Dienstag, 29. April 2014

Week Performance 28.04.2014 - 04.05.2014

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Week 18 !!!

I wanted to dedicate my Picks / Tips in an extra post. I update it always if I add something, it is only for a better view. All Picks can be seen under Betting History, Plan Picks or Tip of the Day additional. Of course, all Picks are verified !!!


German Soccer Picks:

03.05.2014  15:30  1.BL  SC Freiburg - FC Schalke 04 OVER 3 @ 2,05 0-2
04.05.2014  15:30  2.BL  Karlsruher SC - Fortuna Düsseldorf OVER 2,75 @ 2,00 2-2



Pick of the Day:

30.04.2014  1:05  MLB  New York Yankees - Seattle Mariners OVER 8 @ 1,88 3-6
01.05.2014  4:15  MLB  San Francisco Giants - San Diego Padres OVER 7 @ 1,943 3-2
01.05.2014  21:05  EL  Juventus Turin - Benfica Lissabon OVER 2,5 @ 1,99 0-0
03.05.2014  2:10  MLB  Minnesota Twins - Baltimore Orioles OVER 8,5 @ 1,88

Sonntag, 27. April 2014

FC Schalke 04 - Bor. M'Gladbach

Statistic:

- Gladbach is since 22 years and 17 BL games winless in Gelsenkirchen (0-6-11).
- The last win there was 1992 in August with 2-1.
- 9 of the 81 BL duels between both sides ended goalless.
- Schalke is unbeaten since 10 home games and scored 23 goals, conceded only 3.
- Moreover Schalke won 7 of their last 8 home games on sunday (7-1-0).
- On the other side Gladbach lost 3 of their last 4 road games on sunday (0-1-3).
- After the first half of the season Gladbach was 5 Points ahead of Schalke, now different.
- Gladbach Coach Favre conceded in all 4 matches always one goal with his team there.

S04 has again a long list of players who are not available. With Höger, Farfan, Kirchhoff, Papadopoulos, Höwedes, Fuchs, Uchida, Clemens and Aogo they miss a lot.

Less problems on Gladbach's side because with Xhaka and Wendt they miss only two.


Ok, Schalke played a great second half of the season but in the past matches it looks like that the young team has lost a lot of power and they are not in such good condition anymore. This can be a key fact in the end now. The youngsters were great but they are all tired now and according to the huge injury problems they can get no rest again. Not many players left and Coach Keller must count on the same as in the past what is not such easy at the moment.

The team from Gladbach played a great first half of the season but lost the good play in the winter break maybe. They are far away from these good matches they made 2013. No one knows what happen there because they did not much different as before but success was not as good as before. Therefore they have to be much more focused and maybe work harder to get the right position they want in the end. Some points are needed to get an international spot anyway.

Close match expected but if Schalke play like they did in Stuttgart this can be an easy walk over for Gladbach as they have the much experienced players in their rows while Schalke must count on a lot of youngsters again.

SC Paderborn - SV Sandhausen

Statistic:

- After Fürth losing on friday, Paderborn can overcome them with a win today.
- Paderborn lost only one of the last 7 matches and this was at Round 29 1-2 at home to Fortuna.
- SCP was only in 5 games without scoring a goal, and only 1 time from the last 17 games.
- But they conceded almost always as the stats show, only one clean sheet in the last 10.
- Sandhausen won only one of the last 4 matches, but they are already safe.
- Only Cologne has a better defensive as Sandhausen.
- Sandhausen has the most clean sheets this season with 16.
- Paderborn did not lose one of the last 11 game if they took the lead.
- Only Cologne and KSC has less defeats at home as Paderborn.
- Sandhausen lost only one of the last 4 road games, also they are hard to play.
- Overall history, Paderborn 2 wins, Sandhausen 1 ....

Paderborn has some to replace today, because with DEF Hünemeier and MID Bertels are two starters suspended.

Sandhausen can not count on Adler suspended, Mendler, Blum and Kübler who are all injured.


One of the important matches for Paderborn at the end of the season where they have a very good position right now. With a win they can overcome Fürth and climb up to place two what means direct promotion to BL. This is incredible if we take a look on the budget they have for this season and maybe a big big surprise anyway. Nevertheless they did the job so far and if they do not fail today they get the best possible position for the last 2 Rounds. Maybe in the past matches they could play very relaxed and easy because no one expected some of them but now, they are in a situation where the pressure is getting higher and higher and maybe none of these players were in such positions already. This can be a bit of disadvantage for them but if they are good enough on mental side it can be a great step.

