without winning any while Bielefeld stopped their bad home run and won to top team Fürth, overall Bielefeld is on a run from 3 matches without losing and they collected 7 points out of these matches. Of course, both teams want to continue their positive run and go into the winter break with a good feeling as well.

In Berlin all may be very excited to see which team coach Uwe Neuhaus will send on the pitch today. It is because in Bochum were 4 players not available due to suspension or injury but all of the replacments made their job really well and therefore it is very nice to see the lineup now. With Quiring, Kopplin or Dausch, all were only bench players but showed that they can be more as only this part. It means that the regulars Parensen, Özbek, Kohlmann and Brandy must hope of Coach Neuhaus if they start again today. But overall it would be a surprise if he changes a winning eleven. All think that he counts again on the same lineup as in Bochum but maybe one or two changes are possible. Nevertheless one change is sure, with Terodde is their forward suspended what gives Nemec the place back today.

Bielefeld Coach Kramer who must continue to replace a lot of regulars with Hübener, Fießer, and Müller should be very proud about the performance against Fürth and bring the same starting lineup as one week ago. In this match Salger replaced Hübener very well and showed his strength for team. Also Riese and Burmeister in central midfield made a good job so far and should be set to play here. Over all stand Marc Lorenz at the moment he is in great shape and has the momentum on his side too. In all recent three matches he made the difference, therefore they hope that they can bring the same today. In attack long term injured Klos is not on his best level but he is very important for the team as without him they won nothing and with him they showed an uptreand and he is enormously important due to ist presence.

Recommend Bet: OVER 2,75 @ 2,07 (3 Units)

Week Performance 20.12.-31.12.2013

This Update is brought to you by www.clubgowi.com It is one of the most popular and successful Service on the Internet. His daily newsletter is legendary and should not be missed. But convince yourselves and may even give him a try !!!


Week 51 !!!

I wanted to dedicate my Picks / Tips in an extra post. I update it always if I add something, it is only for a better view. All Picks can be seen under Betting History, Plan Picks or Tip of the Day additional. Of course, all Picks are verified !!!


German Leagues:

20.12.2013  20:30  1.BL  Eintracht Frankfurt - FC Augsburg AHC -0,25 @ 1,99 (H) 1-1
21.12.2013  13:00  2.BL  Union Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld OVER 2,75 @ 2,07 4-2
21.12.2013  15:30  1.BL  SC Freiburg - Hannover 96 OVER 2,5 @ 2,03 2-1
21.12.2013  15:30  1.BL  SC Freiburg - Hannover 96 AHC +0,25 @ 1,75 (A) 2-1
21.12.2013  18:30  1.BL  1.FC Nürnberg - FC Schalke 04 AHC +0,25 @ 1,90 (H) 0-0
22.12.2013  15:30  1.BL  Bor. M'Gladbach - VfL Wolfsburg AHC +0,25 @ 2,04 (A) 2-2

Dynamo Dresden - VfL Bochum

Important match for both teams, because they are already in red zone or they are not far away. After just one Point from the last two matches Dynamo Dresden went down to relegation zone and need their fifth win to go out of the danger zone before the winter break. They do not want to spend the winter break on the bottom, however, a win is necessary. Bochum was on a good run lately and won 3 matches in a row, however, they did not great in recent 3 games and collected only one point out of these matches. In this case they are only 2 Points ahead of Dynamo Dresden and if they do not want to get in danger they should not lose this encounter before the winter break.

Compared to the 1-3 at Cologne as Coach Olaf Janssen was very pleased with the performance from his team, apart from the errors before the goals from Cologne, but of course was not happy with the result anyway. Therefore some changes, basically a return to 4-4-2 instead of 4-1-4-1 which was practiced in Cologne is possible. It seems that youngster Leistner after his weak day in Cologne probably sit only on bench and Schuppan who made a lot of mistakes before the goals for Cologne is out of the starting lineup too. For Schuppan moves Thorsten Schulz from the right to the left side of defense, on the right side would start Menz or Gueye. In defensive midfield then play two guys with should be Kempe and Losilla. In offensive Coach Janssen has once again significantly more choice because Robert Koch and Pote returning from suspension. Both are expected back in the starting lineup, what let Milde move out of the team. Beside Pote is it probably that Joker Aoudia has good chances to get a place from beginning on with good performances.

Bochum’s coach Peter Neururer, which of course does not want to go with four matches without a win in a row in the winter break has a lot of problems before the game in Dresden above all with injuries. From the startling lineup last week against Union Berlin 0-4 are not available Freier, Fabian and Sukuta Pasu, all out with injury and all are very hard to be replaced equal. For Freier starts Eyjolfsson who stand for a difficult task to defend an agile Ouali who is one of the best offensive players for Dresden. In central back is Acquistapace set to play for Fabian and should help to be as compact as they can. In attack is Aydin expected to replace Sukuta Pasu. Of course he could not convince much in his performances but Sukuta Pasu was also not the best in scoring. Maybe this change hurts Bochum not much. The others must be seen but overall they should be able to competed with Dresden today.

Eintracht Frankfurt - FC Augsburg

It was a big susprise that Eintracht Frankfurt got the win after a winless period since September. Although Coach Veh counts not on his normal starting lineup because he saw in their last Euro League match that some of the bench players did their job well and therefore he counts on them again in this BL game. He was right with them and additional gave Kadlec, Inui and Oczipka some rest to recover from recent matches. Also important midfield player Rode was not available but he was not needed anyway. They played very focused and aggressive and let Leverkusen not to come into this match. Of course sometimes they had good actions but it was not their day maybe. Despite many changes Frankfurt took the lead due a header from Russ but after some minutes his muscle problems arrived again and he is a doubt now. But nevertheless they are back on track now and can hope that some of the rested and maybe Rode recover for this match in full strength. This is needed because they waiting since 16 Rounds for the first win in their arena. After the success against Leverkusen it can be a good sign to get the job done after a long time.

