Sonntag, 24. Februar 2013

Bor. M'Gladbach - Borussia Dortmund

A lot has changed at Gladbach and their coach Favre this season. They were known as one of the best defensive playing teams last season but they lost this style, maybe because they lost important players like Dante and Neustädter and maybe could not compensate these. Nevertheless they had huge problems with teams with a good offensive in the past. This is fact and provable as well. One of the best example should be their last league home match against Leverkusen. They were able to score 3 goals but could not win as their defensive had huge problems with the quick offensive players from Leverkusen. It was almost the same in EL against Lazio but they made a lot of mistakes there anyway. But not enough, they travelled to Rome, played there an important EL match against Lazio on Thursday and three days later they host the next big team. When they welcome Borussia Dortmund on Sunday they play their 5 match in 16 days now. Of course they are not as fresh as they should be and the problems are getting bigger because Favre has not so much to choose from to rotate much. In this case it would be very interesting how tired they are or whether they get it regulated. Additional problems are Herrmann is suspended and Arrango seems not to be fit in the right time. And after the EL match changes are possible what help them not much as they need time to get used to.

2013 is very good for Dortmund so far and they are on a good way. They want to reach second place as Bayern Munich is to far away to catch them yet. They played some good matches and they are always able to score some goals although they are without strikers now. With Lewandowski and Schieber both strikers are suspended and not available but nevertheless they have huge weapons in their rows anyway to compensate this. But what I read wants coach Klopp count on 2nd team striker Bajner who scored 4 goals in 11 matches in 3rd league already. This man is 22 years old and was on bench in last match. But overall Reus, Götze, Kuba (doubtful) and Gündogan can make the difference anyway. Their form is very good and they have so much fun to play as they are running and passing so good and it looks all very easy. Thus they are always able to put the opponent under pressure or to pose problems. Over 90 minutes they are not to control as they are to good and to dangerous therefore they get some opportunities to score some for sure.

The advantage should be clear for this encounter. Over one week rest for Dortmund and only to focus and prepare for this match while Gladbach played an important match in EL and should be very tired after a lot of matches in the past anyway. This can be a huge disadvantage as I mentioned already that their defensive had a lot of problems with quick offensive players and almost all from Dortmund are in this category. Moreover Gladbach defenders are all very large, which is not exactly of advantage against small and agile players from Dortmund. If we add up all the reasons that should necessarily be goals in this game. In the current 10 home games Gladbach could always score at least one and Dortmund away too. Moreover, I think we drive with all this information best with a bet on OVER. GL

Recommend Bet: OVER 2,25 @ 1,70 (3 Units)

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