Sandhausen plays for nothing only for a good position. They are already safe and they can come to Paderborn without any pressure and look forward what they are able to get here. This can be an advantage for them or maybe a disadvantage if the attitude is not the best. But over the whole season they showed what they are able to bring on the pitch and this was great this season compared to the last. They are very hard to play and they are always good for some counter attacks and surprises as well.

This can be a very hard task for Paderborn to crack this hard nut from Sandhausen in my eyes. If the match is going to be tied for long time it can be that the players from Paderborn getting nervous and produce mistakes. I am not sure here, all can happen in the end.

Samstag, 26. April 2014

Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund

Statistic:

- Leverkusen is winless in the last 6 home games against Dortmund.
- The last win against Dortmund was 7 years ago. 2007 with 2-1.
- Leverkusen won the last 7 games with Lewandowski as head coach.
- And they are unbeaten in 10 with him now (8-2-0).
- Leverkusen could not keep a clean sheet in the last 11 rounds.
- BvB is unbeaten since 6 Rounds and they are 5-1-0 in these period.
- Moreover they are on a 4 games winning run now.
- Leverkusen has the most home wins against Dortmund (17) and the most goals scored (66).
- Bayer is very unpredictable because they have many scorer in the past.

With Donati suspended, Hegeler, Kruse, Reinartz all injured are some missing today.

Dortmund with a lot of long term injured players like Durm, Kehl, Subotic, Kuba, Gündogan and Bender.



Both teams need Points for their aims, Dortmund for the second place while Leverkusen fights big with some other teams for the 4th place. Therefore it can be very open here and if the first goal come on one side the other have to push more and take more risk then. This can be an interesting match despite the huge pressure on both an entertaining one too.

I believe that goals will come here for sure. Both offensive lines look good and they have the potential.


Recommend Bet: OVER 3 @ 2,03 (3 Units)

Bayern München - Werder Bremen

Statistic:

- Against Bremen Bayern has the most defeats (26) and conceded the most goals (117).
- But the last win from Bremen is 5 years ago. In September 2008 !!!
- The recent 6 BL games won all Bayern Munich with 24-4 goals.
- The 0-7 defeat this season from Bremen was the highest at home.
- Bayern scored the most goals if they come over the side to the center (16).
- On the other side Bremen conceded the most with (15).
- Bayern Munich scored 13 goals in the last 2 games against Bremen.
- Bremen collected 3 Points more as Bayern Munich in the last 4 Rounds.
- In these 4 they lost only one and this was against Mainz 0-3.
- Bayern could not score in 2 of the last 3 league games, what is huge for them.

Some players are not available with Thiago, Rafinha, Shaqiri and Starke while Bremen has not much to replace as they have only Fritz and Yildirim injured.



The league is over said Guardiola and these were key words from him and some players have this in mind and play for 100% or give not all for success. This few percentage less let them lose a lot as they lost their form and their positive attitude and nothing is running their way now. The last league matches were more as awful and in Madrid they controlled the match but Ball possession do not win matches. RM was much dangerous with their fast and quick play and overcome Bayern a few times and should have won maybe higher as only 1-0. Bayern was only one time dangerous in the box and this was the shot from Götze. Thats it. Ribery is totally out of form and should be out of the team normally but you never know what Guardiola does today. Maybe he makes a big rotation or he let the best team out for some praxis.

The north club made it, they play also next year in BL after a hard and dangerous season. They were very close to stay at the red zone but managed it in the last matches to open the gap to the bottom clubs. This let them be relaxed today and they can play without any pressure and try some things. Although I think that Coach Dutt counts on the same lineup as in the past because this team did well and they should walk on now.

Normally a clear thing but Bayern has not the form and they are short before an important CL match against Real Madrid on Tuesday. Therefore it is not clear if they want to come out and win here or play will less interest.

Freitag, 25. April 2014

Week Performance 21.04.2014 - 27.04.2014

This Update is brought to you by www.clubgowi.com It is one of the most popular and successful Service on the Internet. His daily newsletter is legendary and should not be missed. But convince yourselves and may even give him a try !!!


Week 17 !!!

I wanted to dedicate my Picks / Tips in an extra post. I update it always if I add something, it is only for a better view. All Picks can be seen under Betting History, Plan Picks or Tip of the Day additional. Of course, all Picks are verified !!!