This small club from Augsburg did very well this season so far. No one expect such a good result after 16 Rounds from them. The new signed players were all reinforcements immediately and they increased its performance and strength very well. All are working together, Coach, Team, Management and this is the outcome. Last season they were almost relegated, only with a huge effort after winter break they reached the important target. All in and around the club are very pleased with Coach Weinzierl and his work but also from Sport Manager Reuter. With a lot of flair for young players they build up a good and balanced team. This team from Augsburg is very hard to play and their fighting spirit is extremely big. All important players like Baier, Altintop, Werner and Hahn are in good shape but it is also a doubt if they can invest so much power every week. Sooner or later it can happen that they play not on such a high level or they are tired too. The effort is huge from all, and they live their dream.

Although Augsburg showed good recent form I am very keen on Frankfurt this time. They were so close in the past matches to get the first win at home and I think after the performances in Leverkusen they looked well prepared. Their defensive play was strong and also in offensive they could create some, an important fact is that some bench players were in good shape and this help a lot above all if they can bring some fresher guys as at least. This can be a key point here as Augsburg comes over their physical strength and they invested a lot in the past and maybe can be a bit tired in the end of the match and this can be an advantage for Frankfurt to overcome them. They took the lead also late in Leverkusen. Therefore my choice Eintracht Frankfurt here, they never lose this again !!! Line is absolutely worth to take.

Recommend Bet: Eintracht Frankfurt AHC -0,25 @ 1,99 (3 Units)

1860 München - FC St. Pauli

 Pauli when two of the traditional teams meet each other. Therefore it is a big chance for both teams this evening to climb up to third place. St. Pauli has already 28 Points and can enter third place with a draw while 1860 Munich has one Point less and need a win here to get the position. Nevertheless it can be a good opportunity for both to return big into promotion race but both had failed huge in the past above all if they are close to it. This time one of the teams reach it anyway. According to last matches both are in great shape with winning almost all, 1860 with four wins in a row while St. Pauli wins 3 of the last 4. Overall exciting 90 minutes can be expected in any case. 

Because 1860 Munich had always problems in the past when offered the chance to climb up to a promotion place Coach Friedhelm Funkel said that he do not look at the table, he wants the focus only on this match and allow no excuses again. Also he wants to see a concentrated and self confident team, only the same as in the past few weeks. A very important player in recent matches was Dominik Stahl, who could score in all recent 4 matches, but a small question mark behind his use according to team news. However, the latest forecast was positive, so it is expected that he can play in central midfield alongside Stark. Also long time unsuccessful striker Lauth begins again in attack although it would be very helpful when he can end his bad run. No changes expected compared to last week.

St. Pauli’s interim coach Roland Vrabec, who with another success in Munich, rises his chances for the job as head coach. But nevertheless he is probably very close anyway after three convincing wins. Compared to the last 2-0 win at Aue he wants to change maybe on two positions. Although young attacker Gregoritsch surprised by his premiere in starting lineup he move out of the team and instead of him Christopher Nöthe is expected beside Fin Bartels. Additional more options in offensive with John Verhoek who is fit again and should be an alternative in attack as well. Besides Gregoritsch also Kringe could remain on bench if Vrabec decides to let youngster Maier start against his former club. As the youngster could be very motivated and give St. Pauli’s team an additional boost.

Week Performance 13.12.-19.12.2013

This Update is brought to you by www.clubgowi.com It is one of the most popular and successful Service on the Internet. His daily newsletter is legendary and should not be missed. But convince yourselves and may even give him a try !!!


Week 51 !!!

I wanted to dedicate my Picks / Tips in an extra post. I update it always if I add something, it is only for a better view. All Picks can be seen under Betting History, Plan Picks or Tip of the Day additional. Of course, all Picks are verified !!!


German Leagues:

14.12.2013  15:30  1.BL  FSV Mainz 05 - Bor. M'Gladbach AHC 0 @ 2,03 (H) 0-0
14.12.2013  15:30  1.BL  FSV Mainz 05 - Bor. M'Gladbach OVER 2,5 @ 1,94 0-0
15.12.2013  13:30  2.BL  Karlsruher SC - FSV Frankfurt OVER 2,5 @ 2,00 3-3


Plan Picks:

14.12.2013  16:00  EPL  FC Chelsea London - Crystal Palace AHC -2 @ 2,04 (H) 2-1
15.12.2013  14:30  EPL  Norwich City - Swansea City AHC 0 @ 2,12 (H) 1-1

1.BL games on Sunday !!

FC Schalke 04 - SC Freiburg

- Against no other teams got Freiburg so much wins in BL as to Schalke and Kaiserslautern (11).
- Schalke did not lose one of the last 8 sunday games (4-4-0).
- Freiburg won only two of their last 16 BL games (2-5-9).
- But they allowed only one goal against them in recent 4 away games.
- Freiburg is without scoring a goal since 218 minutes. Last goal 1-0 win to Braunschweig.

Schalke has again some players to replace as with Draxler, Huntelaar, Aogo, Höger are some injured while Höwedes is suspended after his red card. On Freiburg's side we have with Hedenstad, Mujdza, Coquelin, Schmid and Schuster also some out.

After Höwedes is suspended here Matip must move back in his recent position as central back while Jones plays in midfield then. For the injured Draxler can Coach Keller choose some options, because with Mayer, Clemens or Fuchs he has a lot of alternatives but can they replace them equal. Schalke's play at the moment is more or less Farfan, if he has not his best day, nothing goes for S04. Therefore they must look that the power man get the space he needs and with his good and fast actions he can bring a lot of trouble for the defensive from Freiburg.

