Week Performance 25.10.-31.10.2013

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Week 43 !!!

I wanted to dedicate my Picks / Tips in an extra post. I update it always if I add something, it is only for a better view. All Picks can be seen under Betting History, Plan Picks or Tip of the Day additional. Of course, all Picks are verified !!!


German Leagues:

26.10.2013  15:30  1.BL  Hannover 96 - 1899 Hoffenheim AHC -0,25 @ 1,93 (H) 1-4
26.10.2013  15:30  1.BL  FC Schalke 04 - Borussia Dortmund OVER 3 @ 1,92 1-3
26.10.2013  15:30  1.BL  Bayer Leverkusen - FC Augsburg OVER 2,75 @ 1,87 2-1
27.10.2013  13:30  2.BL  Union Berlin - Erzgebirge Aue AHC -1 @ 2,02 (H) 1-0
27.10.2013  17:30  1.BL Bor. M'Gladbach - Eintracht Frankfurt AHC +0,25 @ 1,98 (A) 4-1


Pick of the Day:

26.10.2013  16:00  England PR  FC Liverpool - West Bromwich Albion AHC -1,25 @ 1,88 (H) 4-1
27.10.2013  17:00  England PR  Chelsea - Manchester City AHC +0,25 @ 1,88 (A) 2-1
28.10.2013  20:15  Germany 2.BL  VfL Bochum - 1.FC Kaiserslautern OVER 2,5 @ 1,88 0-0
29.10.2013  20:45  Italy Serie A  Atalanta Bergamo - Inter Mailand OVER 2,75 @ 2,16 1-1
30.10.2013  20:45  Italy Serie A  Hellas Verona - Sampdoria Genua AHC +0,5 @ 1,88 (A) 2-0
30.10.2013  20:45  Italy Serie A  US Sassuolo - Udinese Calcio AHC 0 @ 1,72 (A) 1-2


Plan Picks:

27.10.2013  17:00 England PR  Swansea City - West Ham United AHC +1 @ 1,74 (A) 0-0
30.10.2013  20:00 Spain Primera  FC Valencia - UD Almeria AHC -1 @ 1,71 (H) 1-2
30.10.2013  20:45 Italy Serie A  AC Mailand - Lazio Rom AHC -0,75 @ 2,02 (H) 1-1

VfL Bochum - 1.FC Kaiserslautern

Last match of Round 12 where VfL Bochum hosts 1.FC Kaiserslautern on monday evening. After Dresden's win yesterday Bochum fall down in table and stand on a relegation place now this put them under additional pressure although they are coming to this match with 4 loses in a row. Therefore what is pressure? Coach Neururer has to bring his team back on track otherwise it can be very close for him. On the other side Kaiserslautern coming from a unlucky 2-2 draw at home and they want and need the three Points here and according to the results from weekend where some of the teams played for them they can take advantage and climb up to third place what is very important anyway. To stay in touch with the teams ahead and hold promotion ambitions alive.

It is not an easy match for the home side as the pressure is extremely high as I wrote above. All stands behind Coach Neururer but how often he can lose still? After 4 loses in a row and the big fall down in table it is very important to bring the team back on track but against an experienced and well balanced side from Kaiserslautern it can be a very hard task anyway. But what they are able to bring showed they in some matches at home already. Maybe this can be the key that they play at home and have their fans in back what help them a bit more as away from home. After the unlucky 1-2 in Aue Coach Neururer changes his team a bit according to the big opponent. Therefore the tall Aquistapace can get a chance here while Chaftar is out of the team. Although the offensive potential is a big limited from Aquistapace it is not necessary as he has more to help in defensive against big players like Idrissou and Occean. Back again after suspension is keeper Luthe what gives his team a far more stability in the back as Esser did. All other position remain unchanged as no alternatives are there at the moment.

The team from Kaiserslautern worked well in the past although the results looked a bit average but Coach Kosta Runjaic is very pleased about the play and so he counts again on the same eleven as in the past. Despite the unlucky 2-2 he gives the same eleven a chance again to do better as they did against KSC. In this match Torrejon and Sippel was not in his best condition and allowed two easy goals what was the key that they could not win this one. Maybe some options what he has additional. Willi Orban played very good after he came in against KSC and this can be an option for Ring who could not convinced much. Also Simon Zoller is an option in attack but all expect Idrissou and Occean to start as both have a lot of experience. Therefore the young Zoller must show his power again the few minutes he gets from Coach in the end of the match or maybe more if the result is against them.

Bor. M'Gladbach - Eintracht Frankfurt

Arrango scored the lead last season !!!

An important match for both teams as they are aiming for an international starting place for next season. This means that they must get Points as much as they can but both teams have some problems above all a big difference if they play at home or even on the road. Gladbach did very well at home with 4-0-0 while losing almost all on the road. A bit different is the situation for Frankfurt who collected no home wins so far but away from home they managed to get some Points. So it will be nice to see what team can be the better today.

The fortress from Gladbach was impregnable so far and they want to continue this with the next home win against Frankfurt. Coach Favre counts again on an offensive style of play where with Kruse, Herrmann, Raffael and Arrango his key players are all available. Also the first substitute Hrgota is on bench and he can bring with him some boost if the play is not like he wants or the result is not in their favor. But overall they have a lot of problems in defensive today. With a lot of unavailable players Coach Favre must change his defensive row a lot. Both defender Stranzl suspended and Dominguez injured are out for this match. So only one defender with Brouwers left. He maybe wants to count on old man Deams but he suffered some injury in the past too and is maybe not available. Therefore he must search for the second defender what is not so important. It will be a guy who never player there if he do not count on a player from second team. Next area with problems is the central midfield where Nordtveit is out but with Kramer and Xhaka there are two players who can play this position very well. Overall this will be an different match as their last one where they was not able to hold the pressure away from their goal but was the lucky team as Dortmund outplayed them but they won 2-0 in the end. This time they must be more active and control the game from beginning on what they want to do but nevertheless the defensive is the weak point today. They must be intent not to open to much.

International starter Frankfurt got a lot of self confidence with their win in EL on Thursday. But only in EL they celebrated home wins, in League they are waiting still. On the road they are on a good way and they play a good level there. They count on counters what is the right one today as Gladbach mentioned that they want to control the game and with Gladbach's defensive problems they should be able to hurt them in some situations. With inform Kadlec who scored for free in the past and also the returning form key offensive player Meier it is a good and dangerous lineup expected. They were only beaten one time away from home and this shows that they are very hard to beat. The only bad thing is that they conceded to many late goals in the past matches what costs them a lot of Points (against Freiburg, Nürnberg and Hamburg all were draw in the end). They want to to better this time and get the lost Points back, this can be the first good place where they can start now.

All home matches won, the last one with a lot of luck and this time with big problems in defensive, I think Frankfurt has a real chance here to take at least at Point. They have for sure some self confidence and their play is also not the weakest away from home. The situation is clear, Gladbach try to control this one but Frankfurt is dangerous in counter attacks what brings Galdbach in danger. Therefore I try a shot on the away team here.

Recommend Pick: Eintracht Frankfurt AHC +0,25 @ 1,98 (3 Units)

Union Berlin - Erzgebirge Aue

Thanks to the defeat from Greuther Fürth on Friday Union Berlin has the chance to take some advantage and use the chance with a win against Erzgebirge Aue. This win put them in a very good position and they are for sure one of the biggest promotion candidates anyway. With a win they open the gap to four Points to third place. But on the other side Aue celebrated an enormously important win 2-1 against Bochum last weekend and with at least a Point here they want to establish themselves away from the relegation places in midfield.