German Soccer Picks:

25.04.2014  20:30  1.BL  Hannover 96 - VfB Stuttgart AHC 0 @ 2,03 (H) 0-0
25.04.2014  20:30  1.BL  Hannover 96 - VfB Stuttgart OVER 2,75 @ 1,88 0-0
26.04.2014  18:30  1.BL  Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund OVER 3 @ 2,03 2-2

Donnerstag, 24. April 2014

Hannover 96 - VfB Stuttgart

Statistic:

- This is the 50. BL match between both sides.
- Against no other team collected H96 so much wins (18.), only against Frankfurt and Lautern.
- Since 6 matches is H96 unbeaten at home against Stuttgart (3-3-0).
- Stuttgart's last win in Hannover was 2006 with 2-1, this is 7 years ago.
- Stuttgart got 7 Points out of the last 3 matches, only BvB (9) more.
- But in the last 8 road games got they only 2 Points and this is one of the weakest number.
- Hannover won the last two matches and they played very offensiv.
- This is shown in shots on target because with 47 they have the most of all BL teams.
- Hannover scored the most goals against Stuttgart (74) against no other BL team more.
- Stuttgart was not able to score before the break in 8 of the last 9 games in Hannover.
- The only positive thing is that Coach Huub Stevens never lost in Hannover but the last two ended 2-2.

Hannover has to replace the following players: Bittencourt and Prib both suspended, Diouf injured, Hoffmann, Sobiech, Felipe all injured too.

Stuttgart on the other side has a much better squad available as they miss only Sararer, Khedira.


Important bottom match, both team did well in the past and they open the gap to the other teams a bit but they are not already through. Hannover is one of the best home teams in the past years and this can be a plus here for them and maybe a big advantage. It is not easy to win in Hannover and they are in form again. The last matches they want the turnaround and invest a lot and they get rewarded for their big effort. Above all captain Stindl played great and he was the man who scored and give with positiv action on the field some good sign for the other team mates. Ok, they miss two guys but only was starter with Bittencourt the other Prib was only bench player in the past. But nevertheless they can replace him as with Husti, Stindl, Ya Konan, Schlaudraff are some other who can make the difference here.

Big step for Stuttgart last sunday with the win against Schalke but Schalke was not on the pitch on this day. They were far away from their best form and they looked very tired. This was an easy walk over for Stuttgart and the next task is a bit harder for them in my eyes. It is a big battle for the future in BL. The pressure is a bit less as they made some Points between them and the other teams below. Therefore they can play a bit more relaxed and look what they are able to get here. The team should be almost the same as last sunday therefore not much to change for Stevens.

Sorry but I can not accept Hannover 96 as underdog here, one of the best home team from the last 3 years in BL underdog against Stuttgart who was not able to get much in Hannover. Hannover who has at home a record from 26-19-7 is never such underdog. From 52 matches they lost only 7 this is only a bit more as 13%. Only the top teams has such good numbers and at home Hannover is a top team for me and therefore I have to take this.

Recommend Bet: Hannover 96 AHC 0 @ 2,03 + OVER 2,5 @ 1,88 (each 3 Units)

Sonntag, 20. April 2014

Week Performance 14.04.2014 - 20.04.2014

This Update is brought to you by www.clubgowi.com It is one of the most popular and successful Service on the Internet. His daily newsletter is legendary and should not be missed. But convince yourselves and may even give him a try !!!


Week 16 !!!

I wanted to dedicate my Picks / Tips in an extra post. I update it always if I add something, it is only for a better view. All Picks can be seen under Betting History, Plan Picks or Tip of the Day additional. Of course, all Picks are verified !!!


German Soccer Picks:

19.04.2014  13:00  2.BL  Karlsruher SC - Union Berlin OVER 2,5 @ 1,99 3-2
19.04.2014  15:30  1.BL  SC Freiburg - Bor. M'Gladbach AHC +0,25 @ 1,89 (H) 4-2
20.04.2014  13:30  2.BL  1.FC Kaiserslautern - FSV Frankfurt OVER 2,75 @ 1,92 3-2

1.FC Kaiserslautern - FSV Frankfurt

Statistic:

- Idrissou started his career 2001 at FSV and if he plays against he won always with his clubs (6x).
- In first match this season he scored the winning goal.
- Both teams meet each other only 8 times so far, 7x 2.BL and 1x Cup.
- In the last 5 matches against FSV is Kaiserslautern unbeaten, they got 2 draws and 3 wins.
- At the moment they are on a 3 match winning run against FSV.
- In three matches on the "Betzenberg" FSV was not able to get much, only one draw.
- FCK is unbeaten in 7 matches now, they have a good run but to less victories.
- FSV lost all their last 4 matches in the league and therefore they are close to red zone.
- Last season won FCK 4-0 and shot out FSV from all promotion hopes.