After Coqulin got injured they must change again today. The win position can me played by Freis but also from Pilar or Kerk. A lot of options also for Coach Streich although he has not a big squad and a lot are out already and additional the match in EL under the week can bring some problems here. This was the last match for them in Europe, from now on they can put their focus on the league and they hope that they are better prepared in the future and get also better results to get out of the danger zone.



Bayer Leverkusen - Eintracht Frankfurt

- Leverkusen won all recent 3 home matches and scored 9 goals in these matches.
- None of the 56 BL matches ended goalless. This encounter produce an average from 3,2 goals
- Frankfurt is winless since 10 Rounds (0-5-5), only Nürnbergs waits longer for the win (15).
- Bayer is one of the strongest home teams, they won 7 from their 8 matches.
- Also they have one of the best offensive with scoring 23 goals at home.
- In 8 BL home matches they scored 23 goals as mentioned this is an average from almost 3 !!!

Leverkusen again without top man Sam, Hilbert, and Reinartz injured while Spahic is suspended. For Frankfurt can not play today Celozzi, Aigner and Meier.

Not many options left for Coach Hyppiä and therefore he changes only what he must and this can be the defending line where Wollscheid move in for suspended Spahic. Also on the back wing Can can get a rest here while Boenisch is an option again now. The self confidence is high at the moment in Leverkusen after reaching the next stage in Champions league and also the good run in BL which brought them in an excellent position before the winter break. With a win here they can extend their lead to the other teams behind as both Dortmund and Gladbach played only draw.

Under the week in EL game at home Coach Veh rotates a lot and gave important players a rest. All these guys return here. It seems that they have a very good lineup available and they want to get something here as well. They are close to the drop zone and this is an important match before the winter break. Also important midfield player Rode gets fit for this match. Overall the lineup is not such bad and we can hope for an interesting match here, maybe Frankfurt get some self confidence for the last match against Augsburg next friday what is very important above all to get the first win at home after a lot of average attempts.

Karlsruher SC - FSV Frankfurt

Newcomer Karlsruher SC played a very good Round so far, they are close to promotion places and they are aiming for more. Maybe FSV Frankfurt coming to the right time to Karlsruhe as they have a lot of problems and produce a lot of headlines in past weeks. Before the win in Cottbus 4-1 they were winless in 4 matches but the win produced a lot of trouble. Above all the penalty who was taken from Kapllani. Of course he scored but he was not the announced man to take it. Therefore the Coaches and Management were very pissed off and they suspended him after the match till the end of the year. But after some bad matches and according to fall down to place 16 and getting in danger now the team ask if they can reduce the suspension for Kapllani. Ealier this week he let him back in team training and he should help to get back on track and help the team with his goals to get out of the danger zone. The 31-years old Albanian striker played former days at Karlsruhe and scored 26 goals in 118 games. He should be very motivated against his former club anyway, if the team can get back on track now, we will see. It is hardly needed anyway, as they got only one win and a draw out of the last 7 matches.

The "Badener" were more successful, and are unbeaten in last 7 games and have been the surprise of the last weeks to get closer to the top group of the table. With a win the team from Coach Kauczinski would push to spot number 3 today. But the KSC Coach is not much interested on the current table position, he is focused solely on the game today. As he announced that the three points are important for him but everything else I do not care. On at least one position the 43-years old Coach must change today because with left back Kempe booked his fifth yellow card last weekend to Bochum and is suspended here. For him Vitzthum will step in, who has held this position already to beginning of the season. He has already shown what he is able to bring and this is maybe a new chance for him. Also not to much worries give him the attack, although Koen van der Biezen was ill during the week and could not train much but the replacements are huge with Nazarov, Micanski and Hennings. Therefore he can choose from a lot for only one open position and this should be maybe not the problems today.

When FSV Frankfurt travelled to Karlsruher still a question mark behind striker Leckie, who had some problems with his ankle and was totally out of training, but since friday he has no problems anymore and return into team training. But if the fitness is enough for the match must Coach Möhlmann deciding. For Rukavytsya, however, who has returned to full training again this week comes the match to early, also for defender Oumari who is not available after his nose operation. In addition, Roshi reported sick with a infection and is not going well today. Compared to the preparation of Cologne Coach Möhlmann will likely return to the familiar 4-4-2, so that Djengoue will take place on the bench and for him a second striker comes into starting eleven. This maybe can be Kapllani.

However, I like the goals here as FSV has some offensive power back with Kapllani and they play a more offensive minded system today compared to the defensive tactic in Cologne some weeks ago. Therefore they are always abel to get dangerous and with their fast wings they should create some and use this additional. I know some say that KSC has a good defensive but I have the hope that the match get wide open and this can bring a lot of space for both sides and they have the weapons to use this. KSC push always at home what makes it a very interesting game for goals.

Recommend Bet: OVER 2,5 @ 2,00 (3 Units)

VfL Wolfsburg - VfB Stuttgart

Statistic:

- Wolfsburg won all its last 6 home games against Stuttgart (4-0, 4-1, 2-0, 2-0, 1-0, 2-0).
- And they are on a run from 433 minutes without conceding a goal against Stuttgart at home.
- Additional they are on a 7 match unbeaten run in BL (5-2-0).
- Stuttgart could not win even one of their  five matches on Saturday evening (0-2-3).
- If Stuttgart plays away this time it is always huge entertainment for the supporters (20 goals in 5 games).
- Stuttgart could not kept a clean sheet in recent 8 BL games.
- The last time was to Braunschweig 4-0 in September.

Wolfsburg miss Träsch, Polak and Vierinha while Stuttgart has not available Gentner, Schwaab, Boka and Didavi.

It is not sure if central midfield player Gustavo can play, as he is a doubt here and if this happen Coach Hecking maybe makes the same as in Freiburg, he decided there that Knoche plays in midfield while Klose move in central back. Also Diego was a doubt but I think he will play here.

