Samstag, 23. Februar 2013

Bayern München - Werder Bremen

What to say about Bayern Munich, they are rolling and overcome all their opponents very easy. They play really one of their best season so far and they are very hard to crack and overall to beat. In offensive they are always able to create and score as well, it is very hard to hold them away and in this case they are always good for some goals. Defensive worked well too, as they conceded only 7 goals in their 22 matches so far. 2013 they did not concede a single goal in league matches and this is also a key fact for their success. The team looked very balanced and they are huge motivated. I am expecting some changes here against the champions league match in London against Arsenal. Robben and Gomez are very angry with their situation and therefore they will be in starting lineup here as they were already against Schalke where they won very easy 4-0. If Bayern can play like in the past where they beat Fürth 2-0, Stuttgart 2-0, Mainz 3-0, Schalke 4-0 and Wolfsburg 2-0 I am very sure that they are more than able to overcome Bremen as well. Only one missing with long term injured defender Badstuber.

Werder Bremen in some trouble above all if some important players are not available due to illness or injury like last weekend. They had huge problems with Freiburg and normally Freiburg should have decided this encounter much earlier as they did because of so many opportunities but wasted and wasted, also with bad luck in some situations where they hit post or bar. Of course Bremen on the other side had also some good chances to score but missed too. This match was very exciting to watch and it was absolutely open because both pushed a lot and also with a lot of mistakes in defensive but in the end Freiburg won 3-2. With a win Bremen had put them in a much better position as they are now. Nevertheless they have to get points in the upcoming matches if they want to hold EL dreams alive. Of course, it is very close at the moment and many teams fight for these spots. Overall Bremen was down because they started with two loses 0-5 vs Dortmund, 2-3 vs Hamburg but fight back with two wins vs. Hannover 2-0 and Stuttgart 4-1 before they had to take the next blow. Of course the hurdle is very high in Munich and they can play as relaxed as they can because no one expecting anything from them. With Hunt returns an important player but Fritz ill and defender chief Sokratis who was in really good form missed again. 

Maybe it is rather easy for them to face Bayern Munich now as they have nothing to lose there. They can play without any pressure and try to get something out of this match but I am not sure if they can. If I compare both sides it would be very hard for them as they have some problems in defensive almost the whole season already. Their defensive row is very instable, both back wings will get a lot of problems against Ribery or Shakiri / Robben or Müller. Also central back is always good for some mistakes. On the other side they are more an offensive minded team and this help not much here, as Bayern Munich can overcome them easy but this is coach Schaaf’s style. He plays only with one man on central midfield position and almost 3 offensive players. But some of the offensive players work not for the defensive or much against the ball like de Bryne. Thus the defensive block keeps coming under extreme pressure  and produce mistakes and the logical consequence are goals. If they keep this style of play against Bayern it would be very hard to see them having a chance. They looked to weak and to easy to overcome in some matches. Stats are absolutely with home side, also their incredible run, they conceded very less and also all their 18 wins came with 2 goals or more this season. Bayern did not get wins at home if they score only one goal as they did vs. Dortmund 1-1, Leverkusen 1-2 and Gladbach 1-1. It makes it not easier for Bremen as they need a very good day but I doubt about it.

Recommend Bet: Bayern Munich AHC -1,75 @ 1,85 (3 Units)

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