For the home side are not available DEF Orban suspended, Gaus and Zellner injured. On the other side has FSV with MID Yelen, STR Pagenburg, Nefiz and Djengoue also a few missing.


Under the week FCK was in Munich and played the semi-final against Bayern Munich but has no chance and lost 1-5. Ok, the result looks very high but they played really good above all a lot of young players stand in the starting lineup from Coach Runjaic. Because he gave some players a rest to have them fresh today. It is an important match for them anyway if they want to get closer to the top 3 and this is the chance as Paderborn and Fürth meet each other and lose points here. The gap is 5 points at the moment and with a win they can go absolutely close and return in promotion race. But a win is a must and this is a big step as they were not able to win much in the past above all at home they had a lot of problems with teams from bottom.

Despite the situation in the table it is not over for FSV so far. They are 3 Points ahead of the red zone but they have to look forward to get as most points as they can to get not involved in this battle at the end. With 4 matches to play they have all in their hand but if they continue the losing run it would be very hard for them to avoid this bad situation. For today they have a very hard opponent and this need all their effort and maybe go over their normal level to be on a level with they can compete with FCK.

Both teams are in a situation where they must go for the Points and this makes this match so attractive for me. I am sure if the first goal comes the others are coming too. As the match is getting wide open then and this gives a lot of space anyway. FCK must win, FSV maybe is satisfied with a draw, hopefully FCK can take the lead what makes it more easy for our main bet. The supporters should push them and I am sure that they are set to win today after a long period without a home win.

Recommend Bet: OVER 2,75 @ 1,92 (3 Units)


Samstag, 19. April 2014

Hamburger SV - VfL Wolfsburg

Statistic:

- Hamburg could not win a single home game in the last 6 against Wolfsburg (0-2-4).
- The last home win was 2007 with 1-0.
- Under Slomka Hamburg is unbeaten at home in 5 (3-2-0).
- They conceded in these 5 matches not much at least 1 each game.
- In the last 22 matches, Wolfsburg scored always. The longest run in BL at the moment.
- HSV could not win a Top match on Saturday evening in 14 attempts (0-6-8).
- This is negative record since the Top match take place on Saturday evening (2009/10).

Important missing for Hamburg once again with Lasogga and Van der Vaart who is a big doubt and Westermann.

Wolfsburg must replace young midfield player Malanda who got injured against Dortmund in Cup under the week.

North derby and important match for both sides. Hamburg is looking to get Points against relegation and on the other side Wolfsburg wants the CL spot this season. I wrote it already in the past weeks that Slomka is a Coach for home games. In his last station at Hannover it was the case that they played really great at home and awful away and the success was only there in home games and away from home it was terrible from season to season always the same. Once he took over in Hamburg they did much better at home and he is unbeaten there so far in 5 starts !!! On the road he is winless. It is a little bit funny but maybe he can only Coach home games and on the road he has always the wrong tactic or the wrong decisions. Despite important missing above I mean that they are fighting hard today to get some out of the match. The power should be there and the supporters as well and their biggest hope is Calhanoglu.

The team from VW town has a lot to play for this season and they want the biggest success after the title some years ago. This is the CL spot. The players are there and the money anyway with VW as Sponsor. Therefore they have only to walk on but the results must come in the last match otherwise they are only in the EL competitions. They played not bad in Dortmund but missed too many good chances and if they had not missed all these it would have been much closer and maybe they can stand in the Cup final against Bayern. But the truth is different. Coach Hecking has to motivate his team new and then go out and try to do it better as in Dortmund.

Close match expected where HSV can be a hard opponent in my eyes despite the awful record against Wolfsburg.

SC Freiburg - Bor. M'Gladbach

Statistic:

- Borussia lost all their last 4 matches in Freiburg.
- In all these 4 games they were not able to score a single goal.
- Against no other current BL team has Freiburg so a good average of Points as against BMG (2,08).
- Both teams are on fire, they collected both 13 Points in their last 6 games (only S04 more with 14).
- Freiburg won their last 3 home matches all, such a good run has only Schalke at the moment.
- In first half of the season were Gladbach with 33 Points a lot before Freiburg (14), now BMG 16, SCF 18.