Schneider gave a very young lineup a chance against Hannover and they convinced in some situations but had also some weak situations. But overall they have done well and should get the next chance here. If Gentner becomes fit here the young brother from Khedira must on bench then.

After the huge goal rain this afternoon I do not think that this match is a high scoring game. Above all Wolfsburg is not doing much if they take the lead and they are more focused to play their style. Therefore not much entertainment this evening maybe.

FSV Mainz 05 - Bor. M'Gladbach

Statistic:

- Gladbach won all the recent 4 games versus Mainz.
- Also Gladbach won all their last 6 BL games, this happen last time 26 years ago.
- Gladbach won the last two road games to nil, this happen last time in January 2011.
- Mainz scored in all their last 10 BL matches at least one goal.
- But also they conceded in their last 15 BL matches never so much as this period (29).
- Only in season 76/77 had Gladbach more wins as now (10.)
- FSV collected solid 11 Points from the past 8 games.

Mainz has to replace keeper Müller, Bungert, Koch, Baumgartlinger, Schahin and Sliskovic. On the other side Gladbach seems to be almost full, only long term injured defender Dominguez is out.

Soto is back from suspension and is an option in central midfield beside Geis. Also Choupo Mouting can replace the at least weak Polter on the wing. Park who got injured in Nürnberg is doubtful and maybe must be replaced.

To beginning of the week Kruse had some muscle problems but should be ready for this match. Overall it is expected that the same winning eleven form last weekend stands on the pitch again.

This can be a very open match and I am sure that tactic fox Tuchel has some good idea to overcome Favre's team. Also it was not always easy for Gladbach to win in Mainz, from 7 matches they won only two. Also they are much better at home as on the road while Mainz has much more potential at home. Both wins from Gladbach were against poor or average home teams this season like Hamburg and Stuttgart. Nevertheless they are of course in good form and their run is amazing but I think that Mainz can have some weapons to bring this Gladbach team in danger. With N. Müller and Choupo Mouting over the wings they can be very dangerous, also with quick Okazaki up front. Despite the run from Gladbach I am very confident about Mainz today.

Recommend Bet: FSV Mainz AHC 0 @ 2,03 + OVER 2,5 @ 1,94 (3 Units each) 

1899 Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund

Statistic:

- An important win celebrated Hoffenheim with 2-1 in Dortmund last season, to remain in BL.
- Hoffenheim has the worst defensive in league from all teams with 35 goals allowed.
- But they have the third best offensive too, with scoring 34 goals.
- 1899 conceded in all last 21 BL games at least one goal, last time to nil was in April with 3-0 to Fortuna
- Overall they conceded in these 21 matches 50 goals what is a huge average from 2,38 !!
- Dortmund is known for their offensive power and they were only goalless in recent 28 games.
- Huge problems for Hoffenheim at home anyway, they could win only 1 from 9 (1-4-4).

No missing at all, only Thesker maybe all the others are at U23 with Braafheid, Delpierre, Weis and Wiese. Much more problems on Dortmund side where the defensive part is a huge unknown part for this match as with Hummels, Subotic and Sokratis they miss all 3 key defenders. Additional with Bender, Gündogan and Schmelzer some more on the injury list.

Goal rain again in Hoffenheim?

It can be very interesting how Dortmund can defend this offensive potential from 1899 Hoffenheim as they has some very good weapons in their rows with Frimino, Volland and Schipplock in form who plays for Modest who is a bit out of form at the moment. On the other side we have maybe some tired players from CL on BvB side after the huge investment they made under the week in Marseille. How Coach Klopp field his defensive line is more as open but expected maybe Groskreutz (Piszczek), Friedrich, Sarr (Großkreutz) and Durm. I am very sure for this line as he has no alternatives at the moment. Offensive is full and can make a lot of trouble as well and against a very unstable defensive from Hoffenheim it can be very exiting game to watch.

Normally I want to get involved in this one but the OVER line went up huge and it is only potential for some in running bets.

Hannover 96 - 1.FC Nürnberg

Statistic:

- The last win from Nürnberg against Hannover 96 was on 18.10.2010 with 3-1.
- After this date they played 5 times each other and the outcome was awful for FCN (0-1-4).
- FCN with a new record in Bundesliga as no team before were so long winless (15 Rounds so far).
- In all their last 23 BL games they conceded at least one goal, no other team has such a long run.
- H96 has only lost one of their last 10 BL home matches (6-3-1).
- Also Hannover is one of the best home teams from last three season (24-14-4).
- In recent 42 home matches, they were only beaten 4 times !!!
- From recent 11 home matches scored H96 10 times at least a goal, only in derby to Braunschweig 0-0.

Hannover miss with Felipe, Franca and Ya Konan some but could be replaced while Nürnberg has not important missing.

It is not known if Stindl is an option from beginning after his muscle injury. In training youngster Sulejmani makes some noisy with good actions and is maybe short before his starting debut. Schmiedebach can move into central midfield while Hoffmann must on bench then.

Now or never 1.FC Nürnberg? When comes the first win?

Coach Verbeek maybe counts on the same eleven who got a draw against Mainz last friday. Very important is that Ginczek can play while the quick Drmic plays as offensive wing again. If midfield player Balitsch got a chance is very open after his return from U23 team. Maybe he can be a good man for central midfield with his experience but Coach Verbeek let his use open.

Energie Cottbus - Fortuna Düsseldorf

Important match for both sides as they are in relegation battle. Ok, Cottbus much more as they are at the bottom of the table and they have already a big gap to close while Düsseldorf showed some uptrend above all in their last match against Kaiserslautern where they played really good away from home and allowed not much. This can be a good preparation for Cottbus as well as they must not change their style of play what Coach Reck has worked out. On the other side Schmidt stands under huge pressure after he took over he won nothing. He stands on the sideline since 4 matches but all were lost and the team looked very weak at the moment.

