Many things should change 2013 for 1899 Hoffenheim after signing their third coach Kurz already this season. But not much has changed so far as they are on the same level again. Many trouble in and around the club also in team and therefore they can not bring their best performance on the pitch. Manager Müller and Coach Kurz talked a lot but could not reach the players so far. The highlight was the demotion of Keeper Wiese and the signing of new Keeper Gomez from Tottenham. During the week there were a lot of attention because of Weis and Wiese, both were thrown from the disco intoxicated. Manager Müller said that they have to pay a five figure sum for this incident. If they are in squad is not decided but Wiese is out anyway after his demotion. Weis was in starting lineup in the past but likely he is only on bench now. Coach Kurz wants to work on all positions and their play overall but it looks like that they are too bad/weak. Of course some improvements are there but they are very small, defensive was very weak and conceded a lot, sure they are better but make mistakes again. Maybe their focus on defensive play is to much in training as the offensive is to harmless as well. With Joselu and Derdioyk are two Strikers totally out of form while new man de Camargo has no connection to the game so far. They play much to slow and also if Volland has not his best day their offense do not exist. All their problems were shown against Hannover and I am not sure if they can get it solved this week. At their last home match against Freiburg they were very lucky as they were 0-1 down and Freiburg had the big opportunity to expand the lead but failed and on the other side they made two big mistakes where Hoffenheim knew how to use but both were gifts.
2013 seems not to be a good year for VfB Stuttgart, because they lost all 4 games so far. With last year included they are on a 5 matches losing streak and not far away from their run of 7 lost games in a row at Season 86/87. They lost their good position from first half of the season and have to look down now. To harmless were their performances with many mistakes where they allowed to many easy goals for their opponents. The alarm bells rings already and they have to turn things around immediately if they do not want to get involved in relegation battle. This derby match against Hoffenheim is absolutely important for them and they should not lose anyway. To sum up the last matches they lost in Wolfsburg 0-2 a bit unlucky as the lead was from a shot out of the box, against Bayern Munich (0-2) Molinaro decided this match with his big mistake, in Düsseldorf 1-3 they made also some mistakes and therefore no outcome for them, against Bremen they started well but forgot to score and in this case Bremen took the lead, after the half time Stuttgart came back and equalized and had some good opportunities for the lead but missed it also maybe a penalty not given by the referee. In the following period they fall back in old mistakes and decided this match this way again.
All in all it is a derby and both are not in such good form but both need the points. I expect more a tactical match as an open one. Home side is a bit more under pressure as they are one of the bottom teams and in huge danger right now. Therefore they have to invest much more to win this encounter and open a lot of space while Stuttgart can sit back a bit and go for counters what would be not such a bad idea as with Harnik and Traore they have very good fast offensive wingers in their rows. Upfront plays former Striker from Hoffenheim Ibisevic who should be huge motivated against his old team. Additional both teams are very unstable in defensive what can be another reason in this match, which team can minimize mistakes get some advantage, of course. However, Hoffenheim is not exactly a goal machine and rather harmless, I guess Stuttgart as much stronger here. Yes, I know, you want to say, why should I put some on a team that lost the last 5 matches and looked totally weak. This derby is the right time for them to turn things around and sooner or later they get at least a draw and it is more as possible as they have a very good record here. As one of the best sides away from home in first half of the season I believe in them today.
Recommend Bet: VfB Stuttgart AHC +0,25 @ 1,90 (3 Units)
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