Freiburg's missing are Pilar, Mujdza, Hanke and Krmas while Gladbach has only Wendt not available.


Overall a very interesting match. Freiburg has to collect Points against relegation while Gladbach take a look at the Champions League places but for this they have to improve a lot and it was not all good in recent matches and above all the second half of the season is more or less disappointing against the first half. On Freiburg this is a bit different as they do a great job now and they are coming out of the danger zone and they are already close to safe this season and avoid relegation. The whole team play very good at the moment and therefore it is not needed to change anything today. Coach Streich will count on the same lineup as in the past matches and we can expect a good and well balanced team who plays well and fight big for their aim.

Ok Gladbach is not in the form from first half but they have to play for an international spot. They players must invest much more as in the past and they play much to slow, it is not the same fast play from first half of the season were they self confidence was high and maybe all went their way. It is much different now and therefore they have to invest must more to get a good outcome or result. This can be a hard nut today. They are not the best traveller anyway and this can be a big problem too. If the offensive line has not the best day it would be very hard to get some in a very close stadium who is known for the hot atmosphere.

I am going with the better in form team here and I trust Freiburg today. I think they play very well and this can be the important step to safe them 3 Rounds before the end of the season.

Recommend Bet: SC Freiburg AHC +0,25 @ 1,89

Karlsruher SC - Union Berlin

Statistic:

- In all 13 games between these two clubs were only one away win.
- Union lost 3 of their last 4 league matches
- And they won only one of the last 8 league games.
- KSC could not score only in one of their last 14 home games.
- From the last matches in Karlsruher got Union only one Point and they lost 5 in a row now.
- If KSC took the lead they did not lose one of their last 12 matches.
- On the other side Union was up many times and lost incredible 5 of these matches.

Nothing to play for for both teams therefore it can be a fun game here. Although ok they play for a good position what give them more money from DFL. But nevertheless both try some for the next season and I think this can be a good opportunity for goals as both are not so balanced as they are normally. The offensive weapons are there on both sides and this can bring a lot. Above all KSC at home is always good for goals if I wrote already above and also Union's defensive line is always good for mistakes. But it is not all as Union has good offensive players who can score too. I trust them here today and what can I take as OVER here. No pressure, no must win situations and this match can go for an entertaining one with some goals.

Recommend Bet: OVER 2,5 @ 1,99 (Units)

Sonntag, 13. April 2014

1899 Hoffenheim - FC Augsburg

Statistic:

- Hoffenheim could only win the first match from 5 against Augsburg.
- The last two were lost and the other two ended draw.
- Augsburg is only 1 from 4 teams where Hoffenheim was not able to win a home game.
- Hoffenheim is unbeaten since 4 matches (2-2-0).
- After 4 matches without a win Augsburg won the big match against Bayern last weekend.
- And after 13 matches, they kept a clean sheet and this was against Bayern :)
- Both teams from Baden Württenberg has a lot of problems after they take the lead (Hoffe, VfB).

Hoffenheim's only miss is keeper Casteels today while Augsburg must replace Moravek and Werner.


Ok Hoffenheim is almost safe and they are not in such big trouble as last season. They can look forward and try to be as relaxed as they can. They have no pressure here what can be an advantage or maybe also a disadvantage. The focus from some players are less and this can be a key fact here if they take all too easy. At home they are always good for some spectacle and with a lot of goals scored and conceded they are the most entertaining team in BL this season. In some matches they were leading with 2 goals already but they were not able to win this. After some of this matches it is a kind of a head problem for the players if they get the job not done.

Surprise team from Augsburg played a really good season so far and with a win today they have still the opportunity for an international spot. Maybe the 7th place is enough when Bayern, Dortmund or Wolfsburg stand in the Cup Final. This is more as possible and therefore with a win they are only 2 Points behind Mainz and this let them dream again. Some of the suspended players returns today and gives Coach Weinzierl more options again. Overall Augsburg is very hard to play and beat anyway, this is a huge number for Hoffenheim today.

If I compare both teams I think that Augsburg has some chances to get here some above all Hoffenheim at home is not the best choice in the past. They are always good for some but they can have a lot of problems with a big fighting side from Augsburg who play very compact. Therefore I trust Augsburg here and put them up as a bet.