But the bad news are coming not to an end at Cottbus. They must win this encounter here to get some hope back before the winter break. But with a lot of players unavailable it looks like this can be very hard for them anyway. Two important guys are suspended after booking his fifth yellow card last match to Ingolstadt with Stiepermann and Banovic. Nevertheless this is not the last bad news as with Bohl, Rivic and Fomitschow must pass more players. Therefore Coach Schmidt must build up a new starting lineup but the alternatives are less and he can count only on players who are available. In this case he must count on players who are out of form like Sanogo and Jendrisek and also on a very unstable defensive line. Not the best sign for the team on the bottom of the table.

On the other side Fortuna is on the way back to get better into the season after Büskens was sucked. Keeper Coach Reck took over and he made a good job so far and maybe he is the man for more after the winter break, nevertheless he fights for his chance here. He was also on the sideline for some time in Duisburg and to beginning he made also a good job but was sucked then. Although some players are not available here he can count almost on the same eleven as on monday. This win gave them a lot of self confidence and trust in them back. 

VfL Bochum - Union Berlin

Just a few weeks ago seemed to be Union Berlin on the best way to confirm the predictions from some experts who had them on the list as big promotion candidate. But since the 0-4 defeat in Cologne early in November they are on a huge downtrend and out of the promotion zone at the moment. Union lost 3 of the recent 4 matches, they got only one draw and knocked out in Cup against league rival 1.FC Kaiserslautern in their stadium. With the second half of the season starting they want to get back on track and show a different face to recent weeks but this can be a very hard task as Bochum is on a good run lately. With only one lose of the last six matches they showed a huge uptrend according to stats too.

With the 0-0 draw at Karlsruhe they have been able to stabilize their position in midfield but it is still not clear away from drop zone. Therefore every point is needed in this close league this season. Coach Neururer will do everything to make the last home match before the winter break successful. Compared to the last match he can count again on Freier and Jungwirth, both were suspended in Karlsruhe while Acquistapace and Latza move out of the starting lineup again. No further changes in the starting lineup expected, although some players like Christian Tiffert or Ken Ilsøe did not have their best day last week.

A lot of trouble and problems for Uwe Neuhaus and his Union Berlin as they have a lot of suspended players today. With Özbek and Parensen are two players suspended with red card but last weekend saw Brandy and Kohlmann his fifth yellow card and both are suspended today too. This means that he must replace 4 regular players what should be not the best for a successful start into the second half of the season. Additional to all the suspended players comes that both central backs are out with Schönheim and Stuff injured. Once again he has to build a completely new central back what is very dangerous as the stability was not such good in the past anyway. For Kohlmann Björn Kopplin can play on the wing while with Dausch and Quiring we have two players for the midfield ready who are normally only bench players but they have to show their skills today. In attack it is also not unlikely that the disappointing Adam Nemec must give his place away to Simon Terodde. But overall the team never played together with this lineup what brings a lot of problems today.

Hertha BSC Berlin - Werder Bremen

Statistic:

- Hertha lost 8 from 10 recent BL games against Bremen (2-0-8).
- And they won only 2 from their last 9 home games against Bremen (2-1-6).
- Overall 31 defeats against Bremen, only against Bayern Munich (32) more.
- Bremen won only 1 of their last 9 BL matches (3-2 to Hannover).
- Additional they got only 1 Points from recent 4 games.
- With 34 goals conceded after 15 matches, this is the worst number in history of Werder.
- But they are not the weakest team in this statistic, Hoffenheim has 35 !!!
- Hertha could only collect one Point from the last 3 home matches (0-0 to Augsburg).
- In all these 3 matches, they could not score a single goal.
- If they do not score against Bremen it would be a new negative record for them !!!

Some missing on Hertha side with Langkamp, Baumjohann and Ben Hatira while Bremen has Prödl, Schmitz, Junuzovic, F. Kroos unavailable and Fritz doubtful.

As Ronny made a very good game in Braunschweig, therefore he is in the starting lineup again today. Only on the right back we have an open race between Pekarik and Ndjeng. Maybe Skjelbred gets a rest, Sami Allagui can play on the offensive wing for him. If van den Bergh can not play, the alternatives are Kobiashvili, Holland or Schulz.

It is not out yet if Coach Dutt gives the same eleven a chance after the huge defeat from weekend. If not, maybe a lot of changes can be done as many players were very awful but the alternatives are also less.

An interesting game ahead, Hertha looks much better at the moment while Bremen is fun to watch at the moment as they conceding a lot but scored also if we take a look back to Hoffenheim. They are 5-14 in their last 3 games and I am sure that Hertha's negative streak ends here. If Bremen defend like last match I am sure that Hertha score here, of course.

2.BL Friday matches

1.FC Köln - Dynamo Dresden

-       Third time that Cologne won the half title in 2.Bundesliga.

-       Dynamo is very hard to beat at the moment, they are unbeaten in 8 !!!

-       They lost only one of the last four away matches

-       In all last nine matches Cologne scored at least a goal.

-       From 5 games in 2.BL won Dresden only one (2005 2-1 at home).

-       The last 4 goals against Dresden scored all Ujah.

Cologne knows that this is again a match where they must play against a deep opponent who defends all time. This happen last weekend also as they have to crack FSV Frankfurt. Maybe sooner or later they can take advantage but it is hard as the counter attacks are always dangerous from Dresden although their defenisve line is the best in 2.Bundesliga.

VfR Aalen - SV Sandhausen

-       Aalen is one of the three team which could not win vs. Sandhausen in 2.BL.

-       First game ended 0-0 in Sandhausen

-       2012 both teams were promoted, since then Aalen  51 games 68 Points, Sand 49.

-       Central defender Kister played last seaosn for Aalen and now for Sandhausen.