Comapred to the goalless draw in Cottbus Union Berlin starting lineup is not expected for many changes. It is only possible that Michael Parensen move beside Kreilach in central midfield for a more comapct play and Kohlmann defends on the left wing for him. Unfortunately this change would put Baris Özbek out of the starting lineup who could not convince in his last match much. The same situation for striker Terodde in attack which is feeling the pressure of Adam Nemec but nevertheless may well start again and to contribute the necessary goals for the win today. If they manages the win today and put another three Points on their side the absolutely top game awaits them next monday when they face the leader Cologne. But with a success of a four goals margin today they midght even already be overthrown Cologne.

Aue’s Coach Falko Götz has to change at least on two positions in his starting lineup to previous week because left back Nils Miatke got his fifth yellow card and is suspended here while Oliver Schröder is out as well, who has broken the cruciate ligament against Bochum. Therefore captain Klingbeil move from central back to the left wing and plays instead Miatke there while Thomas Paulus gives his comeback after a long break in the middle. More tricky is already the central midfield position where Schröder is out and Fink had an incredible weak day against Bochum. It is conceivable therefore that a completely new midfield row plays today. Possible is that Götz sends with Diring and Pezzoni a complete new double six on the pitch. On the offensive, however, the Violets are likely to begin unchanged, especially the good form of the successful twice goals scorer Guido Kocer makes some hopes for a good offensive play at the „Alten Försterei“.

It is very nice to see how Union is playing at the moment, they are known for their home strength and because of their good away style too this season they are more as a promotion candidate. This gives a lot of hope in Berlin and the fans are celebration every game at home anyway. The support is absolutely great and the team give a lot back anyway. They have a very good and balanced squad and they found the right players to strength the squad additional. All worked well so far and I see them above Aue anyway. As I already wrote Aue has to change some and not even on unimportant positions what give me a lot of confidence that Union can win this match today. Additional fact can be that we have no home win so far in 2.BL this Round and hopefully I picked the right match here !!!

Recommend Bet: Union Berlin AHC -1 @ 2,02 (3 Units)

Bayer Leverkusen - FC Augsburg

The „Werks“ Team from Bayer Leverkusen is the only team which can compete with Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund this season so far. They are only one Point behind leader Bayern Munich and even with Borussia Dortmund. What is a great success for them at the moment but it can be that the double stress with League and Champions League can cost some Points. Nevertheless they did well and looked very well in the recent matches but actual they had a lot of luck in their two last matches. Against Bayern Munich they were totally outplayed but it was only due to their luck and keeper Leno that they did not lose this one. Also last weekend they got a lot of help from Referee Brych, who did not count a clear goal for Hoffenheim and also allowed a goal for them where ball did not reach beyond the normal way into the goal, but came through the side netting through a hole in the net. A lot of luck what they had but sooner or later this can go an other way and they have to work more to win matches. Nevertheless their offensive style is very good above all the wings with Sam and Son are always good for some actions where striker Kießling get supported very well. This was shown in CL match against Donezk under the week with some great actions and goals from them. Ok, they had again some luck on their side as the penalty was not one and additional one goal was offside scored from them. Although both central midfield player with Bender and Reinartz were out in CL and maybe are not available on Saturday Coach Hyppiä has a good hand with inform Rolfes and Can, both made their job very well. This showed already that they have some players in back where they can count if the situation getting worse. Overall almost the same lineup from CL is expected for the match today. Kießling is  a doubt here, all know but Coach decides in the end of he plays today !!!

The “Fuggerstädter” are very proud of her team and what has been achieved so far. Of course they got not much out of the past matches and they are getting closer to red zone. This should not be such a problem for them because they know the situation and handle it very well. Nevertheless Coach Weinzierl demands for more input to turn things around but he has to replace both back wings due to suspension. This takes de Jong and Voigt in a good position for a place in starting lineup against Leverkusen. All other positions should be the same as against Wolfsburg, only DEF Klavan can move into the team after returning from suspension. Despite their bad away record they played well and push from beginning on to create some good opportunities but according to their good and balanced play they are not so often able to score or use their great chances. If they can only use a few it is not far away that they get something in the upcoming matches. All in team know this and they travel very confident to Leverkusen to annoy one of the BL top team.

Normally this match is a clear one for the home team but I am not sure about according to their luck in the past and additional their run with winning all home HC’s this season so far. Therefore it might be much wiser to wait for some in running action as I am not very confident that they can beat -1 here. In running we can get -0,75 or -0,5 even if they fall behind it is worth a shot anyway. Moreover it is nice to see how they come into the game after the CL match under the week. I expect a dangerous team from Augsburg who should be able to hurt Leverkusen. Although Augsburg offensive line needs a lot to score I believe in them today and from what is Leverkusen’s offensive able to bring we all know therefore it can be a good opportunity to take the OVER line here instead of side bet.

Recommend Bet: OVER 2,75 @ 1,87 (3 Units)

FC Schalke 04 - Borussia Dortmund

The most important match in „Ruhrpott“ is the derby between Schalke 04 and Borussia Dortmund. Both sides do not like each other much and the big rivalry put a lot of trouble in this game. Whatever, if you win this match you have an easy season ahead, of course only from fan side.

Although Schalke had some weaker performances they won both league matches against Augsburg and Braunschweig in the past weeks. But overall it was very hard work and it looks like that they have a lot of problems above all if they must play bigger clubs or better teams. This happend already under the week in CL match where they faced Chelsea London and in which they never had any chance. They lost this one very easy 0-3 and allowed some easy goals as well again. Above all after standard situations like corner, free kicks and so on they are very easy to crack. A lot of mistakes in their defensive play allowed their opponents many goals so far. Of course they tried to work on this but they were not able to solve it at the moment. Coach Keller’s young starting lineup needs still time and maybe a leader. Of course Boateng can be the man here but he has some problems with his knee and is not at 100 percent additional. He has more to do with himself as he can lead the young players Meyer, Draxler, Clemens and so on at this time. A lot of injured or unavailable players make the situation for Coach Keller not better. He has to find out the best and strongest lineup for this important derby match. In central midfield the problems are huge as with Höger got one player injured last weekend and is out for long time now, next one Jones face some knee problems and is not at 100% as he trained less while Goretzka replaced Höger in Braunschweig and Chelsea but is to young and unexperienced. Keller’s important mission to find a partner beside Neustädter and they should be as compact as they can because with Dortmund’s fast offensive line they get a lot of trouble else. Additional he changed always in central back what help not much to get a good and balanced defensive line. It speaks not much for the players. In offensive he has almost no alternatives as with striker Huntelaar and Farfan miss two important players already and the squad is not as big as they maybe need.

After Dortmund totally outplayed Gladbach but lost some weeks ago they turned things around and played weak against Hannover but won. Also their important trip to London for the CL match against Arsenal was not as good as they can but nevertheless they managed to get the win. This important one put them in a very good position in their group and gives a lot of self confidence for the upcoming matches. Therefore they can travel the few Kilometer to Gelsenkirchen with a lot of confidence in their bag. According to the last matches the situation for Coach Klopp is getting better and better as he has some of the injured players back in squad and allows him some more options. Despite the good situation he counts on the strongest lineup here anyway. A win should be very important to stay in touch with leader Bayern Munich and also give the fans some back after two derby loses in a row. Both with 1-2 but they look much better this time against a battered Schalke side. If they can run their normal play and do not waste so many it is not obvious that they can get something out of this match.

