Sonntag, 10. Februar 2013

FC Augsburg - FSV Mainz 05

Wow, what a start from Augsburg 2013. The hope is back and they play very good so far. With some changes in the winter break they have laid the foundation. New Manager Reuter was very positive and was further to the team and coaches, maybe he has found the right words and the right course. Also they let coach Weinzierl work in silence and he knows this and also his team has much more self confidence now. They started with a luck win at Düsseldorf but this was maybe the right sign for them and gave them a lot of motivation back and boost them additional. They showed this against Schalke at home one week later where they were the much better side and should have won this but wasted to much or were a bit unlucky also their defensive allowed only one big opportunity for Schalke. At Wolfsburg they had maybe some problems to beginning of the match but the longer the game went on the more they controlled it. Of course they were 0-1 down but they did not think long about it and played easily. Also what is very important they stands well in defensive and do not make so many mistakes now what helps a lot. Also Weinzierl has found the right eleven and they worked very well in the past matches and got rewarded very well. With keeper Jentzsch, DEF Reinhardt, MID Ottl, DEF Verhaegh, STR Bance and MID Petrzela they have some missings but it looks like that they compensate all.

The opponent of Augsburg are on a good way this season, they have the chance to get involved in Euro League next season if they continue like the past. With a win they can reach 5th place and this means that they are in a very good position. They got 4 points out of the 3 matches 2013 but the win was against Fürth who are winless at home so far. The other matches were at home with 0-0 against Freiburg and 0-3 against Bayern Munich where they played well but had no chance in second half. Coach Tuchel did a good job so far and he has to integrate some new players as with Polanski left to Hoffenheim they signed a replacement for him with Zimling. Of course their play is not infected much with this change but all in all they count to much on their top striker Szalai. He was out against Bayern and they could not score also against Freiburg he was controlled very well from the defensive and had no change then. He is back today but on the other side they miss one of the best and important wing with N. Müller. He was the advantage in some of their matches already as he is very quick and can score too. Therefore Tuchel has to change again and should find the right players for his system but he is known as tactic fox anyway.

Home team believes in itself again and they showed a much different face as in the first half of the season. They are back on track and their play is much better, the defensive stands well and all work together now. If they play like in their 3 matches 2013 I am very sure, they get the points as FSV Mainz not an away monster that they can overcome Augsburg very easy. I am very confident as the stats speaks also pro Augsburg, after Wolfsburg, Mainz is their favorite opponent. The opening line was very good but gone fast but I think that the DNB line is acceptable too. GL

Recommend Bet: FC Augsburg AHC 0 @ 1,98 (3Units)

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