-       Aalen lost 3 of the last 4 games.

-       Aalen lost the last two home games, 3 in a row is new record in history fort hem.

-       Sandhausen lost the first home game this season, last weekend to Früth 1-3

Close match expected were both teams need some points against relegation. Therefore it would be very interesting which team can take some advantage and create the better opportunities. Very hard to estimate this close game.

1.FC Kaiserslautern - SC Paderborn

The fans are dreaming from 1.BL !!!

After two defeats in a row at Dresden and last monday to Düsseldorf it is very important to get back on track for Kaiserslautern now. After they were on top they won nothing and fall down to third place but it is very close as some teams are only one Point behind and if they do not want to fall out of the promotion places they must win today. The pressure is of course high but they must start the second half of the season better as the first half has ended for them. This is almost the same situation as last seaseon as they were not able to follow Braunschweig and Hertha as they had a weak period and this is the key at the moment, they should not open the gap to match to Fürth and Cologne. Their opponent Paderborn was also on a bad run of 4 matches winless but they managed to win last sunday therefore the pressure is gone but they need also points agianst relegation as they are not far away from drop zone. But overall they see this match more as some bonus, if they get here anything.

Kaiserslautern’s coach Runjaic will probably change his team compared to the defeat to Düsseldorf on monday. In a attack this is a must as with Occean he has one striker less as he got injured (broken nose) and can not play. For him move Zoller into the starting lineup and plays beside Mo Idrissou who is not in his best shape at the moment. In addtition is likely that Gaus begins after coming only from bench on monday after his suspension. But it is not out if Coach Runjaic change only position wise or maybe give a more offensive minded starting eleven a new chance to get the win.

After 4 winless matches Paderborn’s coach Breitenreiter changed on six position before the match in Aalen. He hoped to get the important win and he was right and they played overall a very good match away from home and as he was very pleased with almost all. Therefore no changes are expected for this encounter. Of course the alternatives are less as with Krösche and Wemmer are two important players not available. For top striker Saglik which surprisingly remained 90 minutes on bench in Aalen is probably again no place in starting eleven today. As youngster Saliou Sane made his job very well and was able to convince a lot at his starting debut with scoring a goal and working hard for his team up front. If Paderborn is playing away it is always entertainment as they scoring and conceding a lot. They are now at 21-23 goals on the road, in 9 matches 44 goals were they are involved. Therefore all 9 games went over, sometimes Coach Breitenreiter said it is ok but often he is not very pleased with his defensive line.

Feedback needed !!!

After almost one and a half year of honest work, I have inserted a lot of time and passion to build up this blog. I tried to write the blog in English, even though my English is more than bad. I never claimed otherwise, or? Most of the time was all the information and plays given for free, what will continue to be the case of now. It is running very well above all in November and we had a lot of good winning weeks, December is starting very bad and the plays were more as awful. The outcome showed this already and all plays from the weekend were lost. Sorry for that, and sorry for all who followed this time.

Many followers of this blog are certainly driven very well and were able to pick out some good profit. Most of you know that I do not pick much, I am more known for less, but for high quality of the plays. I know some of you like it but some not. There are many methods, some are risk takers, others carefully but you should just choose one and follow this strict then.  

I am very angry about last weekend where things went not our way. I am thinking a long time what to do or what to change as I am investing a lot of time but the outcome is not what I am prefer.

Therefore I want to ask you, if I should continue or not? Please give me some feedback on mail germansoccerinsider@gmail.com 

Thanks to all followers !!!  


Regards,
Matthias

1.FC Kaiserslautern - Fortuna Düsseldorf

Last match of Round 17 when 1.FC Kaiserslautern hosts Fortuna Düsseldorf on „Betzenberg“. Both teams started into the season with big aims and both had on the list promotion but after some month we know that only Kaiserslautern has done their work and they are close to the top with 28 Points after 16 Rounds. On the other side Fortuna Düsseldorf had a lot of problems in the past weeks and they are in relegation battle now after a huge downtrend. From their last 5 matches lost they 4 and this costs Büskens his job, therefore with Oliver Reck they have an interim Coach on the sideline today while Kaiserslautern wants with a win come closer to the top. This can be very important as they want to hold the pressure as high as they can but only with a win they are one Point behind Fürth.

After the not calculated defeat to Dresden 2-3 last weekend Kaiserslautern showed a different face in Cup under the week where they advanced very easy against League opponent Union Berlin 3-0. Although they have to replace important midfield player Karl they showed a really strong performances and it was never in danger. But for today Karl is back in squad and should start as well. This means first goal scorer Orban is out of the starting lineup as with Karl returns the man in central midfield and also in central back Torrejon celebrated a very good comeback after his long term injury. Also some changes in attack possible. For Fortounis can start Gaus on the wing while Mo Idrissou can move into the starting lineup again after sitting on bench in Cup. For him maybe Occean or Zoller, at least one of these guys must on bench.

It will be very interesting after Büskens has left with which tactic or personnel team interim chief Oliver Reck go into his first match. First sign was the comeback from powerful forward Reisinger into the squad which was pushed off to second team from Büskens. But overall he is a very important player for Düsseldorf as he is fighting big in every match. Therefore it is logical that Reck counts on him, if on the wing or even in attack. Additional he should help to get more power and idea in offense as it was more as harmless in recent matches. But overall not too many alternatives for Reck as with 8 players they miss a lot with injury or illness today. With captain Lampertz is the next one not available after facing a gastrointestinal problem on weekend. After all the problems Reck decides to take the 21 years old player Erat from second team into the squad for this match, however he remain on bench. He announced that he will beat Kaiserslautern a big fight especially the well known strength of Kaiserslautern in the air and from set pieces is expected that he brings one ort wo tall players more in his starting lineup. This means that Weber or Ramirez as back wings maybe must  clear his place for other players.  