If we compare both sides I see the advantage clear on Dortmund’s side although Schalke is a great home team which won over 60% of their home matches in recent seasons. Of course it is a derby an all can happen here but I doubt that Dortmund gives this match away again. I can not see that Schalke’s defensive line can hold the pressure for long time and I am sure that Dortmund score here twice or more as it was almost incredible what they created in Gladbach but did not score. This time I see them in a much more comfortable situation against a weak defensive line. On the other side S04 want invest a lot and sooner or later this match can be very open what can bring some spectacle here.

Recommend Bet: OVER 3 @ 1,92 (3 Units)

Hannover 96 - 1899 Hoffenheim

I do not know if some of you know that Hannover 96 is one of the strongest home teams in BL for the past 2 seasons. Since Season 2011/12 they played 39 matches on home soil where they won 23, draw 13 and lost only 3 times!!! This good record since over 2 seasons put them on third place behind both league giants Bayern Munich and Dortmund. Only Schalke 04 has still one match less in this period and can overcome them with a Point. But if they are 3rd or 4th it is absolutely insignificant, the only thing what count is their good home record. With only 3 loses out of 39 matches they are on the same level with Bayern Munich. But nevertheless the bookmakers do not know this already, because they give always very good lines for H96 home matches. If they offer DNB or maybe quarter ball it is almost a must take with this good record in the back. This team is the most underestimate side in BL in their own stadium while away from home they are harmless and very weak overall but showed some uptrend on the weekend. This give some hopes for their next away matches because with Gladbach, Leverkusen, Bayern and Dortmund they faced big and home strong teams what made it not such easy for them anyway. So we can keep an eye on them in the upcoming road trips for them as well. After 4 wins in a row they tied against Hertha BSC but want to bounce back on Saturday where 1899 Hoffenheim arrived in Hannover. The situation is getting better above all in offensive where Ya Konan is still out but important striker Diouf returns and gives Coach Slomka a bit more options there.  Tactical and System wise is all the same as in the past. Slomka favored a fast attacking style with fast breaks within 20-30 seconds to finalize. This is one of the key formula for their play and it works for years now.

Young team from Hoffenheim had a lot against them in the last two matches. First one was in Mainz before the international break where they were up 2-0 but conceded the equalizer in the last seconds. Also at home last Friday where the referee made some curious decisions. First he did not give a clear goal for Hoffenheim as he meant that Volland was in offside, next situation was a phantom goal from Kießling, which was given despite the ball from the outside went through the net and suddenly was in the goal. Brych said that this was a clear goal and allow it what was the 2-0 for Leverkusen although 1899 scored late it was more or less the decider in this encounter. With a lot of bad luck in the past they travel to Hannover and hope that they can try things around. Sooner or later the luck is on their side maybe. Nevertheless a hard task ahead for them and if all is true a lot of work to do too. Coach Gisdol said that he has a lot of problems and the squad is very tinny at the moment. Above all on the left back he has problems as with Fabian Johnson who got injured against Schalke is the first man on this position not available. Also his replacement from the past matches Jeremey Toljan got an injury and is a big doubt here. He has to think a lot as he announced in an interview what he can do there. Maybe Salihovic is an option on this position but not the best one. Also in central back he counts on the young Süle who had some mistakes in his play what can be dangerous against H96 and bring them in trouble. But Gisdol said that this is a good man and he let second captain Vestergaard again on bench. The most important player for Hoffenheim got injured in training this week and this means that their biggest offensive weapon is out. What is a big blow for them additional with all the bad luck in the past. This match stands not under a good sign. Volland will be out, normally. They do not risk anything here.

I wrote it already above, a home team who get the HC level or quarter ball here you have to play. I think with all the good news we get from Hoffenheim's squad and also that Diouf is back for H96 it is a must play for me today. One of the best if you ask me.

Recommend Bet: Hannover 96 AHC -0,25 @ 1,93 (3 Units)

Some facts to 1.BL matches

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VfB Stuttgart - 1.FC Nürnberg

- Stuttgart did not lose one of the last 4 matches against Nürnberg (2-2-0).
- Nürnberg's last win was 2011 with 4-1 in Stuttgart
- At no other stadium, FCN was able to win so often as in Stuttgart (8).
- Stuttgart won only one of their last 6 home matches (1-3-2).
- In 19 BL matches, Stuttgart could only kept one time a clean sheet at home.

Unavailable for VfB are DEF Rüdiger suspended, Didavi, Leitner, Abellaoue all injured.
Nürnberg got two important players back with MID Feulner and STR Ginczek. No imp. miss then.


The other matches coming updated on Saturday.

FC St. Pauli - SV Sandhausen

Against teams from the bottom half of the table, St. Pauli had a hard time this season on home soil. From three home games against teams from this region like Bielefeld, Düsseldorf and Paderborn they managed only to get one Point. Well, with SV Sandhausen for the fourth time this season a team from this table region arrive in Hamburg. Once again St. Pauli has the chance with a win to climb up to promotion ranks as they had in all the three mentioned games but they failed always. According to there matches they hope that they have the experience from previous games now, however, the certain skepticism is still there from the players. All said that it would be a hard match and it is also not very eady to create chances against an defensive minded team from Sandhausen. Defender Thorandt especially warns not to run in some counter as they did in the mentioned games. They should control it from a more decent and safer manner. However, a victory of St. Pauli put them in the upper table positions and it would be the first time this season that they win two matches in a row.

Head Coach Michael Frontzeck is nevertheless optimistic and hopes in particular that his team can take the momentum and confidence of the 4-2 win in Fürth in today’s game. We want to play the same style what we have recently played away even at home. Squad would probably the same and not many changes expected, maybe a little bit. The injury problems indeed have changed a bit in recent days but not all. Some of the player returns but not all are ready for today. Bernd Nehrig and Sebastian Maier had not trained to beginning of the week or only reduced due to muscular problems, but returned on Wednesday to full team training. At least for Nehrig it is to early and he will get some rest additional. Attacker Verhoek was already out against Fürth and was not able to train this week again what is very likely that he is not in the squad today again. The others Boll, Daube and Okan are out longer anyway.  

Despite table position 15 and only two Points ahead of the relegation ranks guest Coach Alois Schwartz sees his team not in a must win situation here. He said already that they have nothing to lose in Hamburg and want to be a tough opponent. For this reason, he wants to take the opportunity and try out some new with his formation today. On what changes he thinks, he had certainly let open. Maybe the fit again David Ulm who last could not play from the start due to an infection can be in starting lineup, but also players from the second row would offer currently to let the Coach thinking about them. Expect from Nico Klotz who must remain sidelined because of back problems and the long term injured Zimmermann are all players available. Therefore Coach Schwartz has many options for his announced formation tries

Arminia Bielefeld - 1.FC Köln

The “Bielefelder Alm” is not in so good memories for the 1.FC Cologne. A 1-2 defeat decided the relegation and also some years later they were not successful there. Both matches were BL matches because they faced each other only one time in 2.BL. But today Cologne arrived as leader and they want to get the three Points to put some against them and their rivals. Bielefeld, meanwhile, wants to turn things around after three defeats in a row and prevent further slippage in the table.

Of course Arminia still has a decent balance with 14 Points from eleven games but is only three Points above the relegation zone. Therefore Coach Krämer will rebuild his starting lineup compared to the 0-3 at VfR Aalen probably on some positions. Absolutely necessary is a change in central defensive as important DEF Hübener face a harmstring injury and will probably be replaced by Felix Burmeister. In midfield, meanwhile many arguments for a return to the double six with Tom Schütz and Philipp Riese after an unusual 4-3-3 was practiced in Aalen. Also Jan Fießer could be an option on the double six, ahead of both central players could begin Tim Bleiberg in central role supported by Patrick Schönfeld and Sebastian Hille on the wings. A big question mark is behind Müller but if the with this lineup he is on only bench anyway, also Francky Sembolo could not convince and take his chance as replacement for the injured Fabian Klos. Maybe a new face in attack today with the dutch young international striker Anass Achahbar. Coach Krämer hopes that he solves the problems in attack as Klos is a huge miss for them at the moment.

