Sonntag, 10. März 2019

FC St. Pauli - Hamburger SV

St. Pauli to win city derby

TEAM NEWS
St. Pauli's Philipp Ziereis and Henk Veerman are both injured and will not be available for the rest of the season while Dimitrios Diamantakos and Jeremy Dudziak are working on his comeback.

Hamburg's Jairo Samperio, Kyriakos Papadopoulos, Josha Vagnoman, Jann-Fiete Arp
and Stephan Ambrosius are absent while goalkeeper Julian Pollersbeck is a doubt with thigh problems.

St. Pauli
Suspended: None
Doubtful: None
Injured/unavailable: Philipp Ziereis, Henk Veerman (both knee); Dimitrios Diamantakos (pulled muscle), Jeremy Dudziak (ankle)

Hamburg
Suspended: None
Doubtful: Julian Pollersbeck (thigh)
Injured/unavailable: Kyriakos Papadopoulos, Jairo Samperio, Stephan Ambrosius (all knee); Josha Vagnoman (unspecified), Jann-Fiete Arp (head)

MATCH PREVIEW
MAIN PREDICTION: HOME WIN

Markus Kauczinski’s St. Pauli are showing no signs of giving up in their pursuit of reaching the German top flight. The team are currently just one point behind third-placed Union Berlin after 24 league games and have enjoyed an excellent two weeks with back-to-back wins over strugglers Ingolstadt at home and Paderborn away (both 1-0).

Hamburg bounced back after two winless away league games (one draw, one loss), beating mid-table side Greuther Furth 1-0 at home last week. They had previously been held to a 2-2 draw away at strong hosts Heidenheim, which was followed by a disappointing 2-1 loss away at Jahn Regensburg. Overall, Hamburg have been in patchy form in recent weeks, winning only two of their past five league matches along with one draw and two losses. As a result, they have dropped down to second place, but are still only one point behind current leaders Cologne.

St. Pauli have been excellent at Millerntor since mid-November, losing only once,  winning four and drawing two of their last seven home league matches. Hamburg may still be above them in the league table, but they have been all over the place recently and have not won any of their last four away league matches (one draw, three losses). Back St. Pauli to claim a home win in this Hamburg derby.

SECOND PREDICTION: FIRST HALF HAD - DRAW
St. Pauli have been drawing at half time in their last two league outings, with both of their winning goals arriving in the second half. I fancy the first half to finish level at Millerntor this weekend, too.

HEAD TO HEAD
Hamburg and St. Pauli have met only once in league action since plying their trade in the German top flight in 2011, drawing 0-0 back in September.

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