Week Performance 06.12.-12.12.2013

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Week 50 !!!

I wanted to dedicate my Picks / Tips in an extra post. I update it always if I add something, it is only for a better view. All Picks can be seen under Betting History, Plan Picks or Tip of the Day additional. Of course, all Picks are verified !!!


German Leagues:

07.12.2013  15:30  1.BL  VfB Stuttgart - Hannover 96 AHC +0,5 @ 1,90 (A) 4-2
07.12.2013  15:30  1.BL  Eintracht Frankfurt - 1899 Hoffenheim AHC -0,25 @ 1,95 (H) 1-2
07.12.2013  15:30  1.BL  Eintracht Frankfurt - 1899 Hoffenheim OVER 3 @ 1,95 1-2
07.12.2013  15:30  1.BL  Bor. M'Gladbach - FC Schalke 04 AHC +0,25 @ 1,98 2-1
08.12.2013  15:30  1.BL  SC Freiburg - VfL Wolfsburg AHC +0,5 @ 1,86 (H) 0-3


Tip of the Day:

Eintracht Braunschweig - Hertha BSC Berlin

Statistic:

- This encounter take place 28 times and the outcome was 8-10-10 for Braunschweig.
- Eintracht Braunschweig plays the worst BL-season in their history so far.
- In BL-games where Eintracht Braunschweig is involved were always less goals (only 34).
- Also Hertha is not known for their scoring style and therefore they are with 37 also on bottom.
- Eintracht Braunschweig is very weak at home and they lost 5 of their 7 home matches (1-1-5).
- They scored in 7 home games 4 goals !!! In 4 of them were they goalless.
- Hertha has some problems on the road to win matches, of course they are only beaten twice (1-3-2).
- Braunschweig did not score in 4 of their last 5 matches. Much to harmless !!!
- On the other side Hertha did not score in 3 of their last 4 matches, almost same problems.

Braunschweig miss wich Reichel, Hochscheidt and Caligiuri three, but all are long term out already.
Hertha with Langkamp and Baumjohann while Ben Hatira is a big doubt today.


Eintracht made a good match in Munich and should have scored in second half but wasted huge. They were almost even in second half and did a great job. This time it can be much harder because they have not so much space and Hertha allow not such open play as Bayern did. Theuerkauf is the first alternative for injured Caligiuri. Some other changes are possible, Lieberknecht has some options here with Perthel, Boland, Jackson and Korte.

Hertha had maybe the better chances but were not able to get it done therefore the draw was ok to Augsburg. Maybe they have to work to do better in front of the goal or improve. The time was there according to the early cup knock out they had no match during the week. Coach Luhukay could prepare and focus only on this game. If important midfield player Ben Hatira must pass, Schulz is the first option for him, also in central defensive is Brooks back from injury and an option.

SC Freiburg - VfL Wolfsburg

What a mess this season for Freiburg so far. They played really well in their last matches and they invest a lot but the outcome was not much so far. Last weekend they did a great job in Gladbach where they made it as hard as they could for the home team but in the end Gladbach had maybe one good offensive action and this one ended with the winning goal. In all the other periods of the match Freiburg was more as equal as so often if you stand at the bottom you have the luck not on your side or some other problems. During the week they had a cup game against Leverkusen, they did also very well and outplayed Leverkusen almost. But as always, the one team force and the other sit back and go for counter attacks. Leverkusen had incredible one shot on goal in second half and with this shot they scored the winning goal and they advanced to next round. All in and around Freiburg are more than pissed off about this situation but they made it Leverkusen easy in first half with a huge mistake from midfield player Höfler who allowed with his pass Leverkusen an easy goal. They bounced back invest a lot but was the loser. Also Leverkusen's Coach Hyypiä said that the better team has lost today. Nevertheless they have to do better in the upcoming matches and they should put all the good things out of this match and bring it on this one. They are not as bad as the table position shows. They are by far a good Bundesliga team and they play well too. The only problem is that the outcome stands in no contrast of their investment.

Every season Wolfsburg showed two faces, this season they are strong at home while they suck away from home. Last season it was different to this one. Therefore always the same level maybe, but they have a great squad with great players and a lot of budget because with the big concern of VW in his back. Overall they can do things on the transfer market what others are not able to do. This should help them to be one of the better sides in Bundesliga but they do not often show this. They have a lot of trouble always in its season. A weaker one was under the week where they had a lot of luck but above all the help from Ingolstadt's keeper otherwise they would not have advanced to next round. With two incredible faults allowed Özcan Wolfsburg the win. Nevertheless the did very hard and they did not know how do crack this good defense play from Ingolstadt. This is maybe some problem at the moment. They are by far better playing against teams who try to control the game as they get much more space then. If you take a look against what teams they have lost Points it is more as understandable. It was against bottom side from Braunschweig and average Hamburg, both at home, on the road we have Hannover, Leverkusen, Mainz, Nürnberg and Bayern Munich. Of course these teams are all good home teams apart form Nürnberg.

If I compare both teams according to their Cup matches it is clear that I have to go with Freiburg here. I was very pleased about the good play against Leverkusen while Wolfsburg looked awful. More as this, they are not a team who can outplay Freiburg here above all away from home where they were not able to win more than 29% of their matches in recent three seasons. Therefore I do not understand that they are such huge favorite here, ok, it is only up to table position but I believe in Freiburg's strength today. They have an absolutely great record against Wolfsburg at home. In all recent 10 meetings they lost only one and this was last season. With this HC on Freiburg I am very keen on today and this is a very good position we get.