After the disappointing 0-0 draw against 1860 Munich at home Coach Stöger was not very pleased with his team and he thinks to change a bit tactical wise. So not only possible, but probably that Cologne starts not in the 4-4-2 with two attackers. Instead of this maybe only attacker starts and he put an additional midfield player in with Peszko who can build a great offensive midfield row with Halfar and Risse. The polish international who previously comes from bench and gives Colognes play an additional boost with his quick actions can play on the left side which means that Daniel Halfar can switch to his lovely position in the middle. Whether it caught Helmer or Ujah it is more as open but both could really not convincing last what the bad balance of only four goals explain. At the defensive, which is by far the best in the league with only five goals conceded, however, there are just likely no reasons to change anything here.

Week Performance 18.10.-24.10.2013

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Week 42 !!!

I wanted to dedicate my Picks / Tips in an extra post. I update it always if I add something, it is only for a better view. All Picks can be seen under Betting History, Plan Picks or Tip of the Day additional. Of course, all Picks are verified !!!


German Leagues:

19.10.2013  13:00  Germany 2.BL  Erzgebirge Aue - VfL Bochum AHC 0 @ 1,95 (H) 2-1
19.10.2013  15:30  Germany 1.BL  Werder Bremen - SC Freiburg OVER 2,5 @ 1,84 0-0
19.10.2013  15:30  Germany 1.BL  Bayern München - FSV Mainz 05 AHC -2,25 @ 1,84 4-1
19.10.2013  18:30  Germany 1.BL  Hertha BSC - Bor. M'Gladbach AHC 0 @ 1,80 (H) 1-0
19.10.2013  18:30  Germany 1.BL  Hertha BSC - Bor. M'Gladbach OVER 2,75 @ 2,11 1-0


Tip of the Day:

18.10.2013  20:45  Italy Serie A  AS Rom - SSC Neapel AHC +0,5 @ 1,81 (A) 2-0
19.10.2013  14:00  Germany 3.BL  Preußen Münster - Bor. Dortmund AHC -1 @ 1,98 (H) 4-0
20.10.2013  15:00  Italy Serie A  Hellas Verona - AC Parma AHC +0,25 @ 1,90 (A) 3-2
21.10.2013  22:00  Spain Primera  Athletic Bilbao - FC Villareal OVER 2,75 @ 2,12 2-0
22.10.2013  20:45  Europe CL  FC Schalke 04 - FC Chelsea AHC 0 @ 1,65 (A) 0-3
23.10.2013  19:00  Germany Regio TSV Buchbach - Bayern München II AHC -1 @ 1,91 (A) 0-3
24.10.2013  19:05  Europe EL  SC Freiburg - Estoril Praia AHC -0,75 @ 2,01 (H) 1-1


Plan Picks:

19.10.2013  16:00  England PR  FC Everton - Hull City AHC -1 @ 1,88 (H) 2-1
19.10.2013  18:30  England PR  West Ham U. - Manchester City AHC -0,75 @ 1,88 (A) 1-3

1.FC Köln - 1860 München

 where 1.FC Cologne hosts TSV 1860 Munich. An important match for both sides, which shows a brief look at the table. All top teams lost Points this weekend and this is a good opportunity for Cologne to climb on top and get some advantage over the other teams but also 1860 Munich is also in a difficult situation which needs Points as well and if they can surprise here and get the win they are close to the top too. Therefore an interesting game to watch today.

I wrote it already several times in recent weeks and nothing has changed so far. Coach Stöger has a lot of options in his squad and therefore he has to make some hard decisions for the starting lineup every week. But overall he counts more and more on the same starting lineup as he has found a good mix and the recently success said all. In this case Peszko is again on the bench although he decided the match for Cologne in Karlsruhe with his good actions some weeks ago. Normally the match should have been decided early but both penalties were missed from Risse and Helmes within a few minutes. According to the performance in the past Coach Stöger sees no reason for some changes as with Risse and Halfar both offensive wings convinced and both can decide matches with one good action. Above all Halfar should be huge motivated today against his former club. Third player Gerhardt is the youngest but played well too and if Coach Stöger replace him with Peszko it is much to offensive. Some good news from Chihi and Bröker, both return into the squad after a long injury time.

Lions Coach Friedhelm Funkel spoke very positive ahead of this game from his former club Cologne. Nevertheless he wants to change a bit his tactical and starting lineup for this match today. According to the recent training impressions he counts on only one striker Lauth who will be supported from midfield player Adlung. Next one would be a compact midfield with 4 players with Stark and Stahl in the middle while Stoppelkamp and Hertner playing on the wings. Last one played solid against Cottbus as back wing but moving forward and allows Wojtkowiak to come into the starting lineup. This means a more defensive minded team from 1860 Munich today. But the defensive should not be the problem at all, the problems are more in offensive where they are not able to score much. They play to harmless, create less and in front of the goal they disappointed a lot so far. Maybe they have improved in the break now but it is a big doubt.

FC Augsburg - VfL Wolfsburg

Compared to last season Augsburg started much better and they are much more solid this season so far. Coach Weinzierl and Sport Manager Reuter has done a good job and they hope that they can continue this way now. This means that they collect some Points and fall not back to old times from first half of the season of last year. Despite all they have to do their home work and if they invest not all it is hard for the small club to win matches. For this match Coach Weinzierl miss DEF Klavan suspended, Bobadilla injured but not fact this season so far. But some changes must be made according to Klavan's absent new signed Hong who played solid as he came in against Schalke gives his starting debut today. Hopefully the defensive work as good with him as with Klavan. Additional wing Ostrzolek is a doubt at the moment and therefore de Jong can play on the wing for him but it is not sure if he must pass. Overall FCA feel very confident before this match, have they still an unbeaten run against Wolfsburg in all BL matches. They are 2-2-0 against the giant from VW town. They believe to continue this run and hurt Wolfsburg again, the home record speaks for them where they were only beaten from BvB while the other matches were won both 2-1 and last one 2-2 against Gladbach. 

It looks like Wolfsburg has only changed his role a bit. Last season they played awful at home but got a lot of Points on the road, this season it is different at the moment. They come to Augsburg with 0-0-4 and this is more as a disaster for their high quality in team. Also the money they invest in their team was and is huge what makes it not much more easier for Coach Hecking. The situation is getting worse and is on an absolutely low Point when they lost their last match against big outsider from Braunschweig at home. Most Diego was criticized, who had too many turnovers and tried a lot of his own hand with dribbling. If they play like before the break the 5th lose in a row is coming for sure. All was very angry and they have to invest must more and play as a team otherwise the results stay away. Of course the quality is there but they have to bring it on the pitch. Maybe Coach Hecking gives the same eleven a chance for some reaction today but also because of less alternatives he has at the moment.

Normally this is a must bet on Wolfsburg because I do not think that they lose 5 matches in a row on the road. But the last performances and negative record let me doubt.

1.FC Kaiserslautern - Karlsruher SC

Derby time on the „Betze“. The match between the 1.FC Kaiserslautern and Karlsruher Sc is a true classic in the southwest of Germany’s football, especially in the 80s and 90s there were quite a few big fights in Bundesliga and Cup duels between the two traditional teams. Meanwhile it may have become significantly quieter but the rivalry is still there. On Friday 43.500 of the 49780 tickets were sold, so that today they can expect a nearly sold out stadium. At least 5.000 visiting fans support their team as well here. The roles a clear defined, FCK promotion candidate and favored in this encounter has to continue their good run form recent weeks while KSC suffered two defeats in a row want to bounce back now again. Although they lost 1-2 vs. Cologne before the international break they played well and could competed with them, therefore they are very confident that they can do the same vs. FCK. Nevertheless the atmosphere is absolutely amazing today and this can be also some advantage for home side who knows this very well and give some additional boost.