Recommend Bet: FC Augsburg AHC +0,25 @ 1,90 (3 Units)

Samstag, 12. April 2014

Week Performance 07.04.2014 - 13.04.2014

This Update is brought to you by www.clubgowi.com It is one of the most popular and successful Service on the Internet. His daily newsletter is legendary and should not be missed. But convince yourselves and may even give him a try !!!


Week 15 !!!

I wanted to dedicate my Picks / Tips in an extra post. I update it always if I add something, it is only for a better view. All Picks can be seen under Betting History, Plan Picks or Tip of the Day additional. Of course, all Picks are verified !!!


German Soccer Picks:

11.04.2014  18:30  2.BL  FC Ingolstadt 04 - SC Paderborn AHC 0 @ 2,04 (A) 1-2
12.04.2014  15:30  1.BL  Hannover 96 - Hamburger SV OVER 2,5 @ 1,92 2-1
13.04.2014  17:30  1.BL  1899 Hoffenheim - FC Augsburg AHC +0,25 @ 1,90 (A) 2-0

Hannover 96 - Hamburger SV

Statistic:

- Hannover lost only 1 of the last 11 home matches to Hamburg (0-1 07/08).
- Last season H96 won 5-1 against Hamburg, but at this time Slomka was on Hannover bench.
- Hannover lost all their last 4 BL games, this happen at least 4 years ago with 9 defeats.
- But Hamburg has a lot problems too, as they lost their last 6 road games.
- Coach Slomka is maybe only a home Coach as on the road he is winless since 12 (3 HSV 9 H96).
- Both teams has a lot of pressure and both are fighting against relegation.

A lot of unavailable players as you can see that in the following update.

Hannover without Cherundolo, Felipe, Pocognoli, Huszti, Diouf, Sobiech and on HSV side they have to replace Jansen, Lam, Rajkovic, Badelj, Beister and Lasogga.

After the huge defeat in Derby against Braunschweig Coach Korkut has a lot of pressure today. If he loses again with his team they are big involved in relegation battle. Nevertheless he has to replace important players because with Huszti is his creative player in midfield suspended after his 5th yellow card last sunday. Also DEF Hoffmann is out after his blackout and his red card. In this case he must look for new players who can play with all the pressure and the hot atmosphere ..... it seems that Schlaudraff and Prib are the two guys for the mentioned above. But they have to improve a lot according to their performance in Braunschweig above all the defensive line with Sane was the biggest weak point in all team parts. Keeper Zieler included who had a very bad day.

Hope is coming back to Hamburg after the late winner against Leverkusen last Friday. It was good but also a lot of luck because Leverkusen maybe deserved 1-2 penalties in this game and if these were given it has been of course a different result. Nevertheless they got the important three points and they are on the way out of the red zone but they have to continue their way. Self confidence and motivation should be back but all teams from Coach Slomka has a lot of problems on the road. They are much better in their own Arena, take a look at Hannover, they were one of the best home teams and very hard to beat in their stadium over the last seasons. Now, it seems Hamburg has the same problem, because they are losing 6 in a row now. Players like Van der Vaart and so on must try to turn things around now. Their biggest hope Lasogga is still out but the other big weapon are ready for some wide shots (Chalanoglu).

Overall it is a very close match and this go be wide open if the first goal comes. Both are not the best in defensive and this can be the weakest points here. Ok, both miss a lot of offensive players but I am very sure that this can be a huge entertaining match with some goals as well. Hard fight .......

Recommend Bet: OVER 2,5 @ 1,92 (3 Units)

Donnerstag, 10. April 2014

FC Ingolstadt 04 - SC Paderborn

Statistic:

- FCI Coach Hasenhüttl did not win a single game against SCP  (0-1-2).
- Ingolstadt is unbeaten since 4 matches, and lost only 1 of the last 10.
- But they are not winning much, in 3 of the last 4 they played draw.
- Paderborn collected more Points already as the whole last season.
- No team has more home loses as Ingolstadt (8) this season so far.
- They have lost more games already as in the last season.
- Paderborn could not keep a clean sheet against Ingolstadt so far.
- Paderborn has the best offensive away from home with 29 goals scored.
- But they conceded a lot too with 31.
- Ingolstadt could only score 15 goals in 14 home matches, huge problems there.
- But their defensive is working well and allowed only 17.

Both teams miss two or three players but it should not be such important.