Recommend Bet: SC Freiburg AHC +0,5 @ 1,86 (3 Units)

SV Sandhausen - Greuther Fürth

After the win from leader Cologne over FSV Frankfurt yesterday, Greuther Fürth can not overcome them but they can take the basis that they are on second place after 17 Rounds with a win. Therefore they must not hope that Kaiserslautern drop points but the win is needed here. Overall not an easy task at Sandhausen where most of the opponents left with only one or without points. This team is very strong at home and they are very hard to play and crack anyway. They come into this match without losing a single home match so far but they had a hard cup match under the week and maybe this can be an advantage for the rested Greuther Fürther team.

During the week Sandhausen got a lot of self confidence despite their Cup knock out against Frankfurt. They played really well and they were a hard and fair opponent for Eintracht. This maybe gives them an additional boost for the league matches here. This is now against Fürth their target again, but this time they do not want to lose the game. Compared to the Cup game some changes are expected in starting lineup from Schwartz. Striefler is not available after his fifth yellow card and therefore the first change must be done. The system should be the same as in the past with 4-1-3-1 as it was very successful for them. Coach Schwartz mentioned that this is a home game and he wants to field a bit more offensive lineup as in Cup away. Therefore on the six with Linsmayer and Tüting ahead of these duo should be on the wings Klotz and Thiede while David Ulm plays central offensive. In attack they must field Blum again although he is not a striker, more a midfield player but the alternatives are less and both strikers Jovanovic and Alder will miss again today.

Unlike to Sandhausen was Fürth not involved in the Cup matches and they could prepare the whole week for this encounter what give them a huge advantage. It is assumed that coach Frank Kramer has tried to find the right balance in team with some effort to refine the processes after winning last week to Energie Cottbus 1-0 but they missed a lot of good opportunities to decided the match early. Not many changes expected, maybe none. Only in central back is defender Korcsmar back and he can replace maybe Kleine in starting lineup but it is not out yet. Also in offensive Murdrinski is an option for Füllkrug who was not at his best level against Cottbus and is maybe a candidate to change. But overall the same team from the game last sunday should start.

Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen

Statistic:

- From the past 5 games versus Leverkusen collected Dortmund 13 from 15 possible points.
- With 34 Points after 14 Rounds is Leverkusen the best placed 2nd ever in BL history.
- On the road Leverkusen could not win one of the last 7 top games (0-3-4).
- The last win was 2010 in October against Schalke 1-0.
- Leverkusen scored the most goals before the break from all teams (17).
- Dortmund scored the most goals after the break from all teams (23).
- Leverkusen scored 6 of their goals on counter attacks, while Dortmund has 4 !!!

Dortmund miss Hummels, Schmelzer and Subotic while Gündogan is out too. On Leverkusen's side is Hilbert, Sam and 2nd keeper Palop out.

Top match this evening. Both fights for the second place behind Bayern Munich. Leverkusen has some advantage here because they are three points ahead of Dortmund but what I saw in the past matches form them was not such good. They had some luck in some periods of the game and the play is much different without midfield player Sam. They have not the recent offensive power after he got injured. Under the week they were almost outplayed from Freiburg but won in the end due the first shot on target in second half. Of course, this is their class but I think against giant Dortmund is this not such easy.

Dortmund faced a lot of problems above all in defensive but they did the job well. Nevertheless it can be better but they are on the way and they get better and better. It is not easy if both central defenders miss and with Friedrich plays a guy who has less match praxis. But from game to game it will be better and he has a lot of experience. In offensive they rested a few guys in Cup and hopefully they are back today. Reus is still a doubt but let's see what Coach Klopp decide. Overall Dortmund is the far better side at the moment despite injury problems.

Bor. M'Gladbach - FC Schalke 04

It seems that Borussia M’Gladbach is on a good way for the european spot this season. They are doing very well and celebrating win after win in the past. They are on a five match consecutive winning streak in which they open the gap to place 5 to four points already. This is a huge advantage at the moment and their good home record speaks additional for them. In all their seven home matches they have left the pitch as a winner. This means 7-0-0 record at home but in recent matches the offensive power was very less and they did hard above all against bottom teams like Nürnberg and Freiburg. Within seven days they have the next home match ahead and it is an important one against a direct rival for fourth place. The run is incredible and it is the best in their home history ever so far, they never won more from beginning. Despite the new record they looked very harmless and have less idea and also missed the fresh and quick offensive play. This is because in almost all matches Coach Favre counts on the same offensive players, it means that they are tired at the end of the year now. Arango, Kruse, Hermann, Raffael stands on the pitch in all the recent matches and most of them had no breaks. According to this huge effort it is acceptable that the play is not much constant as to beginning of the season. Also the long run can bring some satisfaction of the players and they do not go the last step what is needed now. But overall sooner or later they lose points at home, no team walk through the league with clean home record.

The tree is burning at Schalke after the unexpected Cup knock out against Hoffenheim in their arena. It was more as harmless what they brought on the pitch in the first 45 minutes. With a lot of mistakes and without any creative idea they were absolutely without any chance. According to recent times it is always the same, they are not able to bring constant good performances. Too many up and down in the past cost them a lot of good opportunities and points as well. The upcoming matches in league versus Gladbach or in Champions League versus Basel are all must win matches for them now if they do not want that the season end in a disaster already. They have to improve a lot and go into every match as focused as much they can and also well prepared. The Club Boss Tönnies and Sport Manager Heldt allow nothing more and they want results. It is now up to the players and they must deliver now, no excuses anymore till the end of the year.  

It is almost the last chance for Schalke, if they lose here they are far away from fourth place and Gladbach is walking alone then. They need at least a point here, better a win. I can not see that Gladbach is walking through the league. They are on a five matches winning streak and and home with 7 won matches they had a new record in their club history but the offensive play was a bit shaky in the past. Although Schalke came from a hard lose at home in Cup I think they try to invest all that they get here the points. In this case I go against the run from Gladbach. Schalke strikes back today!!!

Recommend Bet: FC Schalke 04 AHC +0,25 @ 1,98 (3 Units)