Under new Coach Kosta Runjaic took 1.FC Kaiserslautern seven Points from three games and did not allow a single goal. This put them back into promotion race and they are close to the top, with a win today they can close the gap and get in a good position as well. All are very confident as they have played well recently and all saw a real improvement to begin of the season. They are hot to play in front of their great fans and celebrate the next win above all the performance against 1860 Munich at home was amazing, if they can continue this style they are very hard to beat. Also no changes expected as the team did well in the past and with Occean and Idrissou both strikers scored. This means that Zoller comes from bench again. All the other positions remain unchanged as well.

Guest Coach Markus Kauczinksi however planning a system change and he will give the team with 4-2-3-1 more stability. With Dmitri Nazarov as the lone striker where Koen van der Biezen behind him as number 10 should support. Additional change in midfield where Krebs are not available anymore till winter break as he suffered a bigger injury. This means a further change compared to the match vs. Cologne. Although Alibaz could not train since 10 days he can move immediately in the starting lineup as with his good passing play and also standards he is an important player for KSC despite his 23- years. But it is not confirmed yet and Coach wants to think about him first. All in and around the club hope that they can do better as the last road match where they had an awful performance and lost absolutely deserved 0-3 in Aue. Although the opponent is rather stronger.

Hertha BSC Berlin - Bor. M'Gladbach

New promoted Hertha BSC Berlin is back in Bundesliga after a year’s absence. They want to be much more solid as in past years and also want to stop the ups and downs.  They want establish Hertha long term in the 1.Bundesliga as the capital city deserves a club there. After relegation they did a lot to come back immediately and one of the best decisions was to sign a contract with Luhukay. He was the man who got the team back on track and they worked very well together. Also this season he made it so far and their standing is very good at the moment. With only 2 matches lost from 8 games they can count on a solid basis now. It looks like that they are on the way from Eintracht Frankfurt who had an incredible good last season. Overall they should have the strength for this and if they can continue the way they started everything is possible. Coach Luhukay understands it very well to push his team and also find almost every time the right tactic against their opponents. Of course some hard decisions he has to do as with Ronny last years promotion hero sit only on bench at the moment. Also some others are waiting for their chance. Therefore it is a difficult job to make all happy. But the most important thing is success and this is the case.

Although Gladbach won the last matches against giant Borussia Dortmund Coach Favre was very angry about his team. They were totally outplayed in this one and should have lost this very easy 0-3,4,5. They allowed so many chances and they never had any formula against the fast and quick passing style of Dortmund. It was only due to Dortmund’s weakness in front of the goal which held them in the game and as always in such matches, and many times happened, the underdog wins in the end. It was absolutely mega luck and undeserved as well but know one asked afterwards. This was their 4th home win in a row while on the road they had less success, only one draw in the last match vs. Augsburg they got so far. All the other matches were lost. It looks like that it is a big difference for them to play at home or away. They never brought their home performance on the pitch on the road. No one knows why this happen and they can not solve it in all the matches. Nevertheless they have to look forward and try to do better in the future. The potential is there anyway but they must bring it on the pitch. If Favre makes some changes or not is not out so far. For sure replaced must be defender Dominguez who got injured, this is the chance from Browers again.

I like the matchup here and I think that we see an open match where both go for the win. But I fancy more the home side + goals here.

Recommend Pick: Hertha BSC Berlin DNB @ 1,80 + OVER 2,75 @ 2,11 (3 Units each)

Bayern München - FSV Mainz 05

Before the national break Bayern Munich took the lead and they are one Point ahead of Dortmund and Leverkusen now. Despite their draw in Leverkusen they climbed on top according to Dortmund’s amazing defeat against Gladbach. But this corresponds exactly to their current level of performance in the past matches. Both last games in CL and League against ManCity and Leverkusen showed which way Bayern is going. Coach Guardiola understands to mix both systems from Bayern and Barca and gave his new team an absolutely dominant style of play. They overcome both opponents with an excellent pressing system and they allowed not much space and hold the pressure high. That is why the opponents could only extricate long balls but they came back immediately and Bayern put a lot of pressure on them. But only in Manchester they understand to finish their good actions and good style of play. Some days later they started again very well and Leverkusen did not know how to play against because they were not able to break free. They had no weapon against this good play from Bayern but got a lucky and absolutely undeserved draw. It was only one way and this match could have been easily 4,5,6-1 for Bayern but they were not able to finish they good attacks they created while Leverkusen scored with the only attack they had in 90 minutes. Never saw such a dominating team but scoring only one goal but had incredible 10 misses. If Bayern Munich continue this way of play and work hard on their finish it is very hard to beat them. Above all in 90 minutes they are always able to create a lot with such excellent players and with their flexible play anyway. Bayern has almost all available, the only absent guys are Thiago, Martinez, Shakiri and Badstuber. Götze returns already and played some minutes in national team where he scored. Nevertheless Coach Guardiola can choose from a big squad who gives him a lot of options.

To beginning it was amazing what FSV Mainz 05 brought on the pitch and the result speaks all for them. But after losing their first match they are on a huge downtrend and they are winless since ??? matches. Their self confidence and mood is not the best at the moment and all are very angry above all Coach Tuchel. He expects much more from his team and he was not always pleased with the performances of some players in the past. Nevertheless their last match was an entertaining one because they came from 0-2 behind but were able to equalize in injury time to 2-2 and had the winning chance in the last seconds too. Of course this would have been too much for them. Overall again an average performance only in the end they weak up and tried all with a lucky end. Despite all their play looked to limited and they played to fearful. It is all about Müller, if their top scorer has not his best day or got not the actions he needs it looks bleak for Mainz. They depend too much on him at the moment but it seems he has also lost his form from the matches to begin. But of course with Müller, Choupo Muting they have to good and fast wings which both try to hurt Bayern. Ok, Müller is a big doubt as he got injured in training under the week and this can be that Coach Tuchel risks not to much here as he rest his top scorer maybe. Also not out is if Svensson and Baumgartlinger move into the starting lineup after his long injury time. Both recover this week but should be on bench first.

After the break it is always hard to come in running but I think Bayern Munich has the potential to push from beginning on. The team understand Guardiola's tactic more and more and they will go for the ball possession again. Additional they will press a lot therefore not a lot of space for Mainz combinations and faults will come sooner or later. If Bayern continues their play from ManCity or Leverkusen I am very confident that they win with a high margin here. They wasted to much or was unlucky in their last league matches, this turn around now.

Normal I do not like to jump on such high HC's but I give it a try, if you are not so brave you can wait for in running and get maybe a better line if the match run some time goalless. I believe that Bayern win with minimum 2 goals margin today !!!