Ok Ingolstadt is not safe yet but almost. They do very hard at home although they controlled the game against Fürth but they are far away from good at the moment above all on the road. Both teams had their chances but both wasted all. In this encounter was shown where the problems form Ingolstadt are and this is more the offensive as the defensive. They need to much to take advantage.

The team from Westfalen Paderborn is still the surprise of the season and they are close to get promoted but they must get back on winning track after failing last weekend at home. Maybe the pressure is a bit gone now as they know they play away from home without a lot of fans and this can help maybe. They are doing well away from home and they are very dangerous with their good and fast offensive play.

If I compare both teams sure Ingolstadt has a good run and they are doing well but I believe that Paderborn has more power at the moment above all in scoring. They have a lot of weapons in their rows who can do the job. The free kicks from Meha and additional plus for them and this can be some of a key fact here. They have scored almost an average from 2,00 away from home and Ingolstadt has at home only a bit more as one. Therefore I take the away side here who has good chances in promotion race.

Recommend Bet: SC Paderborn AHC 0 @ 2,04 (3 Units)

Samstag, 5. April 2014

Week Performance 31.04.2014 - 06.04.2014

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Week 14 !!!

I wanted to dedicate my Picks / Tips in an extra post. I update it always if I add something, it is only for a better view. All Picks can be seen under Betting History, Plan Picks or Tip of the Day additional. Of course, all Picks are verified !!!


German Soccer Picks:

05.04.2014  15:30  1.BL  Eintracht Frankfurt - FSV Mainz 05 AHC +0,25 @ 1,82 (A) 2-0
05.04.2014  15:30  1.BL  1.FC Nürnberg - Bor. M'Gladbach AHC +0,5 @ 1,80 (H) 0-2
05.04.2014  15:30  1.BL  Werder Bremen - FC Schalke 04 AHC +0,5 @ 2,03 (H) 1-1

Werder Bremen - FC Schalke 04

Statistic:

- S04 has won all the last 5 BL games against Bremen.
- They scored in all these 5 games at least 2 goals.
- Bremen has only longer losing streaks against BvB and Bayern (6) as S04 (5).
- Schalke is unbeaten in 5 BL games and they got 13 from 15 possible Points at least.
- In the last 13 games lost Schalke only 1 time and this was in Munich (9-3-1).
- Werder won only 1 of the last 6 home games (1-3-2).
- Bremen was in the last 3 games always behind at half time, but lost only 2 of the last 8.

Bremen has to replace Kroos and Yildirim.

On the other side Schalke has much more to replace and they played in the past with a very young lineup. Therefore they are once again without Farfan, Santana, Howedes, Kirchhoff, Uchida, Fuchs, Clemens, Aogo and Höger.

I know Bremen did very hard in recent matches at home and they are very easy to beat at least. But why should this continue and continue, maybe we can expect a change here. They played really great last sunday in Hannover and won deserved in the end 2-1. They showed great moral and the self confidence should be higher now above all after putting some between them and the red zone. They can look forward to the upcoming fixtures and the big pressure is gone now. Of course, some points are needed but they can play much more relaxed and maybe with much more motivation too. Although the statistic is very bad against Schalke in the last matches I believe that they are able to bring Schalke here in some trouble.

What a run from Schalke in second half of the season, they did very well and they are almost unbeatable at the moment but the team is very young and in the last match we saw that some of the young players are more and more tired. This is normal and sooner or later they have not the power that they bring a match successfully to an end. Once again a lot of missing and some of them are important. Ok, Boateng returns here and this can give Coach Keller the opportunity that Meyer can get a rest. But players like Ayhan must play although he plays with some slight injury problems. According to less alternatives it is a must that this youngster play.

I am keen that Bremen can have a chance here, maybe to win but at least to get a draw and this is what I am looking for. Despite the good run from Schalke, I said it already that the players are tired above all the youngsters.

Recommend Bet: Werder Bremen AHC +0,5 @ 2,03 (3 Units)

1.FC Nürnberg - Bor. M'Gladbach

Statistic:

- Nürnberg won 5 of the last 6 home games against Gladbach (only 2011 0-1).
- Against no other BL team won Nürnberg so often at home (18) or overall (23).
- No other team played so less draws in the past, last draw was December 2013 0-0 to Schalke.
- But they are the draw King of the league with already 11.
- Nürnberg hit already 22 times Post or Bar, Record is 23 from BvB in Season 11/12.
- Gladbach won only 1 of the last 6 road games.
- But they won 3 of the last 4 matches and seems to be on an uptrend.

