Freitag, 1. Februar 2013

Werder Bremen - Hannover 96

Goals are expected in this one, as both have problems !!!
Small north derby where both teams need the points if they want to hold the aims alive and get an international starting place in the end. Both teams more in an downtrend as on an up and both are very weak in defensive and also with huge problems in the past.

In front of their fans, Werder Bremen has something to give back after they got trashed against Borussia Dortmund two weeks ago. They played their offensive style as always but this was almost to much against a team who are very efficient with such excellent players. With this huge package they travel to their north rival Hamburg and lost there too but they were the much better side with much more corners and also created more opportunities as Hamburg. Additional the referee was also against them and did not see a clear hand before the second goal from Hamburg who decided this encounter. Some decisions from Referee was very disappointing and doubtful as well …. In this case it were the goal to the lead 2-1 from HSV and additional the bookings for Bremen who lost Fritz and Arnautovic with yellow/red card. Both are suspended for this match now and makes it not easier for coach Schaaf. Although they missed Hunt, also Junuzovic could not play the whole 90 minutes after flu but Werder did a good job. It was much better as against Dortmund and I expect the next step and some reaction after two loses in a row. According to the news, Hunt should be back and help to get the win as it is almost their last chance if they do not want to end up in midfield. Not availalbe are the mentioned suspended players Fritz, Arnautovic and injured Bagfrede.

After coach Slomka signed his new contract at Hannover it looks more and more that the team is very weak in defensive although they signed some but they did not help much so far. Djourou who is on loan from Arsenal was very unconfident against Schalke with a lot of mistakes and unneeded tackles and some fouls too. His neighbor Eggimann allowed Schalke with a few errors some goals but was very unlucky against Wolfsburg because of injury he must left the pitch after 30 minutes. With an ankle fracture he is out now for some weeks. Both back wingers were with light and shadow, Cherundolo’s replacement Chahed with good performances with 3 assist in these two matches while Rausch was indisposed against Schalke and in this case Slomka let him on bench and brought new signed Pogonioli but he saw after 25 minutes a red card …. Although they are one man less they scored twice but with many help from Wolfsburg’s defenders Kjaer and Naldo. In second half it was more or less only defending like hell from Hannover but they got the win. Overall they have huge problems in defensive while their offensive had shown the potential and they are always able to create or score at any time. But nevertheless they miss a lot of players as two players are suspended with MID Hoffmann and DEF Pocognoli while MID Andreasen, DEF Cherundolo, DEF Franca, DEF Eggimann, DEF Felipe, DEF Schulz and MID Stindl are a lot of players injured and also striker Ya Konan is at African Cup. In this case a lot to do for coach Slomka as he must change at least 3 times again, for Hoffmann returns da Silva Pinto from suspension and play on his position in central midfield beside Schmiedebach while Haggui gets the position from injured Eggimann and maybe Pander or Rausch are set as back wing. Hopefully no injury on central back as almost all are out, only these two guys (Djourou and Haggui) available now.

I like the home side a bit more although both are on a losing streak (Bremen at home / Hannover away). The key would be, which team can work better in defensive, this should decide this encounter. Moreover a bet on goals are also very likely here as both are very weak in defensive and both have one of the weakest stats with conceding 37 in 19 matches while upfront they are always able to create and score.

Recommend Bet: Werder Bremen AHC -0,25 @ 1,76 (3 Units) + OVER 3 @ 1,82 (3 Units)

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