Recommend Bet: Bayern München AHC -2,25 @ 1,84 (3 Units) 

Werder Bremen - SC Freiburg

A lot has changed in Bremen in recent years. Their former good times are gone and they are only an average team in BL now. It is long time ago where they played on the big international stage. It was a great platform for some of their excellent players which could all recommend for higher tasks. This platform is gone and they have to build up a team with much less money as the actual form and table position showed. They never reached the level from former years. Also Coach Ikone Schaaf left the club after many years on the sideline with a lot of ups and downs. Therefore new Coach Dutt and Sports Manager Eichin have the pressure to bring the golden times back to “Weserstadium”. Maybe sooner or later or with some luck they can but it is very hard to get good players with less money as they do not have the money from international matches. So all big clubs like Bayern, Dortmund and so on has huge advantage. Nevertheless they have to do their best and this is actual average with 3 wins – 2 draws – 3 defeats. Above all their low yield of scoring is a huge problem this season so far. They scored only 9 goals in 8 matches this looks much to less for higher ambitions. Although if they win always 1-0 it is enough but on the other side they showed some weakness in defensive above all in their last home matches against 1.FC Nürnberg where they allowed 3 goals against a normally harmless offensive from Nürnberg. Of course this was only one match but showed that the balance between offensive and defensive is not the best at the moment. New singed striker Di Santo is still suspended while Bargfrede and Ignovski miss with injuries. Maybe the break was to the right time and some players recover from injury what gives Dutt more options for the starting lineup.

Last year high flying Freiburg is back at the bottom of facts. Of course it was more as expected as with 5 of their best players they lost almost their whole offensive from last season. I wrote many times already about so not to bother you more. After 8 Rounds they are still winless this season and they have to reload their batteries at the national break which was to the right time for them. They had a lot of matches (Euro League and League) in recent weeks and this cost a lot of power because of their small squad. The upcoming weeks are very hard and they have almost two matches every week what is not very helpful for them according to their league place. Hopefully they can turn things around and get a good position till winter break that they can take their focus on league only 2014 and avoid relegation. At the moment it speaks not much for them as they make to many mistakes in defensive and looked more as harmless in offensive. Coach Streich stands always behind his team and he trust all but after the last matches he is more as mad about the performances from some players and he asks for some reaction. Above all the big mistakes in defensive must end, with stupid defending and red cards they allowed easy goals for their opponents and this cost a lot of points so far. Maybe they can take the two weeks to work on some of these problems. Although with Hedenstad, Terrazzino and Mujdza are only a few players out there are still some problems for the match in Bremen. Because of some unknown personal situations as with Hanke (broken hand), Sorg are two players doubtful. If they can not play Coach Streich has to think about some positions. Also in defensive is not clear who plays beside Ginter, Krmas or Höhn. Some good news are the returning of Darida and Pilar into team training. Both should be on bench.

Ok, normally this one looks more as under from the numbers but I am not sure about. The recent meetings produced an average from 3,93 goals and it looks like if both plays against each other the visor from both are open. Maybe this can be the case as well, above all if one team take the lead early this match can be stretched wide open.

Recommend Bet: OVER 2,5 @ 1,84 (3 Units) 

Erzgebirge Aue - VfL Bochum

In Bochum they do not like to look back to last year where they got trashed in Aue with a huge 1-6. In the snow roulette they were absolutely without any chance and they was never able to compete with Aue. It was the highest defeat fort hem in 2.BL history and this was the last match for Coach Bergmann as well as he was fired afterwards. Some month later they suffered the next 0-3 defeat at home against Aue. And after this match also their coach was fired. Almost a strange situation at the moment because Neururer and his team has 4 defeats in a row. Maybe this is number 5 but all are sure that this time the Coach is untouchable. In this bad run they went down in table huge and stand on 16. Place what is danger zone already. Many thought that they are much better as last season but maybe it was a bit to early to thing about. At the moment they need Points immediately but it is always hard to play in Aue. Nevertheless home team has to win as well because after their good game and excellent win against KSC they run into the next defeat in Frankfurt. This match was decided in the first 30 minutes where they allowed three goals agianst. It was not the first time this season that they have such weak 30 minutes to begin. They have to solve this if they want to win today.

Flop or Top was the motto from Aue in the ten games of the season so far. There was not a single draw. Particularly after conceding goals the team from Falko Götz has often hard to get back into the game again. Because of maybe less calm and serenity. After the convincing win over KSC it is now a little way back to old strength. Some of the players said in an interview already that in relegation battle you have to get the Points at home. All are very confident about the match and they want to go through the first 30 minutes without conceding a goal while they see there chance in the upcoming minutes and also the win. Hoepfulley Benatelli can catch his form from KSC match where he had a great match and lead his team to the win. Also Kocer can be one of the key players here. Overall not many changes expected, Götz seems to count on the same eleven who played three weeks ago against KSC.

VfL Bochum travelled with some problems to Aue because with striker Aydin they miss one of their attacker here. Also second striker Sukuta Pasu was struggeling with a gastrointestinal infection this week and could not train. Therefore Neururer had only one striker in training with Ilsö. But they see some chances that Sukuta Pasu can play, also midfield player Jungwirth who had to pass some days with muscular problems. According to the weak performances in the past Neururer is thinking of a new system for this encounter. They played an offensive 4-3-3 but in relegation battle he wants to play more defenisve minded with 4-2-3-1. This maybe give his team more stability and help the team more at the moment. If they play only with one striker Sukuta Pasu can take the place although he could not convince in his former strarts anyway but Islö was also not such good. Behind of the lone striker can play Tiffert and support him. Also defenisve some changes are possible as well with Chaftar for Acquistapace who is not in his best shape. Also in central back Coach Neururer is not pleased about the performances form some players as he change always between Fabian and Eyjolfsson who speaks not for a good and balanced defensive line.

I try again Aue draw no bet here. I think they are always a tough opponent to play abvove all at home in their stadium and I expect that they will not lose this one. Bochum impressed not in the past matches and therefore we have two even teams here. Both with some problems according to their results and table positions but I trust Aue more today.

Recommend Bet: Erzgebirge Aue DNB @ 1,95 (3 Units)

1.BL Update for Friday / Saturday

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1899 Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen

- Leverkusen won 9 from 10 matches vs. 1899 (9-1-0).
- They scored incredible 27 goals, this is an average from 2,7 pro match.
- There were 40 goals in 1899 first 8 matches, an average from 5,0 pro match, amazing
- 1899 could not win against 2 teams in BL since they are there (Bayern and Bayer)

Hoffenheim miss no important player, ok Johnson is a big doubt while Leverkusen must replace Lars Bender.


Borussia Dortmund - Hannover 96

- BvB won 20 matches, drew 14 and lost 10 in their 44 games against H96.
- The last 4 home matches were all won from Dortmund
- In these 4 matches BvB scored always 3 or more
- H96 could only keep in one of their last 39 matches vs. BvB a clean sheet.
- This was 2005 when H96 won 2-0 in Dortmund
- Hannover has 0-0-3 on the road and stands on the bottom of the away table.
- H96 did not score in these 3 away matches, they are 0-7 goals at the moment.

Borussia without Hummels suspended, Pisczek, Gündogan and Kehl while H96 miss Felipe, Ya Konan, Diouf (maybe in squad).


Eintracht Braunschweig - FC Schalke 04

- S04 won all 3 last matches against Braunschweig
- Against no team, Braunschweig scored so much in Bundesliga (ok many years ago)
- Braunschweig could not win one of their last 7 home matches (2.BL + 1.BL)

Theuerkauf suspended, Petkovic, Hochscheidt and Correia are not available for Braunschweig while Schalke 04 has with Huntelaar (out till 2014) and Farfan two important guys out.


Eintracht Frankfurt - 1.FC Nürnberg

- Eintracht could only win one of their last 5 home matches vs. Nürnberg (1-3-1). 
- Frankfurt is still winless at home this season and overall in 4 home games (0-2-2).
- Both wins they collected away from home so far.
- Nürnberg could not keep a clean sheet since 16 matches (last one 3-0 vs. Mainz).
- FCN is also winless but they could not win at home even away.
- Nürnberg is very hard to beat on the road, as many draws show.