Nürnberg has to replace a lot of players for this encounter. According to news they are without Ginczek, Hasebe, Chandler, Nilsson, Gebhardt all injured, Pogatetz and Stark are injured while Petrak, Feulner and Campana are doubtful.

Gladbach without big worries as they miss only Stranzl and Wendt.

Important match for Nürnberg who has a lot of problems. First one is that they miss a lot of players and it is not out if the doubtful players can play today. This is almost the last squad who is available for Coach Verbeek but he is very pleased that they can get here some. The next problem is that Hamburg won last night and overcome them in table. This put Nürnberg down to place 16 and the situation is getting worse now. Third problem is maybe that they play only against teams from upper table and this is not the best sign at the moment but they did much better against such teams against teams in their region. Therefore the hope should be there despite all the problems. I remember very well, they outplayed Gladbach in first match and they lead to half time only 1-0 but it should have been much higher as they high the post and bar and so on. Second half was different, Gladbach equalized and due to an own goal from youngster Stark they came on losing way and in the end lost 1-3. Normally they should have won this match. But they can turn things around, they play bad today and win !!!

First half of the season all is running for Gladbach but after the winter break they had a lot of problems too and the offensive play was not so fresh as to begin. Also the offensive players has not the form the need for a successful play. But in the last weeks they showed some uptrend but this was lost the last two matches. Ok, they won against Hamburg last weekend but in first half they did very hard and Hamburg controlled the match very well, and one week before they were totally harmless and without any idea in Frankfurt. So it is not all good in Gladbach and some of the players who are on the bench are a bit angry and make some trouble like Xhaka and Mlapa. Also the transfer ban for Barcelona makes some noise in Gladbach as Ter Stegen maybe can not sign there. A lot of rumors now and this help not much to play successful soccer.

Normally this is a clear thing for the away side but I think that Nürnberg can put out all they have. Hopefully they can bring Gladbach in trouble.

Recommend Bet: 1.FC Nürnberg AHC +0,5 @ 1,80 (3 Units)

Eintracht Frankfurt - FSV Mainz 05

Statistic:

- FSV Mainz is unbeaten in the last 4 matches against Frankfurt (3-1-0).
- In the first 7 matches were FSV winless against Eintracht (0-2-5).
- Frankfurt won 4 of the last 6 home games and kept 4 times a clean sheet.
- Mainz won 2 of the last 3 road games and 5 of the last 9.
- Frankfurt has a hard programm, as they must play against higher placed teams.
- In all these matches they got only 5 Points out of in first half of the season.

Frankfurt miss Anderson, Kittel, Rode, Oczipka and Schwegler all injured.

FSV has not so many problems and they miss only long term injured players like Baumgartlinger, Wetklo, Müller.

Some changes in team from Frankfurt because with Meier and Russ returning two players from injury and suspension and they should be immediately in starting lineup. Also Djakpa can play although he trained only on the bike under the week as he had some problems. On the other side Frankfurt did very hard at home in first half of the season but this was only due to their EL matches. They invested a lot in these and therefore the league was not their best competition anyway but this has changed now. After the winter break they started winning at home too and this put them away from relegation trouble at the moment. With 8 Points ahead to the red zone it is more as safe in my eyes but of course some Points are needed anyway to be 100% safe. They played not bad at least and they had some bad luck too in Wolfsburg last weekend where they should have won or maybe get a point at least.

Mainz should be prepared for this Derby and they did and do a great job so far, according to the position at the moment they are close to get an international spot. Only 1 Point behind Gladbach and this is nothing at the moment as we have still 6 Rounds to go. If they want to hold the target alive they have to try to get here at least a point to stay in the race. I am sure that Coach Tuchel has some in mind and this can be some tactical things and maybe changes in the starting lineup as well because he is always ready for some surprises. The team looked very good in the past matches and they did a great job apart from the game in Braunschweig but all the other matches they showed their strength in the past. Ok, they have to wait if striker Müller can play because he has some problems under the week and is doubtful here but nevertheless they should be able to compensate this and go for the win here.

Derby time and I think that this can be very close, both teams are in good shape but I think that Mainz has not so much problems with players and they have not players who came back as Frankfurt. I think it is good that Meier and Russ returns but they missed the last matches and this is maybe not the best.

Recommend Bet: FSV Mainz 05 AHC +0,25 @ 1,82 (3 Units)