Not available for home side is Schwegler, Rosenthal, Stendera and suspended Flum. On FCN side Feulner, Ginczek, Balitsch and Gebhardt miss this match. 

Energie Cottbus - Union Berlin

After the national break the leagues are back in business and we can look ahead of a very busy weekend. First one would be the top match in 2.Bundesliga between Energie Cottbus and Union Berlin. This is the opportunity for Union to overcome both on top Colonge and Fürth with a draw and climb on top till Sunday. Of course Union travel to Cottbus to win there but it is not easy as with Cottbus they face a strong home side and their record is very bad with 4 defeats and only a goalless draw in 5 visits. These 5 matches are only 2.Bundesliga duels, if we consider all matches including east times they are winless since 21 years there. Nevertheless they want to win and improve their record there. Many hope for an entertaining game in this east clash.

Some problems for Coach Bommer as with Keeper Almer, MID Banovic and STR Sanogo faced three important players a final fitness test in last training session if they can be in the squad for today. The Austrian Keeper did not play in national team on Tuesday due to calf problem but he is likely in the starting lineup for the match vs. Union. MID Banovic made a three day break from training due to flue but according to his own statement he is ready for this match. A bit different is the return from top striker Sanogo. Of course he returned some weeks earlier as expected but if he is ready after his diagnosed broken toe is doubtful. He recovered only after 4 weeks and maybe he needs some time as Coach Bommer sit him on bench and if the match is in favor for them he will rest him for sure. However this is certainly not DEF Julian Börner which face an injury and can not take his position in the center back while Uwe Möhrle and Jurica Buljat starts there. If both Almer and Banovic can play, thus the same eleven is expected as in Munich where they got a goalless draw.

Union Coach Uwe Neuhaus, meanwhile has no reason to change his team compared to 3-0 against SV Sandhausen. A small question mark is still only behind Sören Brandy, who has some problems with a gastrointestinal infection under the international break and is possible not back at full strength. It is likely, however, that the best scorer with five goals of the “Eisernen” will be in the starting eleven. Likely to start in attack also Simon Terodde who is currently in better shape as Adam Nemec and with his last performances in a better position now. This duel in attack between both is only one place and maybe an example of the high quality in the squad from Union this season. On several positions, excellent alternatives so that no player may allow some period of weakness. Overall an solid team this year and they are more as able to compete with the top. They are known for their home strength from former years but this season they started winning away from home too what put them in such a good position.

Fortuna Düsseldorf - Greuther Fürth

Both were promoted to 1.Bundesliga 17 month ago but returned immediately to 2.Bundesliga what was a bad experience for them. After returning to 2.Bundesliga both were handled as promotion candidates from some experts but only Greuther Fürth could stand this pressure and are on the top while Düsseldorf had a lot of problems and the results were not in their favor and according to all the bad things they stand in danger zone at the moment, far away from any promotion sit. Overall Fürth has the opportunity today, to get the lead back from Cologne if they get a draw here.

The start was good but only result wise, the play was more as awful and they were not able to improve in recent weeks. Therefore it is more as disappointing what Düsseldorf brought on the pitch above all their scoring effectivity is low with only 9 goals in 9 matches so far. This maybe explain all where they have to work but if you can not create some you never will be able to win matches. For Coach Büskens this game is very important as he was former Coach from Fürth but was fired after a long disappointing run last season. Compared to the last match vs. FSV Frankfurt 0-0 Büskens has some more options now as with defender Latka returns and important player who stands for solid work but maybe he will be rested again. Also midfield player Schmidtgal recovered from injury and is back in the squad against his former club. However, it is the first time for him this season, but probably will be on bench first. A bit different is the situation from Axel Bellinghausen who was out for some weeks now but returns immediately into the starting eleven again as he can give a lot with his fighting spirit and push the team with his passion. Finally Charlison Benschop is back too but does not yet feel fully fit and will therefore only be Joker. Some personal surprise, however are possible in starting lineup as with Halloran or Gartner Coach Büskens has some weapons in the back. Both did well in training and can be options here but we have to wait what Büskens plans today.  

After two convincing victories against Union Berlin 4-2 and Dynamo Dresden 4-0 Fürth can be very self confident in Düsseldorf today. It is more likely that they start with an unchanged lineup here. Both Zoltan Stieber and Florian Trinks were in excellent shape and should put Düsseldorf’s defensive line before some problems anyway. Above all Stieber found back to his level he had some years ago. He makes the difference in Fürth’s play at the moment. Since important striker Djurdjic got injured they have some problems on this position as Azemi is good but could not replace him equal. Maybe this is a small weak point in their team. Also central midfield player Sukalo who is important additional will be out with injury again but he was replaced well from Fürstner last Monday already. Nevertheless Fürth seems in good form at the moment and should be very hard to beat anyway.   

1.BL update for Sunday

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1.FC Nürnberg - Hamburger SV

- Nürnberg lost only one of their last 6 matches against HSV (2-3-1).
- HSV won only one of their recent 8 BL matches, 4-0 vs. Braunschweig at home !!!
- FCN won only one of their last 6 BL matches (1-2-3).
- Nürnberg is still winless in BL so far but had the most draws in this period

FCN without Ginczek, Balitsch und Gebhardt -- HSV miss Diekmeier, Rincon, Ilicevic

Both Feulner and Frantz were ill against Bremen but they are back now and maybe an option for Coach Wiesinger, also DEF Nilsson should replace Dabanli in central back again. Very open is still if Wiesinger counts on two strikers or more 4-1-4-1.

Most of the experts expect the same starting lineup who got a lucky Point in Frankfurt. Maybe Jiracek can be an option on the wing or also in central midfield while Lasogga is the only striker up front.



SC Freiburg - Eintracht Frankfurt

- Eintracht Frankfurt has the best Points average vs. Freiburg (1,60) from all they played so far.
- Freiburg could not win one of their last 3 home matches vs. Frankfurt (0-2-1).
- SCF did not lose in their last 7 BL matches, if they played on sunday (4-3-0).
- Freiburg without a win this season so far.

Freiburg miss Darida, Diagne suspended, Pilar, Hedenstad, Mujdza and Terrazzino.
On Frankfurt's side is Schwegler, Kittel, Rosenthal and Meier out while some are slight injured like Aigner, Jung and Russ from EL game.

It is very open what lineup Coach Steich wants to field as he was waiting how fit the players are after the EL trip to Sevilla. In defensive he can choose between Höhn and Krmas who replace Diagne. But overall it is an important match for Freiburg, they have to win and this can be that he counts on the strongest eleven he can field with Schmid, Schuster and Mehmedi are some back.

After the clear win in EL some players got injured there and the replacements are less as a lot are still out. But with Djakpa, Inui, Schröck and Lanig he has some in back. Therefore a strong team will play here anyway.

1860 München - Energie Cottbus

Very important match for both, because of the huge defeat in Kaiserslautern 0-3 1860 is under huge pressure to win this match today. If they can not win this one their goal is going far away and they are out of the promotion battle for the upcoming weeks. If they win they can hold the contact. With their 5th win the job is done but of course there are 90 minutes ahead of them. On the other side Cottbus should not lose as well as they can fall down and this can be red zone if all goes against them today. Overall we have a very interesting match ahead. Both teams must try to get the Points hopefully this is an open one and not only tactical game.

Coach Funkel said after the match vs. Kaiserslautern that he never was such outplayed from an opponent as today. This gave a lot of interpretation that the squad has not the quality for more at the moment. But due to less alternatives not many changes are expected for this home match today. Therefore he counts on the same eleven as he did in Kaiserslautern and he hopes that this eleven give some reaction about the absolutely weak performance from last weekend. Maybe Wannenwetsch gets a chance and replace Stahl in central midfield, also Adlung is an option on the wing where Tomasov moves out then. In attack both veterans Friend and Lauth are the hope that they can bring the same performance as against Aue where they won 3-1 two weeks ago.

In Cottbus Coach Bommer has some injury worries. Although Uwe Möhrle is back and could play again today but not many alternatives available at the moment. It is very good that Möhrle returns as with DEF Börner Coach Bommer has to replace the first injured player who has some muscle problems. While Börner can replaced by Möhrle very easy who plays beside strong Buljat is the miss from their top striker and scorer Sanogo a big blow. He will miss many weeks now and this can bring a lot of trouble for Cottbus as no one can replace him equal at the moment. For Sanogo maybe plays Jendrisek in attack but could not impress in the recent weeks and is not in best shape anyway. Also the form from central midfielder Banovic is not the best recently and the weakness of the experienced player is a problem at the moment. The only hope is the offensive midfield line who were in great form against Bielefeld last weekend where Bickel, Rivic and Stiepermann had an outstanding day. All three are the hopes for Cottbus at the moment and also for a success in Munich. 

Week Performance 04.10.-10.10.2013

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Week 40 !!!

I wanted to dedicate my Picks / Tips in an extra post. I update it always if I add something, it is only for a better view. All Picks can be seen under Betting History, Plan Picks or Tip of the Day additional. Of course, all Picks are verified !!!


German Leagues:

05.10.2013  18:30 Germany 1.BL Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern München OVER 3 @ 1,93 1-1


Tip of the Day:

04.10.2013  20:30 Germany 1.BL Hannover 96 - Hertha BSC Berlin AHC +0,25 @ 1,93 (A) 1-1
05.10.2013  14:00 Germany 3.BL SpVgg Unterhaching - RW Erfurt OVER 2,75 @ 2,08 2-1
06.10.2013  13:30 Germany 2.BL 1860 München - Energie Cottbus AHC -0,25 @ 1,74 0-0



Plan Picks:

06.10.2013  17:00 England PR West Bromwich Albion - FC Arsenal AHC -0,75 @ 2,00 1-1

Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern München

Big match this evening between two top teams from upper table. At the moment there are only one or two teams who can follow Bayern Munich. First one Borussia Dortmund as we saw in the recent seasons, but also Bayer Leverkusen. Of course they were far away last season but this was also Dortmund. This season it looks a bit different as all three are almost on the same level, of course only table wise. Bayern style of play is much better at the moment and they are very strong anyway. But Leverkusen has hurt them last season, they won in Munich 2-1 and this was long time ago that they got here something. Maybe, it was a lot of luck if you take a look at the goals they scored but they won, this was the last defeat Bayern Munich had in the league. Exactly one year ago, it was also in October. Can Bayern Munich continue their unbeaten run in 1.Bundesliga or celebrate Leverkusen their 5th home win in a row?

Bayer Leverkusen started never such successful into the season as this one, they have 6 wins and only one defeat and are only one point behind leader Borussia Dortmund 19 Points and Bayern Munich 19 Points. This is their best start in BL history ever, also they are unbeaten in their Arena since Round 26 from last season where Bayern Munich won 2-1 there. Coach Hyppia has formed a very good and balanced playing team, they were always able to find a way to beat their opponents so far. The wings are in good form above all Sam who is one of the key players in Leverkusen's play. They love it to overcome their opponents with fast and quick counter attacks. This is the key at the moment, and they can count on them again today as for sure Bayern Munich try to control the match and have as much ball possession as they can. This is the 1st big test for the Bayer team this season in BL. International they had some but with average success. Against ManU they were not such good and lost easy with a lot of mistakes in defensive as well. Last one they won with a bit luck in the end 2-1 vs San Sebastian. It would be interesting if the defensive line can hold the pressure from Bayern Munich away and how fast they can find the way for counters. If they can come behind the defensive line from Bayern Munich with their counters they can hurt Bayern. The weapons are there with Sam and Son.

After a average start Bayern Munich plays better and better and Coach Guardiola understands it very well what is to do that his team can go step for step forward. As I wrote many times to beginning it was not so stable in defensive from them but after the national break and maybe some system change in midfield Bayern's motor working very well and they are very hard to beat. With Lahm, Kroos and Schweinsteiger the Coach counts on three creative midfield players who rotates a lot and let the opponent only run after and also do not allow him access to the game. This is more as disappointing for Bayern's opponents so far. After the national break, Bayern played from match to match better and they understand Guardiola's system more. The highlight was last wednesday as they played such a great match against ManCity who is called top team in Europe with a lot of big players but they never had any chance there. If Bayern Munich continues this style of play and take step after step they are getting better and better in the upcoming weeks, month. The defense play was also much better in the recent matches that they have not many weak points at the moment. It seems that they are very hard to beat and with a lot of great players in their squad it is very easy to replace some. Of course some key players there who are hard to be replaced but overall it is great squad.

If Bayern Munich can control the match and can move the ball they did in Manchester I think this can be a clear away win despite Leverkusen's good form and home strength. GL

Recommend Bet: OVER 3 @ 1,93 (3 Units)

1.BL update for Saturday

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Bor. M'Gladbach - Borussia Dortmund

- BvB lost only 1 from their last 11 matches against Gladbach (7-3-1).
- Gladbach scored in all their recent 4 matches at home, three goals or more.
- Dortmund won 5 from their last 7 matches on the road (5-2-0). Last defeat vs. Schalke 1-2 (9.3.2013)

Only old hand Deams is missing for Gladbach while BvB miss with Piszczek, Gündogan, Schmelzer, Sokratis and Kehl some who have normally potential for starting lineup.


VfB Stuttgart - Werder Bremen

- Stuttgart allowed only against Bayern Munich (186) goals as against Bremen (162).
- Bremen lost only one match from 5 in the past (2-2-1).
- Stuttgart could only win one from their last 5 home matches (1-2-2).

Some imp. missing for Stuttgart with Ulreich, Leitner, Niedermeier and Didavi. But also Bremen has a lot on the list with di Santo suspended, Makiadi, Bragfrede, Ignovski, Lukimya and Trybull.


VfL Wolfsburg - Eintracht Braunschweig

- Since Braunschweig was promoted, they did not win a single match in 11 attempts so far.
- 1993 played both clubs against each other (2.Bundesliga) and Wolfsburg won both (1-0 / 4-1.
- Eintracht Braunschweig has only one Point and 3-18 goals, this is the weakest team ever in BL

Two more missing for Wolfsburg now, so they miss Träsch, Vierinha and Dost. Also Braunschweig has three with Petkovic, Hochscheidt and Correia.


FSV Mainz 05 - 1899 Hoffenheim

- Against no other team, FSV has such a good winning rate as vs. 1899 (5/8 = 63%).
- FSV conceded in their recent 4 matches 12 goals, this is an average from 3 !!!
- Mainz did not lose one of the past 3 vs 1899 but won only one (1-2-0)

Missings are Bungert, Koch, Baumgartlinger and Parker while 1899 can choose from almost all. The only doubtful player is Johnson.


FC Schalke 04 - FC Augsburg

- S04 can count on their history here, they did not lose against FSA so far (2-2-0).
- FCA lost only one of their recent 5 matches (3-1-1).
- Schalke allowed 16 goals so far and this is one of their weakest amount after 7 Rounds ever.

S04 will miss Fuchs, Papadopoulos, Obasi, Farfan and Huntelaar. Some big guys out while FCA Coach Weinzierl must only replace Bobadilla what should be easy.